Exploring the S&P500: Decoding the Market Maker-Here's my quad chart analysis of ES1!, the S&P500 futures index, displaying striking accuracy with Fibonacci retracements.
-The top two boxes present micro charts on daily tf's, showing recent Fibonacci-based peaks and troughs. The bottom two are weekly schematics on 3 Day tf's, revealing longer-term trends obediently following Fib levels.
-KEEP IN MIND THE BOTTOM TWO "WEEKLY" ARE ACTUALLY 3 DAY CHARTS MAPPING A WEEKLY SCHEMATIC
-This alignment suggests the Market Maker's playful maneuvers before an anticipated significant move. Based on the patterns, I hypothesize a considerable downtrend on the horizon for the S&P Futures Index (ES1!).
-Remember, market predictions aren't set in stone and require vigilance. However... dump city here we come.
Marketmaker
UUUU entry - sub $6Energy Fuels (UUUU) is a Uranium and Vanadium mining company that is domestically sourced low carbon renewable energy fuel (U( and steel strengthener (V2O5).
* Improving earnings - nearing profitability
* Domestic contract growth
* By-product Vanadium is also in demand - steel recycling
* Energy market can not rely on oil and LNG alone
* MFI crossing 50% and consolidation and buying will increase scarcity
* CCI momentum hitting bottom
Entry this week after dropping below $6 with limit buys and retracing back to 238 fib level. Will watch for drop to full retrace to $4.90 (exit before) or a more likely climb to 500 retracement at $8 and watch for break through or more consolidation.
Own opinions of energy market - come to own conclusions, or comments here welcomed. Like to hear what others in energy market have to say. Warm winter LNG will get us through, what stocks are you loving for 2023?
@Pokethebear
@rudcharts
PEPE/USDT LONGWe have an exciting analysis to share with you regarding the #pepe/usdt coin. This coin presents a remarkable profit opportunity of up to 600%.
Based on our research, we have identified key buy zone areas.
These areas represent strategic entry points where you can consider initiating your positions.
Market Makers Buy And Sell ModelThe market Makers' Buy and Sell Model is a strategy that reveals the market maker algorithm model for price delivery.
Basically, there are 3 things market makers' algorithms do with price in every trading session, day, week, and month
Those 3 things are; Accumulation, Manipulation, and Distribution.
AMD:
A: Accumulation
M: Manipulation
D: Distribution
1. Accumulation: They accumulate liquidity through the delivery of a ranging market.
The purpose of delivering a ranging market is to induce both buyers and sellers to enter the market thinking that price will go in their direction.
How to Identify a Ranging Market: You know price is in a ranging market when you see obvious relative equal highs and lows price range.
In a ranging market, price swing points have relatively equal highs and lows, that is, the price is neither delivering a higher high nor a higher low.
2. Manipulation: After accumulating both buy and sell orders, they then manipulate the market to further induce another set of traders which are breakout traders.
But, that particular manipulation move is not their intended direction for the day. They only use it to gather liquidity, Which will then lead them to the next action which is to move and distribute prices in their real direction for the day.
Usually, when price breaks out of a ranging market, the break-out is a manipulation to further induce a new set of traders to enter the market, further proving liquidity for market makers' real intended direction.
3. Distribution: After manipulating the price to a particular direction different from their plan, they then distribute the price to their original intended direction.
e.g to buy, they will first sell the market and then buy at the discount price level.
You know a price distribution through clean candles that left imbalances behind and then break market structure away from the previous manipulation move structure high or low to form a new structure.
Example of Market Makers Buy and Sell Model as described on the chart.
AMD:
A: Accumulation
M: Manipulation
D: Distribution
Accumulation: Price range for some time, accumulating liquidity on both sides of long and shorts.
Manipulation: Price broke the high of the accumulation to take out Buyside liquidity and then create a new higher high and higher low. But it's a manipulation move.
Distribution: Price moves away from the FVG leading to a shift in market structure, plus a short pullback, follow by a massive move to the downside to take out sell-side liquidity below.
