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1INCHUSDT | More Correction Over the Weekend?Market Context Sell pressure in the crypto market is still relentless, and I anticipate more downward action before the eventual pump. This weekend could be pivotal. Chart Analysis 1INCHUSDT is presenting a fascinating opportunity with a great risk-reward ratio. The current setup suggests that we could see a further correction before the bulls take over. Strategy The market is ripe for a test of this theory. With selling pressure still strong, I’m gearing up to short 1INCHUSDT. If the market behaves as expected, this could be a rewarding trade. Action Plan Let's test this theory and see if we can capitalize on the expected downturn. Stay tuned for updates—this weekend could be very interesting!
Short
by minno91
SPY correction continues & another earnings season begins SHORTSPY on a 120 minute chart uptrended from October into late March. A standard Fibonacci retracement for this trend down could take it down to the 475 range or about another 10%. Current price is under the daily SMA 50 ( blue line) at 495 and could continue to fall into the SMA 100 ( green line) which is confluent with the Fibonacci retracement level. Deep support of the daily SMA200 ( red line) representing more than a 50% retracement is at the 450 zone. Megacap technology earnings upcoming may lead the way down or cause a consolidation for a reversal. April will likely be a big red month. April showers bring May flowers?
AMEX:SPYShort
by AwesomeAvani
5
UVXY crosses over mean anchored VWAP LONGUVXY which leverages the VIX as a measure of volatility / greed/ fear has finally crossed over the mean anchored VWAP. This is a sign of bullish momentum and perhaps a signal that traders should hedge or consider their positions in terms of hard risk management. Those who traded this move up today made 10% or better in the trade. Those who bought call options expiring tomorrow made 10X and those with call options for next Friday made 5X overnight. Tomorrow is another day. Likely the market will rise from the correction and UXVY will fade a bit. No matter, its value for insurance and hedging is reinforced on days like the past day. I am maintaining a full position aside the call options closed at the afternoon bell which expire on Friday and had time decay to contend with. My first target is 7.75 then comes 8.05 and 8.45. I will take off 20% at each target and keep the others for insurance for a true market crash or black swan event to buffer losses while stops get hit.
CBOE:UVXYLong
by AwesomeAvani
SPX500's 3%-10% Market Correction: To Around 6000 By End of 2025Technicals: Bracing for a 4% to 10% market correction but with an end the year close to 6000 on the SPX500. I speculate that this correction will last up to three months. Then, a rise up to about 6000 by the end of the year of 2025. The buy zones are 2.5% to 4% deep from the all-time highs, and 9% to 10% deep from the all-time highs. The S&P500 is currently down 2.5% from its all-time high in confluence with a 38% fib. This may be the first biggest negative week since the beginning of 2024. 4% deep will be in alignment the first major daily horizontal support level at 5080 on SPX500. This is in confluence with a 61.8% fib, as well. 9% to 10% deep will be in alignment with the all-time high horizontal support of 2022, which is also in confluence with a 38% fib from the low of 2023 to April 1, 2024's high three days ago. Daily chart: Weekly chart:
FX:SPX500Long
by Rocketman
WOO: Preparing for Long Entry at Key 1H LevelThe WOO token is currently at a pivotal juncture, showing signs of a potential correction as it approaches a significant level on the 1-hour (1H) chart. This level has elicited a notable reaction, indicating its importance in the market's dynamics. My approach is to closely monitor for a solid entry point, which will be based on the price behavior at this level, along with the general market structure, especially in leading cryptocurrencies. If these factors align positively, I'm considering taking a long position. It's a critical time for traders to watch WOO, as the setup suggests a promising opportunity for a long trade.
