BTC Short using ICT Market Maker Sell Model (Explained)ICT Market Maker Sell Model (MMSM) for Bitcoin (BTC/USD)
Key Components:
1. Original Consolidation:
- This is the initial phase where the price consolidates within a range, indicating accumulation by smart money.
2. Smart Money Reversal:
- This area marks the point where smart money starts to take profit or reverse their positions, leading to a reversal in the market trend.
3. Market Structure Shift:
- This indicates a significant change in market direction with a displacement
4. Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
- They are marked as potential areas of interest where price might return to fill these gaps.
5. Sellside Liquidity:
- This is the area where liquidity is collected, often below the market structure where stop-losses and other sell orders are triggered.
6. Re-Distribution:
- After the initial move down, the market redistributes, often retesting previous support areas or fair value gaps before continuing the trend.
Chart Analysis:
1. Consolidation Phase:
- The price starts with an original consolidation phase where accumulation occurs.
2. Upward Move:
- After consolidation, there's an upward move indicating bullish market conditions.
3. Smart Money Reversal and Low Risk Sell:
- The price reaches a peak where smart money starts to reverse their positions. The chart highlights a 'Low Risk Sell Inside FVG' which is an optimal selling point within a fair value gap, suggesting a high probability sell zone.
4. Market Structure Shift:
- After the peak, the market experiences a shift in structure, breaking previous support levels and signaling a bearish trend.
5. Downtrend and Redistribution:
- The price moves down sharply, redistributing within fair value gaps. The chart highlights these gaps (fvg) where price might retrace to fill before continuing downward.
6. Sellsides Liquidity Targeted:
- The market targets sellside liquidity, triggering sell orders and stop-losses, leading to further downward pressure.
Practical Use:
- Identifying Entry and Exit Points:
- Traders use this model to identify optimal entry (sell) points within fair value gaps and exit points where liquidity might be targeted.
- Understanding Market Phases:
- Recognizing different market phases (accumulation, distribution, and redistribution) helps in anticipating market moves.
By understanding these components and their interplay, traders can better anticipate market movements and make informed trading decisions.
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Marketmakermodel
Market Makers in Crypto: Who Controls the Cryptocurrency Market?Functions of Market Makers
Market makers perform several essential functions in the cryptocurrency market, including:
Providing Liquidity: They ensure there is enough liquidity between buyers and sellers to maintain active market participation.
Providing Quotes: They offer bid and ask prices at any given time, facilitating trades between market participants.
Risk Management: Market makers manage trading risks and maintain a balanced risk-return ratio to protect their interests and those of their clients.
Providing Advice: They supply market information and analysis to assist clients in making informed trading decisions.
Improving Market Efficiency: By reducing the spread between buyers and sellers, market makers enhance overall market efficiency.
Market makers in the crypto industry operate similarly to traditional market makers. They provide market liquidity, execute buy and sell orders instantly, and earn profits from the spreads between these orders. However, due to the relatively unregulated nature of the cryptocurrency market, there is no stringent code of conduct for market makers, and the technical demands for ensuring transaction security are higher.
Market makers follow a simple principle: "buy low, sell high." This approach requires handling large volumes of transactions, sometimes up to tens of thousands per second. They use advanced algorithmic programs to monitor numerous parameters and recalculate forecast prices multiple times per second, thus providing market liquidity without incurring losses. Despite this, even sophisticated trading algorithms can falter due to rapid trade speeds or incorrect price predictions. During periods of high volatility, market makers might incur losses while trying to stabilize the market. Therefore, a stable or slightly fluctuating market is ideal for them, while days with significant price movements can lead to substantial losses.
In essence, while regular market participants react to past events, market makers anticipate future market movements to set optimal buy and sell prices and determine order volumes.
Cryptocurrency exchanges and market makers often collaborate closely. Some exchanges maintain their own market-making teams, while others partner with third-party market makers. This cooperation can take two forms:
Direct Cooperation with Crypto Exchanges: Exchanges offer special programs for market makers, providing personalized trading terminals. Through APIs, exchanges share order book information and market depth with market makers, facilitating pricing and matchmaking.
Indirect Cooperation with Crypto Exchanges: Market makers provide over-the-counter (OTC) market-making services through intermediaries or platforms.
