Marketmaker
GBP/USD: Distribution Signals a Drop to 1.25GBP/USD appears to be in a distribution phase, struggling to break through resistance around 1.2620. The price has formed multiple rejection points at this level, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
The recent lower high, combined with a potential break of the ascending trendline, suggests sellers are regaining control. If price breaches the key support zone, a move towards the 1.2500 region becomes increasingly likely.
With a bearish harmonic pattern and liquidity grab indications, GBP/USD could see further downside as selling pressure intensifies.
GOLD 4H ROUTE MAP TRADING PLAN / READ CAPTION CAREFULLYGOLD 4H Chart Analysis – 17th Feb 2025
Review of Previous Chart:
Entry Level: 2814
Take Profit 1: 2850.15 ✅ (Hit)
Take Profit 2: 2876.95 ✅ (Hit)
Take Profit 3: 2903.76 ✅ (Hit)
Take Profit 4: 2925.85 ✅ (Hit)
To Achive TP5, TP6, TP7 and TP8, please consider the following scenario below. Read the caption carefully.
Key Level: 2876
Resistance Level: 2900, 2925, 2942, 2952, 2984, 3017, 3052
Support Levels (Goldturn Levels) : 2876, 2852, 2828, 2803, 2776, 2747
GOLDTURN KEY LEVELS ARE ACTIVATED
EMA5 Behavior (Red Line):
Current EMA5: 2902.10
* EMA5 is fluctuating between two key weighted levels, with a gap above 2925 and below the 2900 GoldTurn level.
* A crossover of EMA5—either above or below the weighted level—will signal the next significant move for GOLD.
Bullish Targets
EMA5 cross and hold above 2900, will open the following bullish target 2925 ✅ DONE
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2925, will open the following bullish target 2952
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2952, will open the following bullish target 2984
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2984, will open the following bullish target 3017
EMA5 cross and lock Above 3017, will open the following bullish target 3052
Bearish Targets
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2900: will open the following bearish target 2876 ✅ DONE
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2876: will open the following bearish target 2852
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2852: will open the following bearish target 2828
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2828: will open the following bearish target 2803 (Retracement Range)
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2803: will open the following bearish target 2747 (Swing Range)
Trading Plan:
* Stay bullish and buy pullbacks from key levels.
* Avoid chasing tops—focus on buying dips.
* Use smaller timeframes for entries at Goldturn levels.
* Aim for 30–40 pips per trade for optimal risk management.
* Each level can yield 20–40+ pips reversals.
Short-Term Strategy:
Anticipate possible reversals at weighted GOLDTURN levels 2876, 2852 and 2828.
Leverage 1H timeframe to capture pullbacks around these levels.
Target 30–40 pips per trade, focusing on shorter positions for effective risk management.
GOLDTURN levels provide reliable bounce opportunities, allowing you to buy at dip levels.
Long-Term Outlook:
Maintain a bullish bias while using pullbacks as buying opportunities.
Buying near key support levels ensures better entry points and mitigates risks, avoiding the pitfalls of chasing tops.
Trade with confidence and discipline. Stay tuned for our daily updates! Please support us with likes, comments, and follows to keep these insights coming.
📉💰 The Quantum Trading Mastery
XAUMO REPORT February 13th🔥 XAU/USD (Gold) Market Maker Roadmap & Trade Playbook: How to Trade Like a Shark 🦈
🔍 Mastering Market Maker Tactics: Liquidity Traps, Reversals & Smart Money Moves
Welcome to the ultimate step-by-step roadmap for trading XAU/USD like a market maker. This is not just a trading plan—it’s a dynamic guide that reacts to every move Gold makes. You’ll anticipate retail trader liquidations, institutional traps, and high-probability reversals. Let’s dive in.
📍 Step 1: Identifying the Battlefield (Multi-Timeframe Analysis)
Primary Timeframe: 30-Min Chart
• This is where the game is played—identifying liquidity zones, VWAP deviations, and smart money footprints.
Precision Entry Timeframe: 5-Min Chart
• Confirms exact execution points—look for order blocks, volume spikes, and fake breakouts.
Directional Bias Timeframes:
• 1-Hour Chart: Institutional activity and trend confirmation.
• 4-Hour Chart: Macro trend analysis and liquidity positioning.
• Daily Chart: The big picture—where market makers have set traps for the week.
📌 Step 2: Market Maker’s Liquidity Traps
🔹 Where Does the Shark Hunt?
