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SOLANA to challenge ETH Marketcap. Can it Flip?In the previous cycle, Solana struggled to compete with Ethereum's market cap. Even if you were to subtract Solana's market cap from Ethereum's peak, you'd still find yourself with a surplus of half a billion dollars. However, the situation has changed, as Solana is now less than three times away from surpassing Ethereum, and it's gaining value at a quicker rate. Without a doubt, the quicker horse. Examining the charts reveals two significant patterns currently at play. Notably, Solana's Cup and handle pattern has already broken through and successfully retested its breakout point, showcasing its relative strength. In contrast, Ethereum's technical pattern has yet to initiate a breakout. If both patterns achieve their full potential, it’s possible that Solana could indeed surpass Ethereum. There’s also a scenario where Ethereum may not reach its full target and begins to lose momentum around Target 2, allowing Solana to take the lead and dominate for the remainder of the cycle. I am receptive to all possibilities, including the idea that Ethereum might achieve its full potential not in 2025, but rather in the next cycle or perhaps during a catch-up event at the end of this current cycle. The markets can be unpredictable, particularly in the world of cryptocurrency. However, with Donald Trump's actions, it seems likely that we see a further influx of capital and significant fantastical valuations for many coins during 2025.
CRYPTOCAP:ETHLong
by BallaJi
1
GMXGMX/USDT Analysis 📊 Introduction GMX token is considered one of the high-risk assets in the cryptocurrency market, as its relatively low market cap leads to significant price volatility. However, GMX has attracted considerable attention from investors due to its high growth potential in areas related to DeFi and decentralized contracts. In this analysis, we will examine GMX's price structure within a descending channel and explore the possible scenarios ahead. 🔎 Technical Analysis Overall Trend in the Descending Channel Channel Structure: GMX is currently moving within a descending channel and has experienced a sharp price correction after hitting the upper boundary of the channel. Key Levels: Resistance Zone (Yellow): The range of $26.50 - $27.26, a break above which could pave the way for a bullish move. Midline of the Descending Channel: This level plays a crucial role in determining the current trend, and breaking above it would be a strong indication of buyer dominance. Bullish Scenario (Breakout of Resistance Zone) If the price breaks the yellow resistance zone and stabilizes above it, a bullish move is likely to gain momentum. After breaking both the resistance and the midline of the channel, the price will approach the upper boundary of the channel. A breakout here could lead to further upward movement towards target levels. Take Profit Targets (TP): TP1: $44.57 - $47.86 TP2: $57.68 - $61.98 TP3: $77.88 - $82 🔍 Key Insight: Due to GMX’s low market cap, a significant influx of liquidity could push the price even beyond these targets. Relative Strength Index (RSI) The RSI moving above the midline serves as a critical confirmation, signaling bullish momentum alongside the breakout from the resistance zone and the midline of the descending channel. Volume An increase in trading volume during the breakout of the resistance zone and midline is crucial. High volume can prevent fake breakouts and provide confirmation for the continuation of the bullish trend. 🔒 Risk Management Key Points Suggested Entry Point: Enter after the breakout of the yellow resistance zone ($26.50 - $27.26) and price stabilization above it. Stop Loss (SL): Place the stop loss below the lower boundary of the descending channel to mitigate the risk of potential volatility. Trade Volume Management: Given GMX’s high volatility and inherent risk, the trade volume should be adjusted according to the investor's risk tolerance. ✨ Final Conclusion The analysis suggests that GMX token has significant growth potential, especially if key resistance levels are broken and new liquidity flows into the market. However, monitoring technical confirmations (such as RSI and trading volume) and staying alert to market trends are crucial for successful trade entry.
Long
by alizeynali69
OKBComprehensive OKB/USDT Analysis 🟢 Introduction: The OKB token, native to the OKX exchange, is currently moving within a well-defined ascending channel. This analysis examines the price behavior within the channel and highlights Fibonacci targets. Precision in decision-making is crucial at this key juncture. 🔍 Technical Analysis: 1️⃣ Ascending Channel Status: Current Movement: The price, after hitting the midline of the ascending channel, has entered a correction phase and reached the daily support zone at $42.85 - $44.53. Channel Significance: The ascending channel is a critical structure for OKB. A breakout to the upside will face resistance but could trigger a strong bullish move if successful. 2️⃣ Possible Scenarios: A. Bullish Scenario (Resistance Breakout): Key Resistance Zone: $59.52 - $68.95 Fibonacci Targets in the Ascending Channel: 1.618 Level: $95.15 - $113.84 2.272 Level: $145.12 - $173.63 2.618 Level: $192.96 - $230.87 Sharp Movement: A breakout above the channel could lead to a rapid and powerful move toward higher targets. B. Bearish Scenario (Resistance Rejection): If the price fails to break the red resistance zone, a decline toward the channel bottom and the gray support zone ($32.07 - $35.57) becomes likely. 3️⃣ Relative Strength Index (RSI): Current Position: RSI is within a descending channel, sitting near its midline. Bullish Potential: Support at this level could strengthen the move toward the channel’s top and higher targets. 📌 Recommended Entry Points: Safest Entry: After a breakout above the red resistance zone ($59.52 - $68.95) and price consolidation above it. Stop Loss: Below the gray support zone ($32.07 - $35.57). Volume Confirmation: A valid breakout must be accompanied by an increase in buying volume. Breakouts without volume confirmation are likely to be false. ⚠️ Key Risk Management Tips: Stop Loss: Ensure stop-loss orders are placed within the suggested zones. Confirmation: Wait for a valid breakout and price stabilization before entering a trade. Capital Management: Adjust trade size based on the sensitivity of the analysis to effectively manage risk. ✨ Final Conclusion: Bullish Scenario: If RSI support holds and buying volume increases during the resistance breakout, the price may move toward higher Fibonacci targets. Bearish Scenario: Failure to break the resistance could lead to a price drop toward the channel’s bottom and the gray support zone. 📊 Recommendation: To minimize risk, only enter trades after observing a valid breakout and price stabilization in key zones. Decisions based on volume confirmation and breakout validations are crucial in this analysis. 🌟 Note: This analysis is based on current market data and requires continuous monitoring for updates.
