XAU/USD H4 Analysis: Bullish Continuation with Key Target!H4 Analysis – XAU/USD
Current Price: $2,668
Gold is currently consolidating within a well defined upward channel on the 4h timeframe. The market has exhibited steady bullish momentum after bouncing off a key support zone around $2620. Recent price movements show strong bullish momentum, pointing towards a possible move to higher resistance levels.
Key Features:
- Resistance Zone: Around $2730, where price could face selling pressure.
- Support Zone: Around $2660, aligning with the trendline, acting as a potential entry point.
- Trendline Support: The trendline drawn indicates a steady bullish climb, with price respecting this dynamic support.
- Target Zone: The ultimate target for this analysis is at $2,760, which aligns with a historical resistance level.
There are a few news events this week that could impact our analysis. I will update this idea with any potential entry opportunities.
Marketmaker
A Bullish Momentum Ahead! XAU/USDH1 Analysis - Current Price: $2687
Gold has been climbing steadily over the past few days, and the daily (D1) bias remains bullish. My weekly analysis suggests that the market is likely to reach $2760 this week, with strong bullish momentum.
For now, with the daily close at $2697, I expect a minor correction towards the H1 unmitigated order block. Notably, this order block coincides with a trendline. If prices bounce from this demand zone, there are two key levels where the market could face resistance:
The first resistance is at the trendline, between $2703 and $2706.
The second resistance zone is between $2710 and $2715, where we have an H4 Fair Value Gap (FVG) and an order block. At this point, a small correction could occur again.
Let's observe how the price reacts to these zones and monitor the potential upward movement. Always remember to conduct your own analysis before making any trading decisions.
Capital Shifts in Crypto: Liquidity, Corrections, and the FutureOn a growing market, each correction serves as a mechanism for capital redistribution. In the cryptocurrency sector, where the market is relatively small, profit-taking on major assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) has a significantly negative impact on less capitalized altcoins.
Analogy with traditional markets
Traditional financial markets follow similar principles. Here, Bitcoin can be compared to gold, while altcoins are akin to stocks or bonds. When positions in gold are closed, the fluctuations are less noticeable due to the market's greater liquidity and volume. However, stocks, with their lower capitalization, show significant volatility, leading to an equivalent increase in potential dollar gains.
Depth and structure of the crypto market
The crypto market still lacks depth, predominantly involving small-scale investment funds by global standards. Competition among expert traders and investors is limited, leading to low profitability or zero gain on bear markets, where professionals trade against each other, for instance, Wintermute traders against GSR traders. In traditional markets, where both professionals and retail investors participate, professionals have an advantage due to more variables.
Liquidity and spread
Both markets allow for earning on the spread, although currently, spreads are relatively small. The redistribution of liquidity, especially during market downturns, is driven by both psychological factors and the technical aspects of position closing, particularly when comparing futures trading with combined spot and futures trading.
Indexation and synthetic assets
The creation of indexes in the crypto sphere could be the next step. There are already examples like Reserve Rights (RSR), where real-world assets are tokenized to create stablecoins. Forming indexes similar to the S&P500 or US100 could combine crypto assets by similar characteristics, increasing liquidity and opening new investment avenues. However, this could lead to issues similar to those in 2007 in traditional markets, where "packages" included high-risk assets.
Conclusion
Implementing such tools might soften the liquidity redistribution effect for retail investors but could complicate things for funds and market makers, reducing their ability to buy assets at reduced prices. The cryptocurrency market is at the stage of mass adoption, and upon completion of this process, new forms of digital money may emerge.
Written by Alexander Kostenich (WIDECHAR),
Horban Brothers.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(07/01/2025)Today will be gap up opening expected in banknifty. Possible it will open near 50450 level. After opening it will face immediate resistance at this level and expected downside from this level upto 50050 and this downside can extend for further 400-500+ points in case banknifty starts trading below 49950 level. Any upside rally only expected if banknifty starts trading and sustain above 50550 level.
$BITF - Time to Shine?NASDAQ:BITF
This stock have been relatively unimpressive since its big rally in March 2024.
Bitfarms Ltd. NASDAQ:BITF presents a compelling bullish opportunity for investors as the company positions itself for significant growth. Despite underwhelming performance since its March 2024 rally, recent developments suggest potential for higher prices in the months ahead.
With Bitcoin crossing the $100,000 mark, Bitfarms is well-positioned to capitalize on increased cryptocurrency adoption. Its synthetic HODL strategy, which saw a 286% rise in long-dated Bitcoin call options, reflects confidence in higher Bitcoin prices, further supporting its bullish outlook
In conclusion, Bitfarms’ strategic upgrades, market positioning, and Bitcoin’s bullish environment support a favorable outlook. Investors seeking exposure to the cryptocurrency mining sector may find NASDAQ:BITF an attractive candidate for medium- to long-term growth.