🟢 Liquidity Pools Below Price (Retail Stop Loss Clusters)
• Key Buy Zone: $2,884 - $2,876 (Market makers hunting retail longs).
• VWAP Lower Band: $2,884 → Major support zone.
🔴 Liquidity Pools Above Price (Retail Stop Hunts Before Reversing)
• Key Sell Zone: $2,924 - $2,930 (Retail traders trapped at highs).
• VWAP Upper Band: $2,930 → Major resistance zone.
📊 Step 3: Entry Playbook – How the Market Maker Moves
📌 Entry Type 1: Normal Long (Buying the Dip in a Bullish Market)
Scenario: Price Drops into Liquidity Pool at $2,884 - $2,876
🟢 Entry (Buy Limit) → $2,884
🎯 TP1: $2,910 (POC Reversion)
🎯 TP2: $2,924 (Liquidity Grab)
🎯 TP3: $2,940 (Major Supply Zone)
🚨 SL: $2,874 (Below liquidity grab)
📈 TSL: Move stop-loss to $2,910 after TP1 is hit.
What-If Scenarios?
✅ What if price moves to TP1 ($2,910)?
• Secure 40% of the position (0.4 lots).
• Move SL to breakeven ($2,884).
✅ What if price moves to TP2 ($2,924)?
• Secure 30% of the position (0.3 lots).
• Adjust TSL to $2,910.
✅ What if price moves to TP3 ($2,940)?
• Exit final 30% of position (0.3 lots).
• Look for potential reversal short.
📌 Entry Type 2: Normal Short (Selling the Trap at Resistance)
Scenario: Price Rises into a Liquidity Trap at $2,924 - $2,930
🔴 Entry (Sell Limit) → $2,924
🎯 TP1: $2,910 (VWAP Reversion)
🎯 TP2: $2,884 (Liquidity Target)
🎯 TP3: $2,860 (Deeper Flush)
🚨 SL: $2,930 (Above liquidity trap)
📉 TSL: Move stop-loss to $2,910 after TP1 is hit.
What-If Scenarios?
✅ What if price moves to TP1 ($2,910)?
• Secure 40% of position (0.4 lots).
• Move SL to breakeven ($2,924).
✅ What if price moves to TP2 ($2,884)?
• Secure 30% of position (0.3 lots).
• Adjust TSL to $2,910.
✅ What if price moves to TP3 ($2,860)?
• Exit final 30% of position (0.3 lots).
• Look for bullish re-entry.
📌 Entry Type 3: Breakout Play (London & NYC Sessions)
Scenario: Price Breaks Above $2,924 with Strong Volume
🔵 Entry (Buy Stop): $2,926
🎯 TP1: $2,940 (Fib Extension)
🎯 TP2: $2,948 (Final Supply)
🚨 SL: $2,914
📈 TSL: Trail behind VWAP.
✅ What-If Scenarios?
🚀 If price rejects at $2,940, exit early.
⚠️ If price breaks down below $2,924, flip short.
📌 Entry Type 4: Fakeout Trap (Market Maker Reversal)
Scenario: Price Breaks Above $2,930, But Volume Fails
🔴 Entry (Sell Stop Below Fakeout): $2,926
🎯 TP1: $2,910 (VWAP Test)
🎯 TP2: $2,884 (Liquidity Pool)
🚨 SL: $2,940
✅ What-If Scenarios?
⚡ If volume spikes above $2,930, close the trade.
⚡ If price breaks down fast, hold until TP2.
🔄 Step 4: How to Scale In & Out Like a Market Maker
✅ Scaling In:
• Add 0.2 lots per VWAP test when price confirms direction.
• Example: Buy 0.5 lots at $2,884, then add 0.2 lots at $2,876 if confirmation appears.
✅ Scaling Out:
• TP1: Exit 40% of position.
• TP2: Exit 30% of position.
• TP3: Exit final 30% of position.
🔥 Step 5: Market Maker Playbook – Dynamic Adjustments
What Happens If…
✅ Gold Moves in One Direction Without Pullbacks?
• Use VWAP deviations & RSI overbought zones to time reversals.
✅ Gold Breaks a Key Level & Holds?
• Flip position & enter on pullback to broken level.
✅ Volume Spikes on a Level & Price Stalls?
• Exit 50% immediately & move SL to breakeven.
✅ Gold Fakes Out & Reverses?
