S&P bulls amazing coming backLast week, buyers continued to surprise by maintaining the impressive rally that began on Monday, the 5th. Observing the daily chart, we can see that for 10 consecutive days, the price has been setting new highs, never falling below the previous day's low. As of today (Monday, the 19th), the bulls have retraced 80% of the last bearish wave. It's also notable that buying occurred across all major S&P sectors, not just in a few big names.
Here is the current market disposition:
1. The market is in a weekly uptrend, with a new major low officially confirmed at 510 .
2. On the daily chart, we see a beautiful stairstep pattern.
3. The only technical resistance above is July’s high of 565 , but given the rally's momentum, it is likely to be surpassed.
The long-term outlook is unequivocally bullish. The short-term outlook is also bullish, as long as the daily stairstep pattern remains intact.
For short traders, it is advisable to refrain from trying to catch the top. The current momentum is so strong that it could easily break all technical resistances. The only situation where I would consider cautious shorting is at the daily stairstep pattern break.
Marketoutlook
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 19-Aug-24 to 23-Aug-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 19-Aug-24 to 23-Aug-24
Nifty closed at 24413 (2 weeks before 24716) and touched low & high of 23897-24560 in a span of 2 weeks.
Shorting was suggested two weeks before when nifty was at 24714, market was down near to 800 points.
After US market bounce back, Indian market too bounced back especially on last day and closed above crucial resistance of 24263 ( Fibonnaci resistance).
US market Volatility to continue till fed rate reduction (expected in Sep 24), US Presidential election till Oct / Nov 24.
RSI and stochastics levels was marginally up last week (54% ). MACD level yet to cross the signal to have clear breakout. Expecting market will be sideways with a rangebound resistance and support.
Caution was emphasized on Nifty for the past 2 month as nifty PE is in record high level with high valuation and very less potential to grow further.
Those with lesser risk can sell partial portfolio ( 20-30%) stocks which have less valuation and can wait for opportunity to buy when nifty dips upto 22800.
Deploy stop loss of upto 7%-8% ( i.e Nifty 22800 level) which is crucial. More Risky players can have stop loss of trend line resistance of 23750 as shown in the chart.
Market have high potential to touch psychological 25000 Mark/ 25200 ( Fib Resistance)
Nifty 24413- Short term (Short term up)
Nifty short term resistance 25075 ( New Peak) and 25224.
Support around 23850 ( trend line support and recent low).
Medium Term 25224( Fib Resistance) as mentioned above, if it crosses then next target is 25542 ( Fib Resistance) which is % of difference between Mar 23 low and Sep 23 high low from Sep23 high shown as vertical line
Medium term Support - 2270 to 22800
Long Term (1-3 years) Nifty have a target of 27000 ( Fibonacci Resistance). If market close above 25580 decisively. Support at 21750 ( Trend line support)/ 20800 ( Fib & Trend Line Support) 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500
Nifty bank 52189 (2 weeks before 51350) - Index went upto 53400 ( Resistance) and came down as proposed from 47250 level nifty bank jumped more than 10%. Caution was emphasised as nifty bank reached critical resistance. Advised to consider to book partial profits in Nifty Bank on every rise. Nifty bounced back from trendline support 49640 and bounced back.
Stock Picking is needed at current scenario in Bank, auto, Pharma stocks. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, Indian Bank & Punjab National Bank.
Fundamentally good stocks can be added as it posted good results on every dip in finance stocks such as Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin, Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Tanla & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio. There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis.
Comments : Post Elections, if Market need to grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5% ( in span of 2-3 years ). US fed rate reduction also expected from Aug/ Sep 2024. US President Election scheduled in Nov 24. Until then Market may correct if any global news upto19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range.
Nifty IT 40878 ( 2 weeks before 39370), indices dipped 37848 and bounced back. Recovery of US stock market and awaiting FED rate cute decision pushed the US stocks up and followed by Nifty IT Index.
BTC Dips to 56K: Is the Downtrend Not Over?GM crypto bro's, this morning, BTC dropped again, even falling to the 56K area last night. The fear and greed index is at 27 (fear), while the stoch RSI hasn’t yet entered the overbought zone—it was close, but it seems like the stoch RSI might decline first.
