SPX Highest Probability Price Targets & Analysis | Sep 23 - 27new price targets for next week (Sep 23 - 27) using Statistics and Data to drive a 70%+ historical accuracy.
Topics:
- This week's Targets
Overall we use stats and data pulled from a wide array of Tradingview indicators and scripts so that I can have as much data as possible - even if it's unstructured or uncorrelated data. I then use AI and SOP's to systematically calculate a weekly and daily framework. My predictions are never 100% but ALL of them are mathematically proven to be 70%+ accurate historically or I wouldn't use them.
Most indicators I use on my Data Dashboard chart has the stats in their associated boxes that I show during the recording if you'd like to verify yourself.
Please leave me feedback as I am new to creating content and would like to improve.
Personally I use these targets in combination with ICT Concepts to trade.
Nothing I say is Financial Advice - Previous performance does not guarantee future success.
Marketanalysis
USDJPY Analysis: Awaiting Market Confirmation Post Fed Rate CutHi Traders,
Following yesterday's USD news, the Federal Reserve has reduced the interest rate by 0.25%. It seems the market has already absorbed this news, and our attention shifts back to the USDJPY pair.
On Tuesday, my analysis showed a price break above the H4 structure. According to this structure, we can anticipate a continuation of the overall downtrend. However, predicting the exact point where the decline will begin is tricky. We'll need to carefully monitor price movements on smaller timeframes for more clarity.
On the 1-hour (1Hr) chart, we're looking for either a new higher high (HH) or a slightly lower high (LH) to complete the current wave structure. Selling at this stage is premature. Instead, we’re looking to buy on the current swing of the 1Hr chart, waiting for a potential failure to make a new HH.
EURJPY TRADE UPDATE AND ANALYSISIn this video i share a quick recap on the trade i took from the previous analysis (link in description), after seeing the daily candle close bullish above the high if the last bearish day which confirmed a break of structure on the 4hr timeframe and i went long at the pullback to 157.500 and 38.2 fib area (confluence)
BTC Tests $61,000 Range Ahead of FOMC MeetingCurrent Market Activity: Bitcoin is currently testing the $61,000 top of its range support, a strong resistance level, just ahead of tonight’s FOMC meeting.
Key Levels:
Range High Support/Resistance: $61,000
Lower Range Support: $57,000–$58,000
Next Major Resistance: $64,000–$67,000
Reversal Zone: $66,000–$68,000 (Required for upside shift)
Potential Outcomes:
Unfavorable FOMC News: BTC could test the $57,000–$58,000 support.
Favorable FOMC News: A break through $61,000 may lead BTC to the next resistance at $64,000–$67,000.
Trend Analysis: BTC continues to form lower highs, indicating a broader downtrend. A break and reclaim of the $66,000–$68,000 zone would suggest a potential reversal, but caution is necessary due to the volatility expected around the FOMC meeting.
#Bitcoin #BTC #FOMC #MarketAnalysis #SupportAndResistance #Crypto #Volatility #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
Market Analysis Techniques for TradersMarket Analysis Techniques for Traders
Navigating the financial markets demands a strong toolkit of analysis techniques. This comprehensive article introduces traders to key market analysis methods, ranging from fundamental and technical analysis to more specialised approaches like price action and quantitative methods.
You can pair your learning with FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform to gain the deepest understanding of these techniques. There, you will find the price charts, drawing tools, and indicators necessary for many of these market analysis methods.
Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis involves the scrutiny of economic indicators, company financials, and geopolitical factors to assess an asset's intrinsic value.
Economic indicators like GDP, employment rates, and interest rates offer a macroeconomic view, while company financials such as earnings, debt ratios, and future projections are microeconomic factors. Fundamental analysts also pay close attention to geopolitical events, like elections or trade wars, which can shift market sentiment.
