Get started

Marketoutlook

India along with the globe stages a recovery. Indian markets staged a recovery along with it's global peers. Although the market moved 374 points upwards. After making a high of 22697 the market closed at 22535 which is 162 points down. Which means it has formed a Bullish Doji. Now Doji candle irrespective of the colour means uncertainty, until we clear the Doji top further upside will not be possible. The doji top resistance is at 22697 and Doji bottom support is at 22270. Doji works like a cage. The bird will fly either side once the cage is broken. To know more about the kind of candles, Mother, Father lines, behavioural finance, Technical analysis, fundamental analysis read my book: The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation. Nifty Supports remain at: 22270 (Doji cage support), 21743 current low of Trump Tantrum, 21289, 20790 (Channel Bottom support) and 20320. Nifty Resistances remain at: 22697 (Doji cage resistance), 23061 Mother line resistance, 23376 Father line resistance and 23894 recent market high. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty is holding on above the Father line but by a thin margin.After reaching a weekly high of 23869 Nifty decided to fall back in search of its support zone. Currently it is holding above the Father line in the daily chart which is at 23406. Below the Father line there is Mother line waiting to support Nifty at 23114 in case the weakness seen on Friday persists. We will be in trouble again in case we get a daily or weekly closing below this level. In such a scenario the supports for Nifty will be at 22827, 22294 and 21939. In case the Nifty is able to gain momentum again the resistances it will face will be near 23536, 23671 and 23864. Closing above 23869 will enhance the short term momentum in Nifty which can lead it to 24K+ levels. To know more about supports, Resistances, investing in stocks based on sector index, Trend lines Parallel Channels, Mother, Father and small Child Theory, Behavioural finance, Fundamental analysis, Technical analysis, Profit booking etc. Read my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation. It is as on date one of the highest rated books on Amazon. The paperback version and Kindle can be bought through Amazon. You can also contact me to buy the same. Things are slightly off balance with shadow of the candle just slightly in favour of bears as of now but Bulls will definitely try and retake the advantage back to their side given a slight opportunity. So the Bull and Bear tussle to continue into April and may escalate given Trump Tarif announcements and upcoming result season. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. No one can guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. There is also chance of bias in our opinion. The supports and resistances indicated are based on data which has a cycle time of being 3 months or older so it is not necessary that it will work. The author or Smart Investment will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
1
Nifty finds a support just above Mother line and Mid-channel.Nifty has today found a good support just above Mother line of the hourly chart and Mid-channel support zone as it bounced from lows of the day near 23412 to close at 23591. Tomorrow being the weekly closing, monthly closing and financial yearly closing it become very important or one of the most important days for investment enthusiasts. A positive closing tomorrow will empower bulls in a lot of ways. The first support for Nifty will be at 23550. A very strong support zone for Nifty right now remains between 23412 and 23380. This zone includes today's low, mid channel support and mother line support. A closing below 23380 will bring bears back into action who can potentially drag Nifty again to 23145, 23003 or levels below 22801. Resistance zone for Nifty remains at 23646 today's high, 23670, 23778 and 23900. A closing above 23900 will empower bulls to take Nifty to higher levels of 24046, 24169 or 24378. As described earlier very important day tomorrow with shadow of the candle being neutral to positive. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Coming back to test its supports.After a proper breakout and a rally which stretched above 1900 points from the March 4 lows, Nifty was clearly overbought on the hourly chart. It might be coming down for one or more of the following reasons: 1) Retesting support from where it can launch fresh move. 2) Correcting the RSI which had gone into the overbought zone. 3) Pressure due to upcoming Monthly and Financial year closing approaching on 28th March 2025. 3) The rally might have fizzled out. 4) Tax harvesting being done by retail investors. 