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METHODS FOR SETTING STOP LOSS. PART 1.The market is volatile and very unpredictable, it is impossible to constantly correctly guess the future direction of the market, and in order not to lose everything in one transaction, a stop loss was invented. Stop loss, like the trend, is our friend. Without a stop-loss strategy, there can be no profitable trading strategy. The ability to correctly find the stop loss zones will help each trader to avoid unnecessary losses and not to exit the position ahead of time. Let's look at these strategies. Methods for setting Stop Loss PERCENTAGE METHOD The interest method is a method in which the stop will be equal to a percentage of the capital, depending on your risk management. At the same time, a large number of professionals recommend not to risk 1-2% of the capital in one transaction. And this method is very popular because of its simplicity and ease of calculations. For example, if your capital is $ 10,000, and the risk management in each transaction is 1%, then the stop loss will be $ 100, everything is very simple. CHART STOP This method is based on placing a stop loss behind the support and resistance levels. After several bounces from the levels, you can set a stop loss above the resistance or below the support, because if the price breaks through these levels, then potentially the deal can go strongly against you. Such levels will be our protection, because it will be very difficult for the price to break through strong levels, but even if there is a breakout, we will be protected by a stop loss. TIME STOP Another method of setting a stop loss is a method based on time parameters. This method will be of interest to those who do not want to leave their deals overnight or want deals to close at the end of the week and not remain open on weekends. Everyone knows about the uncertainty that arises on weekends. At this time, it is impossible to close a position, and the news can be dangerous and you can suffer big losses at the opening of a new trading week, in order to avoid all this, this method was invented. VOLATILITY STOP Each currency pair has its own volatility value. Some couples walk fast and a lot, some walk less. If a trader knows the average daily range of a particular pair, then he can set his stop loss slightly above this value so that the position is not closed prematurely due to market noise. For example, if we imagine that GBP/USD has an average daily movement range of 100 points, then setting a stop loss by 20 points is likely to lead to premature closing of the position. But, if a trader puts a stop above the daily range, you can thereby protect yourself from accidental price spikes. This method forces you to place large stop-losses, thereby giving you space to work so that the price is not closed prematurely. Conclusion Setting a stop loss is a vital condition for any trading strategy. Without a stop loss, you will inevitably lose capital. In the next part, we will look at other methods of setting a stop loss. Good luck to everyone! Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Education
by Lingrid
17
DeGRAM | GOLD short to 1771Gold in a sideways movement. Let me remind you that a major player is gaining a position in the park only in lateral movements. After a false breakout of the local support, the price rolls back up. Since the sideways have strong borders, I think that it will not be possible to break through the resistance and the price will fall to the support of 1771 ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with Like. Thanks for your support!
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by DeGRAM
7
DeGRAM | EURJPY short from resistance range Eurojpy fulfills my forecast. At the support level, there was a strong limit player who very tightly held his position, as we can see, the instrument breaks through the resistance of the downtrend and prerequisites for a downtrend are being formed. I think that the price will move to a flat state. Waiting for correction from resistance 129.5 to 129.07 ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with Like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD in accumulationThe Eurodollar is in a strong downtrend. After the downward impulse, the price entered the phase of energy accumulation. The market has no opportunity to roll back, there is a critical zone for the price in the flat - the upper savings line, the level 1.1373. The price makes a false breakout and falls, the instrument does not try to test resistances anymore, the price pushes towards support. I think that there is selling pressure on the market and thus I expect the price to break through the support in the near future. Now the price has made a false breakout and I think it can rise to the local resistance 1.1322 ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with Like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
2
TYPES OF TRADING STRATEGIESHello to all! Throughout the history of the forex market, several types of strategies related to the trading interval have been invented. Strategies have differences in the time of holding a position, and each trader must choose the type of strategy that suits him. SCALPING Scalping is a well-known style of short-term trading, using technical analysis. Scalpers, as a rule, enter into impulse movement, on breaking through levels or rebounding from them, in areas where large volumes of orders have accumulated, and close positions immediately after the end of the first impulse. They do not sit out in a position and do not hold it for a long time. Positions are usually closed within a minute. Scalpers use tick or minute charts for analysis. Impulse movements can be born during the period of news release, so the trader should follow the news. Since scalpers take