BTC Correction Watch: Red Zone in Sight Around 61938-61268GM Crypto Bro's, this morning, the fear and greed index stands at 48 (neutral), while the stoch RSI remains in the overbought area, now signaling a potential downturn.
BTC has started to decline, reaching the 62K-61K area I mentioned yesterday. If it drops further, the big possibility is that it will hit our red zone in the range of 61938-61268.
Keep in mind that the market is dynamic—don’t fall into FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that anything can happen in the crypto market.
Always manage your risks, and as always, that’s all for today’s crypto update. I’m Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
Marketoutlook
S&P bulls are strong; new historical high?Last week was marked by an increase in selling pressure, which, despite all efforts, has not had a significant impact. As we can see on the daily chart, the stairstep pattern remained intact—even a powerful attack on Thursday was unable to break the previous day's low. The bulls maintained control, leading to a small rally the following day (I highlighted the importance of the stairstep pattern in my previous review).
As we approach the end of the month, there are a few things to keep an eye on:
1. The price is in a weekly uptrend, which has not been seriously threatened so far. Buyers maintain long-term control over the price.
2. The daily timeframe is also under buyers' control.
3. All major S&P sectors are moving in the same direction.
Price is approaching previous major high ( 565 ), which can act as a resistance but there is no guaranty that it will hold for long. The last consolidation, which began on July 17th, was triggered more by bullish exhaustion than by strong selling at this level. This suggests that there may be little to safeguard it.
Given all the above, there is no reason to believe that market is currently under threat. For the trend to shift to the bearish side, three things must happen (from the TA perspective):
1. Daily Sellers must take down the previous day low, breaking stairstep pattern
2. Weekly Sellers must take down the previous week low ( 553.8 ), setting weekly lower high
3. Month should close red (below 552 )
Until then we’re in a bull market.
BTC Outlook: Watching for Potential Correction to 62K-61KGM Crypto Bro's, back to reality—happy working day! 😂 This morning, the fear and greed index is at 55 (greed), and the stoch RSI is still comfortably in the overbought area. The red zone around 62K-61K is a potential area for BTC to visit if a correction occurs.
Overall, the BTC market outlook for today remains similar to the update from two days ago. Keep in mind that the market is dynamic—don’t fall into FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that anything can happen in the crypto market.
Always manage your risks, and as always, that’s all for today’s crypto update. I’m Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 26-Aug-24 to 30-Aug-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 26-Aug-24 to 30-Aug-24
Nifty closed at 24823 ( Last week 24413 ) and touched low & high of 24524-24866
As suggested last week, market bounced back and moved up and near to the initial line target of 24900 as shown in the chart.
Post Indian Elections, reduction of interest rate by RBI is expected on a staggered manner till it reaches 5% ( in span of 2-3 years ) in line with US fed rate reduction expected in Sep 2024. US President Election scheduled in Nov 24. Until then Market may correct if any global news upto19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range.
RSI and stochastics levels moved up last week (60% and 90% respectively). MACD level crossed cross the signal last week. Expecting market to move up in short term.
Market have high potential to touch psychological 25000 Mark/ 25200 ( Fib Resistance)
Nifty 24823 Short term (Short term up)
Nifty short term resistance 25075 ( New Peak) and 25224.
Support around 23850 ( trend line support and recent low).
Medium Term 25224( Fib Resistance) as mentioned above, if it crosses then next target is 25542 ( Fib Resistance) which is % of difference between Mar 23 low and Sep 23 high low from Sep23 high shown as vertical line. Caution to be emphasized once market reached medium term target.
Medium term Support - 22700 to 22800
Caution was emphasized on Nifty for the past 2 month as nifty PE is in record high level with high valuation and very less potential to grow further.
Those with lesser risk can sell partial portfolio ( 20-30%) stocks which have less valuation and can wait for opportunity to buy when nifty dips upto 22800.
Deploy stop loss of upto 7%-8% ( i.e Nifty 22800 level) which is crucial. More Risky players can have stop loss of trend line resistance of 23750 as shown in the chart.