• Look for MACD cross + RSI divergence & enter opposite trade.
📌 Step 6: Session-Specific Execution Plan
🎯 Tokyo Session (Scalping Liquidity Traps)
✅ Market Conditions:
• Lower volatility but accumulation phase for later sessions.
• Market makers set up liquidity traps.
✅ Best Trades:
• Buy VWAP Lower Band at $2,884, target $2,910.
• Scalp breakout above $2,910 to $2,924 if volume confirms.
✅ Key Risks:
• If price fails to hold $2,884, expect deeper retrace to $2,876.
• If liquidity trap at $2,924 triggers, expect NYC reversal.
🎯 London Session (Breakouts & Momentum Moves)
✅ Market Conditions:
• High volatility from European banks entering the market.
• Market makers manipulate price to liquidate both sides.
✅ Best Trades:
• Breakout Buy above $2,926 (only with strong volume).
• Short rejection at $2,924 resistance (fakeout trap).
• Buy liquidity sweep at $2,884 after fake breakdown.
✅ Key Risks:
• If price consolidates between $2,910-$2,924, expect NYC move.
• If breakout fails at $2,926, market will hunt $2,884 liquidity.
🎯 NYC Session (Volatility, Traps, and Trend Reversals)
✅ Market Conditions:
• Peak liquidity with high volume from US market open.
• Major liquidity traps executed before trend moves.
✅ Best Trades:
• Buy deep liquidity trap at $2,884 for reversal.
• Short rejection of $2,940-$2,948 liquidity grab.
• Breakout buy above $2,926 ONLY if supported by order flow.
✅ Key Risks:
• If price stalls at $2,924 resistance, expect mean reversion.
• If NYC starts with a fakeout, expect price to reverse aggressively.
📌 Step 7: Order Flow & Delta Analysis
🟢 Bullish Confirmation:
• Positive delta + increasing volume at support = Strong buy setup.
• Aggressive limit buyers absorbing sell orders at $2,884.
🔴 Bearish Confirmation:
• Negative delta + sell imbalances at resistance = Strong short setup.
• Market makers triggering buy orders at $2,924 before dumping price.
📌 Step 8: Institutional Execution Plan
📈 Scenario 1: Bullish Trend Continuation Setup
🔹 Criteria: Price holds above VWAP & MAs, bullish order flow.
🔹 Entry: Buy Limit at $2,884 or Buy Stop at $2,926.
🔹 TP1: $2,910, TP2: $2,924, TP3: $2,940.
🔹 SL: $2,874, move to breakeven at TP1.
🔹 Scaling: Add 0.2 lots per VWAP test.
📉 Scenario 2: Bearish Liquidity Trap & Reversal Setup
🔸 Criteria: Price rejects $2,924 resistance with high volume.
🔸 Entry: Sell Limit at $2,924.
🔸 TP1: $2,910, TP2: $2,884, TP3: $2,860.
🔸 SL: $2,930 (Above liquidity trap).
🔸 Scaling: Add 0.2 lots per new rejection at resistance.
📌 Step 9: Advanced “What-If” Management for Market Reactions
✅ What if price consolidates near VWAP $2,910?
• No trade until a breakout or liquidity sweep occurs.
• Wait for volume confirmation at key levels ($2,884 or $2,924).
✅ What if price breaks above $2,926 with strength?
• Hold longs to TP3 ($2,940) with trailing stop.
✅ What if price fakes out above $2,930 but fails?
• Flip short aggressively with TP at $2,910 and $2,884.
✅ What if price crashes below $2,876?
• Look for deep liquidity trap at $2,860 before re-entering long.
✅ What if momentum dries up in NYC session?
• Exit 50% of all positions & tighten SLs aggressively.
📌 Final Step: The Market Maker’s Complete Daily Game Plan
🔹 Buy the liquidity grab at $2,884.
🔹 Sell the retail trap at $2,924.
🔹 Only play breakouts with strong volume confirmation.
🔹 Avoid consolidation—trade the extremes.
🔹 Adapt dynamically—VWAP, RSI, order flow, and smart money tracking.
📌 This is how you dominate XAU/USD like a market maker—executing liquidity sweeps before the crowd reacts. 🦈
📊 Final Take: The Market Maker’s Daily Game Plan
🔹 Buy the liquidity grab at $2,884.
🔹 Sell the retail trap at $2,924.
🔹 Play breakouts with confirmation.
