BTCUSD Weekend Outlook—Targeting 64K with Potential Drop to 59KGM crypto bro's, happy weekend! This morning, the Fear and Greed Index remains neutral at 50, while the Stoch RSI is slowly exiting the oversold zone.
Today’s market outlook is similar to yesterday’s, with a target of 64K, though there is still potential for another drop, possibly back to the 59K area.
The market is dynamic—don’t get FOMO. Always manage your risk, and as always, this is Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.
Marketoutlook
BTCUSD Reclaims 62K with Bullish Signs—Potential to Reach 64KGM crypto bro's, this morning the Fear and Greed Index has increased, moving out of the fear zone and into neutral at 49. Meanwhile, the Stoch RSI is signaling potential upward movement.
BTC has reclaimed the 62K area as I mentioned in yesterday's update, and the bullish price action seen this weekend may increase the probability of BTC reaching the 64K range.
The market is dynamic—don’t get FOMO. Always manage your risk, and as always, this is Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.
BTCUSD Struggles Amid Fear—Downtrend Continues ?GM crypto bro's, this morning BTC continues its decline, with the Fear and Greed Index now sitting at 41 in the fear zone, and the Stoch RSI still in the oversold area.
Looking at the price action on the H4 timeframe, there’s a small chance BTC could reclaim the 62K area, but the probability of further decline to 59K is higher. With the weekend approaching, we can expect low volume in the market.
The market is dynamic—don’t get FOMO. Always manage your risk, and as always, this is Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.
BTCUSD Approaching Accumulation Zone – Fear Dominates, Oversold GM crypto bro's, this morning the Fear and Greed Index remains in the fear zone, sitting at 37, and the Stoch RSI has entered the oversold area.
The candle close on the 2nd has not managed to break above 62K. However, this doesn’t mean the potential for 69K is off the table. Given the price action and the current Fear and Greed Index, now might be a good time for accumulating more Bitcoin.
The market is dynamic—don’t get FOMO. Always manage your risk, and as always, this is Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.
BTCUSD October Fear Zone – Is 69K Still on the Horizon?GM crypto bro's, finally BTC corrected to the range I've been reminding you about for days now, dipping as low as 60K, and currently, the price is sitting at 61,163. The Fear and Greed Index has dropped into the fear zone at 42, accompanied by the Stoch RSI entering the oversold area.
What's next for BTC? If today's candle closes above 62K, there's a strong potential for 69K to become the next target. However, if the price fails to close above that range, we might see another drop to 59K.
As I remind you daily, the market is dynamic—don’t get FOMO. Always maintain your risk, and as always, this is Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.
Bitcoin fail Septembull, Drop or Just a Setup for the Next Pump?GM crypto bro's, today BTC's monthly candle closed without achieving a Septembull, showing instead a tendency for further correction. The Fear and Greed Index is at 50, along with a significant drop in the Stoch RSI.
As mentioned in previous updates, there is still a potential correction down to the 60K - 59K range. BTC currently sits at 63,538 with a strong bearish candle. Is the pump to 69K still possible? Yes, but I personally see only a 30% chance for that, while the probability of a correction to 61K - 59K is around 70%.
Happy payday to those who got paid! Remember, the market is dynamic—don’t get FOMO. Keep buying more Bitcoin, maintain risk even though life is full of risks. A great sailor isn’t great because of a luxurious ship but because of their skill as the captain. As always, this is Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU.
S&P sets new high but weakness is mountingLast week, the market traded within a narrow range, yet still managed to reach new highs. The bulls remain in control of both the daily and weekly timeframes, although I’m not entirely comfortable with the structure that has developed over the past five days. Most of the growth occurred during extended hours, while during regular trading hours, the market either remained in a tight range or moved downward. This structure is fragile and could easily break, though I’m not ready to call for shorts just yet.
Firstly, it hasn’t broken. We're still in a bullish wave on the daily timeframe — in the past two weeks, none of the days have closed below the previous day's low. Secondly, even if the structure breaks, we should not expect significant follow-through, as the market remains very bullish.