Entry: Your entry should be inside the FVG created by price before the shift in market structure, you can set a limit order inside the fvg and place your stop loss at the high of the swing high created prior to the fvg and shift in market structure.
The same thing applies to a bullish market.
Basically, Marker makers push prices higher so they can sell the market at a premium, while they sell the market to lower prices so they can buy that market at very discount prices
This strategy can be used in any time frame and all markets including forex, crypto, stocks, future etc.
Follow me for more updates.
Feel free to ask me any questions in the comment.
LTCUSD | Will halving get us through the resistance?Good morning,
One month to go until Litecoin Halving.
Since the beginning of the year, we have been constantly moving between the daily EMA 200 (white) and the EMA 800 (purple).
At the time of this idea, we are back below the EMA 200 and all of our EMAs have flattened out.
With such news events, existing resistances and old liquidity zones can usually be worked off well.
I am therefore preparing for two scenarios.
Scenario 1 (blue)
We come in July again significantly above the EMA200 and our short EMAS, 5+13 pull along.
In this I would use 50% of the capital that I want to use for this idea.
The other 50% when breaking above the EMA800.
Scenario 2 (orange)
We get a stop hunt of our range.
Everything from $71.60 would be a top price and would lead to 50% accumulation.
The other 50% would come into play should we get back into the range after such a stop hunt.
Price Targets :
Around $110 and between $140 and $150.
EUR/USD VIEW IF POSSIBLEPlease if you found this helpful, kindly give me a like, follow and let us discuss it in the comment section.
First lets us wait for the correction to complete in order to get clear direction. The market price needs to test around 1.07839, and 0.07650 to form a clear bullish trend. We have ABCD already, but let us wait for wave E completion. After E wave we should prepare for the next bullish moves.
Goodluck
EURUSD | London 23.06.23Good morning to the London Session!
Enclosed is my plan for the next few hours.
If we see the pullback to the start of London, I think the marked mark is a considered entry.
SL can be placed above the liquidity zone above us.
Target is the EMA800 15m TF.
Idea is invalid should we visit EMA800 first without seeing a pullback first.
Have a nice weekend!
EURUSD | PingPong of EMAs
It's been a long time since I took a look at the Forex market, so I'll start with our Euro against the USD.
If truth be told, I haven't missed much since 3 months ago.
As the title says, as see a PingPong game of the EMA 200 and 800 or in other words:
It is nothing more than a range.
This leads to the simple idea to trade the Reaction.
In fact, currently we are back at the daily EMA800, with a good chance that we get a divergence in the TDI.
I would leave some space for the SL, since, as seen in May we could well play a little above the EMA.
As a target for the time being the EMA200 should be targeted, if this is reached, one can ride the remaining position.
How Market Makers Manipulate Retail TradersMarket makers require a substantial amount of funds to facilitate the trading activities of retail traders by placing buy and sell orders, thereby ensuring liquidity. However, there are instances when market makers themselves need liquidity to execute their own orders for profitable trading. To acquire the necessary funds, they may have to halt or liquidate a significant number of retail traders by temporarily reversing the market direction below the previous consolidation level, but rarely past the secondary major support zone.
This manipulation occurs as market makers exploit the increased liquidity that arises from stopping or liquidating these retail traders in order to secure cash for their own trades.
Spy500: Elliot wave. Zoom out. Bigger correction incoming Studied Elliot wave theory only for about 2 years. Any input appreciated.
Is anyone seeing this?
IMO, I believe we could hit wave 5 of 3 hit the 4.236 fib and then big correction incoming.
If fed continues to raise hike, war escalates, hyperinflation, etc - I believe we may have already complete this wave and we could be just on the BRINK of a much bigger bear market. In which case, further pain must happen and spy could go as low as 215.
My ES1! with the levels I am watching.I am still waiting for the wave Elliot. But despite this unfortunate delay, here is my HTF chart as of today Saturday 29th 2023.