I will post further Exit/ TP objective as we see NASDAQ:BITF move out of its current consolidation.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 06/01/2025Gap up opening expected in nifty. After opening nifty will trade in between the zone of 24000-24200 level. If nifty gives breakout of 24200 level and starts trading above 24250 then expected strong bullish rally in today's session. Similarly, In case nifty starts trading below 23950 level then bearish rally expected in nifty. This downside movement can goes upto 23750 level.
USDT Dominance Chart Analysis. The chart shows a symmetrical triangle formation, indicating a potential breakout scenario.
A break to the downside could lead to a significant decrease in USDT dominance, as the chart’s measured move suggests.
A breakdown from current levels could result in a drop to 18.77%, aiming to move towards 3.50% dominance.
Breakdown Scenario:
If the dominance breaks below 4.30%, expect a drop towards 3.50%.
This could be in line with a bullish scenario for the altcoin, as a decrease in USDT dominance often signals capital inflows into crypto assets.
A move above 4.40% would invalidate the bearish setup and could signal further consolidation or an upside breakout.
A drop in USDT dominance often correlates with altcoin rallies, as traders allocate capital to riskier assets.
Wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown with adequate volume before entering any position.
Disclaimer:
Chart patterns provide probabilities, not guarantees. Do additional research and ensure proper risk management before taking action.
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 12.30.2024🔮
📅 Mon Dec 30
⏰ 9:45am
Chicago PMI: 42.7 (previous: 40.2)
⏰ 10:00am
Pending Home Sales m/m: 0.9% (previous: 2.0%)
📅 Tue Dec 31
⏰ 9:00am
S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y: 4.1% (previous: 4.6%)
📅 Thu Jan 2
⏰ 8:30am
Unemployment Claims: 220K (previous: 219K)
⏰ 9:45am
Final Manufacturing PMI: 48.3 (previous: 48.3)
⏰ 11:00am
Crude Oil Inventories
📅 Fri Jan 3
⏰ 10:00am
ISM Manufacturing PMI: 48.3 (previous: 48.4)
GAP ABOVE HPZ:
Markets are playing traders
like a fiddle. If it pumps then
an impeding drop
OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
Tag the upper levels before
drop into 5951 area
GAP BELOW HCZ:
This will cause extreme hedging
which will drag the markets up higher
before a dump lower
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
CRYPTO SUPER CYCLE 2024-2026:BEAR TO BULL ALL WHAT YOU NEED HERE🔄 CRYPTO MARKET CYCLES: MAJOR TRANSITION - FROM BEAR TO BULL 2024-2026
Technical Market Cycle Analysis:
- Current price: $346.31
- Clear transition from bear to bull market
- Three distinct cycles identified: BTC, ETH, ATLS
Market Phase Breakdown:
📉 Bear Market (2022-2024):
- Declining trend complete
- Bottom formation validated
- Accumulation phase ending
📈 Bull Market (2025-2026):
- BTC cycle initiating bull run
- ETH cycle following
- ATLS cycle completing the sequence
Key Observations:
- "Traders confusion" zones marked at critical transitions
- Clear cycle progression: BTC → ETH → ATLS
- Market structure showing higher lows forming
- Volume profile supporting bullish transition
⚠️ Critical Points:
- Major market cycle shift in progress
- Multiple timeframe alignment
- Clear cycle rotation pattern
- Historical pattern repetition
🔔 Market Intelligence:
- Bull market projected until end of 2026
- Three distinct crypto cycles identified
- Clear market phase transitions
- Institutional accumulation evident
#CryptoMarketCycles #BullMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading #MarketPhases
Want detailed cycle breakdown? 📊FOLLOW ME
Mean Reversion CME GAP at FOMC -> Pump until BOJ Rate DecissionHello guys! I will share a mean reversion idea on Bitcoin with you today.
I expect Bitcoin to close the CME Gap, that got made at the beginning of the week. Currently we are very close to starting the recovery process. The CME Gap closing aligns very good with a mean reversion to the 50EMA on the 4hr timeframe. This could be an indication for a trend continuation of Bitcoin to the upside until friday when the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will decide their rate policy. We will look into the chart from a new perspective on friday so take this trade idea as a short term one. I mentioned in the chart that we have an unrecovered pink vector candle at the top. This could be an good area to aim for in the reversal process to take profit. With good execution this could be an good trade from 102k to 108k. Me personal, I don't think we will see a rate cut and if so only a small one. So nothing that will shake the markets to hard. I hope.