5) Pressure due to upcoming Monthly and Financial The first 4 options seem to be more likely of the 5 points mentioned above. FII was again on the buying side today so DII and Retail were the major selling parties. Nifty Supports currently remain at: 1) Strong support zone of 23398 and 23309 (Hourly Mother Line support). This zone also includes the formidable mid channel support. 2) Next support is at 23145. 3) The next critical support for the rally remains at (Father line of the hourly chart) which is at 22959. 4) Final support for the rally will be at Channel bottom which is at 22801. Nifty Resistance currently are at: 1) 23602 which is now a resistance. 2) 23749 a formidable resistance. 3) Recent rally top at 23869. 4) The zone between 24071 and 24267. (The areas that can be new channel top). If you want to learn more about Mother, Father and the Small child theory designed by me about the stock market, Parallel Channels, charts, Candlestick analytics, Fundamental analysis, Mother and Father line importance, How to book profits, how to find a balance between Technical and fundamental analysis through Happy Candles Numbers, understand Behavioral Finance and other interesting topics by learning which you can make your money work harder you should read my book THE HAPPY CANDLES WAY TO WEALTH CREATION which is available on Amazon in paperback and kindle version. E-version of the same is available on Google Play Books too. More volatility can be expected int the next 2 days due to ongoing Ukraine-US-Russia announcements, Financial year expiry and Trump Tarif updates. Trade with caution. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Good Trendline Breakout Candle by Nifty. Nifty has given a good break out above Father line (200 Days EMA) at 23399 and Long term trend line. This shows that Bulls have made a comeback and are out of Coma. However Bears can try to disrupt things later in the week. Important resistance zone of Nifty now is between 23708 and 23830. Crossing and closing above 23830 has potential for the rally to inch upwards towards next resistance levels at 24030 and 24215. The supports for Nifty now remain at 23399, 23109 and 23036. The sectors that are driving the rally are Banking (Both Private and Public sector), Finance, Public Sector Industries. Midcap, Smallcap, Infra, Pharma, Consumer Goods and some other sectors are also trying to catch up. Overall it has been a V shaped recovery. This week's closing will decide if the rally can turn out into full blown Bull run or not. Signs are ominous. Predicting exact top and exact bottom remains illusive. When People were calling for Doomsday scenario and 20K, 19K levels we have seen Nifty rising 1694 points from 4th March Low of 21964. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. No one can guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. There is also chance of bias in our opinion. The supports and resistances indicated are based on data which has a cycle time of being 3 months or older so it is not necessary that it will work. The author or Smart Investment will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
AAPL, NVDA, MSFT & XPS: High-Probability Trade Setups This WeekWeekly Trade Radar & Market Outlook This week, my focus is on AAPL, NVDA, MSFT, and XPS. There could be a potential retest of the 200 SMA with AAPL and MSFT, offering opportunities for well-structured trades. NVDA looks weak and has already tested the 200 SMA, making it a candidate for further downside potential or a short-term bounce. Additionally, Chinese developments in AI chip production remain a factor that could influence price action, particularly with NVDA. Staying aware of these key levels and macro developments is crucial for trade execution. 📚 Trading Plan: Ichimoku & 200 SMA Monthly Options Strategy** 📌 Strategy Objective This strategy aims to capitalize on **high-probability trend-following setups** by using the **Ichimoku Cloud and 200 SMA** for confirmation while trading **monthly options contracts** to minimize time decay risks. 📀 Trading Rules ✅ 1. Entry Timing Rules (Your 3 Golden Rules)** 🚫 **No trading on Mondays** (Avoid weekend gaps & false breakouts). 🚫 **No trading on Fridays** (Avoid weekend time decay & volatility). ⏳ **No trades before the first 15-minute candle closes** (Avoid market noise). 📊 Setup & Trade Criteria 🔹 2. Trend Confirmation Using Ichimoku & 200 SMA Bullish (Call Trade) Criteria: ✅ **Price is above the 200 SMA** (bullish bias). ✅ **Price is above the Ichimoku Cloud** (strong uptrend). ✅ **Tenkan-sen is above Kijun-sen** (momentum confirmation). ✅ **Chikou Span is above price from 26 candles ago** (historical trend alignment). ✅ **Future Cloud is green** (trend continuation signal). Bearish (Put Trade) Criteria: ✅ **Price is below the 200 SMA** (bearish bias). ✅ **Price is below the Ichimoku Cloud** (strong downtrend). ✅ **Tenkan-sen is below Kijun-sen** (momentum confirmation). ✅ **Chikou Span is below price from 26 candles ago** (historical trend alignment). ✅ **Future Cloud is red** (trend continuation signal). 