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Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 30-Sep-24 to 04-Oct-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 30-Sep-24 to 04-Oct-24 Nifty closed at 26179 (last week 25790 ) and touched low & high of 25839-26285 ( all time high) Market touched new high last week , and broke the key resistance of 26000 provided last week decisively and also crossed another Mid Term Resistance 26260 settled down at 26179( As shown in chart, The level is the difference between the Aug High and Aug Low from Aug High)- If it crosses 26260 again decisively, Medium Term is UP. if it moves above decisively next target is 27000 in short term. Nifty Bank 53834, touched the target of 54000 as proposed 2 months before ( 54400 all time high last week) and support at 49900. Fed Rate Cut by 0.5% made the global market up and triggered increase in Indian Market. FPI invested 4 Billion $ in Sep till date. RSI and stochastics levels moved up last week (76% and 93.59% respectively). MACD crossed the Signal and maintain uo. RSI and MACD shows market will go up further. Caution to be emphasized as Stochastics at overbought level. Q2 results awaited which will pave way for more clearer path in market. Nifty 26179 Short term ( Short Term : Up) Nifty short term resistance 26266 as shown in chart. Support at 25800, 25217, 25000 Medium Term next target is 27000 if move up decisively above 26266. Medium term Support 24650 (Trend line support and Fib Resistance), 24480 (Fib Support) and 24000. Long Term : Nifty have a target of 28190 ( Fibonacci Resistance). Support at 22800 US started reducting fed rate as expected in Sep 2024, expected it shall continue in reduction of interest rate in next year. US President Election result scheduled in Nov 24. Until then Market may correct if any global news upto19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range. RBI in India expected to reduce rate from end of this year. Caution to be emphasized on Nifty as nifty PE is in high level with high valuation especially in Mid cap & Small Cap. Mutual Funds SIP shall be invested as the goal is for more than 5-10 years at this critical period as the valuation is high. Those with lesser risk can sell partial portfolio ( 20-30%) stocks which have less valuation and can wait for opportunity to buy when nifty dips upto 22800. Deploy stop loss of upto 7%-8% which is crucial. More Risky players can have stop loss of trend line resistance of 23750 as shown in the chart. Fundamentally good stocks can be added as it posted good results on every dip in finance stocks such as CAMS, UTI AMC , HDFC AMC, Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin, Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Persistent Sys, PI Ind, PNC Infra and Ashoka Buildcon, ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank Indian Bank & Punjab National Bank. Stock Picking is needed at current scenario in Bank, auto, Pharma stocks. Based on the Q1 results, following stocks can be added to portfolio: There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis. Nifty IT 42312 (last week 42204) indices dipped to 37848 in Jun month, bounced back and reached all time high last week(43632). Later Dipped to 41660 due to profit booking and again started moving up. Recovery of US stock market & awaiting FED rate cut expectation decision pushed the US stocks up and followed by Nifty IT Index last week. NIfty IT is less than SMA 21 level, need clear direction and Q2 results will pave way for the clear direction.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
BTCUSDT Key Resistance ZoneBTCUSDT has recently reached a KEY RESISTANCE level on the 4 hour timeframe. We've seen multiple rejections from this zone in past data, showing strength in the SHORT trade, where it may look to initiate a BEARISH trend. The key to this movement is waiting for a definitive move via BIG VOLUME CANDLES, price could reject off the zone temporarily and retrace back to the resistance zone where it could break. We need undeniable big volume indicating a rejection or breakout.
