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NZDUSD -2.15% The New Zealand Dollar lost the gains it made in the two previous trading sessions against the US dollar. The kiwi gained 1.76% when the US 10-year Treasury Note spiked earlier in the week. After the US released high-impact economic indicators, the NZD lost strength, and the USD is having a solid week against most major currency pairs. The US released the Personal Spending MoM economic indicator earlier today; the result came out at 0.4%, which is better than the analyst's consensus of 0.2%, strengthening the USD across most major currency pairs. The US also released Personal-Income MoM, and the result came out as experts anticipated at 0.3%, remaining the same as the previous month's figure. The US Michigan Consumer Sentiment was also released this morning, and the result came out at 58.6, which is short of analysts' expectations of 59.5. The result is worse than expected but slightly better than the previous figure of 58.2. The industry is still within the expansion area as it is above 50, suggesting that economic activity remains elevated. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will release an Interest Rate Decision next week; experts agree that the RBNZ will hike the rate by 50 basis points to leave the Interest rate at 3.5%. Annual inflation in New Zealand reached 7.3%, and the RBNZ is expected to continue rising interest rates until inflation drops significantly. Read more about NZD/USD news.baxiamarkets.com This publication does not provide financial advice for traders, and its only purpose is education. Use all the available information from different analysts and develop your own trading strategy. Trading forex and cryptocurrencies is not for everyone. You should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance does not indicate future results.
by traderscolo-en
Late day PM Session Trade for SPX500Confluences: - SSL was taken - Filled in 15M FVG - BSL Taken / MSS - Retest above FVG after respecting Breaker OB - LOADS of BSL from the heavy selling today - If we are still bearish which is likely -- Looking to take profit at that previous low from 9:30am. That would be a key resistance area. Just for educational purposes, still learning LOTS about this market and I have gotten humbled SEVERAL TIMES. So take everything I say here with a Grain of SALT.
CME_MINI:ESZ2022Long
by BDripTradess
USDCNH -0.92% The US dollar is losing ground to some currency pairs after the US 10-year treasury Note spiked in the previous trading session. The Chinese Yuan gained 2.44% after reaching a 14-year high yesterday. The US released Initial Jobless claims this morning, and the result came out at 193K, a better than the expected figure by 22K; analysts anticipated a 215K. The figure is not only better than expected but also better than the previous release, which strengthened the USD against four of the six major currency pairs. China will release N B S Non-Manufacturing PMI at an early stage of the new trading session. Analysts expect the figure to come out at 52.8, while the previous was 52.6. We could see a minimal improvement, but it is more important that the figure stays above the 50 level, which indicates industry expansion, the release of this economic indicator will create more volatility in the exchange rate of the Chinese Yuan against other currencies, mainly against the USD. China will also release N B S Manufacturing PMI, which is expected to come out at 49.6 from a previous 49.4. Although we could see the figure improve slightly, if it stays under 50, market participants will interpret it as an industry contraction and are likely to take action. The USD Index is 17% up this year, and we see very solid numbers in the labor market despite the Fed's efforts to slow down economic growth. It could be hard to beat the dollar this year. Currently, the US stock market negatively correlates with the US dollar. The pair continues on a general uptrend as the short and long-term moving averages are still below the current price; the pair is retracing, but after the release of high-impact economic indicators, the dollar could resume the rally. The Bollinger bands are wide and continue moving upwards, suggesting that volatility will continue to be high and that the pair will likely resume the uptrend. Our Parabolic S A R indicator strengthens the long signals. The relative strength index is recovering from an overbought status, currently at 62%. We could see the pair pull back closer to the support level at 7.061120 before the uptrend resumes. Read more news.baxiamarkets.com This publication does not provide financial advice for traders, and its only purpose is education. Use all the available information from different analysts and develop your own trading strategy. Trading forex and cryptocurrencies is not for everyone. You should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance does not indicate future results.
