dxy has had a full head of steam, and thats meant bear action for equities as well as crypto, but you can see thats lost the velocity required to maintain its distributive wave. if you look at uup shorts you can quite see the maxing out of the markets ability to price in new liquidity as in contract the dollar supply and increase equity or currency pair demand...
quarterly momo is bearish in spy, and equity to gdp ratio is at or near a vertex, or local minimum. if you look at the volume based oscillations there is mixed indication. if you anchor vwap at the breakout level jan 2014 you can see were sitting right on the top band exploring the idea of a monthly higher low. if that breaks things like equity/gdp, market...
we are at a point where the use of credit to purchase staples has outpaced the use of cash to purchase other goods. the expense of debt in discretionary goods has reached an inflection point with the expense of transaction in basic supplies. the chart is at a high. the sell signal is in. count on the cost of goods being relatively cheaper, and that being bad for...
its really plain that this chart is not bullish. the last time we retraced over half a bounce we fell to the lows and made new lows. that means new lows for the broader market. i see an upside of 4% and a downside of 11%. i like selling any rip on large cap semiconductors by buying soxs.
losers/gainers looks like it has peaked weekly, but will show an opportunity for more longs after consolidation in the second half of the year