🔹 Adapt dynamically—use VWAP, RSI, volume, and order flow.
📌 This is how you trade XAU/USD like a true market maker, swallowing retail traders before they even realize what happened. 🦈
Now its time to short!The Market is bought out.
But since a few weeks we are in a consolidation phase at the big US indices.
The markets are getting drowned with buy orders, but its stil ranging. Something which tells as that retailers are taking overhand. Institutions are using those phases to sell off their big postions too the "dumb money".
We just need to wait until the retail money is empty and there are no further buy orders.
At this moment big moves are gonna happen.
ETH 18000 DOLLARS BY SEPTEMBER 2025 God dam what a beautiful day it is , one dreams of such a entry in a bull market.
ETH will hit 18000 dollars by september 2025 there is nothing you can about it , this is the game, leverage wiped out and reset now we enter the "only up period" from this moment .
The key to finding out the next move was the USDT DOM like always pointing the way , the lower higher on the RSI showing divergence.
The money flow on MC indicator was very clearly showing this move , private indicator cant publish it on here.
The Fractal from 2020 on ETH is playing out FORGET THIS HAMMER WICK it is happening from here ETH will close in this channel and rally to 18k!
Do not give in to fear this is where you want to stack as much as possible . Invalidation of idea would be ETH closing a weekly candle under this ascending macro channel .
BTCUSD - Weekly chart updates and anticipated movementsSince everyone is aware of Bitcoin's previous movements in 2017 and 2021, everyone is assuming that it will now be worth 280K. However, Bitcoin is currently in a rally or range between 100,000 and 110,000, and this rally will continue until 2026, after which there will be a nice pullback to 73,000–74,000.
This move makes sense because BTC does not even touch these levels again after breaking the cup and handle pattern, thus it should give this level again in order to continue the trend.
I'm leaving for the time being because we should always be cautious since this rally has the potential to be a good dump.
We all know that once a higher high is broken, a retracement is necessary to continue the trend. This was not the case for all stocks worldwide following the US elections.
Bitcoin - Weekly updated chart and expected movesAs we all know about bitcoin past moves in 2017 and 2021 every thinking about same move according to that move bitcoin would be 280K now but bitcoin is doing rally/Range between 100,000-110,000 this rally continue till 2026, then we see a good move of retracement till 73,000-74,000.
This move is logical understandable because after breaking of cup and handle pattern BTC does not even touch these levels again so for continuation of trend BTC should give this level once again.
I am out for now because this rally can give a good dump so we should be careful about this every time.
As we all know that once a higher high breaks than for continuation of trend a retracement is compulsory this for all kind of stocks in the world which we did not seen after USA elections.
Bitcoin - An unexpected scenario that no one will tell u about!We all know about Bitcoin’s four-year cycle, and many compare the 2025 cycle to those of 2017 and 2021, analyzing common factors like the bull run and the massive price surges Bitcoin and altcoins experienced during those years.
But let me ask you an important question:
What if the bull run doesn’t happen in 2025 at all and this cycle extends until mid-2026?
As you know, the traders who truly profit in financial markets are the ones who think like market makers.
Does it seem logical to you that everyone expects a huge rally in 2025, and it actually happens just as anticipated?
Of course not.
2025 will be a year filled with price volatility designed to exhaust portfolios, drain liquidity, and spread uncertainty among traders.
We’ll see months where Bitcoin and altcoins surge parabolically, followed by months of brutal corrections, which will be less severe for Bitcoin but extremely painful for altcoins.
This price behavior may persist until Q4 2025 -Q1 2026, at which point Bitcoin will likely trade between $130K and $140K. All the analysts will tell you that the cycle has ended and that you should completely exit the market.
But in reality, that will be the true beginning of the bull run.
Bitcoin will continue its uptrend, targeting $300K, aligning with the Cup & Handle pattern target.
This level also corresponds to the 2.0 Fibonacci Retracement , reinforcing its significance as a major price objective.
It will be a violent surge within a short period, with a maximum duration of two months.
Most traders won't anticipate this move, and they will enter the market too late—right at the peak. That’s when the real bear market begins, trapping everyone in the market, just like in every previous cycle.
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
Market at a Turning Point: Nifty50's Next Big MoveThe chart provided is a daily timeframe analysis of the Nifty50 index, showing key technical levels and possible trade scenarios based on price action. It presents an opportunity for traders to assess potential breakout or breakdown levels and make informed trading decisions.
