Bitcoin: Sell below $10,800 (Bitstamp price)Bitcoin's weekly chart shows:
Downside break of bull market trendline
MACD has dropped below zero.
BTC charted a hanging man bearish candle last week.
5- and 10-week SMAs have produced a bear cross.
Trade: Sell below $10,800 target $10,000, $9,800 stop loss $11,200
Markets
Weekly Review: Remaining Bearish (Read for Fundamentals) Let´s order the weekly ideas:
1. Executive committee of the ECB will speak on Monday, maybe give some new updates about negative interest rates
2. Tuesday is about confidence indicators which I expect them to fall
3. Rest of the week is mostly about US employment and first debate on Wednesday between Biden and Trump
Regarding the markets, new outbreaks have put the recovery on hold and the consumer sentiment is being affected and is becoming a warning factor for the markets in the short-term. Moreover, the vaccine discovery has been delayed.
Facing the week, we have a weak market where none of the events of the short-term has the potential to turn around the bearish sentiment.
- Advise to take a short position for the week.
(Follow me for more weekly analyses and how to position your market portfolio regarding the upcoming elections)
everything depends on DXY in last week , Dollar index movement make noise in all Major Trading instruments like XAU XAG EUR GBP Trading Setups ,
Traders and Trading institutions Feel more risk on the DXY New Price and a lot of them liquid their positions to Hedge The risk with more Liquidity
Powell Testimony was Most Important Event Of the week and when he said there is no enough debt and cash to guaranty the 2% estimated Inflation rate DXY All major instruments Experienced High Volatility last night
now , the last hope for Bulls Against Dollar is a rejection from the red trend line on DXY with Reliable Price Action
sincerely AHZ
EURGBP H1EURGBP M30 - Saw a break and retest of this pennant last week, but this was quite late during the week and markets then closed, and also failed to set new highs beyond the breakout high. I'm neither bullish or bearish on this until we hear more from the vote later on today. This will then set the tone going forward for the GBP markets and to a degree the EUR markets
Weekly Review: Healthy Correction Needed (Read for Fundamentals)I believe this recent correction in the markets is more of an eventual profit taking event rather than a structural adjustment. The technology sector still offers growth potential in the medium term. It is logic and healthy for the market to correct after such a strong bull run.
Looking forward into the new week:
1.Central bank meetings
No change in interest rates expected, will maintain dovish position.
2.Indicators
In macro terms, indicators will keep recovering.
Lateral week is expected consolidating the levels from previous weeks. In medium term, slightly more bullish position despite big volatility also being expected.
GBPJPY H4 - Short Trade SetupGBPJPY H4 - As mentioned, the system doesn't change just because the environment has changed. Setting an alert for 138.000, this is a 382 corrective point, whole number, weekly and local support zone, so 4 confluences there. Will see where we are and how we are looking as/if we hit 138.000 for possible shorts.
SPX/DRIP Rare Triple Combination Corrective Pattern?(Scroll Down for Better Picture of Wave Count)
SPX and 3x leveraged bear crude DRIP. Does this pattern show smart money exits in Jan '20 and June '20? When the relationship decreases, lean CAUTIOUSLY on equities and crude. Precipitous fall means lay on the Shorts. Despite Markets going higher in February, the relationship still decreased as crude continued to fall despite an equity climb higher ie DRIP rose faster and stronger (sustainably) than the concurrent rise in the SPX. Then SPX finally capitulated. Fast forward to June 8th: recoveries in the SPX and Crude both took place in the months prior, however since then, the relationship has failed to breach that local high, despite ATH in the SPX printed in August this past week. What is this showing? Crude has lagged and been stagnant, stymieing further advancement in the relationship. The blend reversed off of the trend line of resistance. Will this rejection have follow through? In order for the decrease to accelerate, Crude would actually have to roll over, which might lead the SPX on the downside. The pattern is interesting and looks to fit as long as another fall occurs and avoids a breakage of the June 8th high. The next downturn may produce another low (Y) that rivals or exceeds (W). However, within the count, the Z cannot be lower than the deeper retracement of W or Y. Regardless, that could be a major tradeable LOW Buy point but more choppiness would follow until Z concludes.
GBPCHF H4 - Short SetupGBPCHF H4 - No real market movement from when we posted earlier, few wicks upside and downside but generally still hugging that 2.00 handle, waiting to see if we reject and selloff back to support or break and retest. Not sure how much the GBP has left in the tank, CHF didn't move too much after todays antics either.