the Hunt most of traders know about classic technical analysis, all of them are familiar with patterns like triangle...
but have you ever thought about whales and marketmakers?
dont you think that they know as well as traders know?
are they just sitting and watching traders earning money easily?
i dont think so...
its because why im going to short this increasing breakout triangle...
Marketmaker
BEST CROSS CURRENCY PAIR EUR/GBPNow the dollar is going through a turbulent time, and EURGBP will help us avoid problems related to the dollar, because the pair does not contain the main world currency.
In addition, after Brexit, new interesting opportunities have opened up, which I will discuss below.
Dollar
Most traders choose to trade pairs in which there is a dollar due to the large liquidity.
Liquidity is a trap for a trader, especially intraday traders, but beginners do not understand this.
This liquidity is created by large players whose goal is to collect your stops and manipulate the market.
Such a market is very difficult to predict and very often your positions will be closed by the stop.
The only way out of this unfavorable situation is to trade cross-pairs.
Cross-currency pairs
There are 8 recognized major currencies of developed countries with stable economies.
The fact that these currency pairs can interact with each other without the mediation of the dollar makes them so attractive and resistant to external news and stuffing from the United States.
Cross-pairs, unlike dollar currency instruments, have the following advantages:
A more unambiguous reaction to economic indicators;
Limited (half-day) volatile trading period;
The opportunity to calmly move positions through the night, as pairs react poorly to news from the United States;
EURGBP Cross-pair
The EURGBP cross-pair ranks first among the crosses in terms of transaction volumes. The EU and the UK are connected to each other geographically and politically, until 2020 it was a single union. In 2016, British citizens voted for the option of Britain exit, giving the world a new word "Brexit".
After Brexit, the pair began to grow, giving a good opportunity for earnings. In addition, the EURGBP pair always reacts to problems in the global economy in the same way - with the growth of the euro, for the simple reason that the economy of the Union is larger than the economy of the island UK.
The economic crises of the XXI century have raised the exchange rate of the pair to the same levels, which allows you to build countertrend strategies, as well as to fix profits in the interim.
Best trading time
The most active time of EURGBP trading is from 7 to 16 in London.
A unique feature of EURGBP is a decrease in trading activity during the American session, which is explained by the absence of USD in the instrument.
The day trader can afford not to sit waiting for the release of the Fed minutes and not to increase the stop loss before the publication of the NFP.
How exactly to trade and what strategies to apply?
The pair is characterized by a lower percentage of knocked-out stops, since the price does not make unexpected jumps, unlike the dollar.
Thanks to this, you can trade using classic trend strategies.
As a rule, the movement is most often unidirectional. That is, having opened positions in the right direction, you can safely keep it until the evening or put a take profit.
The tactics of late entry, at about 10 o'clock in London, will help to weed out false breakouts.
Daily trends after Brexit
After Brexit, the pair gives very clear and understandable trends. You can even use a simple moving average to open good deals.
The graph is literally "like in textbooks". It is unknown how long such a picture will last.
Conclusion
Cross-pairs are special currencies that can give a trader a number of advantages over other instruments. This situation arises because crosses are not interesting to large players, market makers work out technical trading on them without mega-fluctuations in liquidity and "hunting for stops".
In general, EURGBP is a calm pair, suitable for beginners and still providing opportunities for trend trading on D1.
example of market maker repeated behavior A market maker is an individual participant or member firm of an exchange that buys and sells securities for its own account. Market makers provide the market with liquidity and depth while profiting from the difference in the bid-ask spread.
Like Clockwork - Tight another $2.30 the other way so farSo the hourly has just done a bunch of the stuff we were observing it may do.
It went for more Green Vector candles below and when it took off from 77.8, it has gone and recovered the Red Vector candles above.
So far it recovered the Red with Green so we entered swift shorts.
All together, the long we allowed to run from 100122 NY session close Ran for $2.30 and we have enjoyed $0.50 and $0.70 on short scalps from 09:00-13:00 and in the current hourly candle. We are holding shorts until we get stopped out on minimum profit and looking to enter next longs when we see Blue or if it shows it is not going down for the other Greens that it failed to reach yesterday.
Let's see what happens at the highs!
This is not financial advice and should be taken with a pinch of salt
Bullish trend phases1) Use higher timeframes to determine the trend. Look for the entry point on smaller timeframes.
3) "Zone shift" is a price movement designed to accumulate and preserve volumes.
In this phase, it is worth looking for entry points.
4) "Stop hunting" usually consists of three movements that occur in a short time.
The minimum of the day serves as a signal point about where the reversal will occur.
2) The second zone shift serves as a profit-taking point.
5) The penetration of each accumulation zone is a potential entry point.
6) "Market maker spread" - the maximum and minimum of the initial channel. Usually this value is 25-50 points.
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Additionally:
The time of termination of consolidation depends on the volume of HOD/LOD captured during the hunt.
It's hard to determine. We don't know how long it will take a major player to take a position, and we don't know how much volume he needs.