by traderscolo-en
USDCHF -1.61% The SwissFranc is gaining ground over the US dollar, but we could see the SwissFranc lose ground after the fundamental news release from the US. They are releasing Initial Jobless claims in tomorrow's trading session; the previous week's figure reached 213K, and analysts expect this week's number to increase to 215K. The US has a very solid labor market that has remained unaffected by the Fed's efforts to slow down economic growth; we have been surprised by the US labor market's numbers in recent months. Switzerland will release high-impact economic indicators on Friday; they will announce Retail Sales MoM, which is expected to increase from -0.5% to 0.6%, while analysts anticipate Retail Sales YoY to decline slightly from a previous figure of 2.6% to 2% in August, this economic indicator is an excellent way to gauge the economic activity in the country. Later in the day, Switzerland will also release the K O F Leading Indicators, where the K O F Swiss Economic Insitute gauges business leaders' confidence about the economy's performance and their organization's prospects. This indicator is expected to drop from the previous figure of 86.5; expert consensus is at 84.5. The US will release indicators on Personal Spending MoM, Personall Incomeme MoM, and Michigan Consumer Sentiment on Friday's trading session. These economic indicators will cause turbulence in the markets as they gauge how much people spend on goods and services, how much they make, and how they perceive the future for their financial situation. Experts anticipate Personal Spending MoM to increase from 0.1% to 0.2%. Personall Income is expected to grow from 0.2% to 0.3%, and Michigan Consumer Sentiment is also expected to increase from 58.2 to 59.5. This is not very good news for the Federal reserve as they continue intensifying the efforts to restore price stability by hiking rates, which is meant to slow down economic activity. This publication does not provide financial advice for traders, and its only purpose is education. Use all the available information from different analysts and develop your own trading strategy. Trading forex and cryptocurrencies is not for everyone. You should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance does not indicate future results.
by traderscolo-en
AUDUSD -0.38% The Aussie continues losing ground to the USD; the pair is on a three-day losing streak, and it reached a level we had not seen since May 2020. AUDUSD is down 6.75% in the last eleven trading sessions; we could see the pair sink lower with the release of a high-impact economic indicator from AU later in the day. Australia will announce the Retail Sales MoM for August in the early stage of the new trading session; we expect a drop from the previous figure of 1.3% in July; experts anticipate a 0.4% for August. The decline in retail sales suggests that the economic activity in AU is falling, which will hurt the Australian dollar exchange rate against other currencies, particularly the US dollar. The US dollar continues strengthening across most major forex pairs while the S&P 500 fell to a two-year low as investors fear a global recession. The US economic activity is likely to slow down after the Fed hiked the rates; however, it could take some time before we start seeing a significant reduction in inflationary pressures in the US. The US released a number of economic indicators earlier in the session with a mix of good and bad results; Durable Goods Orders ex Defense MoM came out at -0.9%, while experts anticipated a 0.3%. New Home Sales MoM shocked us with a 28.8% result when analysts expected a -0.5%. Fed chair Jerome Powell expects this figure to drop significantly in the upcoming months after the Fed hiked interest rates 75 basis points to a total of 3.25%. Read more useful trading insights news.baxiamarkets.com Get a free crypto trading guide welcome.baxiamarkets.com This publication does not provide financial advice for traders, and its only purpose is education. Use all the available information from different analysts and develop your own trading strategy. Trading forex and cryptocurrencies is not for everyone. You should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance does not indicate future results.
by traderscolo-en
Short Term Headwinds Ahead For NIFTYGlobal sell-off post US Federal Reserves rate hike another 75 bps has intensified. Not only stock markets but Crude and Gold are also sliding. Hyper Inflation caused initially by COVID19 and aggravated by Russia-Ukraine war is causing dent on Macros of global economy. India due to inherent captive market and investment friendly Government will be / is affected less but one fact stands that we are not decoupled from global economy. Long term scenario for India still remains pretty solid both at Macro and Micro levels. However, in the short terms we will be facing strong global headwinds for sure. Major Supports for Nifty at this juncture: 17291, 17169 and 17017. Beyond 17017 bears take over causing more pain. Major Resistances for Nifty at this juncture: 17429, 17590, 17713 and 17921. Above 17921 Bulls will be in total control. Currently Bulls seems to be in shock and are in pensive mood post FOMC press conference by Powell.