A quick run down on what the general idea for what I think will happen:
Price will stay under 4500 topping out.
Buyside will be taken and we will start another bear run to Sellside.
Anything after that is beyond me as of now but I have a couple levels noted below as where we can bottom out or start a retracement.
It's possible anytime soon the price gets repriced to a specific level 100 handles lower as an example in the birth of a geo political issue or financial crisis as we are in that season right now. The Black Swan Season. Be careful. Safe trading.
Here is a brief description of my levels and why: It's magic and a magician never reveals his tricks.
These levels can of course never even be traded to and if that is the case I will make a new post with the new levels I'm watching.
I will repost as price trades to the levels getting more in depth about what my thought process was and why :). For now just be a witness.
And a reminder to do your own research. I am not a financial advisor, I am a magician.
Algorithm vs Liquidity In Determining PriceBased on my research into IPDA and algorithms, central banks, trading firms/hedge funds, and smaller banks use execution algos (EAs) for trading with different objectives. Small banks use EAs to split large parent orders into smaller child orders generally in one direction, buy or sell. These orders are executed separately over a period of time to either open or close positions.
Trading firms and hedge funds use opportunistic EAs to buy and sell to turn a profit.
Central banks use market making EAs to buy and sell in order to bring liquidity providers net positions back to or close as possible to neutral. (This sounds like equilibrium). Central banks use EAs cautiously and only during their main trading hours and always under the supervision of people.
A key reason for using EAs is to access multiple liquidity pools in order to reduce market impact or footprint.
This is similar to a parent child relationship between Central Bank algos and other smart money players, where smart money (including central banks) accumulate orders in consolidation before expanding price, then the central bank algo pulls them back to equilibrium like a parent calling their child that has strayed too far away. Then they rinse and repeat.
I am of the opinion that with the function of central bank algos to facilitate the provision of liquidity with minimal market impact, that liquidity itself is the determining factor in price delivery.
Algos used by smart money break up large orders in to smaller chunks and funnel them to multiple liquidity providers (market makers) for fulfillment since forex is decentralized. If there is enough liquidity (buyers and sellers) to open/close positions at a certain price then it is done at that price. When liquidity is low or there aren't enough buyers and sellers at the current price, the market maker's algo has to fill these received orders where there is enough liquidity based on available buyers and sellers. The algos move very quickly which can deplete available buy or sell orders rapidly leaving unfilled counter party orders in its wake which defines liquidity voids (imbalance).
Algo adjustments to meet buyers and sellers at their price is perceived as a stop hunt but it's just economics.
Example: If I must sell something and I want to sell it for $100 but no one is willing to pay $100, I would have to look for buyers willing to pay $95.
If I must buy something and I only want to pay $100 but the seller is charging HKEX:105 , then I have to pay $105.
Either the buyer crosses the spread to meet the seller or the seller crosses the spread to meet the buyer. When there are limit and stop orders the buyer or seller isn't moving so the liquidity provider has to move to meet these buyers/sellers at their limit or stop order prices (including orders left behind in liquidity voids).
When the orders trigger and price reverses it takes out both buyers and sellers so people call it a hunt, but I'm sure it is intended for actual institutional trading entities because retail traders such as ourselves can not provide the liquidity to be on the other side of every order placed by institutions.
We are simply collateral damage in the battle between financial titans seeking to provide and tap into liquidity.
BTC to 25k or 30k I have my support lv in to see what direction BTC will go, will we dip to 25k or pump to 30k 35k? Time will tell and it looks like it's heading down, but this could be a fake move. Smart money waist for it and yet scared money can't make profits sitting stable. I am going to wait to see what support holds or fails. God speed.
US30 DJIA RechargeBullish sentiment sees DJIA shifting into the higher 33000s. The overall market sentiment for the top 30, is exceptionally bullish.
Market Makers will drive prices down fuelled by stops and relatively quickly at that.
Looking deeper, we find that lower timeframes suggest a move to the upside, however, the larger timeframes point to a retest of early 32000s.
Will the herd win, or will the wolves?