As I mentioned in yesterday’s market update, BTC had the potential to revisit our orange zone area at 56K - 53K. So, keep in mind that the market is dynamic—don’t get caught up in FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that anything can happen in the crypto market.
Always manage your risks, and as always, that’s all for today’s crypto update. I’m Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
BTC's Target 63K in Jeopardy? New Levels in SightGM Crypto bro's, this morning, the fear and greed index is at 29 (fear), and the stoch RSI is starting to enter the overbought zone. Last night, BTC briefly dropped to around 58K—does this mean the 63K target is off the table?
In terms of price action, due to last night’s drop, there’s a new possibility for BTC to dip into the range of 57K - 56K, or perhaps revisit our orange zone at 56K - 53K. If this happens, the chances of pumping to 63K and 65K diminish.
However, the crypto market is a place where making money is easy but tough to hold on to, so keep in mind that the market is dynamic—don’t get caught up in FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that anything can happen in the crypto market.
Always manage your risks, and as always, that’s all for today’s crypto update. I’m Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
BTC Bounces Back: Targeting 63K Next?GM crypto bro's, this morning we finally see BTC turning green, even if only slightly—better than a deep red. The fear and greed index stands at 30 (fear), while the stoch RSI is starting to enter the overbought area.
For this morning's outlook, if we look at the stoch RSI, the most probable pump for BTC could target the nearest point around 63K, with a 60% probability, while a pump to 65K has a 40% chance.
But keep in mind, the market is dynamic—don’t get caught up in FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that anything can happen in the crypto market.
Always manage your risks, and as always, that’s all for today’s crypto update. I’m Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
S&P bulls return in the game; still some work to doLast week, buyers regained control on the daily timeframe, filling the gap from Monday, August 5th, and closing the week at the high. While this was a strong display of power, I would approach it with caution for the following reasons:
1. The market is currently in a weekly consolidation phase. We've already seen how strongly the bears defend their control on the weekly timeframe (as evidenced by the last week of July), so this should not be disregarded.
2. The magnitude of Wednesday’s bearish candle demonstrates how easily the bears can move the price when they feel weakness
3. While all major sectors closed week green, none has managed to close above previous week high. Most of them are in a weekly consolidation, which signifies genuine market weakness.
To sum it up, while it's highly likely that the bulls will be able to confirm a weekly low ( 510.3 ) in the next days, it's uncertain whether they will be able to maintain their position for long. I would definitely wait to see the week’s close before considering a “buy.” Ideally, the bulls should fill the gap from Friday, August 2nd, and establish some value above 534 . If this doesn't happen and we see a strong price rejection, it would confirm bearish control.
The upcoming week is packed with economic data, which could fuel momentum for either side.
BTC Dips to 58K: Accumulation Time?GM crypto bro's, happy working day! This morning, BTC finally dropped to the 58K area, as mentioned in previous market updates. The fear and greed index is at 25, indicating extreme fear, while the stoch RSI is at 56, with the potential to continue rising towards the oversold area.
Currently, 58K is a good zone for accumulating Bitcoin, given the extreme fear in the market. There’s still a possibility for BTC to drop further, perhaps to the 57K-56K range, but the probability of this is only about 30%, with a 70% chance of pumping to the 65K area.
But keep in mind, the market is dynamic—don't get caught up in FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that anything can happen in the crypto market.
Always manage your risks, and as always, that’s all for today’s crypto update. I’m Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
BTC: Sideways or Pump Ahead?GM crypto bro's, happy weekend! This morning, BTC is still moving sideways. The fear and greed index is at 39, indicating fear, while the stoch RSI is on its way to the overbought area.
Overall, our targets remain the same as yesterday: a chance for a correction to the 58K area followed by a pump to 65K, or maybe even an instant pump to 65K—after all, anything can happen in the market.
But let’s see how the market makers will draw the BTC chart going forward. Always manage your risks, and as always, that’s all for today’s crypto update. I’m Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
BTC Weekend Moves: Correction or Pump?GM crypto bro's, happy weekend to those on vacation, and stay strong for those still working like me. Okay, this morning BTC has started to correct as I mentioned in yesterday's market update. The fear and greed index is at a neutral 40, while the stoch RSI has exited the oversold area and is heading towards overbought.
From a price action perspective, my outlook this morning is that BTC still has a chance to continue its correction to around the 58K area, while the nearest target for a pump is in the 65K area.
