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SPY (S&P 500 ETF) - Bullish OutlookIn this technical analysis, I see the potential for a bullish trend in the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) based on historical data calculated using the ABC Calculator indicator and in consideration of the trend suggested by the Adapted Volume indicator. My outlook suggests a price target of approximately $450 USD within the next month. 1. Historical Analysis with ABC Calculator: The ABC Calculator indicator has been a reliable tool for assessing historical price movements in the SPY. After a thorough analysis, it's evident that the SPY has exhibited several bullish patterns in the past, often following periods of consolidation or minor corrections. These historical patterns suggest the potential for a bullish trend to develop. 2. Adapted Volume Indicator: The Adapted Volume indicator has consistently signaled strength in buying activity, indicating that market participants are showing increased interest in the SPY. This growing volume aligns with bullish market sentiments, as higher volumes often accompany upward price movements. Price Target: $450 USD within 1 Month: Taking into account the historical analysis and the current sentiment suggested by the technical indicators, I foresee a target price of around $450 USD for the SPY within the next month. However, it's important to note that the market can be influenced by various external factors, and this projection should be used as a guideline rather than a guarantee. Risk Factors: It's crucial to acknowledge that all investments carry inherent risks, and the SPY is no exception. Potential risks include economic events, geopolitical developments, and unforeseen market sentiment changes that could impact the bullish outlook. Traders and investors should employ risk management strategies to protect their positions. In conclusion, the technical analysis indicates a bullish potential for the SPY, supported by historical patterns and the Adapted Volume indicator. However, it's important to stay informed about market developments and employ proper risk management to make well-informed investment decisions. Please note that this analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
AMEX:SPYLong
by Julien_Eche
Nifty can bounce from Support. Nifty can bounce from Support if it can sustain above the levels of Friday high. That is 19799 tomorrow or in the coming week. In this case the resistances on the upper side will be 19921, 19991, 20038 and finally 20176. Supports for Nifty on the lower side remain at 19502 and 19208 on the daily chart. The momentum it gained on Friday should continue on Tuesday otherwise the Nifty will remain side ways for a few days. Crossing and closing above 19799 levels is crucial for fresh leg of rally to start in Nifty .
NSEIX:NIFTY1!Long
by Happy_Candles_Investment
A proper Breakout above the mid channel resistance for NiftyNifty has given a proper Breakout above the mid channel resistance showing bullish momentum. 20,000 points on Nifty along with G-20 can be the theme for the next week. For this to happen there are 2 important resistances which Nifty has to cross. These resistances are 19867 and 19991. Supports on the lower side for Nifty in case the breakout fails will be at 19720, 19516, 19360 and 19223. Trend changes to negative in case we get a closing below 19223.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Market is indecisive as it gave a perfect Doji. The market today gave a positive closing above 50 days EMA which was at 19285 which was a good sign but the candle that we saw today was a DOJI candle or a Perfect DOJI candle. This means that the market is indecisive. Only if the support at 19285 is held tomorrow or for the reminder of the week, Nifty can think of a recovery. Supports on the lower side for Market are 19285, 19229, 19145 and 19024. Below 19024 the market can fall upto the levels of 18861 or more. On the upper side the resistances will be at 19367, 19488 and 19587.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
First Signals of Bull Rally cooling down.The 1.17% negative fall in stock market today courtesy weak guidance for 2024 by Infosys set the cat amongst the pigeons and profit booking in major sectoral indices lead by IT started. Capital goods and PSUs index were trying to provide some support and respite to the Nifty. On weekly chart the zone between 18887 and 50 weeks EMA which is at 18000 looks like major support zone. Before Nifty reaches this zone there will also be supports at 19565 and 19117. In the worst case scenario of some major bad news 16856 and 200 Weeks EMA of Nifty which is near 15566 can also provide major support. (Highly unlikely Nifty reaches there but you never know). Resistance on the upper side for Nifty remain at 19747 and 19991. Long term target for Nifty is first 20002 and then 21035.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