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Negative Surprise in US Inflation data killed the Bull rallyGlobal sell-off post US Inflation data negative surprise led to a bloodbath and the Nifty ended the week very badly under 17600 levels at 17530.85. The supports for Nifty as indicated now in the chart are 17421, 17323 and 17301. Below 17301 we may see a free fall towards 16929 or 16842 levels. On the upside 17640, 17750, 17996 and 18096 will be major resistances. It will be interesting to see where Nifty finds support and from where it turns around.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Supports and Resistances for Nifty.Every meaningful rally is not complete or can not surge further without a healthy correction. What we are seeing today might just be that. At least we can say so until the Nifty falls beyond 16666. Until 16666 every call should be treated as a buying opportunity. If 16666 is broken then Bears may grip the market. 16666 is a distance away currently. The supports and resistances right now in front of us are: Resistances: 17992, 18117, 18371 and finally 18604. Supports: 17778, 17720, 17587 will be a strong support. Beyond that 17396 and 17113. Final Supports for the current rally: 16842 and 16666.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty at critical Technical Juncture - Make or Break Monday.Nifty is just below Fibonacci resistance of 16807. Today's high of 16752 to 16807 will be a very difficult zone to cross unless there is gap up opening or strong momentum that takes the NIFTY through the resistance zone. Closing above 16807 will take Nifty to the next FIB level of 17215. In the medium term if the momentum continues and Nifty is able to cross 17215 big momentum breaker can be the zone between 17662 to 17813. If Nifty fails to clear the technical resistance zone of 16752 to 16807 the supports on the lower side will be at 16609, 16523, 16481 and finally 16409. Below 16409 Nifty can go to 16199 and 15929 levels.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Outlook for week starting 18th-22nd July 2022 - POSITIVE.NIFTY gave a strong closing on Friday as it ended above a long term support of 15917 and 16030. Yet the Important hurdle of 50 days EMA is still ahead of it which is at 16132. Crossing and closing above 16132 will be important for Nifty to go towards 16277. above 16277 levels Nifty in a short to medium term can go towards 16525 which is it’s 200 days EMA and a strong resistance. Bulls will be in command only above this level. On the lower side again 16030 and 15917 will be the support zones. Below 15917 Nifty can go towards 15738 zone, however during the next week if Nifty closes above key level of 16132, chances for positivity will be more.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty outlook for the reminder of the week ending 12th July 202250 days EMA at 16154 is an important support for Nifty above which it has to stay in order to gain further grounds and try once again to move above important 200 days EMA 16546 resistance. However, before Nifty tries to cross 200 days EMA it has to cross very strong resistances at 16271 and 16327. If Nifty is able to cross these three hurdles it can go to the levels of 16796 which will be major resistance. If Nifty is not able to sustain above 50 days EMA 16154 the next supports will be at 16118 and 16051. Below 16051 Nifty will be very week and can fall to 15900 or even 15500 levels. This week holding 16154 will be key to progress.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Outlook for the remainder of the week 5th to 8th July 2022Market is trying to affirm the positivity for the time being and trying to make positive moves but facing resistance in the range of 15800 to 15950 range. It is once again making an attempt to bring about positivity but it can last only if the critical resistances around the specified range is crossed. Otherwise once again it will go downwards searching for supports. Supports for Nifty remain at: 15776, 15671 and 15506. Below 15506 the Nifty can fall to the levels of 15342 or even 15183 levels. Resistances on the upper side remain at: 15865, 15923, 16023. Crossing and holding above 16023 the Nifty can jump to 16174 or 16200+ levels.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Market Outlook 23rd to 27th May 2022Rollercoaster ride of Global Stock market will continue till we have some stability on the front of inflation, war and stability in crude oil prices. It is a kind of churning which will see some new heroes emerge, some solid performers consolidate and some underperformers with weak fundamentals bite the dust. The advice will be to stick to fundamentally strong stocks add the stocks that are bouncing from support levels with a long term vision. The Support Zones: 16183, 16129, 16000, 15886 and finally 15739. Below 15739 in unlikely but possible scenario there can be sharp correction towards 15500, 15000 and 14800. The Resistance Zones: 16400, 16492, 16605 and 16765 will be a major resistance. Above 16765 in very unlikely circumstance we can see the rally consolidate towards 16900 and 17300 levels.