by I3ig_Trades
6
Nvidia looks pretty flat these days but it needs to MOVE ! We believed Nvidia would make the turn to validate and then break point #5, but that wasn’t the case. Nvidia remains within the bearish sequence, but it still hasn’t been able to give us confirmation of reaching point #5. The only thing we need to consider is the structure of the bearish channel, in which the most important part of this structure is our GAP zone (blue), as that’s where most buy orders are positioned, and we can see it has respected it correctly (see green circles). The scenario over the last few days looks very flat; Nvidia has to break the line it’s currently on to activate our point #5 or, in another scenario, retest the GAP Zone, which it has already tested and is of great importance since that's where the largest number of buy positions are concentrated. So, if it comes back to touch our GAP Zone (Blue), you know what to do! Best regards, and thanks for supporting my analysis.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by RocketMike111
1
US DOLLAR - Boxed RangeUS DOLLAR is trading SUPPORT and RESISTANCE zones within a boxed RANGE. It is respecting a range of 100.53 - 101.93, with respective bounces on either end, keeping it within its BOXED RANGE. When I'm speaking about a BOXED RANGE, what I mean is that the RANGE ISN'T TIGHT like a normal range, where its looking for volume before a big move, these types of ranges have volume and are easier to read as they respect KEY ZONES, for example right now they are respecting 100.53 - 101.93. We should wait for the US DOLLAR to enter either SUPPORT or RESISTANCE to enter a trade, we can wait for a rejection + bounce or wait for a breakout. If the US DOLLAR breaks to the downside (BEARISH) I would expect for the overall US markets to continue it's BULLISH movements, as usually the US MARKET IS INVERSELY PROPORTIONAL TO THE US DOLLAR INDEX... Conversely if it shows BULLISH signs and begins to move towards the SUPPORT ZONE, I will be looking for the US MARKET to move BEARISH.
TVC:DXY
by I3ig_Trades
Bitcoin LevelsBitcoin looks to test the bottom of our channel once again at around 54k and declining. Below that we have our 50 week moving average at 53.3k. It is possible that the bears make one more attempt to provide a solid kiss to our neckline at 48.4k. These are your levels of support. As such I have removed all stops from my current positions. This is probably simply another long liquidation event and it is more than annoying. I don’t want to play that game and will sit the sidelines here until the MMs are done.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by stewdamus
Books on trading and Profitunity strategy by Bill WilliamsIn this article, I will share books that were useful for me in the process of studying trading and the Profitunity trading strategy by Bill Williams. Bill Williams "Trading Chaos 1 and 2" ♡ The first and third books by Bill Williams contain complete and up-to-date information on the Profitunity strategy. The second book "New Trading Dimensions" is intermediate and less relevant. The book Trading Chaos 1 includes trading psychology (an integral part of trading), the basics of understanding the markets, candlestick patterns (divergent bars and determining the trend based on a pair of bars, the market facilitation index, volume and squat bar), Elliott waves (characteristics, determining waves using the MACD 5/34/5 indicator, an analogue of the modern Awesome Oscillator, and the Fibonacci ratio), fractals, trading in waves (impulses 1-3-5 and ABC correction). And also very important topics — how to work with your internal structure and how our brain functions (Chapter 11). The book Trading Chaos 2 (co-authored by Bill Williams' daughter Justine Gregory) includes a description of the Alligator indicator in combination with the Awesome Oscillator, divergent bars and fractals. And also tools for working on yourself - morning pages (Chapter 13, from the book by Julia Cameron "The Artist's Way") and autogenic training for traders by Johannes Schultz (Appendix 3). Tom Hougaard "Best Loser Wins" ♡ The book greatly expands the perception of markets, the approach to trading and deeply describes the psychology of trading. The book was first published in 2022 and perfectly complements the books by Bill Williams. John J. Murphy "Technical Analysis of the Futures Markets" A basic book on classical (linear) technical analysis, which also contains up-to-date information on Elliott Wave Theory in addition to the corresponding section in the book by Bill Williams "Trading Chaos 1". Alexander Elder "Trading for a living" (How to Play and Win on the Stock Exchange) A book on the psychology of trading and classical chart analysis, includes a detailed description of popular indicators and a description of the basic strategy "Three Screens" (analysis of the chart on the senior and junior timeframes), as well as an important topic "Risk management". Steve Nison "Japanese Candlesticks" A basic book on classical candlestick (bar) analysis. Thomas DeMark "Technical Analysis - a new science" Constructing trend lines based on the support price minimums and maximums described in the book led me to search for an indicator that displays such bars, as a