But let's see how the market makers will draw the BTC chart going forward. Always manage your risks, and as always, that’s all for today’s crypto update. I’m Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
BTC Hits 58K! What's Next for the Weekend?GM crypto bro's, as I mentioned yesterday, BTC has pumped back up and even surpassed our 58K target. The fear and greed index is now at a neutral 48, while the stoch RSI has successfully exited the oversold area.
As we approach the weekend, there’s a possibility for BTC to retest the 58K - 60K area. But keep in mind, the market is dynamic. Don’t be FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that nothing is impossible in the crypto market. Anything can happen.
Always manage your risks, and as always, that’s all for today’s crypto update. I’m Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
BTC Back to Extreme Fear! What's Next?GM crypto bro's, this morning, the fear and greed index is back at 20 (extreme fear) while the stoch RSI remains in the oversold area. Yesterday's candle only reached 57,751; I thought it would go up to 58K, but it didn't.
Currently, BTC has the potential to correct to around the 53K area first, then pump to our initial target of 58K. But as always, the market is unpredictable.
I mentioned the potential correction to 53K before 58K, but it could pump strongly to 58K and then drop to 53K-52K. That's the excitement of the market, so always stay alert, crypto bro's.
Like always, keep in mind the market is dynamic. Don't be FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that nothing is impossible in the crypto market. Anything can happen.
Always manage your risks, and as always, that's all for today's crypto update.
I'm Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
BTC Fear Index Rises! Is Recovery in Sight?GM crypto bro's, this morning, the fear and greed index has increased from yesterday's 17 (extreme fear) to 29 (fear). The stoch RSI is also starting to show signs of recovery from its oversold area.
Overall, the outlook remains the same as yesterday. Our target for BTC is to retest the 58K area first. Like always, keep in mind the market is dynamic. Don't be FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that nothing is impossible in the crypto market. Anything can happen.
Always manage your risks, and as always, that's all for today's crypto update.
I'm Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
Extreme Fear! BTC Fear Index Drops to 17! What's Next?GM crypto bro's, finally, the market has slightly calmed down this morning after our portfolios got nuked yesterday. Keep staying strong, guys.
Okay, this morning's update: the fear and greed index has dropped back to 17 (extreme fear), while the stoch RSI is still dead like yesterday. In terms of price action, BTC has a small chance to visit around the 58K area and then go sideways in the 57K - 56K range. Hopefully, there won't be any more crazy drops. The long candle on 05/08/2024 has already claimed many casualties.
There is a possibility that the current market drop is part of a plan by big money, whales, etc., to buy the dip on a massive scale, considering the growing rumors that Grandpa Powell from the FED might cut interest rates in September.
Like always, keep in mind the market is dynamic. Don't be FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that nothing is impossible in the crypto market. Anything can happen, even the impossible.
Always manage your risks, and as always, that's all for today's crypto update.
I'm Akki, signing off. Stay sane, my liquidated friends, and have a nice day.
S&P weekly consolidation in progress; bears prove controlLast week was marked by hectic price action in both directions. Bulls failed to set a daily low for two consecutive days (Monday-Tuesday), which logically led to a strong bearish attack. Then something peculiar happened – the price pivoted near the previous low and went up during the overnight session. The market opened with a huge gap on Wednesday, held the open, and even managed to rally further in the regular session. I can only imagine how many short traders, who had done everything right, suffered from this.
This price action also confused many long traders, including myself, by making us believe that the weekly consolidation was coming to an end. But Thursday turned the board 180 degrees again with a psychotic bearish move, wiping out more than 2% of the market value. Again, as with the bullish rally, there was no obvious trigger unless you believe that PMI data could wield such importance.
At this point, we have the following disposition:
1. The market is still in a weekly uptrend. Until sellers take down the previous major low (491), nothing changes in this regard.
2. Bears have proved strong control over the weekly timeframe. We should respect this.
3. Bears were also able to start monthly consolidation, another sign of their strength.
All in all, I wouldn’t consider any long-term “buys” until bulls manage to set a convincing weekly low, even then with caution. Shorting is an option but is very tricky in light of what happened last week.
Disclaimer
I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
Fear & Greed Index Plummets as BTCUSD Dumps SignificantlyGM Crypto Bro's, this morning BTC dumped significantly, causing the Fear and Greed Index to drop to 26 (fear). The Stoch RSI is still resting in the oversold area.
