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$EWZ $BVSP $IBOV Brazilian Stocks Under PressureWith market volatility back in the global markets with a vengeance, and the US Dollar remaining strong, one EM equity market that has been hit particularly hard this year has been the Brazilian Stocks (EWZ). Sluggish growth forecasts, combined with waning support for the Brazilian President, has sent Brazilian Stocks to its lowest level of the year so far, down -2.94%. The sharp declines have also been fueled by uncertainty over the US-China trade talks on a macro level. The combination of these two forces, the external macro headwinds and weak domestic economy, have both been a perfect storm for the under-performance of Brazilian stocks in 2019 thus far. Furthermore, on a technical basis, the EWZ continues to show deterioration within the equity market, with the 50-day EMA acting as a strong resistance March 2019 and the price action failing to break above since then. We believe that is these headwinds continue, there will be more downside for Brazilian stocks to come. We caution investors against this equity market.
AMEX:EWZShort
by EconomicsGlobal
EEM - Short - $40 targetEEM which can be thought as "Emerging Markets" looks fucked to me. Short this. Baring a sudden trade deal this week (unlikely), EEM could see sub $40. The puts I purchased last week have already doubled in value. :) From a TA standpoint, let's review. Price is below the green line (bearish) but bounced off support in the last 10 minutes of the trading day. Thank you algo panic buying. The price could also find support at the .618 line or $40.62 but the .786 price of $39.47 lines up rather neatly with the supporting trend line. Time frame: end of the month, possibly by 5/17.
AMEX:EEMShort
by jdharward
US Stock Market S&P500 Perfectly Poised for Massive DeclineVery high chance US markets (S&P500) will collapse from here (2910-2920) ... expected decline anywhere from 20-50% First trend line (on smaller time frame) broken. Now rejecting near smaller time frame trend start. Rejecting at trend start on larger time frame after losing trend Dec 2018 Smaller time frame short possible! May precipitate bear market with declines up to 80%. 20-50% expected. Russell 2000 is often a leading indicator for the larger market from my experience. Loot at /RTY and notice a failure to make new highs since the end of February. Now notice the trend break. Looks short!
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by Ian_Carsen
Malaysia - Still Waters Run Deep EWMAs Q2 2019 is underway, global financial markets have experienced a melt-up in assets prices, with some markets up over 20 percent year-to-date. However, despite the run in global asset prices, there is one country that has missed out on the rally, and that is Malaysia. Malaysian equities (EWM) (INDEX:KLSE) have declined -3.77% in 2019, taking the mantle as the worst performing equity market this year so far. To further complicate matters, the yield on the Malaysian 10-year government bond has risen to 3.932% as of this post, up from 3.81% in March. Lastly, the Malaysian Ringgit (USDMYR) has weakened by 1.92% percent in April 2019, loosing 0.08% against the US Dollar for the year, and forecast to fall further. Under-performance in Malaysian assets in recent trading sessions can be attributed to the fact that global investors are worried that Malaysian bonds may be removed from the FTSE Russel, a key global bond index for international investors. If this were to occur, Malaysian credit markets would see billions of dollars in outflows, in conjunction with a spike in yields, as investors flee the market en masse. However, the under-performance of Malaysian assets in 2019 can be attributed to recent downgrades in Malaysian gross domestic product (“GDP”) by the International Monetary Fund (“IMF”). The IMF downgraded the country’s GDP to 4.5% for 2019, down from 4.7% as stated in their prior forecasts. Growth is expected to slow this year as uncertainty stemming from the US-China trade war is expected to put further pressure on Malaysian exports. Furthermore, on a micro level, the threat of elevated household debt among Malaysian households is also lurking in the background. With household debt-to-GDP levels hovering around 83% in 2018, some of the highest in South East Asia, there is worry that leveraged households who have taken large sums of debt for real estate investment and consumption may have difficulty servicing their existing debt. This is especially worrisome in the midst of a slowing economy. Thus, there is risk that elevated household debt could add further pressure to future economic growth, and threaten economic stability within the Malaysia, if it continues on its current trajectory. As a result, due to these ongoing internal macroeconomic and financial headwinds, we are bearish on Malaysian assets and caution investors to tread lightly within this space.
AMEX:EWMShort
by EconomicsGlobal
$TASI Don't Sleep on Saudi ArabiaOne market that has quietly, but powerfully, performed well for 2019 year-to-date has been Saudia Arabia's Tadawul All Shares Index , up 13.82% as of April 3rd 2018. On a macro level, the country has been buoyed by a resurgence in the price of oil , coupled with the "Risk On" feel supporting the markets since January 2019. More interestingly, on a domestic level, the country has been support by global index makers, such as MSCI , promoting Saudi Arabian shares for inclusion into global benchmark indices, such as the MSCI Emerging Markets Index. This has been a boon for Saudia Arabian stocks, as Saudi shares have received billions in fund flows from global investors, and great exposure to global investors as this asset class opens up further. Lastly, on a technical basis, the market technicals for Saudi shares are quite strong, with the price being supported by the 10-day EMA since December 2018. Furthermore, the Smart Money Index for the $TASI has risen steadily since January 2019, indicating strong flows into Saudia Arabian stocks. We believe that this trend will continue for 2019 and recommend investors to have exposure to have exposure to Saudia Arabia. For investors who are interested in profiting from this trend, the ETF $KSA provides a great opportunity for investors.
