¿Bullish engulfing or bullish trap?Introduce
Hello crypto community! We come from a busy week in the crypto world, and the sun is still overshadowed by various dark clouds and negative news. Remember, we have one of the highest weekly volumes ever in BTC history, a huge red weekly candle without much room for recovery. Remember that cryptosystems, even if they are more subject to speculation and the flow of smart money, first respond to the mathematical algorithms and codes that make them unique. Math never lies. If technically things don't rise and fundamentals don't help, the ideal recovery is far from happening. One big move, be it bearish or bullish, always leads to more moves slowly losing strength. We are just before the first movement Low.
Fundamentals
DXY started to recover this week, with the recovery slowing in major currencies, US500, commodities and cryptocurrency markets. The U.S. dollar index hitting the 109.3 level could lead to further losses in stocks. The bullish rally that started after favorable IPC data slowed. Also, we have retail sales data this week, more precisely on Wednesday, which will bring volatility to the market.
Technical staff
We have yet to reach support at 15.6k, we have bounced around 15.8k, found no buyers over the weekend and pulled a lot of money from exchanges due to the fear generated by FTX and its effects. If this level, which will now act as support, is not broken, we may face a partial recovery in price until the last confirmed resistance level is around 18.2k. around. Now, if we close above this level, the next resistance is at 19.2k, an area that the bears will defend.
This is not investment advice, good trades and profits! !
Markets
Allow for some near term Profit taking in EUR/USD Taking a look at the support and resistance levels on the EUR/USD chart
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The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current Disclaimer:
opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
New levels on S+P following lower than expected US CPI numbersThe big rally higher on the S+P yesterday took out a number of levels and here is an update.
Disclaimer
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current Disclaimer:
opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
why 50% plus 1 day crash in FTT matters for all marketsfinancialized markets all move together in times of liquidity panics. Thats why we must pay attention when we hear of certain market going wild in large percentage moves. FTT token may not matter to everyone, but it matters if it gives us an insight to market mechanics that affect everyone.
Crypto liquidity panics will harm investor trust and sentiment. Losses in any market can also force investors to sell liqduid and perfectly good assets in order to fund other illiquid areas.
Not in anyway advice. But worth watching and observing.
SPY QQQ DIA VT FTTUSD TOTAL HYG AAPL
An update on the short-term and longer-term levels for the S+PThe market is correcting higher within the confines of an overall bear trend.
Disclaimer
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current Disclaimer:
opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
SPX weekly closesA bearish weekly close is always a matter of concern. Shows the bears are in control. Luckily last week's bounce was off a level of interest but the bearish signal would continue below that level and would accelerate if we closed below it. There haven't been many weeks out of the last 20 years where the SPX traded below the weekly 200 moving average. So it is a line in the sand for a lot of long-term investors.
Classic Bull Flag - Now I go long again!Traders,
Though the overall market sentiment obviously still remains extremely bearish, I am now most invested in longs than I ever have been since I started my $10,000 portfolio project. Yesterday, I bought Ethusd at the bottom of its daily wick and today I have picked up some BTCUSD.
Thus far, playing against sentiment has worked out handsomely. You'll remember (or maybe you won't unless you follow me elsewhere) I went long at the bottom of the wick on the 13th. Many were crying that this was it. This is the time we got to 14k or lower. I bought. I won.
Then again, just before the weekend, I went short. Now, my timing was off on that play. I thought we'd be more bearish during the weekend. We weren't. So, I held longer. Tightened my stops. And was stopped out earlier than my take profit. Which turns out to be okay cuz my TP was actually the 50 day ma and we wouldn't have formed this nice little bull flag here (red arrow) had my TP actually been reached.
And now, because support is being held on this nice little bull flag even in the midst of the bears coming back out yesterday again, I am going long.
TP yet to be determined but I am thinking somewhere around that 200 day.
Best to you and your trades,
Stew
FOMC - NasdaqSo Tuesday, the high of the week? quite possibly.
Wednesday, FOMC and Powell announce a 75bps rate hike. Talks down the market.
Conveniently for anyone that shorted the gap fill, their target of the resting liquidity under the double bottom was realised.
Educational Series: Trading with Bollinger Bands (Part 1)Bollinger Bands is a volatility indicator. It indicates how HIGH or LOW prices can move during any period. When the market is volatile, the bands widen; conversely, when the market is less volatile, the bands contract.
The standard Bollinger Band indicator comes with a preset calculation of the 2 standard deviations and the 20period moving average.
This enables us to use the Bollinger Bands more effectively in the following ways;
1) Bollinger Squeeze
2) Bollinger Reversal (Read about this in Part 2)
3) Bollinger Trend (Read about this in Part 3)
What is a Bollinger Squeeze?
A Bollinger Squeeze is identified when the bands contract for a medium time, and economic news is to be released on the horizon. It is characterized by a horizontal consolidation of price over a period of time. Typically, the horizontal squeeze can be encompassed within a rectangle (shown on the chart).
This indicates the potential for an explosive BIG move as the price breaks out of the consolidation.
What do with a Bollinger Squeeze?
Because the Bollinger Squeeze occurs before a news event, it would be unwise to pick a side for the potential breakout and gamble on the news result. Therefore, the best way to take advantage of this setup is maximized by deploying pending orders.