Long
by Shved126
Understanding Market Corrections:Definition & Key ConsiderationsInvesting in the stock market has the potential to generate substantial wealth over the long term, although it comes with inherent risks. One notable obstacle that investors frequently encounter involves safeguarding their capital during periods of declining stock prices. When the market undergoes a downturn, the inclination to panic and sell off investments to evade additional losses can be strong. However, this reactive approach often results in even greater financial setbacks and hinders the ability to capitalize on future market rebounds. In this comprehensive article, we will delve into the concept of a market correction and delve into various strategies that can assist investors in preserving their capital amidst market downturns, enabling them to emerge stronger when the market inevitably recovers. Market Correction: A Comprehensive Explanation In the realm of financial markets, a market correction is a notable event characterized by a substantial decline in the value of a financial instrument. This decline typically ranges between 10% to 20% and can encompass individual stocks of a specific company or even extend to encompass entire market indices comprising a vast array of companies. The duration of a correction can vary significantly, ranging from as short as a single day to as long as a year, with the average duration spanning approximately four months. Market corrections can be triggered by a myriad of factors, each with its own unique catalyst. These factors can range from a company's disappointing financial performance and weak earnings report to more extensive global geopolitical conflicts. In some instances, corrections may occur seemingly without any discernible external cause. It is worth noting that market corrections are not exclusive to stocks alone. They can manifest in various other financial instruments such as commodities like oil, platinum, and grain, as well as currencies, funds, specific industry sectors, or even the entire market as a whole. This exemplifies the widespread impact that a correction can have across diverse segments of the financial landscape. To illustrate the significance of a market correction, let's consider an example from recent history. In the year 2018, the prices of over 500 companies experienced a decline of 10% or more. This widespread correction exemplifies how fluctuations in market conditions can influence a substantial number of companies simultaneously, affecting their valuation and investor sentiment. In conclusion, a market correction denotes a notable decline in the value of financial instruments, with the range typically falling between 10% to 20%. The causes behind these corrections can be diverse and encompass factors ranging from company-specific issues to broader global conflicts. Moreover, corrections can impact various financial instruments and market segments, underscoring their potential for wide-reaching consequences within the financial landscape. Example : AMZN stocks Daily chart showing a correction in 2018 - 2020 Market corrections are not uncommon events within the realm of financial markets. On average, a decline of 10-20% in the stock market transpires approximately once a year. These corrections, characterized by a significant decrease in stock prices, serve as reminders of the inherent volatility and fluctuations present in the market. While corrections of 10-20% occur relatively frequently, more profound market declines exceeding 20% are less frequent, transpiring approximately once every six years. These substantial corrections are often referred to as market collapses, signifying a more severe and prolonged downturn. One illustrative example of a market collapse occurred in response to the global pandemic outbreak in March 2020. The COVID-19 pandemic triggered a swift and severe decline in stock markets worldwide, leading to a precipitous drop of approximately 38% within a matter of days. This extreme correction exemplifies the impact of unforeseen events and external factors on market stability and investor sentiment. It is important to recognize that market corrections and collapses are not solely confined to a particular asset class or geographic region. They can have a broad-ranging effect, transcending national boundaries and impacting various financial instruments, indices, and markets worldwide. In summary, market corrections, defined by significant declines in stock prices, are regular occurrences, transpiring approximately once a year with a magnitude of 10-20%. Market collapses, on the other hand, encompass more profound declines exceeding 20% and typically transpire once every six years. These events serve as reminders of the dynamic nature of financial markets and their vulnerability to various factors, such as the recent pandemic-induced collapse in 2020, which had a profound impact on global markets. Example : SPX500 / US500 stocks Daily chart showing a correction in 2020 Investors who adopt a long-term investment strategy tend to navigate corrections with relative ease, primarily due to their extended