by alizeynali69
1inch Network (1INCH)Comprehensive Analysis of 1INCH/USDT 🪙 Introduction 1INCH is the native token of the 1inch Network, a DEX aggregator designed to optimize trades in the DeFi space. This platform enables users to access the best rates across various decentralized exchanges. The 1INCH token serves multiple purposes, such as reducing transaction fees, offering discounts, and acting as a governance token. 🔍 Technical Analysis Breakdown 1. Long-Term Descending Channel 1INCH has broken out of its long-term descending channel and is currently retesting the channel boundary. This pullback is a positive sign for a potential bullish continuation, but further confirmation is needed. 2. Daily Support Zone (Red) The $0.3377 - $0.3757 range is identified as a key daily support level. If the price stabilizes within this zone and starts to rise, it could confirm the pullback and signal the beginning of an upward move toward higher resistance levels. 3. Weekly Resistance Zone (Green) The $0.6276 - $0.7049 range represents a significant resistance in the weekly timeframe. A breakout above this zone, accompanied by increased trading volume, could lead to a rally toward the blue target zone ($1.1819 - $1.450). 4. Support in Case of a Drop If the red support zone fails to hold: The price might re-enter the descending channel and move toward the weekly support zone ($0.2101 - $0.2338), marked in gray. 📌 Suggested Entry Points 1. Breakout-Based Entry: Condition: Price breaks above the green resistance zone with increased trading volume and stabilizes above this range. 2. Pullback-Based Entry: Red Zone ($0.3377 - $0.3757): Enter with a stop-loss below the red support zone. Gray Zone ($0.2101 - $0.2338): Enter with a stop-loss below the gray support zone. Note: The gray zone offers a higher risk-to-reward ratio but comes with greater risk. 📈 Entry Triggers and Confirmation Signals RSI Support: Price holding above the midline on higher timeframe RSI charts can confirm the start of an uptrend. Increased Trading Volume: Breakouts of key zones must be validated by significant volume increases. Low-volume breakouts could indicate false signals (fakeouts). ⚠️ Key Risk Management Tips Volume Monitoring: Ensure volume spikes during breakouts to avoid falling for fakeouts. Capital Management: Given the sensitivity of this analysis, strictly adhere to proper capital management strategies and set stop-loss orders at the identified levels. Patience and Confirmation: Avoid impulsive entries. Wait for clear confirmation signals before committing to a trade. ✨ Final Conclusion 1INCH is at a critical juncture from a technical perspective: The breakout from the descending channel and the pullback to the support zone indicate a positive setup for a bullish continuation. Close monitoring of price behavior in the key zones (red and green) is essential, with confirmations such as rising trading volume and RSI support being mandatory for entry. A successful breakout of the weekly resistance (green) could lead to targets in the blue zone ($1.1819 - $1.450). However, if the red support zone fails to hold, a decline toward the gray support zone becomes a strong possibility.
Long
by alizeynali69
DODO🟢 Comprehensive Analysis of DODO/USDT (Weekly Timeframe) 1️⃣ Introduction to DODO DODO is a decentralized platform (DeFi) designed to facilitate trading and liquidity provision using its unique PMM (Proactive Market Maker) algorithm. Unlike traditional AMMs (such as Uniswap), DODO offers users an optimized liquidity experience and reduced slippage. Given its low market cap, high volatility, and limited liquidity, DODO is categorized as a high-risk asset, suitable for risk-tolerant investors. 2️⃣ Technical Analysis Range Box: Bottom of the Range Box: Gray Zone: 0.0788 − 0.0929 Top of the Range Box: Green Zone: 0.2204 − 0.2673 Key Support: After hitting the top of the range box, the price retraced to the red zone at 0.1401 − 0.1434, which now acts as the most critical support. Possible Scenarios: If the red support holds: The price may climb back to the top of the range (green zone). If the red support breaks: The price is likely to retrace further to the bottom of the range (gray zone). If the top of the range breaks: A breakout above the green zone, accompanied by high trading volume and price stabilization, could push the price toward the blue zone at 0.6391 − 0.7893. This move could present a safe entry for investors. 3️⃣ Suggested Entry Points Red Zone Support: Entry: If the price reacts positively to this zone. Stop Loss: Below the gray zone. Bottom of the Range (Gray Zone): Best Entry Point: Offers the most favorable risk/reward ratio. Stop Loss: Below the gray zone. Breakout Above the Top of the Range (Green Zone): Entry: After price stabilizes above the green zone. Stop Loss: Below the red zone. 4️⃣ RSI and Trading Volume RSI: An upward trendline on RSI lows and the 50-level midline act as support. Breaking these lines could signal a trend reversal. Trading Volume: During resistance breakouts, a significant increase in volume is essential. Without it, the breakout is likely to be a fakeout. 5️⃣ Summary and Recommendations DODO is a high-risk asset that requires careful consideration before entry. Investors should combine technical analysis with proper risk management and control over emotions. Recommendations: Pay close attention to trading volume and confirm breakouts. Define clear entry points and use precise stop-loss orders. 📌 Important Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only. All financial decisions are the responsibility of the users. Always conduct your own research before investing.
by alizeynali69
BTC.D - Still in the ascending channelCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D remains firmly within its long-standing ascending channel. The recent “fake breakout” below the channel has been invalidated as dominance swiftly returned to the channel, showing a strong reaction and confirming the channel’s validity. This suggests: ✅ Bullish Implication for BTC: Bitcoin is likely to continue gaining dominance in bullish moves, outpacing altcoins in performance. ✅ Bearish Impact on Altcoins: In downturns, altcoins are expected to experience sharper declines compared to Bitcoin. Traders should monitor this channel as a key indicator for market behavior, especially for Bitcoin and altcoin strategies.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by Sober_Trading
6
dogwifhat (WIF)Technical Analysis of WIF Coin 🟢 Key Zones and Market Structure: Main Support (Green Zone): The long-term market floor lies within the range of 1.393 – 1.482, a zone where buyers have previously entered with strong momentum. Main Resistance (Red Zone): The range of 4.015 – 4.346 serves as a significant ceiling, acting as a major barrier to new highs. Current Price Analysis: The price is currently trading at 2.061 and is attempting to break through the intermediate resistance at 2.178 – 2.268 with sufficient buying volume. The price's reaction to this level will determine its short-term direction. Bullish Scenario: ✅ First Target (TP1): If the current resistance is broken and the price moves past the 2.178 – 2.268 range, the next likely move will be toward the 2.821 – 2.989 area. ✅ Second Target (TP2): Should the price continue with high volume and break through TP1, the final target will be in the range of 4.015 – 4.346, which represents the ideal exit point. Key Point: Trading volume must increase during key level breaks; otherwise, the risk of a false breakout (fakeout) rises. Bearish Scenario: ❌ Stage 1: If the current resistance holds, the price may decline to the support range of 1.741 – 1.828. ❌ Stage 2: If the gray support level is breached, the next support target will be at 1.393 – 1.482. Key Point: A decrease in trading volume near key support levels could signal a deeper price drop. Volume Analysis: Volume increase near key zones (resistances and supports) is essential. A decrease in volume when attempting to break resistance increases the likelihood of a fakeout. RSI and Momentum Analysis: 📉 RSI Trendline: Breaking the descending RSI trendline, along with crossing the 50 level, could confirm the beginning of a bullish wave. 📈 Overbought Zone: If RSI enters the 76.86 – 80.48 range, the price may face corrective pressure in the upper resistance zones. Suggested Strategy for Professional Traders: Enter the market only after a confirmed breakout of resistance with high volume. Use a scaling-in strategy to minimize risk. Set stop-loss orders below key support zones to protect capital. Final Summary: This analysis identifies the key levels and possible scenarios for WIF Coin. Price action around critical support and resistance zones, combined with trading volume, will determine the future trend. For market entry, wait for confirmation of breaks or reactions at the specified levels.
