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In the coming months, you'll soon want to be all in BTCI've never looked at the Bitcoin Dominance chart. So I did. I drew a fib from the bottom to the first higher low. The fibs seem to match up. The chart tells me that it's touched the bottom of 35.41 dominance. Then it's worked its way back up through 50% dominance. Then retesting the breakout at 38% before heading straight up to 63.25% (1.618 Fib). How beautiful was that?!? Simply amazing. As a global society and community, we're all doing our part to ensure this chart looks pretty. Something in the natural mathematical world is guiding us. Now Bitcoin's dominance is bouncing around the 1.618 level. With all of the financial institutions flooding into the market (LOOK AT THAT VOLUME GROWWWW), Bitcoin will attempt to reclaim it's 94-95% dominance. IT HAS TO (91% of the time). Even if for a brief moment. And how will BTC reclaim it's 95% dominance in an ever-so-growing crypto market? By RIPPING of course! I'm not an expert nor fortune teller, but I'm willing to be my lifesavings that BTC will reach 6 figures by the end of this year. Mark my words. 🚀🚀🚀
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by FloppinFish
2
TOTAL $CRYPTO MARKET CAP - SIMILARITIES TO 2018?What we can see unfolding is currently a 3 week retracement from the total crypto market cap ATH. The yellow line is previous ATH from 2018 and it may be a case of us retesting prior resistance. However, right now it looks eerily similar to the end of the 2016-2018 bull market and the beginning of the 2018-2020 bear market. Hopefully, this will just be a retest- we were massively oversold on the RSI and in 2016/2017 we were oversold 5 times during the bull market, this time round we have only gone into oversold levels twice. So in that respect you could argue that we can still expect the bull run to continue throughout the year. However, if we fail to hold the yellow support line and continue to bleed at the current rate- I'd be worried that the party is starting to end.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by CRYPTOGUYZTWITTER
BTC will keep beating altcoins, Hybrid Intelligence saysBTC’s recent correction to 30k sparked talks of a new alt season with many traders considering switching from Bitcoin to other crypto assets that might shoot up. To dig deeper into this idea, we’ve posted the following question to the Cindicator platform: “The cryptocurrency Market Capitalization settled at 925.74B USD at 09:40 AM UTC on Wednesday, January 13. Will the Market cap climb above 995.2B USD (+7.5%) earlier than drop below 856.3B USD (-7.5%)? (forecast 51-100% - bull scenario. 0-49% - bear scenario)” ------------------------------------- Assurance: 91.11 This means Hybrid Intelligence expects the total crypto market cap to go up +7.5% before any downward movement of a similar magnitude. Additionally, we’ve asked about Bitcoin’s dominance: “Bitcoin crypto market share settled at 68.97% at 10:00 AM UTC on Wednesday, January 13. Will Bitcoin's market share climb above 70.35% (+2%) earlier than drop below 67.59% (-2%)? (forecast 51-100% - bull scenario. 0-49% - bear scenario)” ------------------------------------- Assurance: 82.80 This result suggests that Bitcoin’s market share will again hit 70%. So together, the growing coin market cap AND the increasing Bitcoin’s dominance will likely lead to Bitcoin outperforming altcoins. Of course, some individual cryptos might still beat BTC, but the general trend still looks in favour of Bitcoin. Long Bitcoin for now, Hybrid Intelligence suggests. And diversify your alts with Stoic, we might add.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by Cindicator
6
Why it is important to look at BTC dominance ?Bitcoin dominance is one of the important factor which affect the alt coin movements. historically whenever there is a increase in Bitcoin dominance we see blood bath of alts and vice versa. BTC dominance basically tells us how much percentage of CryptoCurrency market-cap is owned by bitcoin alone. In the above market cap we can see bit coin dominance is about to hit the next support which is very crucial to determine the next altcoin bull runs. From last two months we have seen bitcoin breaking its ATH again and again but major altcoins did not break its ATH, if the 2017 history repeats then we should be seeing the new ATH on altcoins. To new ATH on altcoins its very important that bitcoin dominance breaks its next support and moves lower. Since bitcoin already increased by 10x since march people looking to invest in altcoins which are much cheaper than bitcoin and has much possibility of giving higher returns. Based on this i'm expecting to BTC dominance to break its next support and move around 50% which will trigger very good Altcoin bull run and major altcoins will hit new ATH let's wait and see how it goes. If it breaks next support then i'm going to invest in major altcoins. i will keep updating this post based on how it moves. Thanks GreenCrypto