2
Nifty Delicately placed between support and resistance zones. There are three major supports for Nifty on hourly channel near the current level. The supports being at 19354, 19295 and 19232. Falling below 19232 will take spot Nifty to the levels of 19065 or 18894. Below 18894 Nifty becomes very week and final major support for Bulls will be at 18651. Resistance for Nifty will be near the levels of 19437 and 19523. Crossing and closing above this zone is difficult but if Nifty closes above 19523 channel top resistance will be in the zone of 19590 to 19610.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
2
Supports and Resistances for Nifty from current levels.Hourly chart of Nifty suggests support for Nifty in the zone of 19268 and 19232. If 19232 is broken the next support will be near 19065. Below 19065 Nifty is vulnerable and can fall to the levels of 18859 or 18651. Below 18651 bears will awaken from Coma they are in currently. Trend changes to negative below 18651 closing. Resistance on the upper side for Nifty are near 19411. 19506 to 19551 will be a major resistance for Nifty as that is the top of current channel.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Strong Close by Nifty on Friday.Nifty has given a strong closing on Friday by closing above the Mid Channel line. The nifty has given a close just below a strong resistance of 18509. 18509 was high of Friday above which the Nifty could not close. One way to avoid this resistance would be to open gap up on Monday. If we open gap up on Monday above 18509 levels, the next resistance will be at 18562, 18601 and 18678. Supports on the lower side will be at 18460, 18389, 18324 (50 Hours EMA) and 18197. Below 18197 Final support will be 200 Hour EMA at 18101. Below 18101 Bears will regain the control. If by chance during the week or later this month or next month we get a closing below 18101 trend can change into negative.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Soft Landing of Nifty after Karnataka Election Results. Nifty made a soft landing after Karnataka Election results. Despite Global markets performing well Nifty had a subdued week. After starting the week well, the rally simply could not sustain the upper levels and continued to slide. Bollinger Band and Daily chart technical analysis shows Friday low of 18060 and 18107.5 as strong support for Spot Nifty. Below these levels if 18060 broken Nifty can slide further to 17873 and 17636. The zone between 17636 and 17675 is strong support buffer zone. Resistance on the upper side will be at 18293, 18458 and 18539.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Panic selling on Friday but Nifty closed above critical support.Market Outlook For The Next Week: It was a volatile week which saw ups and downs. Downs mainly due to huge sell off in HDFC Twins due to the rebalancing news of MSCI Index. The fall also cooled down RSI which has come down substantially. Closing of Nifty well above critical support level of 18029 shows that strength still might be left in NIFTY to rally again a bit further next week. Support and Resistance levels for Nifty for Next week are under. Nifty Support Levels: 18055, 18029, 17936 and finally 17843. Nifty Resistance levels: 18172, 18216, 18268 and finally 18425.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty at a critical support. 50 and 200 days EMA have been providing a critical support to Nifty all throughout the week. 50 and 200 days EMA stand at 17544 and 17530 respectively. This zone has provided support to the Nifty almost on all days of the week proving that it is the most critical support. If this support is broken Next support for Nifty will be only at 17406 and further down at 17204 levels. However if Nifty is assured of its support the chances are that it can rise from here. The resistances that it can meet on the way up are near 17805, 17869, 18092 and 18261 levels.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Spot Nifty At A Critical Juncture.Market Outlook The Nifty is poised at a cross road and a critical resistance. Either it can defy the resistance and continue rising further or it can consolidate a bit in the range of 100/ 200 points on either side and consolidate it’s position. Nifty consolidating first and then rallying further will be more logical but Stock market is not the place which obeys reasoning and logic most of the times. Either it becomes too worried or it becomes too fearless and greedy. We investors try to find equilibrium and rationale in the place which often defies laws of consistency in the short term. In the long term everything works fine and falls in a deserving place. Spot Nifty Resistance Zones: 17851, 18004, 18126 and 18267. Spot Nifty Support Zones: 17780, 17713, 17532(Strong Short Term Support), 17311(Final Short Term Support).