1. Current Market Scenario (Price Action Analysis)
The Nifty 50 index is currently trading at 23092. The index is moving within a descending triangle pattern, forming lower highs while maintaining support at key levels. Price is consolidating in a narrow range, indicating uncertainty and indecisiveness in the market.
2. Key Technical Zones Identified
A. Resistance Zone (Red Area)
The resistance zone is marked with a downward sloping trendline, highlighting consistent selling pressure. Nifty has faced multiple rejections around this trendline, indicating strong resistance levels. If the index breaks above this level with volume, it could signal the start of a bullish trend.
Key Levels:
Resistance at 23,600 - 24,000. A breakout above 24,000 could lead to a rally towards 25,200-25,600 levels.
B. Support Zone (Green Area)
The support zone represents a crucial price area where buying interest has historically emerged. This zone is critical for maintaining the current trend; breaking below could lead to a bearish continuation. If the index holds this level, it could provide a strong base for an upward move.
Key Levels:
Support at 22,800 - 23,000. A breakdown below 22,800 may trigger a decline towards 21,500-21,000 levels.
C. Monthly Timeframe Support Zone (Thicker Green Line)
A long-term support level derived from a higher timeframe (monthly chart). This level is significant, acting as a major inflection point for long-term investors. A breakdown below this zone may signal a shift in long-term sentiment.
Key Levels:
Strong support around 22,500. A sustained break could lead to deeper corrections.
D. Consolidation Zone (Circled Area)
Nifty is currently consolidating within a tight range inside the descending triangle. This phase usually precedes a strong directional move (either up or down). Traders should wait for confirmation before initiating new positions.
3. Potential Trading Strategies
A. Bullish Scenario (Green Arrow - Upside Move)
Trigger: A breakout above the resistance zone with strong volume and confirmation.
Entry: Buy when the price breaks 23,600-24,000, confirming with bullish candlesticks.
Targets:
First target: 24,800
Second target: 25,600
Long-term target: 26,400
Stop Loss: Below the breakout level around 23,400, ensuring risk management.
B. Bearish Scenario (Red Arrow - Downside Move)
Trigger: A breakdown below the support zone with strong selling pressure.
Entry: Short when the price falls below 22,800, confirming with bearish candlesticks.
Targets:
First target: 22,000
Second target: 21,500
Long-term target: 20,400
Stop Loss: Above the support zone around 23,200, to minimize risk.
4. Risk Management Considerations
Risk-Reward Ratio: Maintain at least a 1:2 ratio, ensuring the reward outweighs the risk.
Trailing Stop Loss: As the price moves favorably, adjust the stop loss to secure partial profits.
Market Sentiment: Keep an eye on global markets and news events that may impact Nifty’s movement.
5. Final Outlook and Recommendation
For Bulls (Buyers): Wait for a breakout confirmation above resistance before entering long positions. Focus on targets around 24,800 and higher.
For Bears (Sellers): Watch for a decisive breakdown below support to enter short trades.
Targets could extend down to 21,500 levels.
For Neutral Traders: Wait for clear confirmation before taking directional trades to avoid false breakouts.
Tempus AI: Analyzing Tempus AI, Inc. (NASDAQ: TEM): Is It a Buy Industry Position and Growth Potential
· Market Trends: The AI in healthcare market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 45.1% from 2023 to 2030, driven by demand for personalized medicine and advancements in AI technology.
· Competitive Landscape: Tempus AI competes with companies like IBM Watson Health and Google Health. However, Tempus's data-driven approach and partnerships with academic and research institutions provide differentiation.
Financial Performance
· Revenue Growth: Tempus AI has shown revenue growth, with a projected increase of 30% year-over-year for Q4 2024. The company's revenue for FY2024 is expected to reach $705.74 million.
· Profitability Metrics:
· Gross Margin: Improving gross margins indicate better cost management and operational efficiency.
· Operating Margin: The company is progressing towards profitability, as suggested by narrowing operating losses.
· Net Income: Recent trends towards profitability signal positive long-term prospects.
· Balance Sheet Health:
· Debt-to-Equity Ratio: Maintaining a low debt-to-equity ratio supports financial stability. Tempus AI manages its debt levels prudently.
· Cash Reserves: Adequate cash reserves enable investment in R&D and help navigate market uncertainties.
Innovation and Research
· R&D Investments: Substantial investment in R&D reflects Tempus AI's commitment to innovation. Ongoing development of algorithms and technologies positions the company well in the AI healthcare market.