investment horizon. By committing their funds for a substantial period, typically ranging from 5 to 10 years, these investors are less likely to be perturbed by temporary price declines. On the other hand, individuals who rely on leverage or engage in short-term trading bear the brunt of corrections, experiencing greater challenges and losses. The impact of a correction can be readily observed by examining the chart depicting the historical performance of any given company. By selecting the annual or five-year chart display, one can identify specific time periods when the asset's value experienced temporary declines. Additionally, it is crucial to consider the decrease in stock price subsequent to the ex-dividend date, commonly referred to as the dividend gap. It is essential to note that the dividend gap phenomenon is distinct from a correction and should be treated as such. What Causes A Correction? A correction in the stock market can be triggered by a multitude of factors and events that impact stock prices. These events can range from speeches given by company executives, investor reports, pandemics, regulatory changes, economic sanctions, natural disasters like hurricanes and floods, man-made disasters, to high-level meetings of world leaders. Even the most stable companies can experience declines in their stock prices due to these events. It is important to recognize that human behavior also plays a significant role in causing market corrections. The stock market is inherently driven by human participation and investor sentiment, which can sometimes lead to corrective actions. For instance, if a popular figure like Elon Musk garners significant attention and support, investors may pour money into his company beyond its actual earnings. Eventually, the overvaluation of such a "hyped" company may result in a decline in its stock price. Furthermore, investors often attempt to follow trends in the market. When a particular stock shows an upward trajectory, more people tend to invest in it, thus increasing its demand and subsequently driving up its price. However, as the price reaches a certain peak, some investors choose to sell their holdings to realize profits. This selling pressure can initiate a correction, causing those who entered the market later to incur losses. Therefore, blindly chasing market trends without careful analysis may prove detrimental. Additionally, corrections can exhibit seasonal patterns. For example, during the summer months, prior to holidays or extended weekends, investor participation in trading may decrease. This reduced trading activity leads to lower liquidity in stocks, creating an opportunity for speculators to exploit the situation. Such periods often witness sharp price fluctuations, potentially resulting in stock prices declining by 10-20%. It is crucial to understand that corrections are a natural part of the market cycle, and it is neither productive nor feasible to fear them indefinitely. The market cannot sustain perpetual growth, and corrections serve as necessary adjustments. By acknowledging their inevitability, investors can adopt strategies that are mindful of market dynamics and position themselves accordingly. How Long Do Corrections Last? Between the years 1980 and 2018, the US markets experienced a total of 37 corrections, characterized by an average drawdown of 15.7%. These corrections typically lasted for approximately four months before the market began to recover. Consider the following scenario: an investor commits $15,000 in January, experiences a loss of $2,355 during the correction, and by May, witnesses their portfolio rebounding to $15,999, based on statistical data. However, it is important to note that outcomes may deviate from this pattern. It is worth noting that the magnitude of a stock's decline directly impacts the duration of its recovery. As an illustration, during the financial crisis of 2008, US stocks tumbled by approximately 50%. The subsequent recovery of the stock market extended over a period of 17 months, primarily attributed to the active support provided by the US government and the Federal Reserve. This underscores the notion that severe market downturns necessitate more prolonged periods for recuperation, even with significant intervention from regulatory bodies. Dow Jones Industrial Average index drop in 2008 The timing of a market correction is often challenging for financiers and experts to predict with certainty. In retrospect, it becomes clear when a correction started, but identifying the precise moment beforehand is a complex task. Taking the aforementioned example of the market collapse in October 2007, it was not officially acknowledged until June 2008. This highlights the inherent difficulty in pinpointing the onset of a correction in real-time. Following a correction, the market's recovery period can vary significantly. In some instances, the market may swiftly regain stability and resume an upward trajectory. However, in other cases, it may take several years for the market to fully recover from a correction. The duration of the recovery depends on a multitude of factors, including the severity