🔹 3. Entry Triggers (After First 15-Min Candle Closes)** **Bullish (Call Trade) Entry:** - Price pulls back to **Kijun-sen** and holds support, then starts to bounce. - OR price **breaks above the Ichimoku Cloud** and holds. - ✅ Enter **Call contract (monthly expiration)**. **Bearish (Put Trade) Entry:** - Price pulls back to **Kijun-sen**, rejects resistance, and starts falling. - OR price **breaks below the Ichimoku Cloud** and holds. - ✅ Enter **Put contract (monthly expiration)**. 🔹 4. Selecting the Right Option Contract ✅ Monthly expiration contract (third Friday of the month). ✅ 30-60 days to expiry (avoid rapid theta decay). ✅ Strike Price: - **ATM (At-The-Money) or slightly ITM (In-The-Money)**. - Delta between **0.55 – 0.70** for balance between premium & movement. ✅ Liquidity Criteria: - **Open Interest > 1,000** for easy fills. - **Tight bid-ask spread** (<$0.10 on liquid stocks). 🎯 Risk Management & Trade Management** 🔹 5. Stop Loss & Take Profit Rules** Stop Loss (SL): 🔴 For Calls: Below the Kijun-sen or most recent swing low. 🔴 For Puts: Above the Kijun-sen or most recent swing high. Take Profit (TP): ✅ First Target: At the opposite edge of the Ichimoku Cloud. ✅ Second Target: Key support/resistance level based on price action. ✅ If profit reaches 70-80% max potential, close early** to avoid theta decay. --- 🔹 6. Trade Adjustments** 🔄 Rolling:If trade is profitable near expiry but hasn’t hit full target, roll to next monthly contract. 🔄 Cutting Losses: Exit early if price **closes inside the Ichimoku Cloud** (loss of trend strength). 📊 Trade Example: Bullish Call Play** - Stock:** AAPL - Current Price:** $190 - Bias: Price is above 200 SMA and Ichimoku Cloud - Entry Trigger:** Price pulls back to Kijun-sen and bounces - Option Contract: - Expiry: **Next monthly contract (e.g., July 19 expiration)** - Strike: **$190 ATM Call** - Delta: **0.60** - Bid/Ask Spread: **$2.00 / $2.05** - Entry Price: $2.05 - Stop Loss: Below Kijun-sen (~$187) - Take Profit: - First TP at $195 (Cloud resistance) - Final TP at $200 key resistance 🔹 7. Why This Strategy Works?** ✅ **Avoids weak setups by following strict entry rules**. ✅ **Uses monthly contracts to avoid rapid time decay**. ✅ **Combines trend-following confirmation from Ichimoku & 200 SMA**. ✅ **Ensures liquidity & better risk management with ATM/ITM options**. 📀 Final Notes 🔹 Only trade **Tuesday to Thursday** to avoid low-probability days. 🔹 Wait for **first 15-minute candle to close** before entering. 🔹 Stick to **monthly contracts** for better theta control. 🔹 **Follow trend confirmation rules strictly**—no guessing. Turning a Small Trading Account into a Side Hustle for Financial Freedom Imagine having a skill that allows you to generate income from anywhere, with nothing more than your phone, iPad, or laptop. No need for an expensive setup, no need for hours glued to a screen, and no need to risk everything on a single trade. This is the power of trading options with a small account—starting with as little as $500 and scaling up over time to create financial security, eliminate debt, and build leverage for larger investments. Weekly Trade Radar & Market Outlook This week, my focus is on AAPL, NVDA, MSFT, and XPS. There could be a potential retest of the 200 SMA with AAPL and MSFT, offering opportunities for well-structured trades. NVDA looks weak and has already tested the 200 SMA, making it a candidate for further downside potential or a short-term bounce. Additionally, Chinese developments in AI chip production remain a factor that could influence price action, particularly with NVDA. Staying aware of these key levels and macro developments is crucial for trade execution. Trading Method: Ichimoku Cloud & 200 SMA Strategy For trade setups, I rely on a combination of the Ichimoku Cloud and the 200 SMA to confirm entries and exits. This system provides a structured approach to trading by identifying trend direction, support and resistance levels, and potential breakouts. Identify the Trend – The 200 SMA serves as the key trend indicator. If price is above, we look for long opportunities; if below, short setups take priority. Ichimoku Confirmation – Price action should align with the cloud structure: Bullish trades: Price above the cloud with strong momentum. Bearish trades: Price below the cloud with confirmation of weakness. Entry Timing – Trades are entered after the first 15-minute candle closes to avoid early market volatility. No trades on Mondays or Fridays to maintain consistency and avoid false breakouts. Monthly Options Contracts – Focusing on monthly expirations allows for strategic entries with enough time for price movements to develop. Risk Management – Stop losses are set just below key Ichimoku or 200 SMA levels, ensuring a disciplined risk-reward ratio. How This Can Work as a Side Hustle Many people look for side hustles to supplement their income, but most