The strength of this approach lies in its thorough, long-term outlook, making it particularly useful for investors in equities and commodities. However, it is time-consuming and often requires a deep understanding of economic theory. For example, Warren Buffet's value-based approach leans heavily on fundamental analysis, emphasising the importance of understanding the intrinsic value of stocks.
Technical Analysis
Technical analysis diverges from the fundamental approach by focusing solely on past and current price movements and trading volumes. Traders employ various indicators, such as moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), to predict future price behaviour. Trend lines and support and resistance levels further supplement these indicators, offering visual aids for decision-making.
A famous case is Paul Tudor Jones, who successfully predicted the 1987 market crash using technical indicators. He compared the market’s top in 1987 with the previous peak of 1929 and found notable similarities, demonstrating the power of learning technical analysis.
The advantage of technical analysis in trading is its applicability across different time frames, from intraday to multi-year trends. However, it can sometimes give false signals, known as "whipsaws," leading to potential losses.
Price Action Analysis
Price action analysis, while related to technical analysis, is a more focused method that relies on the interpretation of raw price movements instead of using additional indicators. Traders primarily use chart patterns like head and shoulders, double tops and bottoms, and candlestick patterns such as bullish or bearish engulfing to make trading decisions. Like technical analysis, support and resistance levels are also crucial here.
One of the advantages of price action analysis is its simplicity: no need for dozens of indicators. On the flip side, it can be subjective and open to interpretation, making it less straightforward for some traders. Munehisa Homma, a 17th-century Japanese rice trader, is often cited as an early pioneer of price action analysis. Utilising candlestick charts, he achieved great success and laid the foundation for modern technical analysis.
Quantitative Methods
Quantitative analysis employs mathematical and statistical models to evaluate financial assets and markets. Algorithmic trading, a method that automatically executes trades based on pre-set criteria, is a prime example of the use of quantitative techniques. Traders also use backtesting to validate the effectiveness of a trading strategy by applying it to historical data.
The quantitative approach offers the benefit of speed and precision, but it also carries risks such as model overfitting, where a strategy works well on past data but fails in real-time trading. One notable firm that has achieved exceptional success through quantitative methods is Renaissance Technologies, a hedge fund that’s achieved annual returns of 30%+ through its sophisticated mathematical models.
Sentiment Analysis
Sentiment analysis focuses on gauging market psychology by monitoring news, social media, and sentiment indicators. It seeks to understand how collective emotions are driving market trends. Methods for sentiment analysis include text mining of news articles and tweets, as well as tracking investor sentiment indexes like the Fear & Greed Index.
While sentiment analysis offers a real-time pulse of market psychology, it is also prone to rapid changes, making it less reliable for long-term trading decisions. Notably, traders during the GameStop short squeeze phenomenon in early 2021 relied on sentiment analysis from online forums, turning what seemed like an undervalued stock into a trading frenzy.
Intermarket Analysis
Intermarket analysis extends the analytical lens to the relationships between different asset classes, such as equities, commodities, currencies, and bonds. By identifying these correlations, traders can gain insights into how a movement in one market could influence another.
The advantage of intermarket analysis is its holistic view of market dynamics, but it also requires a strong grasp of global economics. For instance, in the chart above, we can see the price of crude oil with the price of Exxon Mobil (XOM) and BP (BP) overlaid. There is a strong correlation between crude oil’s trend and the trend of these companies’ share prices. Traders could evaluate the bullishness or bearishness of crude oil to set a bias for XOM and BP’s future direction.
Seasonal Analysis
Seasonal analysis examines recurring patterns in markets, often influenced by factors like weather, holidays, and fiscal calendars. For example, retail stocks often rise before the holiday shopping season, and energy commodities can be influenced by demand for transport fuel in summer and heating fuel in winter. Tools like seasonal charts help traders identify these trends.
However, a major challenge lies in the changing dynamics of markets, which may render some seasonal patterns less reliable over time. Investors who had historically profited from buying stock in winter and selling in summer found this strategy less effective in recent years due to evolving market conditions.