· Intellectual Property: Patents and proprietary technologies protect Tempus AI's innovations and provide a competitive edge.
Management and Governance
· Leadership Team: A management team with experience in healthcare and technology is crucial. Tempus AI's leadership has a track record in driving growth and innovation.
· Corporate Governance: Transparent practices and policies that prioritize shareholder interests enhance investor confidence.
Market Sentiment and Analyst Opinions
· Analyst Ratings: Analysts generally give a "Buy" rating, reflecting positive expectations for Tempus AI's future performance. The average price target of $57.20 suggests a potential upside of 20.07%.
· Investor Confidence: Institutional investments and insider buying can indicate confidence in the company's prospects.
Is Tempus AI a Buy or Sell?
Based on the expanded analysis:
Pros:
· High-growth industry with substantial market potential.
· Technological capabilities and strong data assets.
· Positive revenue growth and progress towards profitability.
· Strategic partnerships and collaborations enhance market position.
Cons:
· Competition from other AI healthcare technology firms.
· Regulatory challenges specific to the healthcare sector.
· Financial risks if profitability is not achieved as expected.
Rating: For investors with a higher risk tolerance and a long-term investment horizon, Tempus AI could be considered a "Buy". Personal due diligence is essential, along with consideration of individual financial goals.
Strategy -
Utilizing Call Options
Buying call options can leverage Tempus AI's potential stock appreciation.
Benefits of Call Options:
· Leverage: Options allow control of more shares with less capital compared to directly purchasing stock.
· Risk Management: The maximum loss is limited to the premium paid for the option, providing defined risk.
· Flexibility: Options with 1 to 12-month expiries align with specific company milestones or market events.
Example Strategy:
· 1-Month Expiry Call: Suited for short-term strategies, such as upcoming earnings reports or product launches.
· 6-Month to 12-Month Expiry Call: Ideal for longer-term strategies, allowing benefit from anticipated growth or industry developments.
Risks and Considerations
· Time Decay (Theta): Options lose value as expiration approaches, particularly if the stock price does not move favorably.
· Volatility (Vega): High volatility can increase option premiums but also introduces higher risk.
· Market Risk: Unpredictable market conditions can affect stock prices regardless of the company's performance.
· Liquidity Risk: Options with low trading volume may be harder to sell at a desired price.
Risk Management
· Diversification: Avoid allocating all investment capital to a single company or strategy.
· Position Sizing: Only risk a small percentage of your portfolio on options trades.
· Stay Informed: Keep up with news about Tempus AI, industry trends, and market conditions.
· Set Clear Goals: Define entry and exit points. Consider using stop-loss orders to manage potential losses.
Trading Is Risky
Trading, especially with derivatives like options, involves significant risk and may not be suitable for everyone. Potential for high returns comes with the possibility of substantial losses.
· Understand Before You Invest: Ensure full understanding of how options work and the risks involved.
· Seek Professional Advice: Consult with a financial advisor for personalized guidance based on your financial situation and investment goals.
Conclusion
Tempus AI, Inc. presents an opportunity in the evolving AI healthcare sector. The company's innovative approach, revenue growth, and strategic partnerships make it a compelling investment prospect. It's crucial to weigh risks and consider personal risk tolerance before making decisions.
Risk Warning
Trading stocks and options is a risky activity and can result in losses. You should only trade if you understand the risks involved and are comfortable with the potential for losses.
Rating: Buy
Risk Disclaimer!
The article and the data is for general information use only, not advice!
Risk Disclaimer!
General Risk Warning: Trading on the Financial Markets, Stock Exchange and all its asset derivatives is highly speculative and may not be suitable for all investors. Only invest with money you can afford to lose and ensure that you fully understand the risks involved. It is important that you understand how Trading and Investing on the stock exchange works and that you consider whether you can afford the high risk of loss.
XAU/USD H4 Analysis: Bullish Continuation with Key Target!H4 Analysis – XAU/USD
Current Price: $2,668
Gold is currently consolidating within a well defined upward channel on the 4h timeframe. The market has exhibited steady bullish momentum after bouncing off a key support zone around $2620. Recent price movements show strong bullish momentum, pointing towards a possible move to higher resistance levels.
Key Features:
- Resistance Zone: Around $2730, where price could face selling pressure.
- Support Zone: Around $2660, aligning with the trendline, acting as a potential entry point.