Trade SAFE!
PROVEN STRATEGY FOR PROFITSThe Truth About the Holy Grail Market Strategy
Every trader dreams of finding that perfect strategy—the so-called "Holy Grail" that guarantees success. The one that wins every trade, beats every market condition, and transforms your account overnight.
Here’s the secret: it doesn’t exist.
Why do we chase it, then? Because we’ve been conditioned from a young age to believe there’s always a right answer. In school, careers, and life, we’re taught to strive for perfection and fear mistakes. This mindset slips into trading, where losses feel like personal failures instead of natural steps in the process.
Unfortunately, this is also why strategies claiming "100% accuracy" get so much attention. They feed into our hope of finding that mythical Holy Grail. People flock to these posts, hitting like, commenting, and even buying courses—all based on a fantasy. And the creators? They profit off this hope, knowing full well that no strategy is foolproof.
The reality is, trading isn’t about being right. It’s about being consistent. The pros aren’t chasing Holy Grails—they’re managing risk, mastering probabilities, and playing the long game.
If you’re stuck in the trap of searching for perfection, stop and ask yourself: Am I being sold a dream instead of learning the skills that matter?
Success in trading doesn’t come from avoiding losses but from mastering how to lose small and win big. Once you realize that, you’ll stop chasing myths and start building something real.
✨ Forget the Holy Grail. Focus on discipline, probabilities, and growth. ✨
FOLLOW ME FOR MORE SUCH CONTENT AHEAD
Till then,
HAPPY TRADING :)
Crypto Silver Ethereum importance The most important reason of this bullish wave is not Ethereum, maybe it's rised as normal as others but the main reason is BTC and gold
And the reason of Rising and the main Stuff was The presidency of an important country like us, can make a Big wave like this
Some flagship Coins like Xrp and Ada has their own news and fundamental.
So i think eth cant relate this Sharpy wave rise.
The dominance of Btc on market is dumping in my opinion and it will continue tol the Eth dominance rise to see a new alt season.
This valuable and volume of Eth is not really fair for This young Crypto Silver.i can bet one day you will forget about btc lol just kidding.
Btw we have 2 scenarios for monthly ranging triangle technically for:
If you don't expect any sudden news or war tensions or Powell Time Sharp moves, we can have rising scenario with slowly ranging in 1month timeframe
Instead if we have the Low and weak Eth we can expect Dumping and we can start to check the Eth after breaking triangle from Down part.
Btw i like to just wait to see what happens in 2 weeks for this young mom Coin(eth) haha
Good luck
US30 to continue rise?Hi Guys, Its been a long time since ive posted. I hope everyone is killing it.
I have been away mastering US30, as you know I used to trade GJ and Gold mostly. So I am back. Watch this space for some fire analysis.
I have been in buys on US30 for almost the past 2 weeks. After a double bottom from the previous bearish market reversal from the week before.
It looks like we have completed 2 full levels of rise, and made a new high. This high was retested, so I think that we could see more rise on this pair for the rest of the week. While not disregarding the fact that we could have a pullback before the rise.
However I am in a buy with tight risk.
ZKJ/USDTBYBIT:ZKJUSDT
"ZKJ 💰 currently has a market cap of $96.59M. The price is at 1.3967 📉, which is a resistance zone 🚧. Resistance levels are areas where the price may struggle to move higher because sellers often step in at these points, causing a potential price reversal or stall.
If the price manages to break above this 1.3967 level 🚀, we could see the next resistance levels at **1.5672** 📈, **1.6839** 💥, and **1.845** ⚡. These are areas where the price might face further selling pressure, which could slow or stop the upward movement.
However, if the price doesn't break through the resistance zone and starts to fall 📉, support levels are crucial. The support levels at **1.300** 💪 and **1.200** 🔽 are points where the price could find buying interest, helping to prevent further declines. Support is like a "floor" where the price tends to stop falling and potentially bounces back up.
It's important to watch how the market reacts around these levels, as a break above resistance or a bounce off support can signal the next move. Remember, price action is unpredictable, and market conditions can change quickly! 🧐
Not financial advice! ⚠️ Stay informed and manage risks wisely."
