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Marketphases

Bitcoin Potential Bull Flag w/ $35K (91%) Gain on Valid Break!Here I have BITSTAMP:BTCUSD on the Daily Chart! 2024 has been an Exceptional Year for Bitcoin after its nearly 2 Year Monumental Recovery from the Nov. 2022 Low @ $15,512 to pushing price up past the 3 Year High of $69,000 on Nov. 10th 2021 to the now New 8 Month High @ $73,835 on Mar. 14th 2024! Fall '21/Summer '22 - Bitcoin is in a Declining Stage Fall '22/Summer '23 - Bitcoin is in an Accumulation Stage Fall '23/Spring '24 - Bitcoin is in a Advancing Stage Spring '24/Fall '24 - ( Distribution or Accumulation) ??? Fall '24/Summer '25 - ??? Currently, Bitcoin is exhibiting signs of a Potential Bull Flag with a Flagpole suggesting a potential 91.78% or $35,334.57 Gain with a Valid Bullish Break!! We can see Bitcoin has been in a Descending Channel since the Spring of 2024 came but Price Action has made a few key movements that I'd like to point out: - After traveling the Descending Channel from the Higher High @ $73,835.57, Price makes a False Break of the Channel that touches the Previous Level of Structures Higher High and makes a 38.2% Retracement of the Current Higher High and is immediately brought back up into the Channel. - Price continues to stay magnetized to the 200 EMA since its entered the Channel but Price seems to be trading Above it with ease in this Consolidation Zone. Now this current Channel or Consolidation Price has been in from this Summer '24 going into this Fall '24 can either be an Accumulation OR Distribution Stage, all based on if we get a Bullish or Bearish Break to this Channel and something tells me we are looking at a Potential Bull Flag in the Making with the potential to reach -Bullish Bias on BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Fundamentals: - BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has been gaining not only Domestic but Global traction with stories like El Salvador this year making Bitcoin its Official Currency! -Economics now accepting more transactions Crypto-wise showing honest Expansion and Integration into society -A lot of statistics show that people believe the USD may be looking at a downfall in the coming years and Crypto, specially BITSTAMP:BTCUSD potentially being a savior! People are not only fleeing to Commodities and Bonds when devaluation peers its head, but Crypto seems to start being another sector to look towards!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Novi_Fibonacci
Live Trading Recap: USD/JPY Correction Phase TradeThis is a live execution of USD/JPY trade, demonstrating how to successfully execute a counter-trend strategy. This trade was all about understanding the market phases and recognizing the trend reversal at the right moment. To pull off a counter-trend trade, you need more than just technical skills—you need a solid grasp of trading psychology. Staying patient, trusting your analysis, and managing emotions during market swings are key to making informed decisions. Watch the video to see how I combined these elements to turn this trade into a win. Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
by Charts247TradingAcademy
📊 Four Market PhasesThe four market phases in trading are characterized by different levels of buying and selling activity, trading volumes, news and sentiment, and price trends. By understanding these phases, traders and investors can better anticipate market movements and position themselves to take advantage of opportunities as they arise. 🔹 Accumulation In this phase, the market is characterized by low trading volumes and a lack of clear price trend. Buyers and sellers are more or less balanced, and prices tend to remain within a certain range. This phase is often seen as a period of accumulation by smart money investors who are slowly building up positions before the market begins to trend. 🔹 Uptrend In this phase, the market experiences a sustained rise in prices, driven by increasing demand from buyers. This is typically accompanied by higher trading volumes and positive news and sentiment. Traders may look to buy into dips during this phase, in order to take advantage of the overall trend. 🔹 Distribution In this phase, the market begins to show signs of weakness, with prices starting to trend sideways or even decline. This is typically accompanied by lower trading volumes and negative news and sentiment. Smart money investors may begin to sell into strength during this phase, as they look to lock in profits before the market turns lower. 🔹 Downtrend In this phase, the market experiences a sustained decline in prices, driven by increasing supply from sellers. This is typically accompanied by lower trading volumes and negative news and sentiment. Traders may look to sell into rallies during this phase, in order to take advantage of the overall trend. 👤 @AlgoBuddy 📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators ❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
Education
by QuantVue
1
Wyckoff Phases in PracticeWe all know that market moves in Phases. The four most popular phases are – 1️⃣Accumulation 2️⃣Markup 3️⃣Distribution and 4️⃣Markdown Mr. Wyckoff analyzed these phases further, esp . Accumulation and Distribution, to understand the price behavior for potential opportunities to trade/invest in the market. In this tutorial I am going to have a brief discussion about Accumulation-sub-phases of the market with the help of an example that I came across today. ✅Phase A 🚩This phase is preceded by a major downtrend. 🚩Begins with a selling climax ( SC ) - Large down bars with abnormally high volume (see B). 🚩SC is followed by the largest rally in the major downtrend, associated with good buying volume . This Automatic Rally (AR) represents the change in character (ChoC) of the market - buyers taking over. 🚩Market retest the level B with a lower volume (supply) – Secondary Test (see D). ✅Phase B 🚩Usually the longest phase. 🚩Higher volume during rallies (eg. E) and lesser during retracements. 🚩Even if volume is high during retracements, price fails to make new lows. 🚩More secondary tests (see F) held at the support zone (B and D). 🚩Market consolidates testing supply and demand with no particular direction – Consolidation. ✅Phase C 🚩This phase is the smallest but the most important. 🚩Usually ends with a Spring (not in the above case). 🚩You would often see final shakeout of weak buyers in this phase. Price would dip underneath the support zone (B, D and F) and reverse sharply back above support. 🚩Perhaps the best time to enter for those who like to take low risk high probability trades. 🚩In the above case, point G was just another test of support Zone. ✅Phase D 🚩You would see swift action in this phase. Wide up bars (with high volume ) and small down bars (with low volume ) -Sign of Strength. 🚩This also represents the change in character, which now differs from the consolidation phase. 🚩ChoCh - Notice two blue rectangles and the price action in them. The action differs vehemently from the previous phases - wide bars with ease of movement. 🚩Price breaks the resistance zone (in most cases resistance would be the high of automatic rally). 🚩It again retests (after breakout) this resistance which now starts acting as support. This is called the Backup action. 🚩Further (re)accumulation can be seen here in many cases. 🚩This is perhaps the best time for those who like to enter after confirmation (A higher high; break of resistance; price jumping outside the range) ✅Phase E 🚀Accumulation is over and a trend is established - Markup phase Not all bear markets end up with these accumulation-sub-phases. You may often see V-shaped recoveries just like what we experienced after March 2020 lows. But you will surely find some stocks or markets that moved in line with Wyckoff phases. Thanks for reading. Do like and comment. 📣Disclaimer: The views are personal only. Apply your own due diligence before making your investment decisions.