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by GreenCryptoTrades
15
#3/5 TCAPHey people here's the third TA of the total crypto market cap and guess what happened ! A complete bullish trend reversal and Q1 approaching, There will be huge gains if you're in the right altcoins maybe you'll be a millionaire by EOY !! Anyways, I'll do my best to make millionaires out of you guys ! That aside, I made sure that my TA explains everything clearly but if you have any concerns or questions afterwards ask me down in the comments below I'll answer you ASAP.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by SatoShinobi
TOP 100 By Market Cap, Watchlist for BTC & USD pairsIt was slow & painful to create this list for myself so I decided to share, Hopefully it saves you some time and effort. Maybe there is a quicker easier way to create this list? Let me know if there is! I will update the list to include the Top 200 Market cap projects in the near future. Copy each list below to separate notepad files Save it by the name you want your list to be called import it using the dropdown menu found in the 'Watchlist and Details' tab in the right-hand sidebar. Top 100 pairs excluding stable coins to BTC: BINANCE:AAVEBTC,BITTREX:ABBCBTC,BINANCE:ADABTC,BINANCE:ALGOBTC,KUCOIN:AMPLBTC,BINANCE:ATOMBTC,BINANCE:AVAXBTC,BINANCE:BANDBTC,BINANCE:BATBTC,BINANCE:BCHBTC,BINANCE:BNBBTC,BINANCE:BNTBTC,BITFINEX:BSVBTC,BINANCE:BTCUSDT,BINANCE:BTGBTC,HITBTC:CELBTC,BITTREX:CELOBTC,KUCOIN:CHSBBTC,BINANCE:COMPBTC,OKEX:CROBTC,BINANCE:DASHBTC,BINANCE:DCRBTC,BINANCE:DGBBTC,BINANCE:DOGEBTC,BINANCE:DOTBTC,BINANCE:EGLDBTC,BINANCE:EOSBTC,BINANCE:ETCBTC,BINANCE:ETHBTC,KUCOIN:EWTBTC,BINANCE:FILBTC,BINANCE:FTTBTC,BITTREX:GNOBTC,BINANCE:GRTBTC,BINANCE:HBARBTC,BITTREX:HEDGBTC,HUOBI:HTBTC,BINANCE:ICXBTC,BINANCE:IOTABTC,BINANCE:KNCBTC,BINANCE:KSMBTC,BITFINEX:LEOBTC,BINANCE:LINKBTC,BINANCE:LRCBTC,BINANCE:LSKBTC,BINANCE:LTCBTC,BINANCE:LUNABTC,BITTREX:MAIDBTC,BINANCE:MANABTC,BINANCE:MATICBTC,BINANCE:MKRBTC,BINANCE:NANOBTC,BINANCE:NEARBTC,BINANCE:NEOBTC,HUOBI:NEXOBTC,BINANCE:OCEANBTC,OKEX:OKBBTC,BINANCE:OMGBTC,BINANCE:ONTBTC,BINANCE:QTUMBTC,BINANCE:RENBTC,BINANCE:REPBTC,BITTREX:REVBTC,BINANCE:RSRBTC,BINANCE:RUNEBTC,BINANCE:SCBTC,BINANCE:SNTBTC,BINANCE:SNXBTC,BINANCE:SOLBTC,BINANCE:STXBTC,BINANCE:SUSHIBTC,BINANCE:THETABTC,BINANCE:TRXBTC,BINANCE:UMABTC,BINANCE:UNIBTC,BINANCE:VETBTC,BINANCE:WAVESBTC,HUOBI:WNXMBTC,BINANCE:XEMBTC,BINANCE:XLMBTC,BINANCE:XMRBTC,BINANCE:XRPBTC,BINANCE:XTZBTC,BINANCE:XVGBTC,BINANCE:YFIBTC,BINANCE:ZECBTC,BINANCE:ZILBTC,BINANCE:ZRXBTC Top 100 pairs excluding stable coins to USD: BINANCE:AAVEUSD,BITTREX:ABBCUSD,BINANCE:ADAUSDT,BINANCE:ALGOUSD,KUCOIN:AMPLUSDT,BINANCE:ATOMUSD,BINANCE:AVAXUSD,BINANCE:BANDUSD,BINANCE:BATUSD,BINANCE:BCHUSD,BINANCE:BNBUSDT,BINANCE:BNTUSD,BITFINEX:BSVUSD,BINANCE:BTCPERP,BINANCE:BTGUSD,BINANCE:BTTUSDT,BITTREX:CELOUSDT,HITBTC:CELUSD,HITBTC:CHSBUSD,BINANCE:COMPUSD,OKEX:CROUSDT,BINANCE:DASHUSD,BINANCE:DCRUSD,BINANCE:DGBUSD,BINANCE:DOGEUSD,BINANCE:DOTUSDT,BINANCE:EGLDUSD,BINANCE:EOSUSD,BINANCE:ETCUSD,BINANCE:ETHUSDT,KUCOIN:EWTUSDT,BINANCE:FILUSD,BINANCE:FTTUSD,BITTREX:GNOUSD,BINANCE:GRTUSD,BINANCE:HBARUSD,BITTREX:HEDGUSD,HITBTC:HTUSD,BINANCE:ICXUSD,BINANCE:IOTAUSDT,BINANCE:KNCUSD,BINANCE:KSMUSD,BITFINEX:LEOUSD,BINANCE:LINKUSD,BINANCE:LRCUSD,BINANCE:LSKUSD,BINANCE:LTCUSDT,BINANCE:LUNAUSD,BITTREX:MAIDUSD,BINANCE:MANAUSD,BINANCE:MATICUSD,BINANCE:MKRUSD,BINANCE:NANOUSD,BINANCE:NEARUSD,BINANCE:NEOUSD,HITBTC:NEXOUSD,BINANCE:OCEANUSD,OKEX:OKBUSDT,BINANCE:OMGUSD,BINANCE:ONTUSD,BINANCE:QTUMUSD,BINANCE:RENUSD,BINANCE:REPUSD,BINANCE:RSRUSD,BINANCE:RUNEUSD,BINANCE:SCUSD,BINANCE:SNTUSD,BINANCE:SNXUSD,BINANCE:STXUSD,BINANCE:SUSHIUSD,BINANCE:THETAUSD,BINANCE:TRXUSD,BINANCE:UMAUSD,BINANCE:UNIUSD,BINANCE:VETUSD,BINANCE:WAVESUSD,HUOBI:WNXMUSDT,BINANCE:XEMUSD,BINANCE:XLMUSD,BINANCE:XMRUSD,BINANCE:XRPUSDT,BINANCE:XTZUSD,BINANCE:XVGUSD,BINANCE:YFIUSD,BINANCE:ZECUSD,BINANCE:ZILUSD,BINANCE:ZRXUSD
by TribeWriter666
15