There is a big chance for a drop into the red zone around the 50K area, but there is also a small chance for a pump in the nearest blue zone.
As always, keep in mind that the market is dynamic. Don't be FOMO, stay safe, keep calm. Remember, anything can happen in the crypto market these days. Maintain your risk, and that's all for today's crypto update. I'm Akki, one chart, and have a nice day
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 05-Aug-24 to 9-Aug-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 05-Aug-24 to 9-Aug-24
Nifty closed at 24717 ( 2 weeks before 24509) and touched low & high of 24094-25082 ( all time High) in a span of 2 weeks.
World Market Outlook, sudden drop in US market especially in Tech Stocks, Europe and Asian market lead to impact Nifty. Volatility to continue till fed rate reduction (expected in Sep 24), US Presidential election till Oct end/ Nov 24.
RSI and stochastics levels was marginally down last week (61 % & 66% Respectively). Stochastic dropped to 66% from 90%.
Caution was emphasized on Nifty for the past 1-1.5 month as nifty PE is in record high level with high valuation and very less potential to grow further.
Strong tax imposition on speculative STCG, increase in tax for LTCG and removal of Indexation benefits for Properties and Gold will have impact on such investments, Loans and the demand. Which may affect the Bank Loans. Also With scrap in Indexation benefit illegal cash handling will raise.
Those with lesser risk can sell partial portfolio ( 20-30%) stocks which have less valuation and can wait for opportunity to buy when nifty dips upto 22800.
Deploy stop loss of upto 7%-8% ( i.e Nifty 22800 level) which is crucial. More Risky players can have stop loss of trend line resistance of 23750 as shown in the chart.
Market have high potential to touch Psychological 25000 Mark/ 25200 ( Fib Resistance)/ 25500 ( Fib Resistance).
Nifty 24717- Short term (Neutral to Down)
Nifty short term resistance 25075 ( New Peak) and 25224.
Support around 23740.
Medium Term 25224( Fib Resistance), 25542 ( Fib Resistance) which is % of difference between Mar 23 low and Sep 23 high low from Sep23 high shown as vertical line
Medium term Support - 22800 /22300
Long Term (1-3 years) Nifty have strong resistance at 27000 ( Fibonacci Resistance). If market close above 25580 decisively. Support at 20800 ( Fib Support) 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024.
Nifty bank 51350 (2 weeks before 52296 )- Index went upto 53400 ( Resistance) and came down as proposed from 47250 level nifty bank jumped more than 10%. Caution was emphasised as nifty bank reached critical resistance. It need to cross and move up decisively this current zone. Advised to consider to book partial profits in Nifty Bank on every rise. Investment decision in Nifty bank, bank stocks helped in portfolio.
Stock Picking is needed at this crucial nifty, Nifty Bank, Nifty auto, Nifty Pharma stocks. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, Indian Bank & Punjab National Bank.
Fundamentally good stocks can be added as it posted good results on every dip in finance stocks such as Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin,Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Tanla & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio. There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis.
Comments : Post Elections, if Market need to grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5% ( in span of 2-3 years ). US fed rate reduction also expected from Aug/ Sep 2024. US President Election scheduled in Nov 24. Until then Market may correct if any global news upto19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range.
Nifty IT 39730 ( 2 weeks before 39251), indices broke the Major support at 33350 and went down upto 32420.
Currently Nifty up and crossed resistance 41300. Muted results with meeting the market expectaion driven the index to bounce back. However Caution to be empahsised as US Economy still in bad condition and awaiting for rate cut.
S&P weekly consolidation ongoing; uptrend still intactLast week began with a bull rally that was very short-lived. Sellers stepped in, driving the price down through the last consolidation (and potential support) zone. By the end of the week, the market experienced a 180-degree shift in sentiment, with Friday closing with a bullish inside candle.
Currently, we have the following disposition:
1. The price is in an uptrend on the weekly chart, indicating that long-term buyers still maintain control.
2. The daily chart shows a downtrend, but so far, sellers have only managed to retrace 50% of the previous green wave.
3. There is an unfilled gap from Wednesday, the 24th. If bulls can fill this gap this week, it will demonstrate their strength.