A) From time to time, the movement will be without consolidation, since the accumulated volume is too large, so a V-shaped bottom may form.
B) The accumulation of volume always takes different time, so sometimes it will take more time to accumulate than usual.
C) Accumulation may take longer, which is why a wide zone is formed, after which movement to the second stop (accumulation zone) will begin
DeGRAM | ETHUSD breakout resistance Ether follows bitcoin, bitcoin breaks the local trend and begins to recover, I think that if ether goes to retest the resistance level, then we can see a breakdown and rise in the cost of ether to 4150
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DeGRAM | GOLD long after consolidation Gold after the breakdown of the upper border of the flat and testing of the long-range resistance is octaved to the savings border.
But there is no downward impulse, most likely the price was kept, at the moment gold is trading in a long zone.
If gold manages to gain a foothold above the 1800 level, then we can expect an increase to resistance
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DeGRAM | NZDUSD long from support The New Zealander returned to support after updating local tops, and a cumulative flat is likely to form. I think that if the price does not break through the support, then there is a great chance of a pullback to the resistance 0.678
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DeGRAM | USDCHF short to 0.9158The franc is trading flat after the breakdown of the upward local trend.
A medium-term range of 0.935 - 0.908 has been formed.
After testing the resistance of the range, the price reversed and changed the local trend to a downtrend, I expect that the price is likely from the level of 0.922, may fall to support 0.9158
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DeGRAM | EURUSD pullback from support to 1.1264The currency pair continues to trade within the trading range between the levels of 1.1225 and above 1.1320. The price has passed 50% of its daily energy since the opening, I think that the price will most likely not be able to continue falling. Waiting for a pullback from support at 1.1225 to resistance at 1.1264
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DeGRAM | EURUSD forecast for the week. Pullback from support The Eurodollar falls from the level of the descending channel, the instrument could not break up. Friday closes at the very low of the trading day, so I believe that the movement may continue, but there is strong support ahead, from which the price can bounce back. Waiting for a rollback from the 1.1174 support
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DeGRAM | GOLD forms pinbar in shortGold is working out my last idea for a week, and from the support level, gold is recovering to the resistance of the downtrend channel. Friday is forming a pinbar short right at the resistance level. this is a direct signal for a reversal. Waiting for the price to drop to support
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DeGRAM | LTCUSD breakout support LTCUSD in down trend. We have strong support, which is tested 6 times in an attempt to break down, but the price is being held back. Pay attention to the price tightening, each subsequent retest, the price does not roll back above the other. I'm waiting for the breakdown of support 142.25
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DeGRAM | GOLD short from resistance Gold breaks the resistance up, but the level of the first technical rollback is ahead, I think that from this level the price can roll back to the flat border.
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DeGRAM | EURJPY longAfter the breakdown of the downtrend, the Euro / Yen makes a false breakdown of the resistance at 129.5 and rolls back, which suggests a possible transition of the price to the phase of accumulation.
I think that from support 128.6 the price will rise to resistance
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DeGRAM | EURUSD long to resistance flatThe euro / dollar breaks through the resistance and is set to go up. The key level at the moment is the resistance of the flat. I think that after consolidating in the long zone, the currency pair may recover slightly.
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METHODS FOR SETTING STOP LOSS. PART 1.The market is volatile and very unpredictable, it is impossible to constantly correctly guess the future direction of the market, and in order not to lose everything in one transaction, a stop loss was invented.
Stop loss, like the trend, is our friend.
Without a stop-loss strategy, there can be no profitable trading strategy.
The ability to correctly find the stop loss zones will help each trader to avoid unnecessary losses and not to exit the position ahead of time.
Let's look at these strategies.
Methods for setting Stop Loss
PERCENTAGE METHOD
The interest method is a method in which the stop will be equal to a percentage of the capital, depending on your risk management.
At the same time, a large number of professionals recommend not to risk 1-2% of the capital in one transaction.
And this method is very popular because of its simplicity and ease of calculations. For example, if your capital is $ 10,000, and the risk management in each transaction is 1%, then the stop loss will be $ 100, everything is very simple.
CHART STOP
This method is based on placing a stop loss behind the support and resistance levels.
After several bounces from the levels, you can set a stop loss above the resistance or below the support, because if the price breaks through these levels, then potentially the deal can go strongly against you.
Such levels will be our protection, because it will be very difficult for the price to break through strong levels, but even if there is a breakout, we will be protected by a stop loss.
TIME STOP
Another method of setting a stop loss is a method based on time parameters.
This method will be of interest to those who do not want to leave their deals overnight or want deals to close at the end of the week and not remain open on weekends.
Everyone knows about the uncertainty that arises on weekends. At this time, it is impossible to close a position, and the news can be dangerous and you can suffer big losses at the opening of a new trading week, in order to avoid all this, this method was invented.
VOLATILITY STOP
Each currency pair has its own volatility value. Some couples walk fast and a lot, some walk less.