Market makers are crucial but not mandatory for liquidity provision on crypto exchanges. They must negotiate terms such as commission distribution and trading volumes with exchanges to ensure profitable and smooth cooperation. Additionally, they must adhere to exchange rules and external regulations to ensure legal compliance.
From a trading mechanism perspective, market makers with internal exchange connections play a significant role in price determination, which can help prevent price manipulation to some extent. Their presence enhances exchange liquidity, improving user experience and loyalty, and making the exchange more profitable. Consequently, exchanges often offer discounts to market makers for their activities.
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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Market Maker sell model target weekend liquidity and NWOGPossible market maker sell model for today in the New York session. I would expect the price to seek liquidity below the weekend consolidation.
The context is based on the analysis of ETH1! from CME futures, where we can observe a breaker block and NWOG at discounted prices and an MKS on the 4-hour chart, so I would anticipate a retracement to that zone (Image attached below). We also have a volatility injection at 10 AM (NY time).
Market Maker Sell model target Intraday liquidityMarket maker sell model, aligned with the idea posted last week.
Anticipating that the price will target sell stops at 228.2 - 227.25 - 224.3.
My ultimate target is at 222.5 on the SIBI 1W chart.
I recommend taking a look at the original idea to understand the context
BNB Daily Market Maker Sell Model (roadmap until 2024)In my personal opinion, we are facing a Market Maker Sell model on the daily timeframe for BNB.
I would expect the price to drop sharply for the remainder of the year. The first target is $218.6, and then $200. A peculiar aspect is that the Market Maker Reversal coincides with the recent news of CZ leaving the company.
I want to clarify that I don't trade on the daily timeframe, but I will use this model as a roadmap for the rest of the year, so I will be looking for short opportunities on lower timeframes at points of interest in the bearish order flow. These setups are high probability as they align with the higher timeframes.
I will post a picture whit Weekly timeframe to add context.
ETH SHORT SWING SETUP ORDER BLOCKSDay's Bias: Temporarily Bullish - Heavily Bearish
Plot:
Market Maker Sell Model on both LTF and HTF.
Waited for price to confirm the hidden Mitigation Block / Propulsion Block confirmation.
Price also did create a fake order block, it was suspicious as there were no reliable price action to its left.
This might be the best HTF entry down until the bottom of this bear market.
Market Maker Model on ETH Turns Out Super Bullish!Revisited the Price Action and identified a much clearer vision of Liquidity, Consolidation, and Direction.
Somehow, Ethereum has been very very very precise in its price and as to where it is headed.
This diagram shows the Market Maker Buy Model that happens in all timeframes. It cannot be more precise than this.
Ethereum expected to reach as low as -$650, clearing liquidity and mitigating an old bullish OB.
Enter back into its range, then the new trend begins.
I hope this helps!
MMM CYCLE SHORT: EURUSDI hope you all are enjoying the holiday. Here are our projections for EU:
D: Short
H4: No harmonic
H1: L2 short
Notice the stacked 3's in level 3 creating our PFH - M pattern. We do have an outside structure suggesting long. Even though we will be favoring the shorts it is possible for price to make a third attempt to retest the PFH.
Look for clear entries during trading hours on the M15, 5 & 1. (London and NY)
Manage all trades according to your trading plan.
***This information provided is not to be taken as a trade signal. Trends and analysis can change at any time.
Feel free to message me with questions and comments.
MMM CYCLE SHORT: EURUSDWe have a beautiful peak put in on EU. We are projecting continued movement to the downside. Keep an eye out for a potential safety trade.
Daily: No trend
H4: Bearish Harmonic
H1: L2
Have a great weekend
Look for clear entries during trading hours on the M15, 5 & 1. (London and NY)
Manage all trades according to your trading plan.
***This information provided is not to be taken as a trade signal. Trends and analysis can change at any time.
Feel free to message me with questions and comments.
MMM CYCLE: EURUSDDaily: Long
H4: Bearish harmonic
H1: L3
EU is just shy of reaching 3xadr. We could see a reversal soon. New traders, wait until the peak is locked before looking for short. Be cautious of EUR news.
Look for clear entries during trading hours on the M15, 5 & 1.
Manage all trades according to your trading plan.
***This information provided is not to be taken as a trade signal. Trends and analysis can change at any time.
Feel free to message me with questions and comments.
