More EUR/USD weakness!!The EUR/USD was rejected big, 2 days in a row. Lots of selling pressure. Obviously, this was due to the strong US market on Thursday and Germany getting closer and closer to a recession.
I may look for an entry tomorrow at open, if the 4 hour or 1 hour charts look promising. Or, I might wait to see if the low can be broken, then wait for it to fall to that green demand zone and enter a counter play. We shall see!!
Markets
BTCUSD - Key-Levels to watch before break-out! _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Hello traders investors and community, today i will have a closer look on Bitcoins price action. We are looking on the 4-hour chart.
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As you can see in my chart, BTCUSD is consolidating in a triangle. The consolidation is holding quite long now, normally after such period a break-out will oc-
cur, either up or down. In this case the bullish break-out scenario is highly possible.
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BTCUSD is trading at around 10600 now after a decent up-move we see a small consolidation. In my chart you can see the support between 9930 - 10100,
this is a very important zone for BTCUSD because we bounced there several times in the last days and weeks. It is also an psychological price level, as full
numbers like 9000, 10000, 11000 and so on form important price levels for support or resistance.
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I am expecting a correction to the range at 9930 - 10100 before an break-out and uphtrust will occur. You can see the upthrust range at 11000 USD, this is
the level very many stop-loss will be hit when triggered and a shift up in price-movement.
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The correction will be a good spot to open a LONG position, i myself just looking for an entry there. The total first target for this trade will be 12500 - 12750
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Hopefully everybody is doing well with his trades! May all luck come to you friends! I appreciate everybody who takes some seconds to support, more insight
will follow! This is only educational information and should not be used to take action in markets.
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Natty Gas Breaking Higher?It appears that Natural Gas is trying to exit a "Channel" formation after its recent sell off.
To add some fuel to the fire, the recent price action has been supported by rising RSI momentum ("Higher Highs and Higher Lows").
If Natural Gas can "Break and Close" above the $2.77-$2.30 level, we could see prices moving higher.
$WTICOUSD $USO - Approaching Key Resistance LevelAfter bouncing off its Weekly Support Level of $52.422, WTICOUSD is making a run for its key resistance level of $57.14 (Red Diagonal Line).
A "Break and a Close" above this level will help to provide confidence for the commodity among global investors. However, WTICOUSD continues to make lower highs within a downward trend.
The next move at this level will be key for determining the next direction for WTICOUSD over the coming sessions.
$DXY $UUP - Movin' on $UUPWith economic uncertainty continuing to grip the financial markets, the US Dollar continues to be in play. As global investors flock to US assets, both stocks and bonds, in search of above average returns and safety, the US Dollar continues to strengthen against its G10 and EM counterparts.
As this trend continues, a key level to watch for the Greenback is its Weekly Resistance Level of $98.19 (Orange). If the US Dollar can breach this level, we expect the Greenback to move higher.
$US10Y $US03MY $SPY $SPX $DIA $QQQ Inversion ContinuesAs investors continue to feel nervous about the health of the global economy, the $US10Y-$US03MY curve continues to invert, with the spread plunging below its Monthly Support Level of -0.457 (blue) to reach -0.502, a level that has not been seen since March 2007.
Investors should continue to remain cautious when it comes to their asset allocation, as dark clouds continue to gather over the global economy and financial markets.
$WTICOUSD $USO Oil Approaching Key SupportWTICOUSD continues to be pummeled by global macro headwinds. such as a slowing global economy, decreasing global demand, and the ratcheting up in trade rhetoric between the US and China.
Given this setup, WTICOUSD is trending downward towards its key Weekly Support Level of $52.422. WTICOUSD has seen steady rallies from this point in the past, however, given the current macro headwinds, this time could be different.
Keep an eye on prices around this level. If WTICOUSD breaks its Weekly Support Level $52.422, we could see prices going much lower.
The world is on the brink of a recession & the US back-pedaledFinancial markets faced a sharp surge in concern. The Fear Index (VIX) soared (+30%). The Argentine Peso lost the same amount of its value yesterday. It is all about the populists in Argentina. Well, it is quite interesting how many times you need to fail again and again to understand one thing - that is a bad idea. Tsipras and Greece again on the brink of default. Chavez and Venezuela. Johnson and the UK leave the EU. Trump and the USA wage war against the whole world.
Government of change in Italy and yellow vests in France, etc. - The list could be made even longer. But there is only one common denominator - the populists and the consequences that the country's economy pays for.
Therefore, the financial markets reaction to the news from Argentina is understandable. We know how this is going to end., preferring to discount in advance.
Not surprisingly, gold prices soared. Despite such a rapid asset value growth, we were waiting for a correction in gold this week, just needed a reason To.
Trump delays China duties. The duties delayed until Dec. 15. This is without a doubt a serious conciliatory step on the part of the United States. So, sales of gold today, in our opinion, are more than appropriate.
Returning to the world economy issue, triggered by a trade war. Singapore's GDP growth for 2019 to come in at 2% to 0.5%. The economy of Singapore, with its specifics, is almost ideally fit to be an early indicator of the world economy state. So the signal we have is alarming. Take for example yesterday’s data from the EU. The ZEW Institute's expectations index in August fell to minus 43.6 points. This is almost two times worse than the July value (minus 20.3) the lowest mark since 2011.
We continue to expect a decline in the dollar value. Logically, dollar devaluation is the only thing that could save the US economy from recessionary processes and keep Trump. So we recommend looking for points to sell the dollar.
First of all, we recommend selling it against the British pound, which yesterday unexpectedly received support from the UK labor market data: employment in June grew by + 115K (expected plus 60 K).