- Trendline Support: The trendline drawn indicates a steady bullish climb, with price respecting this dynamic support.
- Target Zone: The ultimate target for this analysis is at $2,760, which aligns with a historical resistance level.
There are a few news events this week that could impact our analysis. I will update this idea with any potential entry opportunities.
A Bullish Momentum Ahead! XAU/USDH1 Analysis - Current Price: $2687
Gold has been climbing steadily over the past few days, and the daily (D1) bias remains bullish. My weekly analysis suggests that the market is likely to reach $2760 this week, with strong bullish momentum.
For now, with the daily close at $2697, I expect a minor correction towards the H1 unmitigated order block. Notably, this order block coincides with a trendline. If prices bounce from this demand zone, there are two key levels where the market could face resistance:
The first resistance is at the trendline, between $2703 and $2706.
The second resistance zone is between $2710 and $2715, where we have an H4 Fair Value Gap (FVG) and an order block. At this point, a small correction could occur again.
Let's observe how the price reacts to these zones and monitor the potential upward movement. Always remember to conduct your own analysis before making any trading decisions.
Capital Shifts in Crypto: Liquidity, Corrections, and the FutureOn a growing market, each correction serves as a mechanism for capital redistribution. In the cryptocurrency sector, where the market is relatively small, profit-taking on major assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) has a significantly negative impact on less capitalized altcoins.
Analogy with traditional markets
Traditional financial markets follow similar principles. Here, Bitcoin can be compared to gold, while altcoins are akin to stocks or bonds. When positions in gold are closed, the fluctuations are less noticeable due to the market's greater liquidity and volume. However, stocks, with their lower capitalization, show significant volatility, leading to an equivalent increase in potential dollar gains.
Depth and structure of the crypto market
The crypto market still lacks depth, predominantly involving small-scale investment funds by global standards. Competition among expert traders and investors is limited, leading to low profitability or zero gain on bear markets, where professionals trade against each other, for instance, Wintermute traders against GSR traders. In traditional markets, where both professionals and retail investors participate, professionals have an advantage due to more variables.
Liquidity and spread
Both markets allow for earning on the spread, although currently, spreads are relatively small. The redistribution of liquidity, especially during market downturns, is driven by both psychological factors and the technical aspects of position closing, particularly when comparing futures trading with combined spot and futures trading.
Indexation and synthetic assets
The creation of indexes in the crypto sphere could be the next step. There are already examples like Reserve Rights (RSR), where real-world assets are tokenized to create stablecoins. Forming indexes similar to the S&P500 or US100 could combine crypto assets by similar characteristics, increasing liquidity and opening new investment avenues. However, this could lead to issues similar to those in 2007 in traditional markets, where "packages" included high-risk assets.
Conclusion
Implementing such tools might soften the liquidity redistribution effect for retail investors but could complicate things for funds and market makers, reducing their ability to buy assets at reduced prices. The cryptocurrency market is at the stage of mass adoption, and upon completion of this process, new forms of digital money may emerge.
Written by Alexander Kostenich (WIDECHAR),
Horban Brothers.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(07/01/2025)Today will be gap up opening expected in banknifty. Possible it will open near 50450 level. After opening it will face immediate resistance at this level and expected downside from this level upto 50050 and this downside can extend for further 400-500+ points in case banknifty starts trading below 49950 level. Any upside rally only expected if banknifty starts trading and sustain above 50550 level.
$BITF - Time to Shine?NASDAQ:BITF
This stock have been relatively unimpressive since its big rally in March 2024.
Bitfarms Ltd. NASDAQ:BITF presents a compelling bullish opportunity for investors as the company positions itself for significant growth. Despite underwhelming performance since its March 2024 rally, recent developments suggest potential for higher prices in the months ahead.
With Bitcoin crossing the $100,000 mark, Bitfarms is well-positioned to capitalize on increased cryptocurrency adoption. Its synthetic HODL strategy, which saw a 286% rise in long-dated Bitcoin call options, reflects confidence in higher Bitcoin prices, further supporting its bullish outlook
In conclusion, Bitfarms’ strategic upgrades, market positioning, and Bitcoin’s bullish environment support a favorable outlook. Investors seeking exposure to the cryptocurrency mining sector may find NASDAQ:BITF an attractive candidate for medium- to long-term growth.