CRYPTO MARKET CAP RESILIENCEWhat surprises me in this latest price action is the market resilience. The cryptocurrency market was hit very hard yesterday but it showed an incredible strength and recovering ability. The dump shook the market and put the idea that BTC latest growth can't go in one direction for much longer... Now traders, big players I mean, are taking their time to evaluate more speculation and gains. In my opinion in the next future we will see more volatility and incredible gains on Altcoins side. Hard to say which Altcoins will be chosen by big players but in my opinion will be the ones that can move upwards faster than others and the ones with possibility of larger gains. I pick: XLM OXT Storj Keep XRP CRV
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by RobRobin
Crypto Monthly Market Analysis - January 2021Grab a cup of coffee and start your day by getting a quick update on the crypto market. We are starting January 2021 and like each month I analyse what happened to Bitcoin and the altcoin market. This time I decided to share the results with you here on Tradingview as well. In October Bitcoin gained 32%, in November Bitcoin gained 39%, and in December Bitcoin gained 54%! What an amazing way to end 2020! In November altcoins could keep up with Bitcoin very well, but Bitcoin really pulled away from altcoins in December. While Bitcoin gained 49.2% in December, altcoins (on average) did not increase in dollar value (-0.55%). This means altcoin lost quite a lot in Satoshi value and Bitcoin dominance increased from 63% to 71%. This could have fantastic implications for the altcoin market. The sad truth is that a lot of people are being congratulated on the price of bitcoin, but nobody actually holds a significant portion of BTC. We are all altcoin traders, and you're probably wondering whether you've been doing something terribly wrong not having seen the amazing bitcoin gains reflected on your own portfolio. Don't worry, everyone is in this situation right now. Altcoins are extremely low, and there are fantastic buy opportunities everywhere. You need to be patient, and make sure you don't take irrational decisions right now. What is also important: Total crypto marketcap reached an ATH as well: 777.514B! The total crypto marketcap is now higher than it was in January 2018. This might come as a surprise to many of you, wouldn't you have expected that the total market cap was way higher given that BTC is trading 50% above the previous all time high? Again, this is a sign of btc dominance and a signal to show how low altcoins are as a whole right now. Often when the price of bitcoin goes up, people take their money out of alts and put it in BTC instead. When BTC consolidates, that is when the altcoins rise. Again, I cannot stress this enough. Be patient and wait for those altcoin opportunities. The relative gain potential is much much higher on those than on the price of bitcoin. It'd be very surprising to see BTC double in value soon, as it required an entire doubling of the marketcap. To get double the price on altcoins is very easy however. For example, you could take a look at my XRP, ETH or LTC idea. But those would still be for higher marketcap coins. The true gains I expect come from the lower marketcap coins. Follow my channel to see more opportunities for those coming up in the coming weeks as well. The top 5 performers in December were $TFUEL (+233.60%), $THETA (+197.38%), $ZIL (+176.74%), $MITH (+138.78%), and $CHZ (+70.90%). Biggest losers were $SYS (-37.79%), $HC (-39.17%), $SNGLS (-39.37%), $AE (-40.30%), and $XRP (-66.02%). Follow me for consistent high quality updates, with clear explanations and charts. Please like this post to support me. - Trading Guru -------------------------------------------------------------- Disclaimer! This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Trading-Guru
36
JOET vs MTUM & an Understanding of ETF WeightingsThe purpose of this idea is two fold. 1) To discuss the fundamental differences between Market-Cap & Equal-Weighted ETFs & 2) To compare JOET & MTUM ETFs. The first half will cover topics specific to ETFs. The second half and very last section offers a comparison of the funds and conclusions to consider when choosing one. Feel free to skip to the bottom if the analysis or conclusions related to the ETFs is all that you wish to read. Definitions Market Capitalization = (stock price * outstanding shares) Momentum is the speed or velocity of price changes in a stock, security, or tradable instrument. Momentum indicates a stock’s price strength. (Source: Investopedia) Market Cap Weighted Indices Mechanics In market cap weighted indices, price plays a key role of weight. Asset allocation goes to stocks with rising prices over time, while allocation to stocks with