by alizeynali69
2
Tezos (XTZ)🚀 Comprehensive Analysis of Tezos (XTZ/USDT) 🌟 Introduction to Tezos (XTZ): Tezos is a next-generation blockchain platform focusing on smart contracts and decentralized governance. What makes Tezos stand out is its ability to upgrade its blockchain without requiring a hard fork, making it highly appealing to developers and investors alike. 📌 Key Use Cases of Tezos: 1️⃣ Smart Contracts: Similar to Ethereum but with lower fees and enhanced security. 2️⃣ NFTs and DeFi: A preferred platform for NFT artists and decentralized finance projects. 3️⃣ High Scalability: Employs Proof of Stake (PoS) for energy efficiency and faster transactions. ✨ Thanks to its technical features and advanced governance, Tezos has become a favorite for long-term investors. 📊 Technical Analysis: 🔹 Price Pattern: Currently, XTZ is trading within an Expanding Triangle on the weekly timeframe. After testing the upper resistance line of the triangle, the price has entered a short-term correction and reached a weekly support zone (gray zone: $1.118 - $1.246). 💡 Key Characteristics of the Pattern: In expanding triangles, a breakout in either direction often leads to significant price movements. If buyers weaken, the price could fall further to the triangle’s lower boundary and the yellow support zone ($0.574 - $0.646). 📈 Bullish Scenario: If XTZ manages to: 1️⃣ Break through the red resistance zone ($1.767 - $1.989) with strong momentum and volume, and 2️⃣ Penetrate above the triangle, We can expect a move toward the following Fibonacci targets: 1.618: $2.426 - $2.920 2.272: $3.967 - $4.654 2.618: $5.782 - $6.486 📌 Confirmation Signals for an Uptrend: Increasing volume during the breakout. RSI entering the overbought zone, indicating strong upward momentum. 📉 Bearish Scenario: If the gray support zone fails to hold: The price may drop to the lower boundary of the triangle and the yellow support zone ($0.574 - $0.646). This area could serve as a potential entry point for strong buyers. 🔑 Key Notes for Traders: Pay close attention to price action around critical levels like the red resistance zone and the triangle boundaries. 📌 Decision Points: 1️⃣ Red Zone ($1.767 - $1.989): A breakout here confirms an upward move. 2️⃣ Yellow Zone ($0.574 - $0.646): Buyer reactions in this zone will reveal their strength. Risk Management and emotional control are crucial to avoid impulsive entries. 🎯 Conclusion: XTZ is at a critical technical juncture. The breakout from the triangle or key levels will determine its next direction. Potential Scenarios: 🔺 A breakout above the red zone could lead to Fibonacci targets. 🔻 A breakdown to the yellow support zone may attract strong buyers.
by alizeynali69
Coin98 (C98)💎 C98/USDT Technical Analysis 🔍 Overview C98 remains in a long-term downtrend, but there are signs of a potential reversal at key levels. Given its low market cap, it is categorized as a high-risk asset. Therefore, risk management is crucial in this analysis. 🛠 Key Price Zones 🔴 Daily Support Zone (Red): Range: $0.1429 - $0.1558 This is the first major support level where the price has paused. A decline in selling volume indicates reduced selling pressure in this area. ⚫ Weekly Support Zone (Gray): Range: $0.0902 - $0.1128 If the red zone fails, this level could act as the next support. 🟢 PRZ (Key Resistance Zone): This area combines the weekly resistance and the upper boundary of the descending channel. A breakout above this resistance could signal further bullish momentum. 🎯 Suggested Price Targets (TP): 1️⃣ Fibonacci 1.272: $0.5885 - $0.6916 2️⃣ Fibonacci 1.618: $0.9670 - $1.1942 3️⃣ Fibonacci 2.272: $2.1402 - $2.5903 📉 Risk Management (Stop Loss): Recommended Stop Loss: Below the weekly support zone (Gray), i.e., below $0.0902. 🔔 Confirmation Signals for Entry 1️⃣ Volume Increase: A surge in volume near resistance levels, especially during a breakout, could indicate the beginning of a bullish trend. 2️⃣ RSI Indicator: RSI entering the Overbought Zone may signal strong buying momentum. 💡 Proposed Trading Strategy Entry Points: 1️⃣ First Entry: In the red zone ($0.1429 - $0.1558). 2️⃣ Second Entry: In the gray zone ($0.0902 - $0.1128) if the first support is breached. Profit-Taking Strategy (Scaling Out): 1️⃣ First Target: $0.5885 2️⃣ Second Target: $0.9670 3️⃣ Third Target: $2.1402 Capital Allocation: Allocate only 2-5% of your total capital to this trade. Ensure you set up a Stop Loss to mitigate risks. 🌍 Market Sentiment Given the current market conditions and low trading volumes, it’s essential to adopt a conservative risk approach. Improved market sentiment could accelerate price recovery. ✨ Final Thoughts C98 is currently positioned in a critical zone. Entering a trade should be accompanied by meticulous risk management. A breakout of the key resistance levels could lead to significant upside potential. Avoid hasty decisions, and always consider additional analyses before acting. 🔗 Investment Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. The final responsibility for any investment decisions rests with you.