I will post further Exit/ TP objective as we see NASDAQ:BITF move out of its current consolidation.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 06/01/2025Gap up opening expected in nifty. After opening nifty will trade in between the zone of 24000-24200 level. If nifty gives breakout of 24200 level and starts trading above 24250 then expected strong bullish rally in today's session. Similarly, In case nifty starts trading below 23950 level then bearish rally expected in nifty. This downside movement can goes upto 23750 level.
USDT Dominance Chart Analysis. The chart shows a symmetrical triangle formation, indicating a potential breakout scenario.
A break to the downside could lead to a significant decrease in USDT dominance, as the chart’s measured move suggests.
A breakdown from current levels could result in a drop to 18.77%, aiming to move towards 3.50% dominance.
Breakdown Scenario:
If the dominance breaks below 4.30%, expect a drop towards 3.50%.
This could be in line with a bullish scenario for the altcoin, as a decrease in USDT dominance often signals capital inflows into crypto assets.
A move above 4.40% would invalidate the bearish setup and could signal further consolidation or an upside breakout.
A drop in USDT dominance often correlates with altcoin rallies, as traders allocate capital to riskier assets.
Wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown with adequate volume before entering any position.
Disclaimer:
Chart patterns provide probabilities, not guarantees. Do additional research and ensure proper risk management before taking action.
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 12.30.2024🔮
📅 Mon Dec 30
⏰ 9:45am
Chicago PMI: 42.7 (previous: 40.2)
⏰ 10:00am
Pending Home Sales m/m: 0.9% (previous: 2.0%)
📅 Tue Dec 31
⏰ 9:00am
S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y: 4.1% (previous: 4.6%)
📅 Thu Jan 2
⏰ 8:30am
Unemployment Claims: 220K (previous: 219K)
⏰ 9:45am
Final Manufacturing PMI: 48.3 (previous: 48.3)
⏰ 11:00am
Crude Oil Inventories
📅 Fri Jan 3
⏰ 10:00am
ISM Manufacturing PMI: 48.3 (previous: 48.4)
GAP ABOVE HPZ:
Markets are playing traders
like a fiddle. If it pumps then
an impeding drop
OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
Tag the upper levels before
drop into 5951 area
GAP BELOW HCZ:
This will cause extreme hedging
which will drag the markets up higher
before a dump lower
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
CRYPTO SUPER CYCLE 2024-2026:BEAR TO BULL ALL WHAT YOU NEED HERE🔄 CRYPTO MARKET CYCLES: MAJOR TRANSITION - FROM BEAR TO BULL 2024-2026
Technical Market Cycle Analysis:
- Current price: $346.31
- Clear transition from bear to bull market
- Three distinct cycles identified: BTC, ETH, ATLS
Market Phase Breakdown:
📉 Bear Market (2022-2024):
- Declining trend complete
- Bottom formation validated
- Accumulation phase ending
📈 Bull Market (2025-2026):
- BTC cycle initiating bull run
- ETH cycle following
- ATLS cycle completing the sequence
Key Observations:
- "Traders confusion" zones marked at critical transitions
- Clear cycle progression: BTC → ETH → ATLS
- Market structure showing higher lows forming
- Volume profile supporting bullish transition
⚠️ Critical Points:
- Major market cycle shift in progress
- Multiple timeframe alignment
- Clear cycle rotation pattern
- Historical pattern repetition
🔔 Market Intelligence:
- Bull market projected until end of 2026
- Three distinct crypto cycles identified
- Clear market phase transitions
- Institutional accumulation evident
#CryptoMarketCycles #BullMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading #MarketPhases
Want detailed cycle breakdown? 📊FOLLOW ME
Mean Reversion CME GAP at FOMC -> Pump until BOJ Rate DecissionHello guys! I will share a mean reversion idea on Bitcoin with you today.
I expect Bitcoin to close the CME Gap, that got made at the beginning of the week. Currently we are very close to starting the recovery process. The CME Gap closing aligns very good with a mean reversion to the 50EMA on the 4hr timeframe. This could be an indication for a trend continuation of Bitcoin to the upside until friday when the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will decide their rate policy. We will look into the chart from a new perspective on friday so take this trade idea as a short term one. I mentioned in the chart that we have an unrecovered pink vector candle at the top. This could be an good area to aim for in the reversal process to take profit. With good execution this could be an good trade from 102k to 108k. Me personal, I don't think we will see a rate cut and if so only a small one. So nothing that will shake the markets to hard. I hope.
Trade SAFE!