From a fundamental perspective, there was no significant negative news. On the contrary, the inflation data was quite positive, and earnings were mostly decent, except for TSLA. This suggests that the current downtrend is just a controlled weekly consolidation. Therefore, we should look for a weekly higher low to enter LONG positions to capitalize on the continuation of the weekly uptrend.
A lot will depend on the Big Tech earnings reports coming out this week, but so far, there is no reason to expect negative surprises.
Disclaimer
I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
S&P dragged down by US politicsLast week, the market was significantly affected by political uncertainty in the US. Technically, everything looked decent, and there was no change in fundamentals as inflation continued to slow down and banks reported positively. Given this, I was expecting a rotation within a narrow range, but the uncertainty was too strong, causing a sell-off in all major sectors (see Market Strength Index). The only sector that showed some resilience was Financials, but even it eventually succumbed. The week closed very weak, with a bearish engulfing candle, which formally starts a weekly consolidation.
It is important to remember that the market is still in a weekly uptrend, and we should treat weekly consolidations as short-term pullbacks until the price sets a convincing lower high on the weekly chart. I would expect the price to try retesting the gap from Wednesday, the 17th. Whether this retest is successful or not will determine the future of the market. It is also likely that in the coming months, the market will be very sensitive to political developments.
Disclaimer
I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
S&P is strong; however, some immediate uncertainty loomsLast week was marked by a very slow start and a chaotic finish. On Monday and Tuesday, prices bracketed in a very narrow range with neither side willing to take action. On Wednesday, the bulls gathered some momentum for a rally only to be countered by the bears the next day. While the bears’ attack appeared fearsome, it lacked real conviction (as I pointed out in my report), and it eventually faded. On Friday, the bulls took the initiative, erasing all the bears’ achievements.
From a technical perspective, we have the following disposition:
1. Price is in an uptrend on all major timeframes. Last week closed quite strong.
2. All major S&P sectors are supporting the upward movement (see Market Inner Strength Index)
3. RSI is highly overbought on the daily timeframe and slightly overbought on the weekly timeframe. Although this doesn’t mean much in strong uptrends, we should still pay attention to it.
4. On the hourly chart, there is some unclear bracketing with an extending range. We have both a poor high and a poor low.
The bulls clearly have the upper hand on all major timeframes, making the most likely scenario a continuation of the uptrend. Fundamentals are also on the buyers’ side: inflation is decreasing, and the first bank reports were quite positive.
However, it is also possible that we’ll see more bracketing in the short term due to political uncertainty, which deprives the market of the conviction needed for prolonged movements. We can see signs of traders’ hesitation on the hourly chart: breakouts without follow-through and reluctance to carry positions over the weekend. Coupled with price overextension (remember the RSI), there are enough arguments to support the need for short-term consolidation and the collection of additional information before moving higher (if nothing changes fundamentally).
Disclaimer
I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 15-Jul-24 to 19-Jul-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 15-Jul-24 to 19-Jul-24
Nifty closed at 24509 and touched low & high of 24230-24591
Market sustained above 24280 and closed at 24509 last week. RSI and stochastics levels was marginally down last week (72 % & 92% Respectively). Stochastic level for past 1 month is flat and sustained above 90. last such time happened in Nov 23-jan-24. Caution to be emphasized as nifty PE in record high level. Awaiting Budget by month end and Q1 results in the following days. Deploy stop loss of upto 7%-8% ( Nifty 22800 level) which is crucial.
Market have high potential to touch Psychological 25000 Mark/ 25200 ( Fib Resistance)/ 25500 ( Fib Resistance).
Nifty 24509- Short term (Neutral to Up)
Nifty short term target 25000.
Support around 23600.
Nifty at PE 23.3 crossed 5 year historical average 23.1 hence to be cautious.
Medium Term ( up) Resistance 25224( Fib Resistance), 25542 ( Fib Resistance) which is % of difference between Mar 23 low and Sep 23 high low from Sep23 high shown as vertical line
Medium term Support - 22800 /22300
Long Term (1-3 years) Nifty have strong resistance at 27000 ( Fibonacci Resistance). If market close above 25580 decisively. Support at 20800 ( Fib Support) 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024.