If a trader knows the average daily range of a particular pair, then he can set his stop loss slightly above this value so that the position is not closed prematurely due to market noise.
For example, if we imagine that GBP/USD has an average daily movement range of 100 points, then setting a stop loss by 20 points is likely to lead to premature closing of the position. But, if a trader puts a stop above the daily range, you can thereby protect yourself from accidental price spikes.
This method forces you to place large stop-losses, thereby giving you space to work so that the price is not closed prematurely.
Conclusion
Setting a stop loss is a vital condition for any trading strategy. Without a stop loss, you will inevitably lose capital. In the next part, we will look at other methods of setting a stop loss.
Good luck to everyone!
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
DeGRAM | GOLD short to 1771Gold in a sideways movement. Let me remind you that a major player is gaining a position in the park only in lateral movements. After a false breakout of the local support, the price rolls back up. Since the sideways have strong borders, I think that it will not be possible to break through the resistance and the price will fall to the support of 1771
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DeGRAM | NZDUSD breakout resistance. LongAfter a false breakout of the resistance, the New Zealander does not roll back down, but returns back to the resistance for retest.
I think that the price can break through the resistance and begin to recover, I wait for the first stop at the resistance level 0.6818
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DeGRAM | EURJPY short from resistance range Eurojpy fulfills my forecast.
At the support level, there was a strong limit player who very tightly held his position, as we can see, the instrument breaks through the resistance of the downtrend and prerequisites for a downtrend are being formed.
I think that the price will move to a flat state. Waiting for correction from resistance 129.5 to 129.07
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DeGRAM | EURUSD in accumulationThe Eurodollar is in a strong downtrend.
After the downward impulse, the price entered the phase of energy accumulation.
The market has no opportunity to roll back, there is a critical zone for the price in the flat - the upper savings line, the level 1.1373.
The price makes a false breakout and falls, the instrument does not try to test resistances anymore, the price pushes towards support.
I think that there is selling pressure on the market and thus I expect the price to break through the support in the near future.
Now the price has made a false breakout and I think it can rise to the local resistance 1.1322
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TYPES OF TRADING STRATEGIESHello to all!
Throughout the history of the forex market, several types of strategies related to the trading interval have been invented. Strategies have differences in the time of holding a position, and each trader must choose the type of strategy that suits him.
SCALPING
Scalping is a well-known style of short-term trading, using technical analysis.
Scalpers, as a rule, enter into impulse movement, on breaking through levels or rebounding from them, in areas where large volumes of orders have accumulated, and close positions immediately after the end of the first impulse.
They do not sit out in a position and do not hold it for a long time. Positions are usually closed within a minute.
Scalpers use tick or minute charts for analysis.
Impulse movements can be born during the period of news release, so the trader should follow the news.
Since scalpers take a small number of pips, their profit also depends heavily on the spread, so they trade liquid pairs.
Day Trading
Day traders open and close positions within the day. They do not transfer transactions to the next day.
5- 30 minute charts are used for analysis.
Day trading differs from scalping by holding a position for a longer time, up to several hours, if the trend allows.
Day traders profit only from intraday fluctuations, so they can afford to use higher leverage levels than long-term traders.
SWING TRADING
Swing trading is a method of trading with holding a position from several hours to several days, that is, positions can be left overnight.
Swing traders use hourly and higher charts to analyze the chart.
Much attention is paid to trading formations and levels, indicators are used.
Swing traders can profit from both trends and corrections, because the profitability may be higher than that of trend traders.
NEWS TRADING
Such traders pay attention to the news more than anyone else.
The opening of a position is made during the release of important news that can push the market against the trend or, conversely, disperse it.
As a rule, such traders do not leave their positions overnight.
The idea is that during the release of important news, market volatility increases and it is here that traders who trade on the news earn. They wait for this liquidity, open positions before the news comes out and hold them under any circumstances.
TRADING ON TREND
Trend trading is a very well-known type of trading and perhaps the most profitable.
Everyone remembers the rule: Trend is our friend. And this friend can bring big profits, without serious emotional burden.
This type of long-term trading implies the ability to identify a trend with the help of technical analysis and opening positions in the direction of the trend.
The main indicator for trend traders is the trend itself, so holding a position can be from several days to several months until the trend stops.
Often, in order not to lose profit, a treling stop is used.
To analyze charts, traders of this type use daily and weekly charts. They often use long-term models and resort to using fundamental analysis to open and hold positions.
The spread does not bother them, as positions are opened for a long time, so trend traders can afford to trade illiquid pairs.
Conclusion
It is not enough to know what types of trading strategies there are, it is very important that the strategy suits you. Maybe you like to take profits quickly and leave the market? Or do you like to hold positions for a long time and you don't like to follow sharp short-term price fluctuations? Every trader should understand himself first, and only then choose a strategy.
DeGRAM | GOLD short to 1758The price breaks the support level. After such a long accumulation, we can see a good move. Yesterday closed at the very bottom, which suggests that the major player intends to go further down. I am waiting for the consolidation below the level and the price drop to 1758
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