The Bottom Line
In summary, a well-rounded understanding of diverse market analysis techniques is key to trading success. Whether focused on long-term investments or intraday trades, incorporating these methods can substantially enhance your trading strategy. For those ready to apply these insights in a live trading environment, opening an FXOpen account can serve as the next logical step in your trading journey.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 16-Sep-24 to 20-Sep-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 16-Sep-24 to 20-Sep-24
Nifty closed at 25356 ( Last week 24855 ) and touched low & high of 24471-25429 ( all time high)
Market touched new high last week , and nearing the Short term Resistance at 25545.
RSI and stochastics levels moved up last week (63% and 87% respectively). MACD level and signal are at same level.
Nifty 25356 Short term (Short term neutral, need to cross key resistance 25545)
Nifty short term resistance 25545 as shown in chart.
Support at 24480 (Fib Support) & 24650 (Trend line support and recent low).
Medium Term next target is 25800 ( Fib Resistance)- If it crosses 25800, Medium Term is UP. if it moves above decisively next target is 26250.
Medium term Support - 24000
Long Term : Nifty have a target of 27000 ( Fibonacci Resistance). If market close above 25540 decisively. Support at 22800
Post Indian Elections, reduction of interest rate by RBI is expected on a staggered manner till it reaches 5% ( in span of 2-3 years ) in line with US fed rate reduction expected in Sep 2024. US President Election result scheduled in Nov 24. Until then Market may correct if any global news upto19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range.
Caution to be emphasized on Nifty as nifty PE is in high level with high valuation especially in Mid cap & Small Cap. Mutual Funds SIP shall be invested as the goal is for more than 5-10 years at this critical period as the valuation is high.
Those with lesser risk can sell partial portfolio ( 20-30%) stocks which have less valuation and can wait for opportunity to buy when nifty dips upto 22800.
Deploy stop loss of upto 7%-8% which is crucial. More Risky players can have stop loss of trend line resistance of 23750 as shown in the chart.
Nifty bank 51938 (Last week 50582) - Index have target of 54000 in medium term and support at 49900
Stock Picking is needed at current scenario in Bank, auto, Pharma stocks.
Based on the Q1 results, following stocks can be added to portfolio: ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, Indian Bank & Punjab National Bank.
Fundamentally good stocks can be added as it posted good results on every dip in finance stocks such as CAMS, UTI AMC , HDFC AMC, Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin, Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Persistent Sys, PI Ind, PNC Infra and Ashoka Buildcon. There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis.
Nifty IT 43394 (Last week 42234) indices dipped to 37848 in Jun month, bounced back and all time high last week. Recovery of US stock market and awaiting FED rate cute decision pushed the US stocks up and followed by Nifty IT Index.
Is IBM's retreat from China a strategic gamble or a harbinger ofIBM's recent strategic decision to shutter its research and development center in China has sent ripples through the global tech industry. This move, coupled with the exodus of other American tech giants, has ignited a heated debate about the forces shaping the future of business in the world's second-largest economy.
Is IBM's retreat a calculated response to changing market dynamics, or is it a canary in the coal mine, signaling a broader shift in the geopolitical landscape? As we delve deeper into the intricacies of this decision, a complex picture emerges, one that challenges our understanding of the delicate interplay between business, politics, and economics.
IBM's withdrawal from China is not merely a corporate decision but a reflection of the evolving tensions between the world's two superpowers. The escalating trade wars, regulatory hurdles, and geopolitical uncertainties have created a challenging environment for foreign businesses, forcing them to reassess their strategies.
However, IBM's decision is also a strategic one, driven by factors such as cost optimization and a desire to focus on core competencies. By relocating its operations to regions with lower labor costs, IBM can enhance its profitability and allocate resources more efficiently.