involve long hours, additional expenses, or require significant effort to scale. Trading options, however, offers: ✅ Minimal time commitment – With the right plan, you spend less than an hour per day analyzing and placing trades. ✅ Low startup cost – Start with as little as $500 and build from there. ✅ No physical inventory or overhead – You don’t need to buy and store products. ✅ Scalability – As your account grows, you can increase contract size and compound gains. ✅ Financial freedom potential – The profits from consistent, disciplined trading can be used to pay off debt, invest, or build long-term wealth. The Power of Leverage: Using Trading to Build Wealth The ultimate goal of trading isn’t just to make a little extra cash—it’s to create financial leverage. Here’s how smart traders use small account growth to create lasting financial success: 1️⃣ Get Out of Debt – Use profits to pay off credit cards, student loans, or other financial burdens. Imagine the freedom of being debt-free. 2️⃣ Reinvest in Larger Opportunities – Once your small account grows, you can scale up your trades, fund larger investments, or even start a business. 3️⃣ Build a Safety Net – Having extra cash flow from trading can serve as an emergency fund, helping you navigate life’s unexpected challenges. 4️⃣ Create a Path to Full-Time Trading – For those who love the process, this side hustle can evolve into a primary source of income over time. It’s About Discipline, Not Just Trading The key to successful trading isn’t the market—it’s you. Many traders fail because they lack the discipline to follow a system. This approach isn’t just about making money; it’s about becoming the kind of person who can execute a plan without emotion, without impulsiveness, and without shortcuts. Success in trading mirrors success in life: patience, discipline, and consistency always win. Getting Started – No Excuses You don’t need a fancy setup. You don’t need to be a finance expert. You just need a phone, iPad, or laptop, a brokerage account (I use Robinhood for its simplicity), and a commitment to mastering a system that works. If you’re looking for a low-stress, high-reward way to build financial security, trading options with a small account might be the perfect opportunity. It’s time to take control of your future—one trade at a time.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by invinoveritas7671
Solid Comeback by Nifty on Weekly Chart. 1 hurdle remaining. Nifty made a solid comeback gaining 4.26% this week. One major hurdle remaining which is 23403. If Nifty can close above this level the next resistances will be at 23809, 24030, 24215, 24443, 24667 and 24873 before Nifty can regain 25K levels. The supports for Nifty on the lower side if it is not able to cross the major hurdle at 23403 will be 23109, 22789, 22334 and 21974. As of now the Bulls have done well turning the shadow of the candle positive for the next week. However there is also a small possibility of 23403 becoming Achilles heel for the rampant Bulls. Weekly RSI is at 48.89 which means it has entered the bullish territory. MACD or the Moving Average Convergence and Divergence has not fully moved into the Bullish territory but it has certainly taken the turn towards the convergence. So overall it was a great week for bulls after a long time but one final hurdle of the Bear 'Chakravyuh' remains to be conquered. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Make or Break 3 key Resistances Approaching. Nifty saw 3 good days of recovery. Now the real test begins as we are approaching the 3 big daddy resistances. 1) R1 Mother line Resistance (50 days EMA) 22988. 2) R2 Long Term Trend line Resistance 23237. 3) R3 Father Line Resistance 23399. If these 3 are crossed the Nifty has potential to hit 23809 in the medium to short term. If Nifty rally does not have steam it can again fall back to the support levels at 22638, 22334 or even 21974. IT has not contributed to the current rally Infact it has remained laggard. RIL has not contributed. HDFC has remained range bond. If some IT counters or Heavy Weights like RIL or HDFC join the rally we can see Nifty flying otherwise there is a potential for this rally to fizzle out again. Things are in balance right now. Shadow of the candle neutral as I write this. Very important closing weekly closing awaits us on Friday. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
1