a small number of pips, their profit also depends heavily on the spread, so they trade liquid pairs. Day Trading Day traders open and close positions within the day. They do not transfer transactions to the next day. 5- 30 minute charts are used for analysis. Day trading differs from scalping by holding a position for a longer time, up to several hours, if the trend allows. Day traders profit only from intraday fluctuations, so they can afford to use higher leverage levels than long-term traders. SWING TRADING Swing trading is a method of trading with holding a position from several hours to several days, that is, positions can be left overnight. Swing traders use hourly and higher charts to analyze the chart. Much attention is paid to trading formations and levels, indicators are used. Swing traders can profit from both trends and corrections, because the profitability may be higher than that of trend traders. NEWS TRADING Such traders pay attention to the news more than anyone else. The opening of a position is made during the release of important news that can push the market against the trend or, conversely, disperse it. As a rule, such traders do not leave their positions overnight. The idea is that during the release of important news, market volatility increases and it is here that traders who trade on the news earn. They wait for this liquidity, open positions before the news comes out and hold them under any circumstances. TRADING ON TREND Trend trading is a very well-known type of trading and perhaps the most profitable. Everyone remembers the rule: Trend is our friend. And this friend can bring big profits, without serious emotional burden. This type of long-term trading implies the ability to identify a trend with the help of technical analysis and opening positions in the direction of the trend. The main indicator for trend traders is the trend itself, so holding a position can be from several days to several months until the trend stops. Often, in order not to lose profit, a treling stop is used. To analyze charts, traders of this type use daily and weekly charts. They often use long-term models and resort to using fundamental analysis to open and hold positions. The spread does not bother them, as positions are opened for a long time, so trend traders can afford to trade illiquid pairs. Conclusion It is not enough to know what types of trading strategies there are, it is very important that the strategy suits you. Maybe you like to take profits quickly and leave the market? Or do you like to hold positions for a long time and you don't like to follow sharp short-term price fluctuations? Every trader should understand himself first, and only then choose a strategy.
Education
by DeGRAM
2
CORRELATION COEFFICIENTS on FOREXHello everybody! Professionals have been aware of correlation for a long time and use it profitably. The essence of correlation is not difficult to understand and using it in trading can significantly increase your profit. Correlation coefficient of currency pairs – what is it? Correlation is a statistical relationship between two or more random variables. The correlation coefficient is an index of the interdependence of quotations of different currency pairs. Correlation of currency pairs is divided into two types: direct (positive) and inverse (mirror or negative). A positive correlation is a similar movement of quotations of different currency pairs. Inverse correlation is the reverse movement of the exchange rate of different currency pairs. For example , EUR/USD and USD/CHF are in a mirror correlation because both European currencies are against the dollar. Any change in the euro affects the franc exchange rate and vice versa, on the chart, the price of the euro and the pound moves the other way around because in the EUR/USD pair, the dollar is in second place, and in USD/CHF in the first. Method Analysts have come up with a method that makes it easier to understand the correlation, it is called the correlation coefficient. Using it, you can understand in which range each pair is relative to the other, where +1 is a complete correlation, and -1 is the opposite. The stronger the link between the economies, the stronger the value tends to unity. Let's consider the main ranges of coefficient values and their impact on the currency pair: • 1 - Denotes the same movement of currency pairs. * From 0.9 to 0.5 – High dependence of currency pairs among themselves. * From 0.5 to 0.1 – There is a decrease in correlation. * 0 – There is no correlation, the instruments do not depend on each other. * From 0.1 to -0.5 - Characterized by a decrease in correlation. * From 0.5 to -0.9 – An increase in correlation and a change in the direction of movement of currency pairs in the opposite direction. * -1 – Inverse dependence of currency pairs. One price is going down, the other is going up. Trading options Novice traders often think that they reduce risks when they invest in different currency pairs, but at the same time they do not understand that a large number of pairs correlate with each other. Forgetting about the correlation, you can start getting double losses. Correlations can be used to confirm signals. For example , the analysis of the EUR/USD chart showed growth. To make sure that the forecast is correct, you need to get a reverse confirmation for USD/CHF. Sometimes, to confirm trading signals, a comparison of three assets that are minimally related to each other is used. Take for example EUR/USD, USD/JPY and EUR/JPY. • If EUR/USD is predicted to go up, then the forecast for the reverse currency pair USD/JPY should signal a fall. In the event that there is no signal for USD/JPY, then it is necessary to carefully study the behavior of EUR/JPY. No matter what tactics a trader uses, you always need to remember about correlation and use several pairs with positive and negative correlation in the analysis to increase the accuracy of the forecast. In addition, correlation helps to hedge transactions. Having decided to invest in one currency pair, you can divide the investment amount into two parts and invest the second part in a currency pair with Time interval in correlation analysis The correlation has the ability to change depending on time. It may be that the daily correlation = 0.6, but when switching to a monthly interval, this value increases and shows a strong correlation. There may be an inverse situation, when the correlation drops relative to the selected interval. Pay attention to this when analyzing. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Education