As we navigate the complexities of this situation, it's imperative to recognize that IBM's retreat is not an isolated incident. It is a symptom of a broader trend, a reflection of the challenges faced by foreign companies operating in China. The economic slowdown, increased nationalism, and regulatory uncertainty have created a perfect storm that is forcing businesses to rethink their China strategies.
The future of business in China remains uncertain. IBM's decision is a stark reminder of the delicate balance between economic opportunities and geopolitical risks. As the world continues to evolve, it is essential for businesses to remain agile, adaptable, and prepared to navigate the challenges and seize the opportunities that lie ahead.
TOTAL Market Cap Faces Rejection at $2TCurrent Market Activity: This morning, the TOTAL market cap was rejected at the $2T level, the top of the range, and has begun retracing, potentially testing the bottom of the range at $1.85T once again.
Key Levels:
Top of Range: $2T (Rejected)
Bottom of Range: $1.85T (Potential test)
Previous High: $2.25T (Late August)
Bearish Signals: TOTAL has not created a higher high since reaching $2.25T, suggesting that the higher timeframe trend remains to the downside. A break below $1.85T could lead to a retest of the $1.7T level, which was last tested in early August.
Market Outlook: Watch for a decisive move at $1.85T for clues on the next direction.
#CryptoMarketCap #TOTAL #MarketAnalysis #SupportAndResistance #Downtrend #Bearish #Crypto #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis
S&P recovers; bulls maintain long-term controlThe last week of August was sluggish, despite several exciting events. First, NVDA’s earnings, although very strong, failed to boost the market beyond its daily trading range. The GDP and inflation data (positive) released later also didn’t provide sufficient momentum, and the market continued to bracket. The week closed at the high, but buyers didn’t manage to break out of the trading range and confirm control of the daily timeframe. We can conclude that the market has reached a temporary balance—both bulls and bears seem content with the current price and lack the conviction to initiate strong moves.
Zooming out to the monthly view, August closed green, near the historical high. The long lower wick signifies a bullish rally that brought the price up from the low, indicating the strength and conviction of the bulls. Although the bulls didn’t manage to achieve a new high, they still maintain long-term control.
Overall, the market is still in a monthly and weekly uptrend. Even if sellers manage to set a weekly lower high in September, it is unlikely to mark the start of a trend reversal. Buyers have created enough space for potential weekly consolidation that will not threaten their long-term control.
Important levels:
Last major weekly trend high (565). If buyers manage to move above and hold they will confirm continuation of monthly uptrend.
Last major weekly trend low (510). Buyers must protect this level if they want to keep long term control
Short Term Trading range (555-564). Breaking out from the range in either direction will mark gaining of a short-term control.
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 02-Sep-24 to 06-Sep-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 02-Sep-24 to 06-Sep-24
Nifty closed at 25235 ( Last week 24823 ) and touched low & high of 24899-25263 ( all time high)
As suggested for past two weeks, market bounced back and moved up and achieved the first Medium term target 25224.
Caution to be emphasized on Nifty as nifty PE is in high level with high valuation especially in Mid cap & Small Cap.
Those with lesser risk can sell partial portfolio ( 20-30%) stocks which have less valuation and can wait for opportunity to buy when nifty dips upto 22800. This is the best period to start SIP MF when the valuation is high.
Deploy stop loss of upto 7%-8% which is crucial. More Risky players can have stop loss of trend line resistance of 23750 as shown in the chart.
RSI and stochastics levels moved up last week (69% and 97% respectively). MACD level crossed cross the signal two weeks before and sustaining. Expecting market to move up further in short term.
Nifty 25235 Short term (Short term up)
Nifty short term resistance 25540 as shown in chart.
Support around 25000(last month high) & 24676 ( trend line support and recent low).
Medium Term 25235, next target is 25800 ( Fib Resistance). if it moves above decisively next target is 26250.