TADAWUL:TASILong
by EconomicsGlobal
200+day's of consolidation this is what the future holds WABIBTCHello everyone! Technical Analysis my friends today for WABIBTC/Binance After a LONGGGGGG consolidation period on WABI we have finally broken out of that phase and resurfaced. A lot of room for growth for this coin as it has a LOW supply as well as LOW market cap too. Circulating Supply 55,994,914 and the Total Supply 100,000,000. For best results on this coin keep an eye on the volume ad wait for it to go down before entry. Regardless this is a good trade that can generate some profits look to sell around 15000 - 250000 sat's range for best results! Thanks, LiquidMEX DISCLAIMER:!!!This is not to be considered financial advice is my personal opinion, always do your own research before entering or exiting trades as i will not be held liable for any of your trades!!!
WLong
by SolStackz
COMPARISON OF FOREX, STOCKS, AND CRYPTO!In today's video I go in depth on the pros and cons of trading each market. A lot of retail traders complain about aspects of certain markets and use the wrong tools for the job in the market they choose to trade. There are plenty of options for every trader out there! If you are interested in learning more about probability distributions and my proprietary indicators to trade, follow the links below. Also, read the linked trading idea.
DJ:DJIEducation
by DadShark
2
AUDCAD possible reversal to the upside AUDCAD is in a Weekly downtrend and after a push down it started making higher lows, which tells us that price is now ranging and is trading between its previous swing levels, we can see that price looks to make a head&shoulders pattern On the Daily we see a possible double bottom being formed and on the second half we can see that price starts to stall and stops making lower lows and starts ranging. Price is at about the 50% level of the huge pinbar which is also a nice level for price to push higher I'll be watching this pair for nice long setups for the coming weeks
Long
by IG-Mofiiyah
1
The Trend Is Your FriendWeekly Review - Markets keep going up - Keep correcting the downside from 2018 that did not make sense - Markets are bullish but the volume is lower so the vulnerability is bigger - Negotiations between China and USA - Some memorandums will be confirmed and they will keep extending the deadlines that probably will take until summer - We should receive some good materially this week - European macro keeps weakening - Manufacturing data are below 50 for the first time since 2013 - This week there is not much macro - ECB should speak and explain their position in regard of this economic slowdown - When ECB tells what they are going to finance will be positive for the markets - Keep an eye on both the trade talks between China & USA and the ECB - Also, there is a meeting between USA and North Korea that will be more constructive than destructive - Strong American macro-data can indicate that the economy can keep increasing - American GDP is expected to be 2.5 which should be good The most important factors to take: - A constructive talk between USA and North Korea - Progression in the talks between USA and China - ECB starts talking about the stimulus package If there is not any displeasure markets should keep the bullish trend, however, watch out for the volumes as they are lower.
SP:SPXLong
by StrathCapital
Nasdaq To New HighsWe had another good week and the S&P500 is now 10,7% up YTD. Regarding the week ahead, it does not have a bad outlook. - In the worst scenario it will be a period of consolidation - Trade talks between US & China and Brexit remain a concern for traders Both have deadlines in March and outcomes are expected to be positive which will boost the equity markets - 3 main variables to bear in mind: Trade talks between US and China - Expected to keep progressing Brexit - Will be extended to reach a better negotiation and the markets are getting used to it US Government Shutdown - Forecasted to disappear soon Unless something bad occurs to these variables market should keep the bullish trend.
TVC:IXICLong
by StrathCapital
We are now bullish on Abercrombie Abercrombie & Fitch Co., through its subsidiaries, operates as a specialty retailer. The Company operates in two segments, Hollister and Abercrombie. It offers apparel, intimates, personal care products, and accessories for men, women, and kids under the Hollister, Abercrombie & Fitch, abercrombie kids, and Gilly Hicks brand names. As of August 30, 2018, it operated approximately 850 stores in North America, Europe, Asia, and the Middle East. The company sells products through its stores and direct-to-consumer operations; various third-party wholesale, franchise, and licensing arrangements; and e-commerce sites, including abercrombie.com and hollisterco.com. Abercrombie & Fitch Co. was founded in 1892 and is headquartered in New Albany, Ohio. Abercrombie & Fitch Co trade above its Short-Term Down Trend Line at $21.40 and is currently trading at $21.61. We are now bullish on this stock and will now execute a long term position trading strategy. We will execute our first block of trade at $21.67 for our Global Proprietary Equity Fund with an allowance of four(4) times the Daily Average True Range ( 4 x 0.6720=$2.688) below our entry point at $21.67 . This will give us an Exit Price of $18.98 if our bullish analysis is wrong. This is a long term trade with four(4) price targets, four(4) entries and four(4) percentage(%) Risk. The entries will depends on price action at the support zones. Price Target 1: $25.00 Price Target 2: $28.66 Price Target 3: $31.25 Price Target 4: $37.50 Information contained herein is not and should not be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy or sell securities. The information has been obtained from sources we believe to be reliable; however no guarantee is made or implied with respect to its accuracy or completeness. The information and content are subject to change without notice.
NYSE:ANFLong
by globalfinancialengineering
US Treasuries vs US Equities - Risk OnAfter peaking in late December 2018, the price ratio between 7-10 year US Treasuries (IEF as proxy)(numerator) and US Stocks (SPY as Proxy)(denominator) has fallen since then. This is backed up by the fact that the US Treasuries/US Stock ratio fell below its 10 day EMA (Green) and failed to move higher. We believe that this indicates that “Risk-On” sentiment is back in the financial markets, in the interim, as investors flock out of safe havens and into risky assets such as equities. It must be noted however that the overall macroeconomic backdrop is still quite challenging, as geopolitical risk in various regions continues, and global economic indicators trend downward. Nonetheless, we believe there are some short-term opportunities in equities on a sectoral basis: Air Services, Recreational Vehicles, Southeast Regional &Pacific-focused banks, and Auto Part manufacturers & Wholesalers present opportunities for investors in the near term.
NASDAQ:IEF
by EconomicsGlobal