Nifty bank 52296 - Index went upto 53400 ( Resistance) and came down as proposed from 47250 level nifty bank jumped more than 10%. Caution to be emphasised as nifty bank reached critical resistance. It need to cross and move up decisively this current zone. Slowly Can consider to book partial profits in Nifty Bank on every rise. Investment decision in Nifty bank, bank stocks helped in portfolio. Stock Picking is needed at this crucial nifty, Nifty Bank, Nifty auto, Nifty Pharma stocks. As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for Axis Bank ,ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, SBI ( Buy on dip) and Indus Ind Bank ( Buy on dip).
Following Finance Stocks can be added as it posted good results are Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin,Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, ICICI Securities. Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Coforge & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio. There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis.
Comments : Post Elections, if Market need to grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5% ( in span of 2-3 years ). US fed rate reduction also expected from Aug/ Sep 2024. Market may correct if any global news upto19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range.
Nifty IT 39251, indices broke the Major support at 33350 and went down upto 32420.
Currently Nifty up anc crossed resistance 38569 decisively. Tech stocks revived in last one month session. Nifty IT Stocks like TCS, Infosys, Wipro gave muted results in Q4 2024. Awaited results in the following week.
Gold Price Analysis: A Closer Look at Key Levels & Future Moves!Trading Idea Breakdown for XAUUSD
Chart Overview:
Time Frame: 4-hour chart
Instrument: Gold Spot (XAUUSD)
Key Levels and Zones:
Daily LQZ (Liquidity Zone):
Level: 2450.370
Significance: Major liquidity area where price is likely to experience significant reactions.
4-hour / LQZ:
Level: 2437.909
Significance: Intermediate liquidity zone crucial for intraday trading decisions.
1-hour TP (Take Profit) Zone:
Level: 2419.054
Significance: Shorter-term take profit area, potentially indicating minor resistance.
Support and Resistance:
Key Support Level: Around 2410.920
Previous Top of Flag: Highlighted zone where price action showed previous resistance before breaking out.
Technical Patterns:
Flag Pattern:
The chart showcases a flag pattern where the price initially showed strong upward momentum (flagpole) followed by a consolidation phase within parallel lines (flag). The breakout from this flag pattern indicates a continuation of the bullish trend.
Upward Channel:
The price is currently moving within an upward channel, suggesting a controlled and steady rise in the price of gold.
Current Price Action:
Price: 2410.920 (at the time of the screenshot)
The price has broken out of the flag pattern and is currently trading near the 4-hour LQZ level.
There's an observed strong bullish momentum as the price approaches the daily LQZ.
Trading Plan:
Bullish Bias:
Given the breakout from the flag pattern and the upward channel, the bias remains bullish.
The price targeting the daily LQZ indicates further potential upside.
S&P Bulls Defy Expectations; New Historical HighLast week, the bulls did something remarkable. At the start of the week, there was a clear bearish reversal pattern forming on the daily chart. Despite being a believer in the bulls (given the strength of the weekly chart), I was still quite certain that sellers would at least be able to take down the weak low from the last week of June (SPX 5,448). However, instead of breaking through, the sellers made only a weak attempt on Monday. After a brief pause, the market rallied, breaking through all previous highs.
It is hard to grasp such a change in sentiment, especially since there was nothing particularly surprising in the economic data or the FOMC announcements. Sometimes, it seems that the market itself is confused, and the best we can do is observe its behavior day by day and make quick adjustments to our strategy. There was absolutely no clear reason behind the sell-off on Friday the 28th (presidential debates? really???), but we had to trust price action and let it shape our strategy. Only now can we conclude that it was a “fake” weakness (actually, we already started suspecting it on Tuesday). More likely, it was temporary confusion in the market, caused by many contradicting political and economic signals.
The current outlook is bullish. The market has set a new high, and the majority of sectors ended the week strong (see Market Inner Strength Index). The only possible warning is that the weekly RSI is approaching the overbought condition. The last time this happened (at the end of March), it triggered a weekly consolidation, but again, nothing is certain.
P.S. this week is heavily packed with economic data releases. Also, banks report on Friday. Things might change really fast
Disclaimer
I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
Technical Outlook – Last Half of 2024Today, I will share how I plan my trades for the second half of 2024. I am not trying to make any predictions here, as no one knows the exact day or hour. However, when a big move or turnaround begins, we will be able to recognize what is about to come.
Micro E-mini Nasdaq Futures & Options
Ticker: MNQ
Minimum fluctuation:
0.25 index points = $0.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com