decreasing prices, becomes smaller. Behavior Inherently momentum oriented. Concentrated on the winners. Anti-value like dynamic when weighting toward market cap. Performs the strongest in a growth based market or when you have concentration in some sectors or stocks but not others. Conversely, concentration risk is realized if a stock or sector’s market cap becomes concentrated regardless of actual growth and then crashes (eg. 2000 dotcom bubble). Equal-Weight Indices Mechanics In Equal-Weight indices, allocation is spread evenly across all stocks and regularly rebalanced at a predetermined time interval. Rebalancing Stocks in an index which have increased from equal weight average will be in excess of the average weight. The excess (difference between the new price and the price at the average weight) is sold. Stocks which have decreased from the last rebalancing will be below the average weight and the difference is bought. This mechanism ensures all stocks share an equal weight at the time of rebalancing. Because rebalancing typically occurs at predetermined time intervals (often quarterly), there will usually be a degree of asset allocation unbalance between those intervals, as stocks go up and down. Rebalancing daily isn’t practical and would lead to higher management costs. Behavior Broader exposure to the overall market. Favors value stocks and smaller sized companies. Protects against concentrated risk in a few stocks that may dominate a market cap weighted index. Performs the strongest when there is broader market participation and when smaller size / value stocks are in favor. Costs Equal weighted ETFs have higher turnover from rebalancing weighting = higher fees and higher capital gains taxes Market Cap & Equal-Weighted (MISC) Both Equal and Market Cap weighted ETFs require reconstitution or adjustments of their holdings as stocks fall in or out of their parameters of measurement. Examples could be: mergers, delistings, or new inclusions from the parent or underlying index the fund is tracking. --- MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF - MTUM Dividend Yield: 1.01% Expense Ratio: 0.15% Hierarchy MSCI USA Index (Parent Index) MSCI USA Momentum SR Varient Index (Underlying Index*) MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (The Fund / MTUM) *On November 23, 2020, the Fund’s Underlying Index changed from MSCI USA Momentum Index to the MSCI USA Momentum SR Variant Index Prospectus notes “ uses a representative sampling indexing strategy to manage the Fund. “Representative sampling” is an indexing strategy that involves investing in a representative sample of securities that collectively has an investment profile similar to that of an applicable underlying index.” “The Underlying Index is designed to measure the performance of an equity momentum strategy by emphasizing stocks with high price momentum, while maintaining reasonably high trading liquidity, investment capacity and moderate index turnover....” “The Fund generally will invest at least 90% of its assets in the component securities of the Underlying Index and may invest up to 10% of its assets in certain futures, options and swap contracts, cash and cash equivalents, including shares of money market funds advised by BFA or its affiliates, as well as in securities not included in the Underlying Index” How does MTUM determine the makeup of a “Momentum” stock? The exact calculation is not published but, MTUM screens for the best performing US Large and Mid-cap stock price returns over the past three years, 12 months, & 6 months as a factor for inclusion into the fund. What is MTUM’s reconstitution strategy when adding / removing stocks from the fund? MTUM cites using a statistical model published in the Journal of Finance: N. Jegadeesh and S. Titman, “Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency.” Journal of Finance, 1993. The research suggests, buying past winners and selling past losers, you can achieve profitable returns. Thesis of the model: Buy past winners and sell past losers in multiple time configurations. (only two configurations are selected in practice) Winners measured over 12, 6, 3, or 1 months prior to the time of purchase. Top winners are selected (selected stocks). Performance of selected stocks are measured over 12, 6, 3, or 1 months after the time of purchase. Winners & losers are selected. Buying more of the winners and selling the losers occurs. Takes advantage of short term market inefficiencies and lag time between corporate events and price movements. Eg. earnings announcements. The research conducted demonstrates