Here's a quick recap of the key points supporting the bullish thesis (you can find the rest in my previous review):
1. The Fed cut interest rates by 0.5 percentage points, which is positive for both the economy and the stock market for several reasons, such as cheaper borrowing costs.
2. The SPX has reached a new all-time high, which is highly bullish.
3. Both the weekly and daily charts show a strong uptrend.
For the market to reverse, there would need to be a significant shift in sentiment, likely triggered by some fundamental event. From a technical standpoint, the uptrend remains intact as long as the bulls hold the previous major low ( 538 ). Until then, any "red" waves should be viewed as mere pullbacks within the broader upward movement.
BTCUSD Correction to 60K - Will September Close Bullish?GM crypto bro's, happy Monday! This morning, the Fear and Greed Index is sitting in the greed zone at 61, while the Stoch RSI remains overbought.
BTC has started to show signs of correction from the 66K range. The potential correction area remains the same as mentioned in our previous updates, targeting the 60K - 59K range, or maybe it will only hit 61K. Keep in mind that tomorrow is the monthly closing candle for September. If BTC closes above 64,700, then we could consider this a Septembull finish.
Remember, the market is dynamic—don’t get FOMO. Always be aware of correction possibilities because anything can happen. Always manage your risk. That’s all for today’s crypto update, this is Akki signing off. One chart, one love. Have a nice day, stay SAFU, and don’t forget—buy more Bitcoin.
BTCUSD Holding 65K - Pump to 70K or Correction to 60K?GM crypto bro's, happy weekend! This morning, BTC is still holding in the 65K range with the Fear and Greed Index in the greed zone at 63, while the Stoch RSI remains in the overbought area just like yesterday.
Today's market outlook is still the same—potential for an instant pump to 69K - 70K, but also the possibility of a dump down to the 60K - 59K range. So, keep staying safe out there! Remember, the market is dynamic—don’t get FOMO. Be cautious of potential corrections because anything can happen. Always manage your risk. That’s it for today’s crypto update, this is Akki signing off. One chart, one love. Have a nice day and stay SAFU!
BTCUSD Weekend Outlook - Greed Zone at 64, Correction or Pump?GM crypto bro's, happy weekend! This morning, the Fear and Greed Index is in the greed zone at 64, while the Stoch RSI has risen back to the overbought area.
Today's market outlook remains similar to yesterday’s, with a potential correction around the 60K - 59K range, while the pump target is 69K - 70K. Considering it’s the weekend and nearing the end of the month, a correction is likely, especially with the Fear and Greed Index showing high greed at 64.
Keep in mind, the market is dynamic—don’t get FOMO. Be cautious of potential corrections because anything can happen. Always manage your risk. That’s it for today’s crypto update, this is Akki signing off. One chart, one love. Have a nice day!
The S&P rally continues, defying all fears of a recessionLast week was marked by erratic price movements, leading many to recall the old adage, "no trade might be your best trade." The most confusing (and devastating) price action occurred on Thursday following the FOMC's interest rate decision. The Fed cut rates by 0.5 percentage points, sparking fears of an upcoming recession. Wednesday ended with a strong bearish "falling star" candle, tempting traders to take large SHORT positions. To be honest, I would have likely done the same if I had been trading that day (luckily, I wasn’t), as the least one would have expected was an overnight rally that wiped out short positions when the market opened on Thursday.
This series of events is a perfect example of what makes trading so challenging— even a solid setup can fail spectacularly without any clear reason.
Now, let's try to assess the current situation :
1. The Fed cut rates by 0.5 percentage points – This is actually positive for the economy and the stock market for many reasons (e.g. cheaper borrowing costs). At the same time there are no objective signs of a recession, only fears.
