Get started

Marketcrash

Signs of a new recession?This is a simple Elliot Impulsive/ Correction Wave analysis of a hypothetical upcoming market recession based on the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The crash is modeled after the 2007 - 2009 Sub-prime mortgage crisis. This projection is based on the assumption that the ABC correction wave will drop lower then the (2) impulsive mark by -12.85%. The A B points are estimated based on a very illustrative (1) (3) (4) channel. This concludes the C wave at 9000. This is an extreme scenario on a very long term scale and is not intended to be a trading recommendation. Use it at your own discretion for reference purposes.
DJ:DJIShort
by TradingShot
17
Part 1 - Risk-off August - VIX WeeklyVIX (Volatility Index) seems to be preparing for another spike in volatility. With the start of February 2018, VIX jumped. That spike in volatility could represent the first piece of a series of similar events. This indicator is used by analysts to measure the state of buy-sell investors’ emotions, complacency versus the fear effect. In simple terms, a rise in the VIX would or bring with it a sharp fall in Stocks and/or Indices. A decrease in the VIX represents the periods when market participants are in the state of greed, being complacent and euphorically enjoying the bull market. A rise in VIX indicates a period of uncertainty, risk-off events that impact the markets directly and suddenly. Such spikes bring with them a fear effect, when investors are beginning to feel worried for the market’s destined directions.
CBOE:VIXLong
by Lionheart-EWA
When Will We See a New Global MARKET CRASH? The Answer Is...KEY TAKE AWAY'S: - DOW JONES (DJI) 1. If we drop -16 % from our HIGH, we will go into a Bear Market (red dotted line) 2. 80 % of the time we will also drop to -24 % according to historical data 3. 73 % of the time, if we go into a Bear Market, we will also go into a recession. 4. AND an average bear market last 1.5 years with a -34 % percent decline in price! METHOD: - I have superimposed the 2007-2008 Crash on top of the new already in process ABC-correction. It matches with waves and divergences on e.g. RSI. - I have taking FA into consideration: a. Real Estate Crisis in the bigger cities - US Real Estate Bubble about to implode also b. Expectations to when and how much FED and chairman Powell's will raise interest rates c. Looked at the Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) and compared it to other Market Crashes RESULT: We will go into a Bear Market 30.9.2019 D4 - Please Leave a LIKE if you appreciated the content!
DJ:DJI
by D4rkEnergY
16
Transport and Trump Ruin US Stocks - DOW Is Once Again In DANGERDear Friends!! Ouch, ouch - Traditional Markets are bleeding Tuesday. Dow Jones, Nasdaq, SPX and Russell down 3-5 %! Worst day in a month. FAANG Stocks (Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix and Google) dizzy too. FB the least, but maybe not a surprise after Marc Zuckerberg's hearings in the senate in July, which has made FB Stocks fall like a knife. SO WHAT HAPPENED? - Dow transports suffer biggest-ever point drop, led FedEx and UPS stock selloffs. - And then we have Trump 'The Tariff Man', who had this idea, that he via his stupid Twitter messages, and after a face to face meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping could convince him not to raise tariffs on more than $200 billion in imports to 25% from 10%. It doesn't look good so far - and the markets have reacted negatively on that. And back to Dow Jones - DJIA closes 800 point under with a -3 % - looking from a TA Perceptive it is horrible news. As you can see, after our Powell Rally we managed to climb up on the EMA's and could cruise on them for a couple of months, and make some solid gains. After yesterdays drop - we only have support from last EMA. A very critical point! We really want to avoid falling below! -D4
DJ:DJI
by D4rkEnergY
7
IMPORTANT: US Stocks On a Powell Rally Until New Year - Buy Now!So we have seen the market reacted positively on the 3rd quarter - US Grew 3.5 % - GDP reports mostly a look in the rear mirror instead of the road ahead. The economy exploded in the spring and summer, propelled by tax cuts, strong consumer spending and rapid business investment. But, but, but... All that sounds good right? Nah, it might sound counter intuitive but high Consumer Spending and strong trust = The more likely we are to witness a Market Crash - And it will happen I'm convinced - within a year or two. After Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell yesterday soothed worries about the pace of future interest-rate increases, experts believes that we might witness a New Year Rally in US Stocks. And so do I. After his speech we got some firework. Dow: +2.5% Nasdaq: +2.95% SPX: +2.30 % It all matches my predictions I've made earlier. Looking at DJIA (Dow Jones) we have had Hidden Bullish Divergence (in fact on all major US key Indexes), which could indicate some good months before a potential Market Crash will occur. We had some problems in October after a 10 years historical low month. October is known for being the most volatile though. But looking at the 1D Chart you can see, how we for the first time in long time fell down under all the EMA's. Huge panic spread. An ugly HS formation was suddenly also in play. But watch now. We are again cruising on top of the EMA's - and we will probably do that for a while. Buy US Stocks now before the crash. D4 <3
DJ:DJILong
by D4rkEnergY
4