A Trader's Guide to Market ConditionsThere are six main types of market conditions that every trader needs to know: bull quiet, bear quiet, bull volatile, bear volatile, bear sideways, and bull sideways. In this blog post, we'll dive into each of these conditions in detail, so you can understand what they mean for your investments and trading.
Bull quiet conditions may be ideal for long-term investors, with steady upward trends and low volatility. On the other hand, bear quiet conditions can make finding profitable trades a challenge. But don't despair! Short-term traders may still be able to make profits by taking advantage of small price fluctuations.
If you're looking for short-term gains, bull volatile conditions may be the way to go. These periods of economic growth and prosperity can lead to larger price swings than in bull quiet conditions. But beware, the opposite is true for bear volatile conditions. Prices are steadily declining, but with high levels of volatility. Still, traders can profit by taking advantage of large price swings.
Bear and bull sideways conditions are characterized by a lack of clear direction in price movements. While traders may find it challenging to make profits in bear sideways conditions, they can take advantage of small price fluctuations in bull sideways conditions.
Understanding these market conditions is crucial for making informed trading decisions. By being aware of each of these six conditions, you can increase your chances of making profitable trades and maximizing your returns. So if you want to elevate your trading game, backtest these market conditions and see what your trading results you'd get trading each condition.
Marketcondition
Simple BUT Not EasyReading charts and understanding the "Language" of the market is very simple but at times due to high involvement of our emotions we make it very hard.
Any market or chart that you see will be in a phase all you have to do is identify it on a higher time frame.
Lower Lows & Lowers Highs is a definition of a down trend.
Higher Highs & Higher Lows is a definition of a up trend.
If you can see the above both happening then market is ranging.
If you are having a short bias on a particular instrument always look for a shorting opportunities in a lower time frame after confirming the phase of the market in a higher time frame.
Always wait for a confirmed trend don't try and jump in too early.
Let market decide the direction, don't force your self.
Risk Management is very important, Plan your trade with a proper risk that you can manage.
Trading is a marathon, if you try to sprint you will fall down and injure yourself.
Slow & steady wins the game :)
Thanks
The crash will probably start this year, but first: $5468 targetI'm predicting that we will get a correction to the september lows. After that, we will see an epic final run-up. Arround the target level of $5468, I am expecting a massive blow off-top. After that the trend is going to be nothing but down. The low of the recession will probably come to an end in 2025 (however I don't like to link prices to dates). Be carefull guys. We could be going into a recession very soon from now. If we get enough bad news, the blow-off top won't happen and the markets could fall any time from now. But I still think that we need some kind of blow-off top for a crash. The volatility index also shows that a big move is coming soon. It might be a great Idea to stay out of the markets. In my opinion we will most likely see it this year in the end of Q3/beginning Q4, but could be as early as early spring/now.
The market is looking very unhealthy and I wrote about that in november 2021. I will make an update soon. (This is not financial advice!!!) (Do your own research.)
Good luck everyone!!!
Duursma, Yuri.
Nasdaq100; Dump it!!Aside from a total U.S. Market Capitalization that is now in excess of 260% of U.S. GDP (the historic norm, not the low, being 78%!) ...
... and a Doubly Exponential; f(x)=a^(b^x), Central Bank(s) push in equities , up to this point, ...
... and the leverage in the system (U.S. equity markets) now easily the eclipsing all previous records, by any measure, not just in absolute terms!;
www.hussmanfunds.com
... and since the current SPAC mania is identical to the South Sea Bubble, in as much as: "Let them see not what they do!" ,
... and since the total Market Cap of the top 1500 companies, that were unprofitable for each of the past 3 years, now exceeds $2.5 Trillion,
... and because of charts like these;
www.hussmanfunds.com
... and;
www.hussmanfunds.com
... and;
www.hussmanfunds.com
...
youtu.be
... there are numerous (too many to list) other leading-, as well as coincident-indicators which would all suggest that being long here is very unlikely to turn out well.
Such as;
The valuation of Bitcoin now equates one-fifth (20%) of the entire U.S. Monetary Base ;
... and;
... and;
from this post;
... and so on.