buying winners and selling losers works within a 12 month timeframe. Beyond 12 months the strategy breaks down. Because MTUM reconstitutes the fund semi-annually and profitability using this strategy occurs within a 12 month period of time, the fund should be able to realize similar profitable outcomes. Virtus Terranova U.S. Quality Momentum ETF - JOET Dividend Yield: Dividends reinvested Expense Ratio: 0.29% Hierarchy: Terranova U.S. Quality Momentum Index (Underlying Index) Virtus Terranova U.S. Quality Momentum ETF (The Fund / JOET) How does JOET determine the makeup of a “Momentum” stock and the ETF? Screens 500 US large cap stocks for the last 12 months’ total return (technical indicator) 500 then ranked based on momentum and quality Momentum is ranked based on the last 12 months’ total return Quality is ranked based on: return on equity (net income divided by average shareholder equity) debt to equity (total liabilities divided by total shareholder equity) sales growth rate (annualized sales growth rate over the past three years). Pick top 250 The 250 Stocks are then again quality ranked based on the same metrics above. Top 125 chosen for the inclusion into the Underlying Index and used in the fund. Equal weighted / rebalanced quarterly What is JOET’s reconstitution strategy when adding / removing stocks from the fund? Their strategy mimics the above, rebalanced & reconstituted quarterly. --- Factors to consider when selecting JOET vs MTUM Costs of ownership / fees / dividend yield -- JOET is nearly 2x more expensive than MTUM, excluding any dividend yield. MTUM’s ~1% dividend yield is also a consideration when selecting. Stock Selection -- MTUM uses a more technical approach to stock picking, rebalancing, and reconstitution. JOET uses a combination of both technical and fundamental (quality) indicators when stock picking, rebalancing, and reconstitution. Timeframe & Concentration Risk -- With concentration risk in MTUM’s market cap weighted fund, you must consider the forward 12 month performance for the sectors most heavily weighted. Historical data shows equally weighted outperform market cap weighted indices (there are exceptions by sector). Equally weighted indices do a better job of mitigating single-stock event risks. If a stock takes a header during an earnings announcement, the impact on the fund will be lower if in an equally weighted fund. Sector weighting inside the funds -- JOET & MTUM stock selection begins with the largest US market cap weighted stocks. JOET holdings are equal-weighted, but not the sectors that make it up. JOET is made up of ~33% Tech & ~22% Healthcare stocks. 4 of the top 5 weighted sectors make up the majority of both funds. Conclusion / Determination This mostly boils down to deciding which fund does a better job of stock picking. JOET & MTUM use different stock selection techniques for inclusion into their respective funds, however, both utilize market cap weighted indices when making initial stock selections, leading to similarly skewed sector weighting in both funds (particularly Tech & Healthcare). Although, while sector weighting is concentrated similarly in both, the underlying holdings making up those sectors are largely different. Of the roughly 125 stocks in each ETF, only 48 names are shared in both ETFs. If you believe a more technical stock picking process, weighting, rebalancing, and reconstitution strategies will work better, MTUM is the winner. MTUM does carry a higher degree of concentration or single-stock event risk and is not as diversified across sector allocation vs. JOET. However, during times when market cap leaders are leading, MTUM will outperform. If you believe a combination of technical and fundamental quality factors for stock picking & reconstitution strategies will work better, JOET is the winner. JOET is more expensive to own with a higher expense ratio. However, by nature of being equal-weighted, longer term hold durations should have stronger positive outcomes, and lend credence to value-like holdings that have not yet surprised to the upside. JOET also provides exposure to what Virtus believes are higher quality stocks with stronger fundamentals, as that is a criteria for their selections. Because JOET is less than 12 months old, historical performance cannot be compared with MTUM’s. Additionally, because MTUM recently changed the underlying index used for stock selection and inclusion into the fund (Nov 2020), its historical performance cannot be used as an indicator or expectation of how the fund may perform moving forward.
JEducation
by MichaelGoldberg
2