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nasdaq100 what now episode 15"This week, the trading plan still remains the same. Little tweak though. Firstly, know the over-all direction. For this one—my best bet is downwards. honestly, the weekly looks more confused as ever. There’s a possibility that we might get a higher-low but until that’s established, I’ll be taking my sells. Secondly, Marking major HHs/HLs and LHs/LLs. Looking to see rejections on the daily to give me a signal as to what these bears are really doing. Then for the time-frame task, The weekly and daily: directions, The hour 4: rejections, the 15 minutes: entries. Then I wait for them confirmations and execute! Hope that goes well? ".. My Trading plan for last week. Did that go well? Yes sir! Listen—I feel like all my year and the half of trading Nasdaq100 “professionally” last week has been my best so far. There’s one thing I realized though, That is: Follow your plan. Look, you got a plan? follow that guy. Don’t change nun ‘in.. Just—follow! I noticed how much that sky-rocketed my performance. Honestly, Nasdaq100 this week, we might all just be going for a funeral. “Why?” You’re probably wondering, Well, did you see how it ended. The lady dropped like 3% from last week. Close to 2,ooo points or more. The Nasdaq100 is currently at 13319 (as I write this) and I don’t even think we’re done. You know that Inverse head and shoulder that showed up? Destroyed! The weekly time-frame presently is currently looking to get past the previous Lower-low at (13319) The next level—13,000 isn’t far-fetched. The daily 0% fib level at 13079: isn’t as well. The bears are really wilding. The CBOE NASDAQ100 VOLATILITY INDEX is real bullish now! Dude is almost at 37 points. Imagine going to 40, where do you think the Nasdaq will be? Look at this picture, tell me what you see: for me, A broken possible bullish structure. A double top with new lower-highs and a possible continuation to create a new lower-low. Screaming “BEARS”!!!.. Monday was all chill, I mean there wasn’t any news. Funny how we got a pin-bar on Monday on the daily time-frame. The bulls came in for a bit. No news release; No crazy movement. However, this all went left on Tuesday, April 19th, 2022. By 13:30, we got the Building Permits which turned out positive with a 1.873M reading. That brought the bulls in. We all thought: “Finally the bulls are back”. Uh! too soon. Wednesday, 20th April, 2022 appeared mixed after a negative Existing home sales with a 5.77M reading and a positive Crude oil inventories by 15:30 with a -8.02M reading. The daily left a rejection candle after that. Coincidence—Uh! maybe not. Furthermore the dreadful Thursday. I called it that because you seriously need to see it’s reaction. The bullish tables flipped. Them legs got broken, shattered into a million pieces. Even started getting termite holes and stuff. The bears came in growling after the negative Initial Jobless claims with a 184K reading by 13:30 as if that wasn’t enough, the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index also turned out negative with a 17.6 reading. Less than 3-hours after came the Fed news. Twice! Look the market bled. Never seen in years. The Nasdaq100 screamed but I don’t even think any-one cared to listen. Shii! we all were trying to make some buck. On Friday, That was just a continuation. The bears continued and now looking to create another lower-low. What’s my plan? Same old. Weekly and Daily: Directions. I mean since we’re really bearish now, I might as well keeping looking for sells. As long as, we don’t pass the previous Lower-high at: 13700 (4-hour lower-high) I’m selling. So, I’ll be looking for new highs on the 4-hour. Then, I’ll be going to the 15 to look for entries. Let’s see how that goes. Don’t miss my streams though! Nasdaq100 High Impact News For 25th-29th Of April, 2022 You’re probably wondering, “what should we expect?” Don’t worry—I’ll tell you. This week, as usual, The Monday is free from demons. Tuesday however, This is where all the madness starts. The 26th April, 2022 by 13:30, We’ve got the Core Durable Goods Order. This measure the change in the total value of new orders for long lasting manufactured goods, excluding transportation items. A higher reading indicates increased manufacturing which is bullish for the USD. Also same day; different time. By 15:00, we’ve got the New Home Sales. This measure the annualized number of new single family homes that were sold during the previous month. P.S: This particular repot tend to have more impact when it’s released ahead of existing home sales because the reports are tightly co-related. However, a higher reading is bullish for the USD. Same time, doesn’t end. Y’all be mindful of Tuesday then. We’ve got the CB Consumer’s Confidence. It measures the level of consumer’s confidence in economic activity. A higher reading=Higher consumer’s optimism which is also bullish for the USD. Wednesday April 27th, 2022. By 15:00, The Pending Home Sales. It measure the change in the number of homes under contract to be sold but still awaiting the closing transaction, excluding new constructions. A higher than expected is bullish for the USD. Same day; different time. By 15:30, Crude Oil Inventories.😒(again?) Anyway this guy, we all know what he does. A higher reading is weak for the USD. Therefore, bearish. The level of inventories influences the price of petroleum products, which can have an impact on inflation. Finally, Dreadful Thursday. The 28th of April, 2022 by 13:30, we’ve got Initial Jobless Claims 🤦‍♀️(Y’all already know, I’ll just repeat) This measure the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past-week. A higher reading than expected is bearish for the USD. Same time, The GDP—The gross domestic product, measure the annualized change on inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. Listen, it is—this is the primary indicator of the economy’ health. If the actual is greater than the forecast, it will be Bullish for the USD. Be sure to read all, stay safe, and make that buck.