of the correction, underlying economic conditions, government interventions, and investor sentiment. Hence, it is crucial to recognize that financiers and market participants can only definitively determine the start and extent of a correction in hindsight. The future behavior of the market after a correction remains uncertain, and it is possible for the market to swiftly recover or take a considerable amount of time to regain stability. How To Predict A Correction Predicting the precise timing, duration, and magnitude of a market correction is inherently unreliable and challenging. There is no foolproof method to accurately forecast when a correction will occur, when it will conclude, or the extent to which asset prices will change. Some economists and analysts attempt to predict market trends by employing various theories. For instance, Ralph Elliott formulated the Elliott Wave Theory, which posits that markets move in repetitive waves. By determining the current phase of the market—whether it is in an upward or downward wave—one could potentially profit. However, if such theories consistently yielded accurate predictions, financial losses during corrections would be virtually nonexistent. It is crucial to acknowledge that market corrections are an inherent and inevitable part of market cycles. While attempting to predict corrections may be enticing, it is important to remember that they will inevitably occur, regardless of how long it has been since the previous one. Relying solely on the absence of a correction for an extended period as a basis for investment decisions warrants careful consideration and analysis rather than being treated as a definitive indicator. Advantages And Disadvantages Of Market Correction Advantages and disadvantages of market corrections can be summarized as follows: Advantages of a market correction: 1) Buying opportunities: Market corrections often present favorable buying opportunities for investors. Lower stock prices allow investors to acquire shares at discounted prices, potentially leading to long-term gains when the market recovers. 2) Rebalancing opportunities: Corrections can prompt investors to rebalance their portfolios. Selling overvalued assets and reinvesting in undervalued ones can help optimize investment returns and maintain a diversified portfolio. 3) Expectation adjustment: Market corrections can serve as a reality check, helping investors reassess their expectations and risk tolerance. This can lead to more informed investment goals and strategies. Disadvantages of a market correction: 1) Financial losses: Market corrections can result in substantial losses, particularly for investors who panic and sell their investments at lower prices. Reacting emotionally to market downturns may amplify the negative impact on portfolios. 2) Economic implications: Market corrections can have broader economic repercussions. They may lead to job losses, reduced consumer spending, and slower economic growth, potentially affecting industries and sectors beyond the financial markets. 3) Psychological impact: Market corrections can trigger fear, uncertainty, and anxiety among investors. These emotions may drive impulsive decision-making, such as selling investments hastily or hesitating to re-enter the market when conditions improve. It is important for investors to carefully evaluate the potential advantages and disadvantages of market corrections and consider their own risk tolerance, investment goals, and long-term strategies when navigating such market events. What Should You Do During A Correction? Correction can make an investor richer or poorer or have no effect at all. The impact of a market correction on an investor's wealth depends on their actions and decisions during that period. It is impossible to predict with certainty the duration or direction of asset value changes during a correction. However, there are general tips that can help investors navigate through a correction and potentially safeguard their finances: 1) Maintain a calm and rational mindset: During a correction, it is crucial to approach investment decisions with a cool head. Instead of making impulsive moves, take the time to understand the underlying causes of the correction and consider expert opinions and news. 2) Avoid excessive borrowing: It is advisable not to use borrowed money for investments, especially during a correction. This reduces the risk of incurring debts and potential losses. For beginners, it is often recommended to limit investments to the funds available in their brokerage accounts, particularly during a correction. 3) Assess company fundamentals: Evaluate the fundamental strength of a company by analyzing key metrics and ratios. Comparing a company's value with others in the same industry can provide insights. If a company is not overvalued, it may indicate that there is no fundamental reason for a correction, and its value may likely recover in due course. 