Medium term Support - 24000
Long Term : Nifty have a target of 27000 ( Fibonacci Resistance). If market close above 25540 decisively. Support at 22800
Post Indian Elections, reduction of interest rate by RBI is expected on a staggered manner till it reaches 5% ( in span of 2-3 years ) in line with US fed rate reduction expected in Sep 2024. US President Election scheduled in Nov 24. Until then Market may correct if any global news upto19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range.
Nifty bank 51368 (Last week 50933 ) - Index have target of 54000 in medium term and support at 49900
Stock Picking is needed at current scenario in Bank, auto, Pharma stocks.
Newly added stocks to buy are PI Ind, PNC Infra and Ashoka Buildcon. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, Indian Bank & Punjab National Bank.
Fundamentally good stocks can be added as it posted good results on every dip in finance stocks such as Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin, Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Tanla & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio. There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis.
Nifty IT 42760 (Last week 41089 ) indices dipped to 37848 in Jun month, bounced back and all time high last week. Recovery of US stock market and awaiting FED rate cute decision pushed the US stocks up and followed by Nifty IT Index.
Bitcoin Faces Setback After Failed Attempt to Reclaim Key LevelsRecent Market Activity: Last night, $Bitcoin experienced a sell-off, dropping to the next support level after attempting to reclaim both the Daily 200 Moving Average (MA) and the $64,000 resistance level at the end of last week.
Key Levels:
Daily 200 MA: A reclaim of this level would have been very bullish, but the drop below it in the last two days indicates that the bulls are not ready to push higher.
Resistance at $64,000: BTC’s failure to reclaim this level signals continued weakness.
Bearish Signals: With this being the second lower high on the Daily time frame since June, Bitcoin is clearly indicating that it is not yet ready to move higher.
Short-Term Outlook:
Possible Move Up: A short-term move back up to retest the top of the range at around $61,000 is possible.
Bearish Scenario: If Bitcoin is rejected at $61,000, further downside is expected, with potential support levels at $56,500 and the lower range around $54,000.
Trading Strategy: Traders should remain cautious and monitor the key levels closely for signs of rejection or strength.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #MarketAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #Cryptocurrency #SupportAndResistance #Bearish #Rejection #MovingAverage #PriceAction
Bitcoin at Crucial Resistance Level with Doji Candle FormationDaily Chart Overview: $Bitcoin is currently facing strong resistance around the $65,000 level, as indicated by the formation of a Doji candle on the daily chart. This pattern often signals market indecision and suggests that the recent bullish momentum may be weakening.
Technical Indicators:
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 57.25 – While buying pressure has moderated, it remains at a healthy level.
Supply Dynamics: With 19.75 million BTC in circulation out of the 21 million maximum supply, Bitcoin is testing a crucial price point.
Market Outlook: How Bitcoin reacts to this $65,000 level will be pivotal in determining its short-term direction:
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above this resistance could signal further gains.
Bearish Scenario: A rejection could lead to a potential pullback.
Trading Strategy: Traders should monitor this level closely for a decisive move, which will provide clarity on the next phase of Bitcoin's price action.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #MarketAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #Cryptocurrency #Resistance #DojiCandle #RSI #SupplyDynamics #PriceAction
S&P bulls are strong; new historical high?Last week was marked by an increase in selling pressure, which, despite all efforts, has not had a significant impact. As we can see on the daily chart, the stairstep pattern remained intact—even a powerful attack on Thursday was unable to break the previous day's low. The bulls maintained control, leading to a small rally the following day (I highlighted the importance of the stairstep pattern in my previous review).
As we approach the end of the month, there are a few things to keep an eye on:
1. The price is in a weekly uptrend, which has not been seriously threatened so far. Buyers maintain long-term control over the price.
2. The daily timeframe is also under buyers' control.
3. All major S&P sectors are moving in the same direction.
Price is approaching previous major high ( 565 ), which can act as a resistance but there is no guaranty that it will hold for long. The last consolidation, which began on July 17th, was triggered more by bullish exhaustion than by strong selling at this level. This suggests that there may be little to safeguard it.