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
How much more Fizz left in the rally? The main question that is springing in every mind is that how much more Fizz is left in the rally? Is it a genuine back to bull market rally or should we consider it a relief rally only? We will know only if the critical resistance are crossed in the coming week/weeks. Nifty Critical Resistances: 17639, 17720, 17804 (Major Resistance) ,18066, 18136, 18207 and finally 18292 (Major Resistance) . Nifty Critical Support Zones: 17515, 17482, 17402, 17309 and finally 17210.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Market Outlook for 3rd to 7th April 2023. After consolidating for about 2 weeks Nifty Finally had a shackle breaking close to the week and month in the last couple of days where momentum totally changed and both FIIs and DIIs turned buyers simultaneously. While the closing of Nifty is good, a major resistance zone of 50 and 200 days EMA between 17478 and 17515 is there to be crossed. If this zone is crossed there will be another major resistance near 17618 which will be tough to cross. If we are able to cross 17618 Nifty will face a trend line channel top resistance near 17817. Bulls can be in full control only after these zones are crossed. Supports on the lower side now remain at 17300, 17204 and 17080. Let us hope that bulls can carry the momentum through to the next month and next financial year.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
BTC Outlook 2023 - 2027BTC Outlook 2023-2027 (Revised) I think its almost confirmed with high confidence that this rally is bear market rally, not a rally of a new cycle that ends the BTC bear market. 25k is already its highest peak, it will going sideway for a while before resuming the drawdown to a lower level. Q1 2023 is one month left before it ends. This rally is the corrective move of wave 4 of the 4th cycle ABC move. After we have the truncated bull market of 2021, now we also have a truncated bear market. Its a textbook Elliot Wave cycle but its just not the ideal one. But it is the ideal one to model the current cycle. We can see that the peak of the current rally has touch multiple important moving averages. That's it, the unbreakable wall of the rally. Next move we will see again another massive drawdown, the wave 5, the last wave of the ABC move. My prediction is that BTC will be asking for a major support between 12-14k liquidity area, touching 1M 100 SMA and 50% of Fibonacci retracement level, and surely a weekly bullish divergence will be formed, and that would be the best time to buy before a new cycle started. Approximately the bottom will be formed around Q2-Q3 of 2023, but I think Q3 is preferable considering the macroeconomic condition. The identification of almost-confirmed-with-high-confidence wave 4 of ABC move also stating that the current cycle has been going a time period of more than 4 years tradition and still counting due to a longer bear market. The first time that BTC breaking this tradition after going 3 Elliot Wave cycles and 3 halvings. For the next cycle, we will have the first wave peaking between 32-37k, the 3rd wave peaking at around 2021 ATH and for the 5th wave, the blow off top will be around 130-170k. Let see if this post will age really well in the coming years.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by derahmanov
Nifty ends the week just under mid channel resistance. Some commentators in US are reflecting that during the FOMC in March 2023 can see US Fed hike rate by 50 bps. This move is anticipated based on US Inflation numbers which where worse than expected. Also there are some questions being asked about recovery of certain sectors in China which is still to come out fully from the COVID-19 grip. These two news items in general and US related news in particular purged the momentum Nifty was gaining since beginning of the week and we saw the index nosedive a bit on Friday. Nifty Supports remain at: 17913 (Major support), 17885, 17794, 17651 and finally 17353. Nifty Resistances remain at: 17976, 18031, 18134, 18181 and finally there will be a major resistance at 18269. Long Positions should be taken only after closing above 18269.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
50 and 200 Hours EMA proving to be major hurdles for Nifty. We have been seeing from 25th January 2023 that both 50 and 200 Hours EMA are not allowing Nifty to settle above it. Even if Nifty crosses below immediately. Currently the Nifty is below both 50 and 200 EMAs at 17770.9 indicating immense weakness and lack of confidence of retail investors. FIIs are also on the selling side. Only saving grace has been DIIs stepping in on every major fall to save the index. Nifty Supports : 17720, 17650, 17494 and finally 17352. 17352 is a critical level below which bears will be dominating the market. Nifty Resistances : Nifty has to overcome lot of resistance before we can see proper Bull Run in the market. Resistances on hourly chart are at 17794, 17893, 17916, 17975, 18113, 18202 and finally 18264. Bulls can take control of the market only after we have a weekly closing above 18264.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Short-term up with range later in 2023Why market is entering into short-term bullishness again and latter uncertainty or range? We will do both technical and fundamental analysis in this video tutorial, and we will see how both analyses can affirm each other. Content: . Why market is entering into a short-term bullishness? (Fundamental & Technical studies) . Subsequently the market will enter into a range (Fundamental & Technical studies) CME Micro Nasdaq Futures Minimum fluctuation 0.25 = $0.50 1 = $2 10 = $20 100 = $200 1000 = $2,000 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by konhow
11
BTC Outlook 2023-2025Fresh new data and more information of significant factors brings me to a new deliberate prediction. The corrective wave that we are in is not a usual corrective wave. It could make twice as long as the two previous corrective waves in 2014 and 2018, an ABC move from a larger degree of Elliot Wave (Could be a wave 4 from the whole BTC movement since 2009). Currently we are in a bear market rally that potentially will bring BTC up to 25k, from there the corrective move will continue to the bottom which potentially at 8k in early 2024. I still believe potential Fed pivot will be around Q4 2023-Q1 2024 and inflation at that time will probably sits around 2-3%. 3% is good enough to restart the Quantitative Easing. Due to the longer corrective wave, 4th BTC Halving in Q2 2024 will occur in the 1st wave, not the same with the last three halvings that occured in the 3rd wave. This also means that we are approximately one year away from the beginning of a new bull market that potentially will make BTC going up to 140k or 1600% from 8k. Expect more business entities to collapse, more lay-offs and rising unemployment which also means rising in crime rates. Take care and survive!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by derahmanov