2. The SPX reached a new all-time high – How can this be bearish?
3. Both weekly and daily charts show a strong uptrend.
4. Almost all major SPX sectors closed the week strong, reflecting investor confidence.
In summary, the market remains very bullish , with no indication that the trend is reversing anytime soon. Short term price action might be erratic, but long-term things look good both from technical and fundamental perspectives.
Let’s stay calm and prudent.
Important levels:
Last major weekly high (538). As long as it holds buyers have control over weekly chart.
BTCUSD Approaching 65K - What’s Next? 60K or 70K?GM crypto bro's, this morning, the Fear and Greed Index has risen again, entering the greed zone at 61, and BTC has pumped towards our target in the 65K range.
Yesterday’s correction only reached 62K, without touching 61K, but BTC still managed to correct slightly before successfully pumping into our target range of 65K - 66K. Now, what's next?
In terms of price action on the weekly chart, there's potential for BTC to correct again to the 60K - 59K range, with a potential pump towards 69K - 70K.
Let’s see if the end of this month will bring a "Septembull" or just a "Septembear." Keep in mind, the market is dynamic—don’t get FOMO. Be cautious of potential corrections because anything can happen. Always manage your risk. That’s it for today’s crypto update, this is Akki signing off. One chart, one love. Have a nice day!
BTCUSD Correction After 64.7K Pump - Testing 61K - 62K Next?GM crypto bro's, BTC has finally seen a correction this morning after pumping to around 64,700. The day starts with the Fear and Greed Index back in the neutral zone at 50.
The possible area that BTC might test during this correction could be in the 61K - 62K range, as we've mentioned in previous market updates. Keep in mind, the market is dynamic—don’t get FOMO. Be cautious of potential corrections because anything can happen. Always manage your risk. That’s it for today’s crypto update, this is Akki signing off. One chart, one love. Have a nice day!
NIFTY Resistance 25-Sep-24NIFTY Resistance 25-Sep-24
Evident Resistance between 25800 and 26200
Also the gap is very low between both Resistance.
Either it need to decisively break and move up with Global, Local News
or
To be Careful during this zone.
Chance for market might move sideways till Q2 Results (Expected in a span of month)
BTCUSD Daily Update - Greed Zone, But No Correction Yet?GM crypto bro's, this morning, the Fear and Greed Index has finally entered the greed zone at 59. It seems BTC still isn’t ready to correct down to the 61K - 60K range.
BTC is already quite overbought in terms of price action, and the Fear and Greed Index is also showing signs of a potential correction. However, our pump target remains the same as yesterday, around 65K - 66K.
Keep in mind, the market is dynamic, don’t get FOMO. Be cautious of potential corrections because anything can happen. Always manage your risk. That’s it for today’s crypto update, this is Akki signing off. One chart, one love. Have a nice day!
EUR/JPY Trade Setup – 4-Hour TimeframeEUR/JPY is moving along a descending trendline on the 4-hour timeframe, and the price is currently touching this trendline for the third time, forming a resistance level.
We will be looking for sell entries from this level. To get our entry, let’s scale down to the lower timeframes to identify chart patterns and candlestick confirmations.
How beautiful 😍
BTCUSD Daily Outlook - Small Correction After the 64K Surge?GM crypto bro's, let’s start today’s market update with the Fear and Greed Index still in the neutral zone at 54, while the stoch RSI remains in the overbought area.
BTC has risen quite high to the 64K range, so it's normal to expect a small correction today. The potential correction range is still the same as I mentioned in the previous updates, around 61K - 60K.
In the crypto market, it's like sailing on the ocean—enjoy the beautiful waves and also brace for the storms. Keep in mind, the market is dynamic, don’t get FOMO. Be cautious of potential corrections because anything can happen. Always manage your risk. That’s it for today’s crypto update, this is Akki signing off. One chart, one love. Have a nice day!