Long Term (1-3 years) Nifty have a target of 27000 ( Fibonacci Resistance). If market close above 25580 decisively. Support at 21750 ( Trend line support)/ 20800 ( Fib & Trend Line Support) 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500
Nifty bank 50933 (Last week 50494) - Index have target of 54000 in medium term and support at 49900
Stock Picking is needed at current scenario in Bank, auto, Pharma stocks.
Newly added stocks to buy are PI Ind, PNC Infra and Ashoka Buildcon. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, Indian Bank & Punjab National Bank.
Fundamentally good stocks can be added as it posted good results on every dip in finance stocks such as Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin, Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Tanla & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio. There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis.
Nifty IT 41089 (40878) indices dipped 37848 in last month, bounced back and reached 41830 last week. Recovery of US stock market and awaiting FED rate cute decision pushed the US stocks up and followed by Nifty IT Index.
BTC Hits 64K-65K Target: Next Stop 69K GM Crypto Bro's, happy weekend! This morning, the fear and greed index has finally exited the fear zone and is now at 56 (greed). The stoch RSI is still in the overbought area.
BTC has reached our target range of 64K-65K. In terms of price action, it’s possible for BTC to continue its long-term uptrend, but we might see a slight correction in the near future, potentially around the 61K-62K area.
If BTC continues to pump, the next target is 69K. Keep in mind the market is dynamic—don’t get caught up in FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that anything can happen in the crypto market.
Always manage your risks, and as always, that’s all for today’s crypto update. I’m Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
BTC on Track for 64K-65K: Low Volume Weekend Ahead?GM Crypto Bro's, happy Friday! This morning, the fear and greed index is at 34 (fear), and the stoch RSI remains in the overbought area, just like yesterday. Overall, BTC is still on track as per our market update yesterday, with the first target at 64K-65K.
The potential for a drop to 57K is still low for now, but as we approach the weekend, which tends to have low volume and corrections, keep in mind the market is dynamic—don’t get caught up in FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that anything can happen in the crypto market.
Always manage your risks, and as always, that’s all for today’s crypto update. I’m Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
BTC Closes Above 60K: Next Stop 64K-65K?GM Crypto Bro's, this morning, the fear and greed index is at 39 (fear), and the stoch RSI is still in the overbought area. Finally, BTC managed to close a candle above 60K. The next big possibility is a move to the 64K-65K area.
However, this doesn’t mean the possibility of a correction to 57K-56K is gone. The chance is still there, but since BTC has now closed above 60K, the potential for a correction has decreased. But keep in mind, the market is dynamic—don’t get caught up in FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that anything can happen in the crypto market.
Always manage your risks, and as always, that’s all for today’s crypto update. I’m Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
BTC Fails to Close Above 60K: Deeper Correction Ahead?GM Crypto Bro's, this morning, the fear and greed index is at 26 (fear), and the stoch RSI is still in the overbought area. BTC's candle close on the 20th couldn't stay above 60K, so there's a big possibility we might see a deeper correction, maybe down to the 57K - 56K range.
The fear and greed index also dropped from 39 to 26, so overall, we might see BTC revisit our orange zone area.
But keep in mind, the market is dynamic—don’t get caught up in FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that anything can happen in the crypto market.
Always manage your risks, and as always, that’s all for today’s crypto update. I’m Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
S&P bulls amazing coming backLast week, buyers continued to surprise by maintaining the impressive rally that began on Monday, the 5th. Observing the daily chart, we can see that for 10 consecutive days, the price has been setting new highs, never falling below the previous day's low. As of today (Monday, the 19th), the bulls have retraced 80% of the last bearish wave. It's also notable that buying occurred across all major S&P sectors, not just in a few big names.
Here is the current market disposition:
1. The market is in a weekly uptrend, with a new major low officially confirmed at 510 .
2. On the daily chart, we see a beautiful stairstep pattern.
3. The only technical resistance above is July’s high of 565 , but given the rally's momentum, it is likely to be surpassed.
The long-term outlook is unequivocally bullish. The short-term outlook is also bullish, as long as the daily stairstep pattern remains intact.
For short traders, it is advisable to refrain from trying to catch the top. The current momentum is so strong that it could easily break all technical resistances. The only situation where I would consider cautious shorting is at the daily stairstep pattern break.