S&P potential long when new york market opensas the bullish daily bias show us, we can see some liq to the downside that could be taken . after that we could react at the 70-80 % fib level , which is as well at the 1h Order Block . that would give us nice confirmation and we could take a trade if we get a good setup to that, the main thing is that we are bullish and that we want to get higher. but unfortunately everything can happen and we are not forcing trades. Risk 1-3 %
Luna/UsdtBINANCE:LUNAUSDT
### 🚀 **$LUNA/USDT - 140 Days Range Breakout** 🚀
**What is a "Range Breakout"?**
A **range breakout** happens when the price of an asset (in this case, LUNA) moves decisively outside a price range it has been stuck in for a while. In this instance, we're looking at a 140-day period where LUNA's price was consistently bouncing between two price levels. If LUNA has broken through these levels, it could indicate a **shift in market sentiment**, signaling that the price is about to move significantly.
---
### 🔑 **What Does This Mean for LUNA?**
**1. Momentum Shift:**
- LUNA has been consolidating for **140 days**, meaning it was trading in a sideways pattern with no clear direction. But with the breakout, the market could be signaling that **bullish momentum** is now kicking in.
- **When price breaks out of a range**, especially after a long period, it often leads to a big price move in the direction of the breakout (in this case, up 🚀).
---
### 🎯 **Key Price Targets: $0.680 and $0.800** 🎯
- **$0.680**: If LUNA continues to rally, the next key level to watch could be around $0.680. This is where we might see **resistance**—meaning, the price could slow down or even pull back as traders take profits.
- **$0.800**: Beyond $0.680, the next psychological resistance could be $0.800. If LUNA can break and close above $0.680, $0.800 could be within reach as a **strong psychological resistance level**.
---
### 📈 **Volume Matters!**
- For this breakout to be real, we want to see **high volume** confirming the move. This means more people are buying into LUNA, supporting the upward trend.
- If the breakout happens with low volume, it could be a **false breakout**, and the price could quickly drop back inside the previous range.
---
### 💡 **Market Sentiment & Broader Trends** 💡
- **Bitcoin & Ethereum's influence**: LUNA’s movement could be influenced by the overall market, especially the trends in BTC and ETH. A **bullish environment** in the crypto market tends to drive altcoins higher.
- If Bitcoin starts to move up, it could give LUNA the boost it needs to reach those higher price targets! 🌕
---
### ⚠️ **Stay Cautious & Manage Risk** ⚠️
- **Resistance Levels**: If you’re watching the price move up, keep an eye on those **key resistance levels** ($0.680 and $0.800). These are places where the price could slow down or reverse.
- **Stop-Loss Strategy**: Always have a plan in case things go wrong! Setting a **stop-loss** can help you limit any downside risk.
---
### 📊 **TL;DR (Too Long; Didn't Read)**
- **Breakout from a 140-day range** suggests **bullish momentum** for LUNA/USDT. 🚀
- **Price targets**: $0.680 and $0.800 are the next big resistance levels to watch. 📈
- Always confirm with **volume** and be aware of **market sentiment**! 🔍
---
### 🚀 **To the Moon? Or Will it Get Stuck?** 🚀
With everything lining up, there's a possibility of an exciting run toward $0.680 and $0.800. However, like with all trades, the crypto market can be unpredictable. Keep your eyes on the charts, and always stay prepared for anything! 🧐💸
Remember, it's always important to do your own research and never invest more than you can afford to lose. Happy trading! 💪🚀
OP / UsdtBINANCE:OPUSDT
NASDAQ:OP / USDT: Clean bullish breakout on the daily chart! 📈
We've seen a bullish breakout that suggests strong upward momentum. Now, I'm waiting for the retest of the breakout area before considering an entry. This is a classic move that often provides a great buying opportunity for those who are patient! ⏳
I believe there’s a solid chance for a long position around the $1.980 - $1.950 support zone. This area has shown strong support in the past and could be the perfect spot for entering a trade. 💣
Once we see a confirmation of the retest and a potential bounce off this level, it could be go time! 🚦
Looking higher, the upper key resistance zone is around $2.650 - $2.700. This will be a critical zone to watch, as a breakout above this could signal an even stronger rally. 🚀
Pump potential: I’m eyeing a potential +/- 30% move if the breakout continues to play out as expected! 📈💥
See you in a few days! Let’s keep an eye on how the price behaves around those key levels! 👀
Remember, this is not financial advice. 🙅♂️📊 Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Bitcoin Update !!The BTC/USDT chart shows that Bitcoin has returned to its all-time high range, approaching a crucial resistance area around $72,000 – $73,000.
Bitcoin has reached the historical resistance level, marked by the orange line. This area has triggered retracements, indicating that BTC may face selling pressure.
The red arrow indicates a potential pullback scenario if BTC fails to break and hold above this resistance. In this case, BTC could retrace towards the $64,000 level or lower support areas within the descending channel.