4) View the correction as a buying opportunity: Prominent investors like Warren Buffett and Nathan Rothschild have emphasized that corrections present excellent opportunities for investment. If a stock's price has fallen, consider purchasing it based on the company's performance rather than solely focusing on the size of the discount. Maintaining some savings in cash allows for timely investments in undervalued assets. 5) Acknowledge the normalcy of corrections: It is important to recognize that corrections are a regular part of market cycles and serve as tests of an investor's composure. Following an investment strategy that includes provisions for investing during periods of 10-20% lower stock prices can help protect savings and optimize long-term returns. By adhering to these general tips and maintaining a disciplined investment strategy, investors can better navigate market corrections and potentially preserve and enhance their financial well-being. Conclusion In summary, market corrections are an intrinsic aspect of the stock market's ebb and flow, and it is essential for investors to anticipate and navigate them effectively. During such periods, the inclination to succumb to panic and hastily sell investments can be strong. However, maintaining composure and adhering to prudent strategies that safeguard capital are crucial for weathering corrections and emerging stronger when the market inevitably rebounds. While corrections present challenges, they also offer advantageous opportunities, such as the ability to acquire stocks at discounted prices. Conversely, the potential for substantial losses exists, emphasizing the importance of a measured approach. A long-term investment strategy, rooted in sound analysis rather than reactionary emotions, serves as a vital compass for surviving corrections. By focusing on the broader picture and resisting the temptation of short-term market fluctuations, investors can position themselves for long-term success amidst the natural ebb and flow of the market.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by FOREXN1
12
Bitcoin forming a bearish channel perspective!!!Analyzing the Daily timeframe, we could to expect another possible crash in the Bitcoin price. But it's very important to analyze well the fundamental analysis in this week incoming what we expect from more news in macroeconomic point. Also, I draw a model of this bearish channel perspective and I believe that we formed the ABCDE pattern correction into this chartist pattern. Remember that we're in the bear market, and it's not sure that Bitcoin going to up, at least combining our technical analysis with fundamental news that affect Bitcoin price. Right now, we see a bearish hammer candlestick formed in Daily timeframe indicating sell-off. There's a possible short position to $21,300 USD to take advantage of this trade if you trade cryptocurrency I hope that this idea support you!!!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by harisonhbn9718
Russell 2000 Futures Next Leg Down -10%Russell 2k $RTY1! broke below the 200 EMA on weekly and failed to regain 1800 as support. As the canary in the coal mine, the Russell 2000 comprises of the 2000 smallest stocks of the Russell 3000 (broad capitalization-weighted stock market index that seeks to be a benchmark of the entire U.S stock market) and provides a solid bellwether for forward facing trends. Next move is a 10% markdown from 1700 to 1550. From there we will likely see a failure to regain 1600. With Q2 earnings coming and early signs of margin compression in the face of rampant inflation ($NKE earnings revealing some weakness), expecting to see 20 EMA crash below the 200 EMA with the 50 EMA following closely behind. On balance volume reflecting a downtrend that really gained momentum in late March / early April with no sign of reversing in the near-term.
CME_MINI:RTY1!Short
by R0MM3LL
$RUT Canary in the Coal MineThe Russell 2k tends to be a solid indicator of broader market movement. While we have realized a correction of ~33%, given the broader macro headwinds... this is not nearly the level expected relative to past major corrections (dot.com & housing market). Given the past major corrections of 47% and 60%, not including the global pandemic shutdown it's apparent theres further markdown market behavior ahead. At the least, expecting a pullback to the 100 EMA is minimum expected while pullback to the 200 EMA with a further wick down from there is not outside of reason. The Fed has only recently begun QT with Central Bank balance sheets letting securities roll off as they mature. With the Fed hyper-focused on inflation with demand side tools at their disposal, the bearish case remains firmly in place right now. In addition to rates, unemployment is part of the Fed's dual mandate. Given the sheer # of available jobs (2 jobs for each unemployed person in the US), the Fed has plenty of room to focus on reigning in inflation to achieve price stability. Will there be bear market rallies? Yes. Will the Fed pivot? Possibly... especially given mid-term elections this fall. Q2 closes next week, earnings will start pouring in... until the Fed changes narrative and there's substantive change, principal preservation should be the priority with a risk-off focus unless one is highly skilled at trading during extreme volatility.