Let's See.
📊Liquidity GrabSmall and big players tend to acquire larger positions in the market than they can afford, in an attempt to benefit from the leverage. This is where the concept of liquidity grab comes into play. Large trades and institutional investors need to locate liquidity areas in the market to complete their trades. Stops and stop-loss orders are critical for survival in a leveraged market. Stop hunting is a common practice in Forex trading, where traders are forced to leave their positions by triggering their stop-loss orders. This can create unique opportunities for some investors, which is called a liquidity grab. Stop hunting is a trading action where the price and volume action threatens to trigger stops on either side of support and resistance. When a large number of stops are triggered, the price experiences higher volatility on more orders hitting the market. Such volatility in price generates opportunities for participants to enter a trade in a favourable environment or protect their position. The fact that too many stop losses triggered at once result in sharp moves in the price action is the reason behind the practice of liquidity grab.
📍 What is liquidity sweep?
In trading, a liquidity sweep is the process of filling an order by taking advantage of all available liquidity at multiple price levels. Traders use this method to ensure their orders are filled at the best possible price by breaking up their order into smaller sub-orders and spreading them across multiple price levels. Institutional traders and high-frequency trading firms commonly use liquidity sweeps for efficient and quick execution of large trade volumes.
📍 Liquidity Zones
Big players in trading aim for the best prices but face challenges finding sufficient counter-forces to fill their large orders. Entering the market at low liquidity areas creates more volatile markets, negatively impacting the average price. Conversely, entering at high liquidity areas results in less volatile markets, ensuring a better average price for the position. These liquidity zones are where stop-loss orders are placed, and the concept of "liquidity grab" comes from the need for big players to enter the market in these zones to take large positions. Traders use swing lows and swing highs to create these liquidity zones and place stops as reference points, resulting in either a reversal to the mean or a breakout of the level.
👤 @AlgoBuddy
📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
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XAUUSD : Gold Mafia in it's own worldOANDA:XAUUSD
hi , trader's , we started selling Gold from 2000 , and we closed sell at 1940
since 1940 we bought gold twice , now as per price action gold is trading near major resistance of 1985
If price failed to close 4hr candle above 1985 than fair chance that Gold will go down to 1950 area
Price can do fakeout at current level
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This Is How GBPUSD Will Likely Move In Coming Months | Be Ready!I have published this idea to give you a general view of how to look at GBPUSD in the meantime ..
Please do consider that this is an estimation of how price might move, given the current conditions and market outlook and that may change and it's not stable..
A confirmation must occur before determining every leg of the moves shown on chart, and confirmations of lower timeframes is obligatory..
This is the general view of what we might expect price to do.. make sure to hit a FOLLOW to get updates and confirmations right away💥
What's your view on this pair and DXY in general?
WAVES/USD Main trend. Accumulation and distribution zones. Logarithm. Main trend. Time frame 1 month.
Are you scared in the market right now? If yes, then rejoice and change your fear into a positive. After all, if you're scared, then other market participants are similarly scared, and this is an understanding of the surrender zone.
Linear schedule . 1 month.
Accumulation and distribution. The average price of recruitment and resetting.
In this trading idea, I will describe how a big player works and manipulates the price of an asset. You need to understand the mechanism of market play according to cycles and the psychology of people's behavior in the market in different phases of the cycle.
The big player in the asset accumulation zone "makes volatility," allowing you to earn locally (he buys into you). On pamp, you sell coins with a profit of +50%, +100% +200% is not particularly important.
After all, the point is for you to sell coins at a profit or a loss. The less liquid the instrument, the wider the range, and vice versa. Then the same coin is sold to you or others like you in the next cycle, but at a profit of +10,000% or more.
For a major player, the % monopoly on coins of the total market turnover is important. A large percentage of the total turnover gives an opportunity to influence the price in its favor, in other words, to control the price of the cryptocurrency.
As a rule, most do not buy in accumulation, they are afraid. They wait for those who are supposed to sell to them to say, "Fools, it's time to buy in triple-dollars."