1) Place a Buy Stop order slightly above the top of the consolidation area, Stop Loss (SL) should be about 1.5 times the size of the consolidation area, with the Take Profit (TP) at the nearest swing high or 2 times the SL amount.
2) Place a Sell Stop order slightly below the top of the consolidation area, Stop Loss (SL) should be about 1.5 times the size of the consolidation area, with the Take Profit (TP) at the nearest swing high or 2 times the SL amount.
Whenever the Buy or Sell trade is activated, you must remember to cancel the other pending order (Or you could try to find a One-Cancel-Other EA)
Remember
- Breakout of the consolidation should result in a quick and fast price movement. If it breaks and climbs slowly, it could be a false break, and you would want to get out of the trade quickly.
- Trend could be ignored briefly (due to the explosive and short term move). But only briefly.
- Support and Resistance levels are still crucial and must be respected.
- This indicator is effective on Forex, Commodity, Cryptocurrency & Equity markets
Use the Bollinger Squeeze only on the M15 or H1 timeframe, and remember, it is a relatively rare occurrence.
¡¡Waiting for a number!!Hello trading community! We see on the US500 chart that the price faces significant resistance in the area between 4000 and 4100. On the daily chart, the US500 is in a descending channel. A continuation of the dollar's bullishness and no rate cut at its next meeting could wipe out investor bullishness and leave the index looking for new lows and support between the 3300-3500 level. Conversely, the other side of the coin prompts us to believe that a softer Fed policy will drive a sudden uptick in expectations for a positive end to the final quarter of the year. On the other hand, the market is pricing in a 75bps rate hike from the Fed and a 50bps cut in December (bullish outlook). Don't forget we have the Bank of England meeting on Thursday, the same outcome is expected (bullish outlook). The DXY is down 80% from the 111.60 level, but we do not rule out buyers entering the 112.4 technical level in the Fed preview. A level at which index bears can be activated against a bullish panorama of the market.
S&P plan for this week.Hi there. These are my thoughts on how the markets will play out this week. In my opinion this is another bear market rally that is targeting trailing stops between 3950~4000. We are below the 200ma on the 2D and below the cloud. Taking this into consideration and the fact that FOMC is Wednesday and will most likely raise rates another 75bps I can see the following scenario play out. Monday and Tuesday we climb slowly higher with a sharp thrust upwards and immediate rejection from the shorts stop loss area. Wednesday the markets continue their downtrend setting in stone that we are in a bear market. Drawing a fib retracement on the weekly from the most recent leg down puts the 1.618 target at 2972. If in fact we get there, this will take several weeks to hit.
Thanks for your time and good luck out there.
Market up on GM, UBS, KO earnings Coca-Cola shares rose 2.9% in the premarket after the beverage giant’ third-quarter earnings and sales beat Street forecasts. The company also raised its full-year outlook as demand remains steady even as it has raised prices to make up for higher expenses.
General Motors
(GM) – GM shares rallied 4.4% in premarket trading after the automaker reported a better-than-expected third-quarter profit, helped by rebounding sales. GM also said supply chain constraints are easing, allowing it to increase inventories on dealer lots.
General Electric
(GE) – GE jumped 4.2% in premarket action even though its earnings fell short of forecasts. The company cut its full-year outlook as it works its way through supply chain issues and higher costs. GE’s revenue was stronger than expected, as was free cash flow.
UPS
(UPS) – The delivery service’s shares rallied 4.4% in the premarket following a mixed quarterly report that saw earnings beat consensus and revenue fall short. UPS was helped by expanded profit margins as it raised prices.
UBS
(UBS) – UBS jumped 5.1% in the premarket after the Swiss bank posted better-than-expected quarterly results, helped by a jump in customer cash inflows to its wealth management business.
SAP
(SAP) – SAP rose 3% in premarket action after the German business software company reported upbeat quarterly results, helped by strong growth in its cloud business. SAP also confirmed its full-year outlook.
Logitech
(LOGI) – Logitech jumped 7% in the premarket after the maker of computer peripherals maintained its current full-year guidance, which was reduced in July. Logitech has seen sales cool off following a long period of elevated demand spurred by the pandemic.
Qualtrics
(XM) – Qualtrics surged 9.6% in the premarket after the maker of customer feedback software reported better-than-expected quarterly results and lifted its full-year forecast.
Approaching the 2022 downtrend on EUR/USDI suspect success or failure at this downtrend will be key!
Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
EURJPY D1 - Short SignalEURJPY D1 - Daily timeframe analysis here following yesterdays daily close which failed to breach and set new highs. Strong bullish daily candle, but hoping for a rejection candle here to take price back down towards that 144 handle, healthy 300 pip range possible due to unfold.
btc/usdtBitcoin is in a bad shape which it means cheap BTC.
Death Cross can spot the bottom based on history. Of course I can get wrong and BTC do the opposite.
The right mindset is to be aware of both scenarios.
And this time the economy overall is looking weak.
Once Macro will improve, the BTC price will increase.
Everyone is expecting lower prices for BTC right now and calling road to 10-12-14k.
Usually when the majority is bearish the markets are doing the opposites.
!!! Not financial advice.