OANDA:NAS100USD
by lazyluchi
9
Market Outlook for 7th March to 11th March.Geo-Political events which are effecting the sentiment of the market and we are selling relentless selling in the index specially by the FIIs, who have increased the pace of selling. On Friday alone FII sold close to USD 1b in our market which is quiet a substantial number. DII is however buying every dip and for the reason Market is still above 16K levels. Further support on the down side is near Friday’s low of 16133, 15910 and 15527. In very less likely circumstances things in conflict between two nations turns ugly and more countries get involved Nifty Index can go further down to 15045 which is the final support zone. On the upper side in case of good news from the market from multiple fronts, the resistances will be near 16454, 16712, 16837, 17027 and finally 17233. Keep an eye on election results in few important states. The result has potential to give much required booster dose to the market.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Where is Crypto Going❓ Let's Take a Look👀After a weekend typified by extreme amounts of FUD, looks like the lights have started to shine through the clouds and have illuminated that crypto does indeed still exist. But for how long? Are we going back to 10k? Will everyone lose their life savings - AGAIN. Let's look. But first, let's discuss the whole dump thing to get some context. It seems at this point it was at least somewhat a market manipulation event, with a lot of the initial cascade of BTC sold all at once to start it being collected over the weeks prior in small amounts. Would not surprise me if this was meant to coincide with the china ban (yeah again, and it still works! crazy!) in order to really get the gears going. Anyway a bunch of retailers panicked, not helped by the lot of folks online shouting it's the start of the bear season we're all gonna be poor from every mountain top. Honestly - if you were one of these people going around to your chat rooms spreading FUD you have nobody to blame for the market crash but yourself as you were a part of the problem. Now, surprise, everyone is pro crypto and FOMO'ing back into the market. Really can't make this shit up. Enough about this madness let's look at some weekly candles to ease our mind. BITCOIN BTC is holding on to a fairly firm EMA 50 weekly support, but of course we want to be above our 21 so if we can't rectify that situation ASAP we're looking at a short term bull trap or accumulation for quite a bit. I believe my earlier prediction on this ultimately being quite bullish for alts still stands despite the retrace being sharper than expected - still within the boundaries. find that below: RSI is in a great place for more growth, though TD9 is showing we could see more consolidation at this level or downside before the big reversal. BITCOIN DOMINANCE I use this chart as my road map for bullruns, as it works really really well. I suspect we're not done the bullrun as BTC.D still has a lot of cycle left to complete it seems. We saw a Dead Cat Bounce I suspect back up to the channel we previously broke down out of, retracements are expected ultimately and the stopping point is crucial - here we can see that the retracement stopped right where we should see it stop for continued movement down. Remember, BTC.D dropping gives us alt season, we want this bastard to drop. I suspect the floor around the 30-40% range, which gives us a good amount of market cap still to flood into the alts especially if money comes back into the market en masse. When this completes it's movement downward I suspect we will be done with the bullrun for real. TOTAL MARKET CAPITALIZATION We stopped in our liquidity area from January, which is quite interesting from a technical perspective. Retracements are expected to stop in the liquidity area if you're expecting it to continue the movement afterwards, it seems that because the climb was so big, the retracement was likewise quite dramatic, but given the current stopping level I believe there's a good chance of continued a big bounce up from here. TOTAL 2 - MARKET CAP EXCL. BTC (ALT CAP) This is where things get interesting to me. While the market capitalization itself retrace to january levels, we see clearly by this and BTC.D that the alts has the same general movement of retracement, but to a much higher level than we saw in January. This further adds to my speculation that the bull run is not over, especially for the alt coins. OVERALL THOUGHTS If you bought this dip I think you're probably going to make a killing, at least in the short to mid term. If stock to flow is to be believe we could see BTC hit 100k or 200k+ if you're using STFX. After this point we could see up to an 80% retracement in the overall market, bringing us back down to the 20k level for a brief spell before normalizing. The takeaway if we have more money to make here before we have to really worry, and those who hodl'd through the blood and bought the dip should see their testicular fortitude payoff soon. That said, make sure we're taking profit on this wave - Once we're done this leg it could be a while before we get another chance, though this leg could conceivably last in to early next year.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
by cryptosince1963
4
Possible pattern in the overall marketThis is purely hypothetical. It appears a pattern has formed in terms of periods of heavy growth and periods of stalling growth. I was able to chart all 3 majors indices in aggregate thanks to @boji1 's post: What do you all think? Do you think the market will be choppy all year or do you think this apparent pattern will continue and we have another leg higher? Based on the last two cycles, the average return was 11.9% from the start of the growth period to the next rest period. Could see a 12% bounce back in the next 2 months.
TVC:SPX
by EBITDAtiger
7