Long
by alizeynali69
Kusama (KSM)Technical Analysis of KSM/USDT - Analyzing Movement Within a Descending Channel Market Overview: KSM is currently moving within a gently sloping descending channel. This channel has previously acted as a significant resistance zone around the 53.76 - 66.57 range, leading to notable price reversals. This zone is considered a key resistance level, and whenever the price hits this area, it has historically corrected back towards the channel's midpoint. 🔴 Volume Analysis: A decrease in trading volume at this stage indicates weakness from the sellers, which could signal a potential price reversal to the upside. Bullish Scenario: If the price manages to break through the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), there is an increased likelihood of a strong upward movement towards Fibonacci targets. If this occurs, we could expect the price to reach the following levels: 1.618 Fibonacci: 99.26 - 127.69 2.618 Fibonacci: 292.71 - 371 3.272 Fibonacci: 495.95 - 628.6 ✔️ Resistance Break Confirmation: To confirm this bullish move, we need to see an increase in volume as the price breaks through the green resistance zone. 🔔 Key Note: If the PRZ is breached, this bullish movement could continue. However, if the price fails to break through this area, there is a risk of a correction back towards the channel's midpoint or even the lower boundary of the descending channel. Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to break through the PRZ, we may see further corrections with the price moving back towards the lower boundary of the descending channel. In this downward move, the 15 - 16.84 range could act as key support, preventing further price declines. However, if this support is lost, there could be a potential drop to lower levels, such as 10.5 or even 7.8. 🟢 Support Bounce Confirmation: In this case, monitoring volume and candlestick reactions could provide good signals for a potential price reversal from support zones. RSI Analysis: On the weekly timeframe, the RSI is moving within an ascending channel and has currently reached the middle of the channel (49.79 - 52.96 range). If the RSI holds this level, we could see the price move towards the upper end of the channel (60 - 65 range). ✅ RSI Support Hold: If the RSI finds support at this level, a bullish price move is likely. ❌ RSI Break Below: If the RSI falls below this level, we may see further price declines, with the RSI heading towards the lower part of the channel (40 - 45 range). ⚡ Important Note: Paying attention to the price's reaction to the RSI support zone, along with volume, can provide key signals to confirm the future trend. Key Points for Decision-Making: Volume at Resistance Zones: An increase in volume during the break of the green resistance zone could confirm the continuation of the bullish trend. Price Reaction to the PRZ: A break above the PRZ resistance zone would strengthen the bullish trend. RSI Support Level: Maintaining support at the RSI level could act as a catalyst for further upward movement. Risk Management: If the price fails to break through the PRZ, further corrections could occur. Using support levels like 15-16.84 could be an opportunity for re-entry. Conclusion: The technical analysis of KSM/USDT shows that the price is currently moving within a descending channel with key resistance and support zones. Paying attention to volume and RSI reactions can help you make better decisions when entering or exiting the market. Currently, volume and confirmation of the PRZ breakout are the most important factors in determining the future direction of the price. 🚀📊
Long
by alizeynali69
PancakeSwap (CAKE)Comprehensive Analysis of CAKE/USDT ✨⚡ Introduction CAKE is a prominent cryptocurrency that plays a key role in the DeFi (Decentralized Finance) ecosystem. Associated with the PancakeSwap platform, it aims to facilitate decentralized trading and enhance liquidity, capturing the attention of many investors and traders. In this analysis, using technical tools, we examine key support and resistance zones while exploring various price scenarios. This analysis is designed to be useful for both short-term traders and long-term investors. 🌟⚔ 1. Technical Analysis Descending Channel Structure: On the weekly chart, CAKE is currently within a long-term descending channel. This structure indicates that the price has touched the channel's upper boundary (PRZ: 4.214 - 5.298) and has entered a corrective phase. Key Support and Resistance Zones: Red Support Zone (1.996 - 2.228): This is the first critical support level that plays a key role in the price's potential reversal. If this support is held, the price is likely to rise towards the channel’s upper boundary. Gray Support Zone (1.548 - 1.709): A break of the red support could bring the price down to this secondary support zone, which acts as a second line of defense. Green Resistance Zone (4.214 - 5.298): The PRZ zone is a strong resistance barrier to further price growth. A break above this zone will send a strong bullish signal. Movement Targets: Bullish Scenario: First Target: Upper boundary of the descending channel Subsequent Targets: 1.618 Fibonacci: (8.126 - 9.552) 2.618 Fibonacci: (22.698 - 27.046) 3.618 Fibonacci: (56.469 - 64.385) Bearish Scenario: In the case of a breakdown below the support zones, the price could decline towards the lower boundary of the descending channel. 2. Technical Indicators RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is currently near the support zone (47.63 - 51.72). Holding this range could signal a potential reversal as buyers regain control. The trendline connecting the lows acts as a support level for upward momentum. Volume: An increase in volume near the red support zone confirms the start of a potential bullish move. Conversely, a decrease in volume at the green resistance zone raises the chances of a correction. 3. Investment Strategy Step-by-Step Entry: Enter near the red support zone (1.996 - 2.228). Re-enter after breaking the PRZ (4.214 - 5.298) with confirmed high volume. Managing Trading Volume: Adjust your trading volume according to key support and resistance levels. Allocate more volume near support zones, as these areas have a higher likelihood of a price reversal, which could initiate a bullish trend. This strategy allows for risk reduction and optimizes entry prices, enhancing potential profits. 4. Risk Management Stop-Loss: Place your stop-loss below the gray support zone (1.548 - 1.709). This will protect against significant losses in case of a price breakdown. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Ensure your risk-to-reward ratio is at least 1:2. This means that for every unit of risk, your target reward should be at least double. Planning for Critical Scenarios: In case of a breakdown below support zones, it is advisable to close positions and reconsider entry points at lower levels. 5. Key Takeaways Volume: High volume near support levels suggests the beginning of an upward move. RSI Movement: A bounce from the 50-level RSI or trendline confirms the potential for a price increase. Conclusion Currently, CAKE is in a critical zone (1.996 - 2.228). By applying risk management principles and using a step-by-step entry strategy, one can take advantage of this opportunity. A breakout above the PRZ (4.214 - 5.298) could trigger a strong bullish trend and facilitate reaching Fibonacci targets. 🚀 Remember, always prioritize capital management and risk management to safeguard yourself from the volatility of the crypto market. 🔍✨