Given all the above, there is no reason to believe that market is currently under threat. For the trend to shift to the bearish side, three things must happen (from the TA perspective):
1. Daily Sellers must take down the previous day low, breaking stairstep pattern
2. Weekly Sellers must take down the previous week low ( 553.8 ), setting weekly lower high
3. Month should close red (below 552 )
Until then we’re in a bull market.
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 26-Aug-24 to 30-Aug-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 26-Aug-24 to 30-Aug-24
Nifty closed at 24823 ( Last week 24413 ) and touched low & high of 24524-24866
As suggested last week, market bounced back and moved up and near to the initial line target of 24900 as shown in the chart.
Post Indian Elections, reduction of interest rate by RBI is expected on a staggered manner till it reaches 5% ( in span of 2-3 years ) in line with US fed rate reduction expected in Sep 2024. US President Election scheduled in Nov 24. Until then Market may correct if any global news upto19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range.
RSI and stochastics levels moved up last week (60% and 90% respectively). MACD level crossed cross the signal last week. Expecting market to move up in short term.
Market have high potential to touch psychological 25000 Mark/ 25200 ( Fib Resistance)
Nifty 24823 Short term (Short term up)
Nifty short term resistance 25075 ( New Peak) and 25224.
Support around 23850 ( trend line support and recent low).
Medium Term 25224( Fib Resistance) as mentioned above, if it crosses then next target is 25542 ( Fib Resistance) which is % of difference between Mar 23 low and Sep 23 high low from Sep23 high shown as vertical line. Caution to be emphasized once market reached medium term target.
Medium term Support - 22700 to 22800
Caution was emphasized on Nifty for the past 2 month as nifty PE is in record high level with high valuation and very less potential to grow further.
Those with lesser risk can sell partial portfolio ( 20-30%) stocks which have less valuation and can wait for opportunity to buy when nifty dips upto 22800.
Deploy stop loss of upto 7%-8% ( i.e Nifty 22800 level) which is crucial. More Risky players can have stop loss of trend line resistance of 23750 as shown in the chart.
Long Term (1-3 years) Nifty have a target of 27000 ( Fibonacci Resistance). If market close above 25580 decisively. Support at 21750 ( Trend line support)/ 20800 ( Fib & Trend Line Support) 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500
Nifty bank 50933 (Last week 50494) - Index have target of 54000 in medium term and support at 49900
Stock Picking is needed at current scenario in Bank, auto, Pharma stocks.
Newly added stocks to buy are PI Ind, PNC Infra and Ashoka Buildcon. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, Indian Bank & Punjab National Bank.
Fundamentally good stocks can be added as it posted good results on every dip in finance stocks such as Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin, Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Tanla & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio. There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis.
Nifty IT 41089 (40878) indices dipped 37848 in last month, bounced back and reached 41830 last week. Recovery of US stock market and awaiting FED rate cute decision pushed the US stocks up and followed by Nifty IT Index.
S&P bulls amazing coming backLast week, buyers continued to surprise by maintaining the impressive rally that began on Monday, the 5th. Observing the daily chart, we can see that for 10 consecutive days, the price has been setting new highs, never falling below the previous day's low. As of today (Monday, the 19th), the bulls have retraced 80% of the last bearish wave. It's also notable that buying occurred across all major S&P sectors, not just in a few big names.
Here is the current market disposition:
1. The market is in a weekly uptrend, with a new major low officially confirmed at 510 .
2. On the daily chart, we see a beautiful stairstep pattern.
3. The only technical resistance above is July’s high of 565 , but given the rally's momentum, it is likely to be surpassed.
The long-term outlook is unequivocally bullish. The short-term outlook is also bullish, as long as the daily stairstep pattern remains intact.
For short traders, it is advisable to refrain from trying to catch the top. The current momentum is so strong that it could easily break all technical resistances. The only situation where I would consider cautious shorting is at the daily stairstep pattern break.