TVC:RUTShort
by R0MM3LL
USD Index DXY Strengthening into 113 PTSince summer of 2021, DXY has gained strength and momentum as the broader global economy has begun to face tremendous uncertainty coupled with rampant inflation from unfettered stimulus and "quantitative easing" that began following the housing market collapse ~15 years ago. Articles were written that inflation is dead while the Federal Reserve propped up markets, printing money without thought. The QE environment appeared stable until the global pandemic surfaced and governments around the globe printed even more. At this point, the US Dollar is showing signs as the "best" of a bagful of bloated currencies with a rush towards risk-off safe havens. As it stands, inflation has driven every asset class to extreme levels and is barely showing signs of slowing... the general consensus is leaning to either a significant market correction or let inflation remain out of control. Given price instability, central banks are increasing rates and looking to trim bloated balance sheets which will result in major market pullbacks. Right now, DXY is looking to breach levels not seen since the dot.com bubble as a first leg up... with plenty of room to climb past that given $9 Trillion on the central bank balance sheets, money supply at extreme levels, & inflation at levels not realized in 40 years. Golden cross on weekly with 100 EMA crossing above the 200 EMA in late March. Expect some small pullback as the markets look for a relief rally and exit liquidity before DXY charges upwards. As it stands, "cash is king" and the US Dollar reigns supreme (for now & the near future).
TVC:DXYLong
by R0MM3LL
BTC & DXY DivergencePrior to inflation spiraling out of control, Bitcoin demonstrated real strength as a risk on asset against the US Dollar showed continued weakening. Central Bank QE & unfettered money printing (seen in money supply charts and bloated central bank balance sheets) were obscuring the impact of extremely loose/dovish monetary policies as overnight reverse repo activity has skyrocketed (currently running at >$1.8 Trillion). This irresponsible market manipulation has shielded the front end of the yield curve and is likely going to result in a more severe market correction. Since mid/late March, the markets have begun to realize the global economy is unhealthy and there are limited safe haven, risk-off positions to mitigate the fallout of the impending global economic headwinds. These economic headwinds are seen early in the 2yr/10yr yield curve initially and equities are slowly coming around to this, as the institutions move towards a principal protection position. USD is by far the least risk position globally and we're seeing DXY increase in the face of inflation as "smart money" around the globe begins to take action. This trend will reverse but not until the markets adapt and the global economy finds a new equilibrium. Expect to see a continuation of USD gaining strength and assets like Gold and Bitcoin to weaken against the dollar until the market corrects. Once the market corrects, Gold will spike to new all time highs (possibly up to $2.5k-$2.7k) and we will then see Bitcoin enter a mark-up period... but in the near-term expect BTC to continue to lose steam and test $30k support, with a breakdown below highly likely that first.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by R0MM3LL
Will market land hard over next 2 days?INTERMEDIATE WAVE 1 We are potentially wrapping up Intermediate wave 1 and Minor wave 5 at the beginning of Primary wave C. We appear to have completed Minor wave 1 with a low by 12:30 on April 1. Minor wave 2 finished in the first hour of trading on April 5. Minor wave 3 bottom before 13:30 on April 6. Minor wave 4 may have ended today, during the final 30 minutes of the session. There is a chance Minor wave 4 ends tomorrow. This would require a new high above 4521.16. Right now, wave 4 has moved 49.59% that which Minor wave 3 moved. Although 50% is not an official Fibonacci percent, it is a historical reversal price. The biggest forecast metric for Elliott Wave Theory is the length of wave 3. In the current setup, if my wave count is accurate, has Minor wave 3 shorter than Minor wave 1. This means Minor wave 5 cannot be longer than Minor wave 3. Minor wave 3 concluded in 11 hourly trading bars. This means whenever wave 5 begins, it cannot be longer than 11 hours in length. If wave 4 has ended, 11 hours begin tomorrow. There are 7 hourly trading bars (in the 6.5 hour trading session). Minor wave 5 could end no later than 12:30 on April 11. It is also possible Minor wave 5 ends tomorrow. For this to occur, the index will most likely drop below the low (and endpoint) from Minor wave 3 which was 4450.04. At the very least, this requires a drop of 1.57%. This is certainly possible in one day, but something significant geopolitically or economically would likely have to occur. My initial targets are between 4378.34 and 4435.70, although my models have strong agreement at 4442. INTERMEDIATE WAVE 2 When Minor wave 5 ends, so does Intermediate wave 1. Intermediate wave 2 will be comprised of a three wave (ABC) which moves upward. This will most likely occur next week being a holiday shortened week. Economic calendar is light and earnings season does not kick off until the final trading day next week with the banks. This wave could last 1-2 weeks, until the full earnings picture is realized (forecast not good). INTERMEDIATE WAVE 3 Intermediate wave 3 is where I am forecasting the most significant downward movement. This could be due to Russia-Ukraine, but it will also occur during earnings season. My guess is the economic outlook, inflation, interest rates, transportation costs, along with the Fed’s pace and rate of rate increases will take center stage during earning calls. This outlook may look bleak in the near-term, but I expect the market to find its bottom before the end of the summer and as early as mid-May.