Long
by alizeynali69
NEAR Protocol NEAR Comprehensive Analysis of NEAR Protocol (NEAR/USDT) ✨⚡ Introduction NEAR Protocol is an innovative blockchain project that has gained a prominent place in the cryptocurrency market by focusing on scalability, high efficiency, and cost reduction. Today's analysis examines the technical trend of NEAR in the weekly timeframe and identifies the best entry and exit points. ✨⚔️ 1. Technical Analysis 1.1 Key Support and Resistance Levels Support: NEAR is currently at a key support level around the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement (4.832 – 4.993 USD), making it an important entry point. ✨ If this support is lost, the price may drop to the bottom of the range box (3.099 – 3.580 USD). Resistance: The first significant resistance is the yellow zone (5.369 – 5.731 USD), which poses a barrier to further price ascent. A breakout of this resistance on the daily timeframe could confirm a step-by-step entry strategy. The primary resistance is at the red zone (7.380 – 8.430 USD), overlapping with the top of the range box. A breakout above this level could trigger a bullish wave toward Fibonacci targets. 1.2 Bullish Targets (Targets) First target: Fibonacci 1.618 (11.921 – 13.771 USD) 🌟 Second target: Fibonacci 2.272 (20.273 – 23.379 USD) 🌈 1.3 Bearish Scenario If the key support levels are lost, the price could fall to the second gray support zone (1.715 – 1.940 USD). ⚠ 2. Indicators and Momentum 2.1 RSI Indicator The RSI is currently in the supportive range (45.63 – 49.42), indicating increasing momentum. If RSI enters the overbought zone (76.83 – 79.85), it could signal the start of sharp movements toward the aforementioned targets. 🔥 2.2 Volume Volume plays a key role in confirming resistance breakouts. If there is an increase in volume near resistance levels, the likelihood of a breakout is higher. Otherwise, the price may remain within the current range box. 3. Entry Strategy and Risk Management 3.1 Entry Strategy Step-by-step entry: Initial entry within the support zone (4.832 – 4.993 USD) Add volume if the yellow resistance (5.369 – 5.731 USD) is broken Final confirmation: Breakout of the red resistance (7.380 – 8.430 USD) and increase volume. 3.2 Risk Management Stop-loss: Place the stop-loss at the bottom of the range box (3.099 USD). Risk-to-Reward Ratio: A minimum ratio of 1:3 for the proposed entries. 4. Future Price Movement Predictions (Scenarios) Bullish Scenario A breakout above the yellow resistance and stabilization above it could push the price to the top of the range (7.380 – 8.430 USD). A move past the range top would start a bullish trend toward the Fibonacci targets (11.921 – 13.771 USD). Bearish Scenario Losing the 0.618 support and the bottom of the range will lead to a decline to the zone (1.715 – 1.940 USD). 5. Conclusion NEAR is currently at a critical level that may soon lead to significant price movements. By employing a step-by-step entry strategy and proper risk management, one can take advantage of this opportunity. Continuously monitoring trading volume and price behavior near resistance and support levels is key to success in this market. ✨ Always compare your analysis with other reliable sources and follow sound capital management principles. 🚀
Long
by alizeynali69
Frax Share (FXS)FXS Analysis 📈🔥 Introduction FXS (Frax Share) is one of the key cryptocurrencies in the DeFi space, offering a cohesive ecosystem with innovative decentralized finance (DeFi) mechanisms and a robust tokenomics structure. It has secured a prominent place among similar projects. Currently, FXS is trading within a descending channel and is approaching a significant PRZ zone (green zone). If this zone is broken, we could expect a strong upward movement. Let’s dive deeper into the technical analysis of FXS’s price action 🚀📊. Technical Analysis (TA) Key Supports: FXS is currently within a descending channel, nearing its upper boundary. The green zone, which includes both weekly resistance and the top of the descending channel, is a crucial PRZ (Price Reversal Zone). This zone is significant due to the confluence of several key technical levels, such as weekly resistance and the channel's upper boundary. If the price breaks through this zone 💥, we could see strong buying pressure enter the market, triggering a notable upward move. However, if the price gets rejected from this zone 🚫, we may see a continuation of the bearish trend or a deeper correction. Thus, this zone represents a critical turning point for determining the price’s direction. Key Resistances: If the green zone is broken, the following Fibonacci target levels could be reached: 1.272: (between 10.058 and 11.770) 1.618: (between 17.252 and 20.414) 2.272: (between 38.696 and 46.175) These levels are considered potential targets for the next upward move 🚀. It's essential to pay attention to trading volume in this zone, as an increase in volume would confirm the strength of the buying pressure and a possible breakout. A significant volume surge, especially above the average daily volume, can be indicative of the start of a larger upward trend. Predicted Critical Scenarios: 1. If the price is rejected from the PRZ zone: In the event of a rejection from the green zone 🚫, we could see a deeper correction toward the gray zone (between 1.541 and 1.813). If this area fails to hold, there is a risk of further correction toward the lower boundary of the descending channel ⚠️. In this scenario, it’s important to watch for reversal signals at these levels. RSI Indicator: The RSI is currently moving within a descending channel with a mild slope 📉. A breakout from this channel to the upside 💥 could indicate a move into the overbought (Overbuy) territory, potentially accelerating the upward movement of the price 🚀. However, if the RSI continues its downward trend, we may need to watch for lower support zones. Investment Strategy: Step-by-Step Entry: The best strategy in this situation is to enter gradually 🪜. You can start entering around support zones with reasonable volume and strengthen your position once the green zone breaks. This strategy allows you to manage risk more effectively and take advantage of any price rallies. Risk Management: To manage risk 🛡️, it’s advisable to set your stop-loss in lower support areas such as 1.541 – 1.813. This helps mitigate potential losses in case negative scenarios unfold. Volume Analysis: Trading volume is a key factor for confirming breakouts or trend continuations. If we see an increase in volume within the PRZ zone 📈, the likelihood of a breakout and a subsequent upward move increases. Any unexpected volume spike should be carefully monitored. Conclusion: FXS is at a crucial point in its price action. Given the technical analysis and current conditions, employing a step-by-step entry strategy and managing risk can help you take full advantage of this opportunity 💡. Additionally, paying attention to the PRZ zones, volume analysis, and RSI is essential for navigating this trade. These key points can guide you in making well-informed decisions for the future 🚀.