result, I first became acquainted with the Bill Williams Fractals indicator, even before I became acquainted with his strategy. Theodore Dreiser "The Financier" ☽ A novel published in 1912 based on the life story of the American millionaire Charles Yerkes (1837-1905). The book shows how the financial and economic environment surrounding the main character (Frank Cowperwood) already from childhood forms in him the psychology of a businessman and stock dealer... Robin Sharma "The 5 AM Club" ☆ This book is not about trading, but about healthy habits. But for me the book became useful, including in trading, because I made the following conclusion for myself - it is important to rest (take breaks) every day, and not only on weekends and vacations. And it is worth starting with the fact that after waking up there is free time (about 1 hour) before business activity begins, i.e. either wake up earlier, or move all things forward, so that you can start your day easily. And taking breaks in trading is very important, so I recommend paying attention, for example, to the algorithm for removing limitations using neurographics. (◉ ‿ ◉) There are many good books, as well as good strategies, but I am sure that only independent deep study, practice, good concentration and self-control will allow you to find your own understanding of the markets and your own approach to successful trading.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by grigorykov
1
Disney About to Give it Up! | $DIS SHORTLooks like the moment of truth for Mickey & Co. I have been covering this one for a long time, with numerous mentions that Disney is a sell / short. How low this thing will go, we do not know. Right now I am comfortable saying, -50% is probable. While there are many factors in play, the broader economy is weak and Disney has done nothing but push people away with their radical political positions. Additionally, the destruction of "woke" mob is unfolding before our eyes. Short Disney. Make Money. If this changes, I will update.
NYSE:DISShort
by ChiefMacro
4
SWING IDEA - APOLLO TYREApollo Tyres , a leading tyre manufacturer, is showing technical indicators that suggest a promising swing trading opportunity. Reasons are listed below : 540-560 Resistance Zone Breakout : The 540-560 level has been a significant resistance zone. The price is now breaking out above this crucial zone, indicating strong bullish momentum. Bullish Marubozu Candle on Daily Timeframe : The recent formation of a bullish marubozu candle on the daily chart indicates strong buying pressure and suggests potential for further upward movement. Breaking 5-Month Consolidation : The stock is breaking out of a consolidation phase that lasted over 5 months, signaling a potential new bullish trend. Higher Highs : The stock is consistently making higher highs, indicating a strong upward trend. Trading Near All-Time High : The stock is trading near its all-time high, suggesting strong market confidence and potential for further gains. Gradual Increase in Volumes : A noticeable increase in trading volumes confirms the strength of the price move and indicates growing investor interest. Trading Above 50 and 200 EMA : The stock is trading above both the 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMA), reinforcing the bullish sentiment and providing strong support levels. Target - 630 // 670 Stoploss - daily close below 490 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:APOLLOTYRELong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
35
Bitcoin Testing and Testing Demand ZoneBitcoin is once again seeking to fall into our equilibrium zone (purple zone). Bitcoin has tested this zone several times, and if we look at the overall structure, Bitcoin continues to bounce within a range. Our plan remains in place. Remember that markets need to make pauses or retests before taking action. Additionally, we must consider that markets, in general, have been bearish—we are in a bear market. However, the points of interest I have marked are based on historical prices and significant liquidity, so we can expect aggressive movements once the price reaches the indicated zones. Thank you for your support, and don't fear these bear markets; on the contrary, we should average in and take advantage of the opportunities they offer us.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by RocketMike111
2
Gold ( XAUUSD ) Outlook !!!www.tradingview.com Gold (XAUUSD) is navigating a descending triangle pattern and has rebounded from its upper edge. The 50-period moving average adds an additional layer of resistance for the asset. If it breaks above the 2345 resistance level, it could clear the path to the 2365/2390 resistance Conversely, a rebound from the upper edge may trigger a decline to the 2310/2285 support level. The overall trend is positive, yet a dominant buyer has not emerged. The market is in anticipation of news. On a local scale, the trend is downward. To validate a shift to a local upward trend, the price must surpass and stabilize above the range of 2354 - 2364; this would set the stage for a potential rise to 2400. However, should the price fall below 2328, it could trigger widespread market concern.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by Goldxking