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 19-Aug-24 to 23-Aug-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 19-Aug-24 to 23-Aug-24
Nifty closed at 24413 (2 weeks before 24716) and touched low & high of 23897-24560 in a span of 2 weeks.
Shorting was suggested two weeks before when nifty was at 24714, market was down near to 800 points.
After US market bounce back, Indian market too bounced back especially on last day and closed above crucial resistance of 24263 ( Fibonnaci resistance).
US market Volatility to continue till fed rate reduction (expected in Sep 24), US Presidential election till Oct / Nov 24.
RSI and stochastics levels was marginally up last week (54% ). MACD level yet to cross the signal to have clear breakout. Expecting market will be sideways with a rangebound resistance and support.
Caution was emphasized on Nifty for the past 2 month as nifty PE is in record high level with high valuation and very less potential to grow further.
Those with lesser risk can sell partial portfolio ( 20-30%) stocks which have less valuation and can wait for opportunity to buy when nifty dips upto 22800.
Deploy stop loss of upto 7%-8% ( i.e Nifty 22800 level) which is crucial. More Risky players can have stop loss of trend line resistance of 23750 as shown in the chart.
Market have high potential to touch psychological 25000 Mark/ 25200 ( Fib Resistance)
Nifty 24413- Short term (Short term up)
Nifty short term resistance 25075 ( New Peak) and 25224.
Support around 23850 ( trend line support and recent low).
Medium Term 25224( Fib Resistance) as mentioned above, if it crosses then next target is 25542 ( Fib Resistance) which is % of difference between Mar 23 low and Sep 23 high low from Sep23 high shown as vertical line
Medium term Support - 2270 to 22800
Long Term (1-3 years) Nifty have a target of 27000 ( Fibonacci Resistance). If market close above 25580 decisively. Support at 21750 ( Trend line support)/ 20800 ( Fib & Trend Line Support) 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500
Nifty bank 52189 (2 weeks before 51350) - Index went upto 53400 ( Resistance) and came down as proposed from 47250 level nifty bank jumped more than 10%. Caution was emphasised as nifty bank reached critical resistance. Advised to consider to book partial profits in Nifty Bank on every rise. Nifty bounced back from trendline support 49640 and bounced back.
Stock Picking is needed at current scenario in Bank, auto, Pharma stocks. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, Indian Bank & Punjab National Bank.
Fundamentally good stocks can be added as it posted good results on every dip in finance stocks such as Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin, Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Tanla & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio. There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis.
Comments : Post Elections, if Market need to grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5% ( in span of 2-3 years ). US fed rate reduction also expected from Aug/ Sep 2024. US President Election scheduled in Nov 24. Until then Market may correct if any global news upto19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range.
Nifty IT 40878 ( 2 weeks before 39370), indices dipped 37848 and bounced back. Recovery of US stock market and awaiting FED rate cute decision pushed the US stocks up and followed by Nifty IT Index.
BTC Dips to 56K: Is the Downtrend Not Over?GM crypto bro's, this morning, BTC dropped again, even falling to the 56K area last night. The fear and greed index is at 27 (fear), while the stoch RSI hasn’t yet entered the overbought zone—it was close, but it seems like the stoch RSI might decline first.
As I mentioned in yesterday’s market update, BTC had the potential to revisit our orange zone area at 56K - 53K. So, keep in mind that the market is dynamic—don’t get caught up in FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that anything can happen in the crypto market.
Always manage your risks, and as always, that’s all for today’s crypto update. I’m Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
BTC's Target 63K in Jeopardy? New Levels in SightGM Crypto bro's, this morning, the fear and greed index is at 29 (fear), and the stoch RSI is starting to enter the overbought zone. Last night, BTC briefly dropped to around 58K—does this mean the 63K target is off the table?
In terms of price action, due to last night’s drop, there’s a new possibility for BTC to dip into the range of 57K - 56K, or perhaps revisit our orange zone at 56K - 53K. If this happens, the chances of pumping to 63K and 65K diminish.