NSE:MCXEducation
by Bravetotrade
3
Market phases explained through ACS' graphA few days ago, I identified the different market phases through this company's graph: uptrend, distribution and downtrend, which could imply that the market is right now within the accumulation phase. This phase is characterized by the price of these shares being lateral and, when this phase ends, a new trend will begin. Therefore, I consider that keeping an eye on this company can be interesting in order to identify the brand new trend as it starts, so that we can open positions in favour of it. If we have a closer look at the last candles that have been drawn in this graph, we can appreciate that the price of these shares has recently tried to break the accumulation range downwards. Nevertheless, buyers have been strong enough as to not let sellers to. The uncertainty surrounding the price's future direction is still there, so we will keep on waiting until we observe a clear brekout.
BME:ACS
by mar_lpz
Bitcoin 3 Market PhasesIn my experience in the markets, all price action follows 3 main market phases as below: 1) Consolidation: price ranges between two levels and consolidates between that area. 2) Expansion: Price action breaks out of the consolidation with high volatility making rapid impulsive and corrective waves. 3) Trend: The price action finally follows and market has a fixed sentiment where the trend takes place and the main direction of the financial instrument price goes.
Short
by FXwabz
Understanding Market Cycles and PhasesUsing Bitcoin as a example, in this idea i am going to briefly explain the concept of Market Phases in a easy to understand way. Market Cycles & Phases Cycles are prevalent in all aspects of life; they range from the very short-term, like the life cycle of a insect, some which can live a few days, to the life cycle of a planet, which takes billions of years. All financial markets go through the same phases and are cyclical. They rise, top out, drop, and then bottom out. When one market cycle is finished, another begins. The problem is that most investors and traders either fail to recognize that markets are cyclical or forget to expect the end of the current market phase. There are 4 key phases in a Market Cycle: 1. Accumulation The heavy buying phase before the uptrend begins. 2. Mark Up/ Re accumulation Mark Up is the uptrend, Re accumulation phases are sideways pauses in the uptrend where more buying occurs before continuation of trend. 3. Distribution The heavy selling phase before the downtrend begins. 4. Mark Down / Redistribution Mark Down is the downtrend, Re distrubution phases are sideways pauses in the downtrend where more selling occurs before continuation of trend. Trend The dictionary definition of trend: *a general development or change in a situation or in the way that people are behaving. In financial markets the direction the price of a asset is moving is referred to as the trend. Markets are made up of several different kinds of trends, and it is the recognition of these trends that will largely determine the success or failure of your long and short-term investing. There are 3 key trends in Markets: 1. Bullish (upwards, buyers in control) (higher lows, higher highs (HL, HH) The Mark Up phase is an uptrend or bullish trend. 2. Bearish (downwards, sellers in control) (lower highs, lower lows (LH, LL) The Mark Down phase is an downtrend or bearish trend. 3. Consolidation /Sideways (sideways, direction & control undecided temporarily) Re accumulation & Re distrubution phases are consolidation phases or "pauses" in the market before continuation of trend or reversal. It is essential to understand Market Cycles, Phases & Trends, which are important behavioral characteristics of how price develops over time. By fully understanding these concepts and how one can identify them, a trader or investor can generate more opportunities, secure a longer term plan reducing stress levels, and potentially maximize profits. Once a asset has already moved on from the Accumulation phase the next best buying opportunity is the Reaccumulation phase (marked in yellow) where price usually starts to zigzag in a sideways movement after a strong upwards movement. The Reaccumulation phase is where the price is usually "held down" by large transactions, while buyers fill positions, eventually the price can no longer be held down and we see the continuation of the Mark Up. If you found the idea informative you can show your appreciation by leaving a like or comment thank you!
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BNC:BLXEducation
by Worth_The_Ri5k
127