SP:SPXShort
by StockSignaler
4
DXY-US DOLLAR INDEX--- BEARS TAKING OVER-SHORTThe markets are now correction and despite the fact the dollar has had a slow rally in 285 days it struggles to gain momentum and stay bullish. Now you can see from the charts that its heading into some sort of consolidation zone and I would personally short the dollar if I were trading it. I do not have any open positions on the DXY and I would watch it carefully. It seems like it would go bearish after a consolidation period the break out to the downside. Find out whats happeing with the dollar here in this TA Video... Disclaimer I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this TA,(Technical Analysis) are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using or reading this technical analysis or site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this analysis, or post.
TVC:DXYShort
by CryptoBuzzAnalyst
Risk: On or Off? Gold & BitcoinBitcoin has been touted as "digital gold" and even as an "inflation hedge." When you compare BTC to Gold with long-term channels, the Bitcoin chart does look to mirror Gold at approx 15.6:1 timeframes... at least until recently. Bitcoin's creation coincides with the biggest regime change since the USD was disassociated w/ Gold in the early 1970's, its entire existence has been under a dovish monetary environment that encourages risk-on behavior w/ unfettered government intervention into the markets w/ Quantitative Easing. This loose policy has kept markets propped up since the housing market bubble burst. Unfortunately, the March 2020 pandemic response with global economies being halted resulted in unfettered stimulus and bloated Central Bank balance sheets resulting in the appearance of rampant, widespread, persistent inflation. Central Banks are now at a crossroads, continue QE and a dovish policy regime that will exacerbate inflationary price pressures or reverse course. Course reversal as bond yields increase is achieved by raising rate while central banks reduce $9 Trillion in assets. This regime results in risk-off behaviors, apparently causing Gold:Bitcoin chart correlation to disassociate. Given current market response, expect Gold to realize positive PA while Bitcoin is challenged by sell pressure while monetary policies tighten.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by R0MM3LL
VIX-S&P 500 FEAR INDEX-LESS FEAR, MARKETS CORRECTINGThe VIX measures the fear in the S&P 500. Even if you only trade or invest in crypto or stocks watching the VIX is critical in learning how to measure the sentiment of the general market regardless of what you are trading or investing. I use the VIX for even crypto trading and suits me well. It does the complete opposite of the what other stocks or cryptos do. Master understanding this chart and you will be better prepared at making successful trading entries and exits in the market. So despite the Russian Ukranian invasion the markets are correcting slowly and beginning to show promise once again. For details watch this video and give me a thumbs up and please subscribe to show support for my channel. Thank You Astreaus otherwise know as Cryptobuzzanalyst Disclaimer I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this TA,(Technical Analysis) are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using or reading this technical analysis or site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this analysis, or post.
CBOE:VIX
by CryptoBuzzAnalyst
4
DJI-DOW JONES MAKING PROGRESS - MARKETS CORRECTINGAfter watching 401k Portfolios dive down due to the Russian invasion of Ukraine , we can see on the charts and on this video that their is light at the end of the tunnel. Markets are now correcting such as the Dow Jones and although its slow progress we see that gains are being made once again. Find out for all the details on this technical analysis video. Give me a thumbs up and subscribe if you want to follow me and learn more about the markets. Disclaimer I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this TA,(Technical Analysis) are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using or reading this technical analysis or site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this analysis, or post.