by Lingrid
16
ACCOUNT DRAWDOWN – HOW TO AVOID IT?Today I want to touch on a very important topic - account drawdown. Every trader will face this problem sooner or later, because losses in the forex market are inevitable. And if a professional knows what to do and has experience dealing with such a problem, then beginners often get lost when faced with a drawdown, which leads to even greater losses. What is a Margin Call? Margin Call - is a "call"-notification of the broker with a requirement to deposit additional funds to guarantee open transactions. If no additional funds have been received to the trading account after the Margin Call, and losses continue to grow, then when the price reaches a certain value, the Stop Out procedure will be launched, and the brokerage company will automatically close part, and possibly all transactions on the trading account. Causes of drawdown. There are two possible reasons. The first reason for the drawdown is a bad trading strategy. Each strategy needs to be checked and only then use it. No risk management will help if the strategy is unprofitable. The second reason is psychology. Even if you have a proven strategy, you can still lose money because you lose control of the situation. Discipline is the key to profitable trading. To act according to the strategy and even after a series of losses to adhere to the plan and not exceed the value of risk management - that's what a professional does and a beginner misses. Newcomers try to regain what they have lost by opening deals with a large volume, risking even more money, driving themselves into an even greater minus. First of all, you need to put up with losses, it is impossible to avoid them! Accept losses, do not lose your head, trade further according to the rules and then you will not only return, but also earn even more money. An important thought! Every beginner should remember that the more he loses, the more he will need to make profits in the future in order to reach zero. It is very difficult to make 50% of the profit to the capital in one transaction. It is almost impossible to make 100%, but beginners do not understand this and invest a lot of money, open positions with a large volume and lose even more. Losing 1% is not so scary, losing 10% you need to do 11% already to get to zero. Having lost 50% in the future, you will need to make 100% to go to zero! Don't bring your account to this. Remember: it's better to move up slowly than to fall down quickly and crash. Decide on the drawdown level. Professionals do not let their account fall below reasonable values. A beginner brings his account to exhaustion in two or three transactions. For a beginner, a drawdown of -50% or -70% occurs easily and quickly, a professional cannot afford this. Each trader must decide for himself how much percent of the capital he can lose and still remain calm. For each person, these values are different, someone cannot survive a 20% drop in the bill, and someone lives quietly with -50%. Drawdown levels up to 15% – normal working drawdown. 16-30% is not a reason to panic, but the time is coming to reduce the risks and intensity of trading. And it is also worth reviewing the state, dynamics of the market and the trading instrument. 31 - 60% is the beginning of the end. If the account is down by more than 30%, trading should be stopped and a break should be taken. After that, come back with a modified strategy for making trading decisions. Drawdown is an unpleasant thing, but the main thing is not to start it and not to delay the time after exiting it. If you have already fallen into a drawdown, then you need to follow the following rules: If you use a proven trading strategy that has repeatedly made a profit, then you just need to fix losses and continue trading using the same strategy, but with a more gentle money management system. If the trading strategy used is no longer effective, then you should fix the losses and look for a new working trading system. Due to the fact that there are no exceptionally accurate methods to exit the drawdown, your further actions will be reduced to the same trade. In this situation, the trader should identify weaknesses in his strategy and try to eliminate them. The revision of approaches to risk management and funds will also allow you to balance trading and avoid deep drawdowns in the future. Be disciplined, follow the money management, trade systematically, and the drawdown on the deposit will not bother you. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with Like. Thanks for your support!
Education
by DeGRAM
6
DeGRAM | EURUSD forecast for the week. Long to 1.142The currency pair makes a false breakout of the strong downward support and, after testing the 1.117 support, returns to the 1.13 level. The weekly session closes higher, I think that this is a possible start of the price recovery. If the instrument consolidates above the level of 1.13, then I expect the price to rise to the resistance of 1.142 ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with Like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
2