Long
by alizeynali69
Symbotic Hypergrowth? $850 Price TargetOverview Symbotic Inc. is an A.I. and robotics automation company based in Wilmington, Massachusetts that is looking to increase the ability for companies to keep up with growing demand. To do this, they utilize artificial intelligence software to maintain records and warehouse organization with the assistance of SKU numbers. Autonomous robots then account for, store, and retrieve items in a fraction of the time that it would take a human being. Symbotic's mission is to increase supply capabilities through the symbiotic relationship of artificial intelligence and robots. Its origins trace back to 2007, before it was known as Symbotic, and the company went public in 2022 ( NASDAQ:SYM ). Call it FOMO, but I think Symbotic Inc. has the potential of becoming a hypergrowth stock. I built my own fundamentals tracker to get a pulse on the tech company's vitals and, while it still is not a profitable company, it looks like it's in the early stages of becoming so. The fundamentals for Symbotic provide me the confidence to invest despite the presence of red flags which led me to performing a deep dive. My price target for Symbotic Inc. is $850 with a projected timeline before 2030. What I Don't Like SYM has lost nearly 60% in value since July 2023 from a high of $64.15 to its current share price of $26.87. If you look up Symbotic Inc. on a search engine then you will also see that there are numerous law firms attempting to build class action lawsuits. The headlines can't help but to sow distrust by utilizing strong statements such as "misleading investors" and "inflated revenue" within their subjects. Within the last few weeks Symbotic had to file a delayed annual report due to self-identified accounting errors within their balance sheets. Also, if you dig through their filings, you will find that Symbotic Inc. was born from a deal with SVF Investment Corp which, according to the filings, was headquartered in the Cayman Islands. I can only assume that the business dealings with SVF Investment Corp were to facilitate equity financing and an expedited public launch for SYM. From my findings, SoftBank Group Corp ( TSE:9984 ) is an investment conglomerate and the parent company to multiple subsidiaries. You guessed it, it is affiliated with SVF Investment Corp which functions as a "blank check company" for SoftBank. In my limited knowledge, this translates as a way for SoftBank to inject a substantial investment into the company that is now known as Symbotic Inc. No matter how savvy they may have been to launch Symbotic Inc., business deals that originate in the Cayman Islands typically raise one's eyebrows. What I Do Like Symbotic Inc. seems to have a pretty solid vision for global expansion and has attracted some significant institutional investors such as SoftBank, Vanguard, BlackRock, and Morgan Stanley to name a few. In fact, according to the NASDAQ site, 282 institutional investors hold 82% of Symbotic Inc.'s Class A Common Stock. Symbotic Inc. was founded by Richard "Rick" Cohen who currently serves as the CEO and is a legacy to the Cohen family who founded C&S Wholesale Grocers. Symbotic's technology is used by C&S Wholesale Grocers which is one of the largest privately held companies in the United States. Symbotic and SoftBank have partnered on a separate venture known as GreenBox which is meant to deliver automated warehouses made possible by Symbotic's hardware and software. According to the company's site, GreenBox is supplying warehouses as a service to consumers. With an increase in online shopping, I believe that Symbotic is both seeing and filling a need in an industry that its founder is very familiar with. I can also envision Symbotic spreading its reach internationally which helps fuel my massive price target. Megacap stocks need to have a global influence and extend across industries, which Symbotic appears to be preparing for. Fundamentals Right now, Symbotic Inc. is in its early stages and is bringing in a negative income which makes it a risky investment. However, the company's total revenue has increased by 200% from 2022-Q4 to 2024-Q4; the gross profit has also increased by 147% in the same timeframe. Symbotic's net income has revealed consistent losses since 2022, but the 2024 annual report had the smallest loss on record at a negative $84.7M which is a 39% improvement from 2022 and a 59% improvement from 2023. No matter which way you cut it, the company is still absorbing annual losses so it will be important to keep an eye on improvements and deficiencies to identify any consistent trends. NASDAQ:SYM has 585,963,959 total outstanding shares according to the 2024 Annual Report published at the beginning of December. This is a far cry from the 106M outstanding shares reported on some financial websites and even here on TradingView. From my findings, around 100M of Symbotic's shares are Class A Common Stocks and the remaining 485M are Class V Common Stocks. My focus is on the market capitalization which is a tool that I like to use when establishing long-term price targets. For Symbotic, which has the potential for global reach and use across multiple industries, I think it's reasonable to achieve a market capitalization of $500B. Price Target With the current number of outstanding shares at a market cap of $500B, this would place Symbotic's share price at $853. This type of growth would turn a $1,000 investment today into $31,710 at the projected target price; a whopping 3,000% return. HOWEVER, a lot has to happen to make this come to fruition. One thing I would like to see, in addition to profitability, is for Symbotic to begin buying back its own stock. It's become my investing philosophy that companies who believe they are undervalued will buyback their shares while companies that believe they are overvalued will issue new shares. Symbotic's total outstanding shares have increased by 5.8% since its annual report at the end of 2022. I think that my philosophy is best tailored to established companies so it is possible that Symbotic could be an exception. Because the company is so new, it may need to issue more shares to generate enough capital to stay afloat while its roots set.
NASDAQ:SYMLong
by Shepherd_Investor
2
Avalanche (AVAX)AVAX Analysis 📈🔥 Introduction AVAX (Avalanche) is one of the most powerful and prominent cryptocurrencies, created to address scalability issues and provide fast, low-cost transactions. With its impressive progress, AVAX has carved out a special place among other altcoins. Now is the perfect time to take a closer look at AVAX's price trend and identify key entry points to capitalize on this massive move. 💥🚀 1. Technical Analysis Key Supports: AVAX is currently in a strong upward channel 📈. The price has bounced well from the lower trendline of the channel, which serves as a strategic support level, and continues its bullish movement. After this rise, the price entered a retracement in the 0.5 Fibonacci zone 📉. This support range (32.19 - 35.83) presents an excellent buying opportunity and could be the starting point for a powerful rally. Key Resistances: On the daily time frame, the red resistance zone is a significant level. Breaking through this could signal the beginning of a larger bullish trend. If AVAX breaks this resistance, the next target will be the weekly green zone, known as the PRZ (Price Reversal Zone), which includes the weekly resistance and the middle line of the upward channel. This zone acts as a safe entry trigger for investors, and its breakout could trigger a new wave of buying. 2. Price Prediction Fibonacci Levels: If the bullish trend continues, the price could reach the 1.272 Fibonacci level (between 73.74 - 82.67) and even the 1.618 Fibonacci level (between 108.31 - 120.16). These are long-term target levels that AVAX could potentially reach on its upward path. 🌟 RSI: The RSI has risen well from the middle zone (49.23 - 52.83), indicating potential strength in the bullish momentum. 🔥 3. Investment Strategy Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA): Dollar-cost averaging is the best strategy in this market. This involves entering at key support zones like 32.19 - 35.83, and if the price rises to higher levels, gradually adding to your position with the right volume. This strategy allows you to ride the market’s movement at every stage. 