TVC:DJILong
by CryptoBuzzAnalyst
2
Russell 2000 Futures -20% More$RTY1! lost 50 EMA support and racing to 100 EMA quickly on weekly, looks even uglier on daily as the pullback looks to be gaining momentum. Next level of interest would be another -20% decline. Last time this severe of a retreat was realized was March to May of 2020. The recovery was rapid given unprecedented amount of federal stimulus to prop the economy up. Stimulus is not an option in the face of sharply rising prices with persistent inflation starting to rip across all sectors. Markets shrugged off initial Fed communications and FOMC 25 bps rate hike, clearly reflecting lack of belief in Central Banks' conviction. More volatility ahead as recession lurks in the wings and stagflation appears likely without regime change.
CME_MINI:RTY1!Short
by R0MM3LL
$QQQ Pre-FOMC Correction LevelsFollowing the dot.com bubble, QQQ retraced ~85%. In 2022, we've seen ~18% downslide from ATH in Nov 21. Continuation of correction to long-term mid-channel would be approx 30%, resulting in a PT arround $290 to $295. Tightening monetary policy with higher bond yields have potential to drive further institutional risk-off portfolio balancing and drive the price lower, especially in a high inflation environment. Too early to assess total impact, but further downside sell pressure is likely in near-term... at least until CPI #'s publish on 3/10 and FOMC meeting on 3/16.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by R0MM3LL
USDJPY Short OpportunitySince the recent market expansion on USDJPY we have seen a fake breakout reaching a high of 118.452 and it has been up and down since it reached this point. With a more than likely rate hike on the way from The Fed, and optimistic news from the Bank of Japan. I think we could see a return to about 115.500 level at least. I speculate that this is a situation that cannot continue. With US Inflation past 7%; if we don’t see a market correction they are basically cutting their legs from under themselves. If the US prices Japan out of the market. They are only hurting themselves. This will thrust the economy into a recession at least and a depression at worst. It is only a matter of time before American Households clamp down further on their money. With Gasoline at almost 7 dollars a Gallon in some places. This cannot continue. Furthermore, the US Money supply is too great in number; they are inadvertently diluting their own currency. It is either vastly stupid if they have turned a blind eye to it. Or asinine knowingly pushing their own populous into poverty. I am holding my SHORT positions firmly as, I feel by Friday March 18th. The bottom will drop out. The numbers and the math both Micro and Macroeconomically is not sound; it cannot maintain this level or serious repercussions are imminent. DISCLAIMER: NOT PROFESSIONAL ADVISE, only personal speculation. Please do your research before you initiate trading. Happy and Safe Trading
Short
by TheBlackTravelForge
4
Dow Jones Market Correction Potential LevelsDJI with the clear breakouts from long-term channels (blue & dark pink). Interestingly "smart money" appears to have been incredibly prescient in timing a perfect sell-off before the p-demic lock-down and March 2020 crash. Most likely correction will be approx 40% from ATH to about 21.7k. Minimal market correction of 20% to 29.5k has low probability of being the floor given the significant "quantitative easing" realized. Correction to the top of the original long-term blue channel would be 60% retraction and would indicate a complete market reset. 40% corrections have been a common trend reflected in the NDX chart with events, posted yesterday and linked here.
DJ:DJIShort
by R0MM3LL
8
DJI Overheated & Ignoring InflationPick your correction level. Inflation running hot, price increases sharply increased. 6.1% in January 2022 over January 2021. Consumer spending up 2.1% January 22 over December 21... of course consumer spending is increasing, look at what is being purchased. Housing sales down another month, at least 3 in a row as real estate has increased at alarming rates. It's even more expensive to rent than to own now, assuming consumers can afford to buy. let's ignore double digit increases in groceries, gasoline, etc.Food inflation up to 7.4% Feb 2022. Commodities continue to skyrocket yoy: Oats 103.71% Soybeans 14.51% Wheat 23.94% Cheese 19.91% Milk 32.74% Sugar 7.95% Coffee 103.71% Canola 36.26% Corn 19.07% Beef 11.18%
FOREXCOM:US30Short
by R0MM3LL