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 23-Sep-24 to 27-Sep-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 23-Sep-24 to 27-Sep-24
Nifty closed at 25790 (last week 25356) and touched low & high of 25292-25849 ( all time high)
Market touched new high last week , and broke the key resistance of 25545 provided last week decisively and also crossed Mid Term Resistance 25800 and settled at 25790 ( ( Target Line Provided)
Nifty bank 53797 ( Last week 51938) - As mentioned for last 1.5 months, Bank Index have target of 54000 in medium term ( Currently nearing the target) and support at 49900
Fed Rate Cut by 0.5% made the global market up and triggered increase in Indian Market.
FPI invested 4 Billion $ in Sep till date.
RSI and stochastics levels moved up last week (71% and 93% respectively). MACD crossed the Signal. RSI and MACD shows market will go up further. Caution to be emphasized as Stochastics at overbought level. Q2 results awaited which will pave way for more clearer path in market.
Nifty 25790 Short term ( Short Term : Up)
Nifty short term resistance 25790 as shown in chart.
Support at 25000 , 24650 (Trend line support and Fib Resistance), & 24480 (Fib Support)
Medium Term next target is 26260 ( As shown in chart, The level is the difference between the Aug High and Aug Low from Aug High)- If it crosses 26260, Medium Term is UP. if it moves above decisively next target is 27000.
Medium term Support - 24000
Long Term : Nifty have a target of 28190 ( Fibonacci Resistance). Support at 22800
US started reducting fed rate as expected in Sep 2024, expected it shall continue in reduction of interest rate in next year. US President Election result scheduled in Nov 24. Until then Market may correct if any global news upto19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. RBI in India expected to reduce rate from end of this year.
Caution to be emphasized on Nifty as nifty PE is in high level with high valuation especially in Mid cap & Small Cap. Mutual Funds SIP shall be invested as the goal is for more than 5-10 years at this critical period as the valuation is high.
Those with lesser risk can sell partial portfolio ( 20-30%) stocks which have less valuation and can wait for opportunity to buy when nifty dips upto 22800.
Deploy stop loss of upto 7%-8% which is crucial. More Risky players can have stop loss of trend line resistance of 23750 as shown in the chart.
Fundamentally good stocks can be added as it posted good results on every dip in finance stocks such as CAMS, UTI AMC , HDFC AMC, Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin, Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Persistent Sys, PI Ind, PNC Infra and Ashoka Buildcon, ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank Indian Bank & Punjab National Bank.
Stock Picking is needed at current scenario in Bank, auto, Pharma stocks.
Based on the Q1 results, following stocks can be added to portfolio: There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis.
Nifty IT 42204 (last week 43394) indices dipped to 37848 in Jun month, bounced back and reached all time high last week(43632). Later Dipped to 42204 due to profit booking. Recovery of US stock market & awaiting FED rate cut expectation decision pushed the US stocks up and followed by Nifty IT Index last week. NIfty IT is less than SMA 21 level, need clear direction and Q2 results will pave way for the clear direction.
BTCUSD Weekend Outlook - Same Targets, Watch for CorrectionsGM crypto bro's, happy weekend! This morning, the Fear and Greed Index remains in the neutral zone, sitting at 54.
Overall, today's market update is pretty much the same as yesterday. The next potential target for BTC is still 65K - 66K.
Keep in mind, the market is dynamic—don’t get FOMO, and always be cautious of potential corrections because anything can happen. Always manage your risk. That’s it for today’s crypto update, this is Akki signing off. One chart, one love. Have a nice day!
BTCUSD Daily Outlook - Correction or Pump? Next MovesGM crypto bro's! This morning, BTC is back to the 62K range after previously hitting around 63K. The Fear and Greed Index is in the neutral zone, sitting exactly at 54, while the stoch RSI remains in the overbought zone.
Today's market update shows potential for a small correction to the 61K range or maybe lower, but the potential pump target is still around 65K - 66K.
Keep in mind, the market is dynamic, don't get FOMO. Anything can happen, so always manage your risk. That's it for today's crypto update, this is Akki signing off. One chart, one love. Have a nice day!