Nifty holding above Hourly Mother line a good signalNifty holding above 50 Hours EMA or Mother line in the hourly chart is a good signal for the market if it holds above 22464 then there is a chance of further recovery. The supports for Nifty remain at 22464 (strong Mother line support), 22368 (Another strong trend line support), 22311 and 22205. If the support at 22205 is broken Nifty can go in a jiffy to 21976 or below. In case we get a closing above 22591 Nifty will become stronger and can jump to 22678 or 22722 levels. 22722 is a strong 200 Hours EMA or Father line resistance. A closing above 22722 can take us to next historical resistance levels of 22813, 22921, 23044, 23147 and 23249 levels. Closing above 23249 has potential to bring Bulls back out of ICU and Take Nifty further up. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty near important support holding it is key for progress. Nifty this week tried to consolidate and in the process lot a lost of ground covered last week. Holding the support level of 22314 is the key to move forward. If this major support is broken Nifty may again fall to the strong Bear zone of 21975, 21782 or even 21285 levels. If 22314 support is held the future resistances can be 22531, 22668 and 22842. If these resistances are crossed we will reach Mother and Father line resistances at 23018 and 23419. A monthly closing above Father line resistance that is 23419 can bring Bulls back into action. Shadow of the candle is neutral with slightly positive tinge. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
DAX to rise further?DAX Poised for Further Gains Risk sentiment remains positive, and the DAX could benefit from a potential market turnaround. Despite recent weakness, hedging options suggest a recovery, with put option levels possibly marking a bottom. Meanwhile, a declining VIX signals easing market anxiety. DAX Outlook: - Supported by improving global sentiment - Potential Ukraine ceasefire could boost momentum - Falling oil prices may further support economic growth At the same time, uncertainty could drive gold and silver higher, with silver benefiting from the positive stock market environment. Conclusion: The DAX remains well-positioned for further gains. A decisive breakout above resistance levels could fuel the next leg of the rally.
XETR:DAXLong
by fwalbaum
Smart recovery by Nifty after opening Gap-Down. Nifty opened Gap down after a sell-off in global markets in general and US markets in particular. Nasdaq tanked 3.81%, Dow cracked 2.08% and S&P 500 cracked 2.70% last night. Nifty however has closed 37 points in positive showing some strength. The recovery from day's low was 183.2 which sounds like a very powerful comeback. However we are not out of the woods till we close above few important resistances which are in front of Nifty. Immediate resistances are at 22531, 22668 and 22842. Once we close above 22842 there are Mother and Father Line resistances at 23067 and 23439. Closing above 23439 is the key for Bulls to make a comeback. Those who are not aware about my Mother, Father and Small Child theory of stock market can read my book the Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation. The book is one of the highest rated books on Amazon in the category. The book teaches Behavioural finance, Fundamental analysis and Technical analysis. Many consider this book as hand book of investment. Anyone who reads it will benefit and take something home some valuable learning whether he is a newbie or a seasoned investor. Supports for Nifty will be near 22314, 21975, 21782 and 21281. If Nifty can carry forward today's momentum into tomorrow there is a chance of further recovery. Shadow of the candle despite today's smart recovery is absolutely neutral. Market will be closed on Friday for Dhuleti so next 2 days are very crucial for Bulls. Mother and Father lines are far away but bulls will be very happy to get a closing above 22668 if not 22842 this week. Bears will try to drag the market below today's low of 22314. So it can be a tussle of the highest order in store for the next 2 days. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Reverse Hammer in Nifty (confirmation pending) sign of reversal.A reverse hammer pattern is formed in Nifty in the weekly charts. Usually This kind of formation signals trend reversal. For reversal to be successful we need a closing next week above 23044. If this happens investors and traders can breathe a sigh of relief from the on going market correction. If the reversal is not successful we might see Nifty fall further to 22427 or in the worst case scenario the next supports will be at 22132, 21718 or even 21302 as of now. On the positive side if the reversal is successful we may see Nifty rising to 23383, 23819, 24205 or close to 25K if we get a weekly or monthly close above 23044 level. Another point which goes in favour of Nifty is that weekly RSI currently is at 39.39. Last time the weekly RSI was this low was in March 23 when it was 38.80. After this point we saw a rally in Nifty which lasted almost 18/19 months. So a further small dip post which we can see a come back in Nifty as per the Relative Strength Index. Next week and the week after than will be critical for reversal of Nifty. Shadow of the candle neutral to positive this week. We might be near a temporary bottom (confirmation pending). Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Evaluating the Future of Midcaps: How Much Pain Is Left....?Midcap Correction: How Much More Pain is Left..? The midcap sector has experienced a significant correction, currently down approximately 18% amid the broader market downturn. This raises an important question: how much more pain is left for midcaps? Historical Context and Market Correction : If we look at past trends, this 18% to 20% correction is not unprecedented. A similar downturn occurred in 2022, when the midcap index was corrected by around 23.3%. Therefore, it’s important to remember that such market fluctuations are a normal part of the cycle and not something entirely new. Primary Causes of the Correction : Two key factors have contributed to the current market correction. Firstly, the high valuations of midcap stocks coupled with slower-than-expected earnings growth over the past two quarters have created pressure on prices. While there are other contributing factors, these two stand out as the primary drivers behind the recent downturn. However, this correction may not persist for long. Looking ahead, earnings are expected to pick up in the coming quarters, fueled by an anticipated boost in consumption due to the new income tax bill presented in the latest budget. As a result, a combination of market correction and improving earnings growth could lay the foundation for a potential recovery and a return of the bull run. Technical Support Levels and Future Outlook : From a technical analysis standpoint, the midcap index is currently hovering around the 49,650 mark, which is a significant support level. Additionally, this price point coincides with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, reinforcing its importance as a key technical support area. The broader Fibonacci golden zone, which spans from 50,180 to 46,800, also suggests that this range will provide strong support for the midcap index in the near term. Given these technical factors, it’s reasonable to anticipate that the downside could be limited to around 5% more from the current level of 49,650. Beyond this range, the market may stabilize, and with expected earnings growth, we could witness a market rebound in the upcoming quarters. Risks to Consider : While the outlook for midcaps appears optimistic, investors should remain cautious. One major risk is the ongoing trade war, which continues to create significant uncertainty in global markets. Any escalation in trade tensions could weigh on the broader market, including midcaps, and introduce additional volatility. Conclusion : In summary, while the midcap index has experienced an 18% correction, this level of decline is not unprecedented, and there is potential for recovery. With strong earnings growth expected in the coming quarters and key technical support levels in place, the midcap sector could see a return to positive momentum. However, caution is advised, especially considering the uncertainties surrounding the trade war. Investors should keep an eye on these developments to navigate the market with caution and opportunity in mind.
NSE:CNXMIDCAPLong
by Kartik_Elkunchwar
Two important Resistances to conquer for Nifty ahead. There are 2 important resistances for Nifty ahead which need to be conquered for the Bull run that started post budget to sustain. These 2 resistances are at 23630 and 23809. Today Nifty made a good comeback from lows of the day which was near 23556 to close at 23603. The resistnace near 23809 acted again as Nifty plummeted from the level of 23773 to fall to 23556. The trend line shown in the chart acted as support for Nifty to come back into the game. There are 3 important events coming up later. RBI Policy where market is expecting a rate cur. Delhi election results and finally Income tax bill to be tabled in the parliament. Market is fearing a little bit and hoping that there is no bad news related to LTCG or STCG etc. in the bill. Nifty supports remain at: 23556, 23498 and 23484 (Mother and Father line of the daily chart). If this line is broken we can see Nifty falling to old support system of 23376 and 23222. Closing below 23222 can bring the Bears back into the game and calling the shots again. Nifty Resistances remain at: 23630 and 23809. If these to resistances are conquered we can a strong up move towards 24K level with resistances at 23991, 24197 and 24344 level. Above 24344 level Bulls will come out of ICU and start taking control of the system. Shadow of the candle right now is absolutely neutral. Tomorrows closing will be very important a closing above 23630 will be good but closing above 23809 will be great. Similarly a closing below 23556 will make the market weak. Nicely balanced right now. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Good Leap by Nifty today in anticipation of RIL/INFY results. Good Leap by Nifty today in anticipation of RIL/INFY results and closed 98 points up at 23311. Real test is the level of between 23377 (Mother Line) and 23398 (Important Resistance). This includes today's high and Mother line resistance and another important resistance. After closing above this zone the next resistances will be at 23469, 23598, 23736 and finally 23770 (Father Line resistance of Hourly chart.) Supports for Nifty on the lower side now remain at 23267, 23147 and 23053. If we get a poor result for Reliance these levels will be tested once again and there will be pressure on Bulls and Bears will again try to overpower Nifty. The tussle has reached a delicate stage now and thing can give. (Either a Breakout of Breakdown). Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