However, the crypto market is a place where making money is easy but tough to hold on to, so keep in mind that the market is dynamic—don’t get caught up in FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that anything can happen in the crypto market.
Always manage your risks, and as always, that’s all for today’s crypto update. I’m Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
BTC Bounces Back: Targeting 63K Next?GM crypto bro's, this morning we finally see BTC turning green, even if only slightly—better than a deep red. The fear and greed index stands at 30 (fear), while the stoch RSI is starting to enter the overbought area.
For this morning's outlook, if we look at the stoch RSI, the most probable pump for BTC could target the nearest point around 63K, with a 60% probability, while a pump to 65K has a 40% chance.
But keep in mind, the market is dynamic—don’t get caught up in FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that anything can happen in the crypto market.
Always manage your risks, and as always, that’s all for today’s crypto update. I’m Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
S&P bulls return in the game; still some work to doLast week, buyers regained control on the daily timeframe, filling the gap from Monday, August 5th, and closing the week at the high. While this was a strong display of power, I would approach it with caution for the following reasons:
1. The market is currently in a weekly consolidation phase. We've already seen how strongly the bears defend their control on the weekly timeframe (as evidenced by the last week of July), so this should not be disregarded.
2. The magnitude of Wednesday’s bearish candle demonstrates how easily the bears can move the price when they feel weakness
3. While all major sectors closed week green, none has managed to close above previous week high. Most of them are in a weekly consolidation, which signifies genuine market weakness.
To sum it up, while it's highly likely that the bulls will be able to confirm a weekly low ( 510.3 ) in the next days, it's uncertain whether they will be able to maintain their position for long. I would definitely wait to see the week’s close before considering a “buy.” Ideally, the bulls should fill the gap from Friday, August 2nd, and establish some value above 534 . If this doesn't happen and we see a strong price rejection, it would confirm bearish control.
The upcoming week is packed with economic data, which could fuel momentum for either side.
BTC Dips to 58K: Accumulation Time?GM crypto bro's, happy working day! This morning, BTC finally dropped to the 58K area, as mentioned in previous market updates. The fear and greed index is at 25, indicating extreme fear, while the stoch RSI is at 56, with the potential to continue rising towards the oversold area.
Currently, 58K is a good zone for accumulating Bitcoin, given the extreme fear in the market. There’s still a possibility for BTC to drop further, perhaps to the 57K-56K range, but the probability of this is only about 30%, with a 70% chance of pumping to the 65K area.
But keep in mind, the market is dynamic—don't get caught up in FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that anything can happen in the crypto market.
Always manage your risks, and as always, that’s all for today’s crypto update. I’m Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
BTC: Sideways or Pump Ahead?GM crypto bro's, happy weekend! This morning, BTC is still moving sideways. The fear and greed index is at 39, indicating fear, while the stoch RSI is on its way to the overbought area.
Overall, our targets remain the same as yesterday: a chance for a correction to the 58K area followed by a pump to 65K, or maybe even an instant pump to 65K—after all, anything can happen in the market.
But let’s see how the market makers will draw the BTC chart going forward. Always manage your risks, and as always, that’s all for today’s crypto update. I’m Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
BTC Weekend Moves: Correction or Pump?GM crypto bro's, happy weekend to those on vacation, and stay strong for those still working like me. Okay, this morning BTC has started to correct as I mentioned in yesterday's market update. The fear and greed index is at a neutral 40, while the stoch RSI has exited the oversold area and is heading towards overbought.
From a price action perspective, my outlook this morning is that BTC still has a chance to continue its correction to around the 58K area, while the nearest target for a pump is in the 65K area.
But let's see how the market makers will draw the BTC chart going forward. Always manage your risks, and as always, that’s all for today’s crypto update. I’m Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
BTC Hits 58K! What's Next for the Weekend?GM crypto bro's, as I mentioned yesterday, BTC has pumped back up and even surpassed our 58K target. The fear and greed index is now at a neutral 48, while the stoch RSI has successfully exited the oversold area.
As we approach the weekend, there’s a possibility for BTC to retest the 58K - 60K area. But keep in mind, the market is dynamic. Don’t be FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that nothing is impossible in the crypto market. Anything can happen.