BTCUSD Daily Outlook - Next Targets After Rate CutGM crypto bro's! Finally, the much-awaited 50bps rate cut has happened, and that's one reason why BTC pumped this morning. The Fear and Greed Index has also risen from fear to neutral, sitting at 49. Meanwhile, stoch RSI has returned to its overbought zone.
Yesterday, our target was in the 61K - 62K range, and that's been hit today. So, what's next? Based on price action, the next potential zone for BTC could be 65K - 66K. The probability of a correction back to 55K is shrinking, but it's still on the table.
Keep in mind, the market is dynamic, don’t get FOMO. Anything can happen, so always manage your risk. That's it for today's crypto update, this is Akki signing off. One chart, one love. Have a nice day!
S&P bulls regain control, aiming for the new highAfter the major sell-off in the first week of September, the market has made a U-turn, rebounding to its previous highs. This outcome was anticipated as highly likely in my last review, though, as is often the case, the market exceeded boldest expectations.
Currently, we have confirmed a weekly higher low, which provides a solid foundation for the continuation of the uptrend. It’s also worth noting that the rally is being driven by risk-on assets like XLK and XLY, reflecting growing investor confidence.
The mid- and long-term outlook remains bullish, though heightened volatility is expected as we approach the US elections.
Important levels:
539.4 - major weekly low. Bulls must protect this level to keep uptrend intact
565.2 – major monthly high. There might be some resistance at this level. Bulls must clear it for uptrend continuation.
FOMC meeting is set for Wednesday but it is not expected to bring big surprises.
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 16-Sep-24 to 20-Sep-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 16-Sep-24 to 20-Sep-24
Nifty closed at 25356 ( Last week 24855 ) and touched low & high of 24471-25429 ( all time high)
Market touched new high last week , and nearing the Short term Resistance at 25545.
RSI and stochastics levels moved up last week (63% and 87% respectively). MACD level and signal are at same level.
Nifty 25356 Short term (Short term neutral, need to cross key resistance 25545)
Nifty short term resistance 25545 as shown in chart.
Support at 24480 (Fib Support) & 24650 (Trend line support and recent low).
Medium Term next target is 25800 ( Fib Resistance)- If it crosses 25800, Medium Term is UP. if it moves above decisively next target is 26250.
Medium term Support - 24000
Long Term : Nifty have a target of 27000 ( Fibonacci Resistance). If market close above 25540 decisively. Support at 22800
Post Indian Elections, reduction of interest rate by RBI is expected on a staggered manner till it reaches 5% ( in span of 2-3 years ) in line with US fed rate reduction expected in Sep 2024. US President Election result scheduled in Nov 24. Until then Market may correct if any global news upto19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range.
Caution to be emphasized on Nifty as nifty PE is in high level with high valuation especially in Mid cap & Small Cap. Mutual Funds SIP shall be invested as the goal is for more than 5-10 years at this critical period as the valuation is high.
Those with lesser risk can sell partial portfolio ( 20-30%) stocks which have less valuation and can wait for opportunity to buy when nifty dips upto 22800.
Deploy stop loss of upto 7%-8% which is crucial. More Risky players can have stop loss of trend line resistance of 23750 as shown in the chart.
Nifty bank 51938 (Last week 50582) - Index have target of 54000 in medium term and support at 49900
Stock Picking is needed at current scenario in Bank, auto, Pharma stocks.
Based on the Q1 results, following stocks can be added to portfolio: ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, Indian Bank & Punjab National Bank.
Fundamentally good stocks can be added as it posted good results on every dip in finance stocks such as CAMS, UTI AMC , HDFC AMC, Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin, Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Persistent Sys, PI Ind, PNC Infra and Ashoka Buildcon. There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis.
Nifty IT 43394 (Last week 42234) indices dipped to 37848 in Jun month, bounced back and all time high last week. Recovery of US stock market and awaiting FED rate cute decision pushed the US stocks up and followed by Nifty IT Index.