MMM CYCLE: EURUSDI hope you all had a great weekend!
EU is currently in range condition. We will wait until we have a clear direction before we make any more projections.
Manage all trades according to your trading plan.
***This information provided is not to be taken as a trade signal. Trends and analysis can change at any time.
Feel free to message me with questions and comments.
MMM CYCLE: EURUSDHey team!
Our short bias did not work out yesterday. Instead, we had the price to rise away from the previous peak low.
Current Analysis:
Range condition
Outside structure suggestion short
H1: L1 long
Be patient and don't be afraid to pass on EU.
Look for clear entries during trading hours on the M15, 5 & 1.
Manage all trades according to your trading plan.
***This information provided is not to be taken as a trade signal. Trends and analysis can change at any time.
Feel free to message me with questions and comments.
MMM CYCLE: EURUSDHey guys!
It's possible we see a reset short in EU tomorrow. The best thing to do is to sit on your hands and wait until price action becomes more clear. More advanced traders should be ready to trade both ways. Last TH's low is still a possible anchor to trade long. We are favoring the short but we will not force anything.
Trade smart.
Daily: Short
h4: No harmonics
H1: L2 long, L1 short, EMA cross short
Look for clear entries during trading hours on the M15, 5 & 1.
Manage all trades according to your trading plan.
***This information provided is not to be taken as a trade signal. Trends and analysis can change at any time.
Feel free to message me with questions and comments.
MMM CYCLE LONG: EURUSDHey guys. I hope you all had a great weekend and a Happy Mother’s Day. Always be cautious with trading on Mondays as it’s known to be a trap day. It is possible for the price to retest the peak low before rising.
Daily:
H4: no harmonics
H1: EMA cross long, level 2 long
Look for clear entries during trading hours on the M15, 5 & 1.
Manage all trades according to your trading plan.
***This information provided is not to be taken as a trade signal. Trends and analysis can change at any time.
Feel free to message me with questions and comments.
MMM CYCLE SHORT: EURUSDAnother solid day with EU shorts. We will continue to look for shorts during London tomorrow. There is an outside structure that could anchor a possible long.
Daily: Short
4H: No harmonics
H1: L3
*NEWBIES: LOOK FOR SELL OPPORTUNITIES ONLY*
Look for clear entries during trading hours on the M15, 5 & 1.
Manage all trades according to your trading plan.
***This information provided is not to be taken as a trade signal. Trends and analysis can change at any time.
Feel free to message me with questions and comments.
MMM CYCLE SHORT: EURUSD
We had an AWESOME day today in EU. Congrats to all of those who took profit! We had very clear patterns and opportunities to enter this trade short during the session. We will continue to look for shorts going into tomorrow's session.
*NEWBIES: LOOK FOR SELL OPPORTUNITIES ONLY*
Daily: Short
H4: No harmonics:
H1: L2 short
Look for clear entries during trading hours on the M15, 5 & 1.
Manage all trades according to your trading plan.
***This information provided is not to be taken as a trade signal. Trends and analysis can change at any time.
Feel free to message me with questions and comments.
MMM CYCLE SHORT: EURUSD
Hey Guy!
We have an official peak high to trade away from. We have a cross in out EMAs as well as a 72pip close away from today's open. We will be looking for continued shorts during the London session. A trap though the bottom of today's Asian range, an ID50 or a trap though the 50 figure would be ideal.
Daily: Long
H4: No harmonics
H1: L1 short
Look for clear entries during trading hours on the M15, 5 & 1.
Manage all trades according to your trading plan.
***This information provided is not to be taken as a trade signal. Trends and analysis can change at any time.
Feel free to message me with questions and comments.
MMM CYCLE: EURUSDHey Guys!
I hope you've all managed to stay safe so far with COVID19. Going into the week we are seeing possible trapping behavior at EU's 3xadr as well as a "00" price point. We are currently bullish but we are looking for a reversal soon. Newbies, Be cautious of trying to guess where the peak may lock. Be patient until we have clear confirmation.
Daily: Long
H4: No harmonics
H1: L3 long, 3xadr
Look for clear entries during trading hours on the M15, 5 & 1.
Manage all trades according to your trading plan.
***This information provided is not to be taken as a trade signal. Trends and analysis can change at any time.
Feel free to message me with questions and comments.