Accumulation.
You make a lot of money not on the pump but in the growth of the price in a strong trend. It takes time, sometimes a very long time, to accumulate a position in a certain range. On some liquid U.S. stocks, it takes a year or more to gain a position. On cryptocurrencies, this process is much faster, but sometimes this stage of the process is time-consuming.
Most market participants, who are doomed to lose all the time, do the opposite. Projecting into trading what they are in real life. Anything that has to do with money reinforces this effect. Buy expensive (aimed at buying), sell cheap (aimed at selling). Do not inherit this tendency.
Distribution of coins (sale of coins).
Similarly, it takes a long time to reset a large position in an acceptable price range as well. This example of working on this cryptocurrency illustrates this creative process well. It is a creative process because it is work according to the plan, but from the situation that develops, you need to inspire the mice to willingly crawl into the mousetrap with a smile on their face.
We need to keep the price (price level range) and let them earn +30%, +100% +200% is necessary to get everyone used to super-highs. Make a substitution in the concept of “super highs” and “bottom”. And simultaneously, you gradually unloaded your position. Believing hamsters will willingly buy "from the bottom" thereby you will not burn a lot of money to keep the “faith level”. You have to understand the mindset of the majority and their desires.
Most people can't think for themselves, they pass off other people's insinuating thoughts as their own. Such is the psychology of the lower classes. Destructive desires, low intelligence and ideological significance. They do their thing. Intelligence in the crowd evaporates, herd cloning thinking is turned on. It's contagious...
After about 60-70% of the position is sold out in an acceptable range, the dumping of the rest of the asset begins. By moving the price down to the desired new set of positions, you gradually "kill the faith" of the lazy hamster in a bright future. As a rule, the crowd is drained at the very bottom, when it was told to sell, or correctly said, instilled with the idea to get rid of the “unpromising”.
You must know in advance where and at what % of the allocated sum you will fill the position and under what conditions. There should be discipline in everything, and you should determine in advance your future actions according to your trading algorithm, rather than an emotional component.
Closer to the main position set zone-another price increase (optional) to unload another 10-20% of the position. In this coin this was done in the last cycle. Often you can see that this is done differently. Imitation of the accumulation channel, when the remaining extra part of the position is unloaded (not all of it). This method allows deceiving not completely stupid people, namely traders who analyze only price charts and understand the internal processes.
People see an imitation of accumulation. This, by the way, is difficult to understand. After all, skillful work always hides "traces of the crime" in the buying/selling lane. And only experience allows you to determine that. For example, I once got into such a situation due to my inattention, but a timely exit upon confirmation of a breakdown of channel support partially leveled the situation. Unsuccessful experience is also extremely important, you need to make the right conclusions and continue to develop in this area as a player or even as an operator.
In the next cycle of accumulation-pumping-dumping-accumulation, the process naturally repeats itself, if the organizers have enough rationality to support the project. A fool is not a mammoth, he will not go extinct. That's why this market makes super profits. It's very simple.
I copied the entire text from my educational article 2020 , on the same coin.
Profit over +500% since publication.
Maximums as shown +12,300% or $60.66
WAVES/USD Main Trend. What "fuel" doesn't see. Process .
Now there are problems with the USDN Stablecoin near the surrender zone
Importantly, you have to understand that this is DEX WAVES Stablecoin, which is the point of "untethering." Amazingly, I haven't come across anywhere in the comments disgruntled and understanding why this is being done. Is the market to blame, as in LUNA-UST? All accidents of this magnitude are not. On the Internet, in the comments of victims encountered only negative (gave up, anger at losing money, “killed faith”) or conversely positive (the desire to save your money). Any trader understands the essence of cheating.
Any stabelcoin is an altcoin whose stability depends on people's belief in its stability, and the willingness of its creators to maintain that belief in stability.
WAVES/USD Secondary trend. Wedge. Capitulation. Locally. Time frame 1 day.
Locally. Time frame 1 day.