About the macroeconomic data, the block of inflation statistics from the UK will be published today. As well as GDP in the Eurozone.
$SPY - S&P 500 Bull Flag Forming?The S&P 500 was hit hard this week after macro headwinds such as the less than dovish Fed meeting, and more China tariffs, the $SPY has taken a beating over the last few trading days.
However, despite this short-term rough path, it appears that a "Bull Flag" ("Flag") seems to be forming at the moment. If prices can bounce off the bottom of the Flag at $288, move higher, and breach $302,the rally would continue. If it fails to do so, more selling could be right around the corner.
Investors should watch this space.
QQQ -Nasdaq Bull Flag forming?After a volatile week, $QQQ has been hit by some short-term selling pressure. This in turn, has made its technical patterns look quite bearish at the moment.
However contrary to this, it may appear that a "Bullish Flag" pattern may be forming. If the price can bounce of the bottom of the channel pattern ("Flag") at $186.31, move higher and breach the top of the Flag at $192.89, we could see prices move higher. If it fails to do so however, we could see more selling.
Watch this space over the next few trading sessions.
$IEF Bond Rally FadingDespite the market chatter of rate cuts by the Fed at the end of July, it seems that one area of the market that is not paying much attention are US 10-Year Treasuries ($IEF as a proxy).
After posting an "Evening Star" pattern on July 3rd, US Treasuries have been selling off since. As can be seen in the attached chart, the RSI has been showing negative divergence in relation to recent price rises, indicating that investor sentiment is fading, despite prices marching to record highs. Furthermore, the price is fighting hard to stay within the FR100 at $110.40, indicating that it could fall out of this area any day now.
Going forward, it appears that the rally in US 10-Year Treasuries is fading, and caution investors to take heed in this space
GBPCAD - Attractive LevelsThe pair is standing near the price level (1.6360) and hit the low for the week of October 2017.
Tomorrow all traders are waiting the strong data for the both CAD & GBP and we can expect more new low near the level 1.6060.
My view per to the both Daily & Weekly Charts this is a good area to start the long buy GBP/CAD because the Weekly Chart should go up again and mark up a resistance near the level price (1.6850) then can continue going down again.
To find more about my trading plan includes the entries and targets, please visit the page (Markets Forecast) on the site (NAJJAR INVEST)
$XAR - Clear for TakeoffOne area investors and traders should take a look at is the Aerospace and Defense industry ($XAR as proxy), which is currently the best performing industry year-to-date (as of July 5th), generating 28.59%.
On a technical basis, $XAR is trading above all three EMAs, indicating strong price action at the moment. Further, its RSI as been steadily trending higher since the end of June, indicating strong market sentiment in this industry. Further, on a global macro basis, the industry has been helped by a rise in geopolitical tensions around the globe, with the most recent being tensions in the Middle East between Iran and Western powers.
If this trend continues, $XAR could hit $107.81 in a few weeks.
NFP, Trump's obsession, Morgan Stanley's recommendationsGetting ready for the NFP, Trump's obsession, recommendations of Morgan Stanley
The financial markets are having a torrid week. Financial market participants are concerned about the appearance of a trend that the market currently is following. The concern is about the statistics based on the US labor market outcome, which in the future might provoke the US economic slowdown.
Let's try to figure out what we should and should not be expected after the outcome will be published. It seems like nobody wants to undertake an in-depth analysis of the current state of the economy and labor market, a matter of reasonable inference from “how the forecast has been calculated”. The formula is, therefore, as follows: take the simple arithmetic average of the NFP index over the last couple of years, that is all. Such an approach practically guarantees that actual data will be different from forecast data. That in itself carries an opportunity for earnings.
NFP report outcome creates adverse expectations. We believe that the 160K figure is too optimistic according to the ADP outcome.
Since we are expecting poor forecast data, our trading recommendation is - sell the dollar. Moreover, the markets are concerned about possible US interventions against the dollar in the foreign exchange market. Recall, Trump supports the dollar devaluation idea. Last time the United States came out with interventions on the foreign exchange market was in 2011.
Recently, USD to YEN rate forecast has been sharply lowered by Morgan Stanley’s analysts: from 108 to 102 at the end of this year and from 98 to 94 at the end of the next year. Motivation - a sharp decline in profitability differential: the profitability of American assets decreases faster than the profitability of European and Japanese. Recall that it is not the first time we recommend selling USDJPY.
As for our other recommendations, we will continue to look for points for sales of the Russian ruble and oil. We are working with gold today with no clear without any preference for oscillator signals.
In addition, we recommend paying attention to USDCAD. The fact is that today, statistics on the labor market of Canada will be published. So in the case of a double positive or double negative, the USDCAD may be subjected to strong pressure (ascending or descending). The best option for trading, in this case, is trading on the news. 1-2 minutes before the news releases, we set pending stop orders in both directions (buy and sell) with 30 pips at that time and wait for the news to come out. Almost certainly the movement will be strong and unidirectional. That will lead to the execution of one of the orders and will make it possible to earn quite quickly without any particular risks.
Overall view of XAUUSD - Update of July 1stThe commodity has been on a continuous bull since the beginning of June's month, and settled on the resistance zone surrounding @1440.000. Prices are sideways and consolidating, waiting for a breakout. G20 meeting ended up with a series of agreements and negotiations, which might confirm and increasing odd of a bear pressure.
Possible targets: @1360.000 (+40.00 per unit or 4,000pips) if bearish trend confirmed or @1500.000(+60.00 per unit or 6,000 pips) if bullish trend confirmed.
Advice: Await for a confirmation.