Always manage your risks, and as always, that’s all for today’s crypto update. I’m Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
BTC Back to Extreme Fear! What's Next?GM crypto bro's, this morning, the fear and greed index is back at 20 (extreme fear) while the stoch RSI remains in the oversold area. Yesterday's candle only reached 57,751; I thought it would go up to 58K, but it didn't.
Currently, BTC has the potential to correct to around the 53K area first, then pump to our initial target of 58K. But as always, the market is unpredictable.
I mentioned the potential correction to 53K before 58K, but it could pump strongly to 58K and then drop to 53K-52K. That's the excitement of the market, so always stay alert, crypto bro's.
Like always, keep in mind the market is dynamic. Don't be FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that nothing is impossible in the crypto market. Anything can happen.
Always manage your risks, and as always, that's all for today's crypto update.
I'm Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
BTC Fear Index Rises! Is Recovery in Sight?GM crypto bro's, this morning, the fear and greed index has increased from yesterday's 17 (extreme fear) to 29 (fear). The stoch RSI is also starting to show signs of recovery from its oversold area.
Overall, the outlook remains the same as yesterday. Our target for BTC is to retest the 58K area first. Like always, keep in mind the market is dynamic. Don't be FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that nothing is impossible in the crypto market. Anything can happen.
Always manage your risks, and as always, that's all for today's crypto update.
I'm Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
Extreme Fear! BTC Fear Index Drops to 17! What's Next?GM crypto bro's, finally, the market has slightly calmed down this morning after our portfolios got nuked yesterday. Keep staying strong, guys.
Okay, this morning's update: the fear and greed index has dropped back to 17 (extreme fear), while the stoch RSI is still dead like yesterday. In terms of price action, BTC has a small chance to visit around the 58K area and then go sideways in the 57K - 56K range. Hopefully, there won't be any more crazy drops. The long candle on 05/08/2024 has already claimed many casualties.
There is a possibility that the current market drop is part of a plan by big money, whales, etc., to buy the dip on a massive scale, considering the growing rumors that Grandpa Powell from the FED might cut interest rates in September.
Like always, keep in mind the market is dynamic. Don't be FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that nothing is impossible in the crypto market. Anything can happen, even the impossible.
Always manage your risks, and as always, that's all for today's crypto update.
I'm Akki, signing off. Stay sane, my liquidated friends, and have a nice day.
S&P weekly consolidation in progress; bears prove controlLast week was marked by hectic price action in both directions. Bulls failed to set a daily low for two consecutive days (Monday-Tuesday), which logically led to a strong bearish attack. Then something peculiar happened – the price pivoted near the previous low and went up during the overnight session. The market opened with a huge gap on Wednesday, held the open, and even managed to rally further in the regular session. I can only imagine how many short traders, who had done everything right, suffered from this.
This price action also confused many long traders, including myself, by making us believe that the weekly consolidation was coming to an end. But Thursday turned the board 180 degrees again with a psychotic bearish move, wiping out more than 2% of the market value. Again, as with the bullish rally, there was no obvious trigger unless you believe that PMI data could wield such importance.
At this point, we have the following disposition:
1. The market is still in a weekly uptrend. Until sellers take down the previous major low (491), nothing changes in this regard.
2. Bears have proved strong control over the weekly timeframe. We should respect this.
3. Bears were also able to start monthly consolidation, another sign of their strength.
All in all, I wouldn’t consider any long-term “buys” until bulls manage to set a convincing weekly low, even then with caution. Shorting is an option but is very tricky in light of what happened last week.
Disclaimer
I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
Fear & Greed Index Plummets as BTCUSD Dumps SignificantlyGM Crypto Bro's, this morning BTC dumped significantly, causing the Fear and Greed Index to drop to 26 (fear). The Stoch RSI is still resting in the oversold area.
There is a big chance for a drop into the red zone around the 50K area, but there is also a small chance for a pump in the nearest blue zone.
As always, keep in mind that the market is dynamic. Don't be FOMO, stay safe, keep calm. Remember, anything can happen in the crypto market these days. Maintain your risk, and that's all for today's crypto update. I'm Akki, one chart, and have a nice day