💪 Proper Volume: Never forget to monitor trading volume carefully at support and resistance levels. If market volume is insufficient, the price may easily retrace and move back towards the lower part of the channel. Therefore, entering with proper volume and conducting precise analysis is crucial for your success. 📊 4. Risk Management Stop-Loss and Risk/Reward Ratio: It is recommended to set your stop-loss (SL) at support levels such as 19.37 - 21.87 to prevent large losses. The risk/reward ratio should be at least 1:2, meaning the potential profit should be twice the amount of risk. 💰 Critical Scenario Prediction: If the support at the lower part of the upward channel is broken, the price could retrace to the gray support zone (19.37 - 21.87). Always be prepared for market crises and make decisions based on them. ⚠️ 5. Volume Analysis Volume Analysis: Trading volume is one of the most important indicators for confirming trends. If we see increased volume at support and resistance zones, it may signal the possibility of a strong price movement. Therefore, carefully monitoring volume helps confirm the validity of price movements. 🔍 Conclusion AVAX is in a great position for growth, and with careful analysis, dollar-cost averaging, and proper risk management, investors can take full advantage of this opportunity. Pay close attention to support and resistance levels, and enter the market with suitable volume when necessary. Always stay alert to price trends and volume fluctuations to capitalize on potential profits. 💡
Long
by alizeynali69
The Sandbox (SAND)SAND/USDT Analysis 📊 Recently, SAND has demonstrated significant performance, managing to shift its trajectory from a descending channel and reach the top of an ascending channel. Below is a more detailed analysis of the current situation and potential scenarios: ⚖️ Current Situation: Breakout from the Descending Channel: SAND has exited the descending channel and is currently undergoing a pullback. This move started from the support zone (0.19 – 0.23 USD). Current Correction: The upward wave has corrected to the 0.5 Fibonacci zone (0.45 – 0.49 USD). This level is a key zone for the continuation of the trend. Red Resistance Zone: The price is currently facing significant resistance in the range of (0.8 – 0.99 USD). A successful close above this level is crucial for the continuation of the uptrend. 🔍 Upcoming Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: If the price manages to break and sustain above the red resistance zone (0.8 – 0.99 USD), the following targets become achievable: 1.618 Fibonacci: 1.41 – 1.69 USD 2.272 Fibonacci: 2.42 – 2.9 USD 2.618 Fibonacci: 3.94 – 4.98 USD High volume entry during the breakout of the red resistance zone is essential. Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to break through the red resistance zone, a deeper correction is likely: 0.618 Fibonacci level: 0.4 – 0.43 USD Green PRZ Zone: If the 0.618 Fibonacci level is lost, the price might drop to this zone, which includes daily resistance and the middle line of the channel. ⚙️ RSI Indicator: RSI Support: The trendline connecting the RSI lows can serve as support during a price correction. The range (33.88 – 39.26) is key for RSI support. Entry into Overbought Zone: RSI movement towards the overbought zone can push the price toward higher targets. Overextended zones (86.33 – 92.15) are accessible. RSI Middle Line: This line could act as support and help stabilize the uptrend. ⚡️ Key Points: Red Resistance Zone (0.8 – 0.99 USD): Sustaining above this zone is crucial for the continuation of the uptrend. Formation of Strong Bullish Candles and Significant Volume: Strong bullish candlestick formations and a sharp increase in volume can confirm the breakout of this resistance. Volume Consideration: High volume entry during the breakout of the resistance zone is a positive signal. Price Behavior at the 0.5 Fibonacci Level: This level serves as the primary initial support. PRZ Support Zone: In case of a correction, this zone (overlapping with daily resistance and the middle line of the channel) could prevent further price declines. 🔔 Summary: The technical analysis of SAND indicates that after breaking out of the descending channel, the price is at a critical stage. A breakout above the red resistance zone (0.8 – 0.99 USD) could open the path for higher targets. However, traders should pay close attention to price behavior around key support and resistance zones and should not neglect risk management. 🟠 Practical Suggestions: For Entering a Trade: Wait for a breakout of the red resistance zone along with high volume. Risk Management: Diversify your capital into multiple parts and set stop-loss orders below key support levels. Stay Updated: Given the constantly changing market conditions, staying updated with new analyses is essential. ⏰ Stay tuned for the next updates!
Long
by alizeynali69
Uniswap (UNI)UNI/USDT Analysis 📊 UNI is one of the significant assets in the cryptocurrency world, attracting considerable attention from investors due to its high trading volume and dynamic network. This analysis aims to examine UNI's price movement within an ascending channel and highlight potential trading opportunities: ⚖️ Current Status: Recent Correction: After hitting the top of the ascending channel, UNI has corrected towards the 0.5 Fibonacci level (between $11.5 and $11.1), which overlaps with the channel's middle line. This overlap is significant for traders, as it confirms the strength of support and resistance in this range. Key Supports: Two grey zones at the bottom of the chart are considered vital support areas: $5.2 to $6 $3.6 to $4 These zones are recognized as strong support areas due to the multiple reactions of the price in the past. In UNI's trading history, these levels have successfully prevented sharp declines and have created high demand in these ranges. Additionally, the presence of large buyers in these areas shows their credibility. RSI and Divergences: The RSI is currently in an ascending channel, but it recently reversed before reaching the top of the RSI channel, forming a negative divergence. In the past, such divergences have often led to temporary corrections or even trend reversals in UNI's price. These behaviors suggest that traders should pay close attention to these signals, as they could play a key role in trading decisions. This divergence indicates that a temporary price correction may occur or even a signal for a broader trend change. 🔎 Potential Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: If the price manages to stabilize above the red resistance zone (weekly resistance): Fibonacci targets become attainable: 1.618 Fibonacci: $22 to $24 2.272 Fibonacci: $37 to $41 2.618 Fibonacci: $49 to $61 Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to stabilize above the red resistance zone: A correction down to the 0.618 Fibonacci level (between $9.4 and $10.3) is likely. If the Fibonacci levels break down, the price may drop towards the bottom of the ascending channel (between $7.2 and $8). ⚡️ Key Takeaways: Price stabilization above the red resistance zone is crucial for continuing the upward trend. Factors like increasing trading volume while attempting to break this resistance and positive news regarding UNI or the crypto market could assist in breaking this level. Indicators to watch include the formation of strong bullish candlesticks, significant volume spikes, and positive divergence in technical indicators like RSI. Pay close attention to the negative RSI divergence, as it may signal a deeper correction. The grey support zones will act as primary price defenses. Traders should closely monitor price behavior near the middle line of the channel. A strong breakout above the red resistance zone with high volume could confirm an entry signal. 🔔 Summary: In the UNI analysis, the price behavior at the red resistance zone is key. If this resistance is broken, higher targets are expected. However, if the price fails to break this resistance, a correction towards lower Fibonacci levels and even the bottom of the channel is possible. Additionally, the RSI divergence serves as a warning for traders to follow the market's behavior more cautiously. 🔴 Practical Recommendation: Traders should enter the market with a risk management strategy, and diversifying their capital can be highly beneficial to avoid unexpected risks. Furthermore, stay updated with analysis revisions. ⏰ Stay tuned for further updates and more detailed analysis!