If BTC successfully breaks this resistance with strong volumes, it could confirm a bullish continuation toward new highs. Rejection could signal consolidation or a downward correction.
Monitor any breakout or rejection signals around this resistance area to anticipate BTC’s next move.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed.
You can DM us for information on any other coin.
@Peter_CSAdmin
Options: Why the Odds Are Stacked Against YouThe Hidden Challenges of Options Trading:
Options trading may seem like an exciting way to profit from market movements, but beneath the surface lies a trading environment that is heavily biased against individual traders. Many retail investors jump into options trading unaware of the many disadvantages they face, making it more of a gamble than a calculated investment. In this post, we’ll explore the major challenges that make options trading so difficult for individual traders and why you need more than luck to succeed.
1. The Odds Are Biased: Complex Algorithms Unlevel the Playing Field
The first thing to understand is that the playing field is not even. Professional traders and market makers use complex algorithms that evaluate a wide range of factors—volatility, market conditions, historical data, time decay, news and more—before they even think about entering a trade. These systems are designed to assess risks, manage exposure, and execute trades with a precision that most individual traders simply can’t match.
For an individual trader, manually analyzing these factors or using basic tools available online is nearly impossible. By the time you’ve analyzed one factor, the market may have already shifted. The reality is that unless you have access to these advanced algorithmic systems, you're trading with a massive handicap.
2. Market Makers Hold the Upper Hand: Your Trades Are Their Game
Market makers play a critical role in options trading by providing liquidity. However, they also hold an unbeatable advantage. They see both sides of the trade, control the bid-ask spreads, and use their position to ensure they’re on the winning side more often than not. For them, it’s not about making speculative bets; it’s about managing risk and profiting from the flow of orders they receive.
When you trade options, you're often trading against these market makers, and their strategies are designed to maximize their advantage while minimizing their risk. This means your trades are, in essence, a bad gamble from the start. The house always wins, and in this case, the house is the market maker.
3. They Will Fool You Every Time: Bid-Ask Spreads and the Math You Don’t See
One of the most overlooked challenges in options trading is understanding the bid-ask spread. This spread represents the difference between the price you can buy an option (ask) and the price you can sell it (bid). While this may seem straightforward, it’s an area where professionals easily outsmart retail traders.
Advanced traders and market makers use complex mathematical models to manage and manipulate these spreads to their advantage. If you don’t have the mathematical skills to properly evaluate whether the spread is fair or skewed, you’re setting yourself up to overpay for options, leading to unnecessary losses.
4. Information and Tools: A Professional-Only Advantage
Another critical challenge is the vast difference in information and tools available to retail traders versus professionals. Institutional traders have access to data streams, proprietary tools, and execution platforms that the average trader can only dream of. They can monitor market sentiment, analyze volatility in real-time, and execute trades at lightning speed, often milliseconds faster than any retail investor.
These tools give professionals an enormous edge in identifying trends, hedging positions, and managing risk. Without them, individual traders are flying blind, trying to compete in an arena where the best information is reserved for the pros.
5. Volatility and Time Decay: The Ultimate Account Killers
Two of the most critical factors in options trading are volatility and time decay (known as theta). These are the silent killers of options accounts, and pros use them to their advantage.
Volatility: When volatility increases, option prices go up, which might sound great. However, volatility is unpredictable, and when it swings in the wrong direction, it can destroy your position’s value almost overnight. Professionals have sophisticated strategies to manage and hedge against volatility; most individual traders don’t.
Time Decay: Time is constantly working against you in options trading. Every day that passes, the value of an option slowly erodes, and as expiration approaches, this decay accelerates. For most retail traders, this is a ticking time bomb. Pros, on the other hand, know how to structure trades to profit from time decay, leaving amateurs at a disadvantage.
Conclusion: Trading Options Is No Easy Game
The challenges of options trading are real and significant. Between the advanced algorithms, the market makers’ advantages, the mathematical complexities of bid-ask spreads, and the tools and information reserved for professionals, the odds are stacked against you. Add to that the constant threat of volatility and time decay, and it’s clear that options trading is a difficult and often losing game for individual traders.
If you’re thinking about jumping into options trading, it’s crucial to understand the risks involved and recognize that the deck is stacked. To succeed, you need more than just a basic understanding—you need tools, strategy, and a deep awareness of how the pros operate. Without that, you're gambling, not trading.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(21/10/2024)Today will be flat opening in banknifty. After opening if banknifty sustain above 52050 level then expected upside rally upto 52450 level. Below 51950 level expected strong downside upto 51550 level and this can be extend for further 400-500 points in case banknifty starts trading below 51450 level.