2
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 06-Dec-2025Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 06-Dec-2025 Nifty closed at 24004 (2 weeks before 23587), for last 50 days nifty was in rangebound movement from 23200 to 25000. RSI at 48 ,Macd signal is negative 115 and stochastics levels is 41%, Still RSI should cross its MA, MACD to reach positive and Stochastics should cross its signal decisively. Buy call on dips was given month before. Market yet to cross crucial 24800-25000resistance decisively. Hence please filter the stock, diversify investment in equities with lesser risk stocks. However, SIP on stocks/ MFs always better at this critical time instead of bulk investment. Hence, Q3 results, Interest Rate reduction and Feb Budget is the key for the market to sustain above 25000, move above 26000 to next targets of 27000. I started adding the stocks and Mutual Funds during this downfall for the last two weeks and continue to buy if there is further fall. Use the opportunity and grab the good value stocks or invest in Mutual funds. Assume each parcel can be 5-7 % parcel of your total investment planned in the near term. Kindly read the Bitcoin Blog which i have written in Sep & Oct 24 with clear Indications to Buy with target of atleast 77000 and it touched 100,000 as Trump won the US Presidential election . Caution was emphasized on Nifty for last 5 months as nifty PE (Currently in 22.1) is still in high level with high valuation especially in Mid cap & Small Cap index with PE ratio >40 and >35 respectively. Hence more in large cap MF in allocation over Mid & Small Cap. Invest in MF as the goal is for more than 5-10 years at this critical period, further market correction can happen upto nifty index to 22800 from current level, Individual value stock picking is a key at this critical time. Fundamentally good stocks to be invested at these times. My Stock analysis of diwali recommendation from major financial agencies/ analyst and also some of the stock which is good as per my analysis will be provided upon request in comment section . Individual need to analyse on their own. Further additional fundamental good value stocks ( which i have analysed ) . Please note these are all not stock recommendation, rather an analysis. Individual Can analyze and add to your portfolio based on your risk profile. as/ Nifty 24004 short term Nifty short term resistance at 24800 to 25000 level (0.5 Fib Resistance), once crossed 25122 (0.618 Fib Resistance) and 25350( Shoulder Pattern) is the next target. Support at 24329, and 24199( Last week Low) and 24000 Medium Term next target if move up decisively above 25350, next target is 26268 ( all time high)and 26968 (1.618 Fib Resistance) Medium term Support 23265 ( Nov low),23000 and 22800 Long Term : Nifty have a target of 27740, 28000 & 28190 ( Fibonacci Resistance). Support at 21240
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
2
S&P is Shaping a Bull Flag While Awaiting the FED DecisionLast week was characterized by increasing selling pressure that hindered upward price progression but failed to trigger any substantial pullback. The market has not even retested the previous consolidation zone ( 598-601 ), which highlights the weakness of the sellers. Looking at the daily chart, the recent price action resembles a bull flag, favoring a continuation of the upward trend. For sellers to demonstrate their strength, they must not only break this pattern to the downside but also breach the 598 support level and drive the price further down to 594 . Much will depend on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision this week, alongside the release of key economic data. The most favorable outcome for the bulls would be a 0.25% rate cut. Any other scenario could spark concerns—either about an impending recession (if the cut is larger) or about a prolonged high-interest-rate environment (if the cut is absent). The market outlook remains bullish; however, the current price level is not ideal for new long positions. Buyers would be better served by waiting for a more meaningful pullback (e.g., to the 600 level), provided it is not driven by a negative shift in economic sentiment.