by alizeynali69
Celer Network (CELR)CELR Analysis 🔹 Overview: CELR is a Layer 2 solution designed to enhance blockchain transaction speed and reduce fees. The token has been trading in a long-term range between 0.009 and 0.033. After reaching the top of this range, the price has started a corrective move to the downside. 🔹 Key Levels: 1️⃣ Support Levels: 🔸 Fibonacci 0.382: 0.020 - 0.019 🔸 Fibonacci 0.5: 0.018 - 0.017 🔸 Fibonacci 0.618: 0.016 - 0.015 🔸 Range Bottom: 0.0105 - 0.009 2️⃣ Resistance Levels: 🔸 Range Top and Weekly Resistance: 0.03038 - 0.03590 🔸 Target 1: 0.068 - 0.081 (Fibonacci 1.618 level) 🔸 Target 2: 0.14 - 0.19 (Fibonacci 2.618 level) 🔹 Volume and Entry Signals: 🔸 Volume Trend: Increased volume at the weekly resistance level is a strong indicator for a breakout move toward higher targets. 🔸 RSI (Relative Strength Index): A breakout above the RSI overbought zone could confirm a strong upward trend. Holding key RSI support levels can act as an early signal for price recovery. 🔹 Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above the red resistance zone at 0.033 - 0.035 and holds with strong volume, it is likely to move toward Fibonacci targets at 0.068 - 0.081 and 0.14 - 0.19. ⚠️ Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold Fibonacci support levels, we may see further downward movement toward the range bottom at 0.0105 - 0.009. A breakdown below this level could trigger deeper price declines. 🔹 Conclusion: 📊 Entry Zones: Gradual Entries: At support levels 0.020, 0.018, 0.015 Safe Entry: Upon a confirmed breakout above the red resistance with high volume. 📉 Stop-Loss: A break below the 0.015 - 0.013 range signals a potential invalidation of bullish setups. 🔑 Recommendation: Given CELR’s low market cap, this project carries a high investment risk. Proper risk management and position sizing are crucial. 🔍 Confirmation Signals: ✅ Volume increase during breakout above resistance ✅ Positive reaction to Fibonacci support levels ✅ RSI holding support or breaking into overbought zones Final Note: Always manage risk and approach trades with a clear plan. The crypto market’s volatility can be both an opportunity and a challenge. Stay disciplined and aim for consistent, reasonable gains. 🚀
Long
by alizeynali69
2
100,000$ per coin - BTC heading to 4th HalvingBITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSD CME:BTC1! COINBASE:BTCUSD What’s Bitcoin? Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency that operates on a network of computers, eliminating the need for intermediaries or central authorities. It was introduced in 2009 by an anonymous individual or group known as Satoshi Nakamoto, who outlined the concept in a white paper describing a peer-to-peer electronic cash system. Since then, Bitcoin has emerged as the leading and most valuable cryptocurrency globally, with a market capitalization exceeding $580 billion as of October 2023. A notable characteristic of Bitcoin is its limited supply of 21 million coins, a threshold estimated to be reached around the year 2140. The creation of new bitcoins is regulated through a process called mining, which involves solving complex mathematical problems using specialized hardware and software. Miners compete to discover valid solutions that meet a specific difficulty level, adjusted approximately every two weeks to maintain an average block time of 10 minutes. The miner who successfully finds a valid solution for each block is rewarded with freshly minted bitcoins and transaction fees. As of October 2023, the Bitcoin network has witnessed the mining of 813,378 blocks, with a current reward of 6.25 bitcoins per block. Key Insights on Bitcoin's Price: Recently, the mining of the 19.5 millionth bitcoin increased the circulating supply to 93% of the total. Additionally, a logarithmic regression analysis known as the rainbow chart illustrates the historical path of Bitcoin's price movement. This cyclic behaviour can be attributed to several factors: Bitcoin tends to exhibit an overall bullish trend due to its limited supply and the halving of coins entering circulation approximately every four years. Historically, the Bitcoin halving has been a significant catalyst for price movements as it influences the supply-demand balance. The halving reduces the rate of new bitcoins being introduced into circulation while demand typically remains steady or grows over time. This creates a supply shock that often drives the price upward, particularly before and after the halving event. Each halving period encompasses the mining of 210,000 blocks and exhibits distinct phases. The bullish phase spans from the first block to the 70,000th block, followed by a bearish phase from the 70,001st block to the 140,000th block, and finally a sideways phase from the 140,001st block to the 210,000th block. As previously mentioned, the halving diminishes the inflation rate of bitcoin and preserves its scarcity. Bitcoin holds great influence over the entire cryptocurrency market due to its dominant market capitalization. This dominance follows a cyclical pattern, with the market share falling below 40% during bearish phases (after mining more than 140,000 blocks) and rising to around 70% during bullish phases. During each era (between two halving periods), Bitcoin experiences an average drawdown of 80%. Current Analysis: We are currently in the third halving era, which commenced on May 11th, 2020, specifically within the equilibrium phase. The intersection of the mining of the 210,000th block and the lows of the logarithmic regression suggests a value of $30,000 USD per bitcoin. The next Bitcoin halving is expected to take place in April 2024, at block number 840,000. This event will reduce the block reward from 6.25 bitcoins to 3.125 bitcoins, consequently lowering the annual inflation rate from approximately 1.8% to 0.9%. As a halving typically ushers in a bullish phase, it is predicted that the price of bitcoin will surpass $100,000.00 during this era. Technical Analysis Using the MVRV Indicator: One of the tools that can help investors and traders assess the value and potential of bitcoin is the MVRV ratio, which stands for market value to realized value. The MVRV ratio compares the current market capitalization of bitcoin (the total value of all coins at their current price) with its realized capitalization (the total value of all coins at their last moved price). The MVRV ratio can indicate whether bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued relative to its historical average cost basis. The MVRV ratio can also be used to identify periods of extreme market sentiment, such as euphoria or panic. When the MVRV ratio is very high (above 4), it means that bitcoin is trading far above its realized value, implying that most holders are sitting on large unrealized profits and may be tempted to sell. This can signal a market top or a bubble territory. When the MVRV ratio is very low (below 1), it means that bitcoin is trading far below its realized value, implying that most holders are sitting on large unrealized losses and may be reluctant to sell. This can signal a market bottom or a buying opportunity. As of October 2023, the MVRV ratio of bitcoin is about 2.110, which is slightly above its long-term average of 2. This suggests that bitcoin is fairly valued and not in a danger zone. The MVRV ratio has been trending up since November 9th 2022, when it reached a low of 0.75, indicating a recovery in the market sentiment and the lowest price of the 3rd Halving era. As we are far from the overbought level of 4, this suggests that there is still room for further growth in the price of bitcoin. (These illustrations are just for educational purposes and are not financial advices). Sources: 1. trustwallet.com 2. ieeexplore.ieee.org 3. nber.org 4. buybitcoinworldwide.com 5. bitinfocharts.com 6. nerdwallet.com 7. investopedia.com 8. buybitcoinworldwide.com 9. kitco.com 10. coinwarz.com 11. datawallet.com 12. blockchain.com 13. lookintobitcoin.com 14. bing.com 15. bitcoinmagazine.com 16. stopsaving.com 17. decentrader.com 18. trustwallet.com 19. bitinfocharts.com 20. nber.org 21. buybitcoinworldwide.com 22. cryptonews.com 23. finbold.com 24. inferse.com 25. buybitcoinworldwide.com 26. blockchain.com
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Theperfectionist
3