AMEX:SPY
by hermes_trisme
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 16-Dec-24 to 20-Dec-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 16-Dec-24 to 20-Dec-24 Nifty closed at 24677 (last week 4276) , for last 30-40 days nifty was in sideways movement. last week on the last day market touched 24200 and bounced back to 24677 . RSI at 60.37 ,Macd signal is more than MACD and in positive for last 2 weeks (after 2 months). But stochastics levels is sustaining above 90%, overbought position for the last 3 weeks. Buy call on dips was given last week. Market bounced back in the last day and near to key resistances. FII started buying, in positive for Dec month, however not full fledge buying, hence please filter the stock, diversify investment in equities with lesser risk stocks. However, SIP on stocks/ MFs always better at this critical time. Maharashtra election win and US acquittal of Adani in bribe crime is a positive news and definitely helped Indian market to sustain above 24000. Outgoing RBI governor didnt change the interest rate. Interest Rate reduction and Feb Budget is the key for the market to move above 26000 to next targets of 27000. I started adding the stocks and Mutual Funds during this downfall for the last two weeks and continue to buy if there is further fall. Use the opportunity and grab the good value stocks or invest in Mutual funds. Assume each parcel can be 5-7 % parcel of your total investment planned in the near term. Kindly read the Bitcoin Blog which i have written in Sep & Oct 24 with clear Indications to Buy with target of atleast 77000 and it touched 100,000 as Trump won the US Presidential election . Caution was emphasized on Nifty for last 4 months as nifty PE (Currently in22.8) was in high level with high valuation especially in Mid cap & Small Cap. PE touched 21.5 and bounced back. Mutual Funds SIP shall be invested as the goal is for more than 5-10 years at this critical period , further market correction can happen upto nifty index to 22800 from current level, Individual value stock picking is a key at this critical time. Fundamentally good stocks to be invested at these times. My Stock analysis of diwali recommendation from major financial agencies/ analyst and also some of the stock which is good as per my analysis will be provided upon request in comment section . Individual need to analyse on their own. Further additional fundamental good value stocks ( which i have analysed ) . Please note these are all not stock recommendation, rather an analysis. Individual Can analyse and add to your portfolio based on your risk profile. Nifty 24768 (PrevWeek 24677 ) Short term Nifty short term resistance at 24800 0.5 Fib Resistance, once crossed 25122 (0.618 Fib Resistance) and 25350( Shoulder Pattern) is the next target. Support at 24329, and 24199( Last week Low) and 24000 Medium Term next target is , if move up decisively above 25350, next target is 26268 ( all time high)and 26968 (1.618 Fib Resistance) Medium term Support 23265 ( Nov low),23000 and 22800 Long Term : Nifty have a target of 27740, 28000 & 28190 ( Fibonacci Resistance). Support at 21240
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
BTCUSD Update: Retest 100K or New Moves Ahead?Good morning, crypto enthusiasts! Today, the fear and greed index remains in extreme greed at 78, while the stochastic RSI has dropped to the oversold area at 9. In the previous market update, I mentioned the potential for BTC to visit the 93K area. This morning, it dropped to around the 94K price range, which leads me to consider the 93K area invalid. So, where is BTC heading next? Based on today’s price action, there’s a big probability for a retest of the 100K area. Following this, I see two possible scenarios considering the current extreme greed zone: A pump to 105K–109K. A dump to the 90K–85K area. Stay safe, avoid FOMO, and always manage your risk. That’s all for today’s crypto update. Akki signing off, one chart at a time. Have a nice day and stay SAFU!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by x_Akki
#USDJPY Taking a closer look at the USD/JPY pair on the 1-hour timeframe, the current price action highlights a significant area of interest that could dictate the next move in the market. The momentum appears to be building around this key zone, offering potential opportunities for both intraday traders looking for quick gains and scalpers aiming to capitalize on shorter movements. Whether it leads to a breakout or a reversal will depend on how the price interacts with these critical levels, making patience and confirmation essential for executing a well-timed and calculated trade.
by SadarExplore
BTCUSD Update: Correction or Pump to 107K?Good morning, crypto enthusiasts! Today, the fear and greed index remains in extreme greed at 78, while the stochastic RSI is sideways at 40. From a price action perspective, there’s a higher probability of BTC revisiting the 93K area for a deeper correction. However, there’s a small chance of a pump to around 107K. Stay safe, avoid FOMO, and always manage your risk. That’s all for today’s crypto update. Akki signing off, one chart at a time. Have a nice day and stay SAFU!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by x_Akki