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SOMEONE ISN'T GOING TO LIKE THIS CHART! SPY LONG. Now don't be fooled we don't see true value in the stock market long term. Long term = overvalued Short term = undervalued We see this a a classic bear trap. Here are a few reason we believe so. Market has left a lot of gaps to the upside (Unlike 08') Media are dramatising the situation (Like August 15') Move was quick, blamed on China (August 15) It's been the worst starting week in history. Retail Investors will short this news get trapped and get robbed just like in August. Now we still believe the market has further to fall in the long term (1500) but we can't see that happening without the upper gaps being filled and PPT stepping in to consume short positions. Shorts are so January 4th We are also going to upload a comparison to the last rate hike cycle. Remember to Follow and Comment
AMEX:SPYLong
by ctombm
TOP OF THE MARKET; DOWNWARD TRENDThroughout the past year as the market swung up and down due to various news that supposedly influenced the decisions of traders, one thing that proved consistent was technical analysis. I use this method as my sole method of trading decisions because if you truly believe that machines and HFT is now prominent in the trading, then you have to believe that they operate with some sort of logic regardless of what is happening in the world. Because of this, the market variations of the past year have actually been predictable as support and resistance lines are hit. As the year came to an end and the Fed's decision to raise rates became the forefront of discussion until it was actualized, a downward trend in the markets formed. Regardless of the reasons, this fact remains. As a result, I am short the S&P 500 and any other benchmark going into the year 2016.
AMEX:SPYShort
by ch4otik
Ninja (USDJPY) struggles within the rangeAs you can see in the chart, there's little to no space in the range where USDJPY has been locked in for some time (since the recent lower point), so here's some things to think about: The US Dollar Index ( USDOLLAR ) may breakout the resistance and go higher Or it may get rejected at the resistance and come back all the way down Considering both scenarios and the similar positioning I took on GBPUSD , I thought it would be reasonable to post my thoughts here about this pair.
by Ice_
Approaching Market Top - Technicals and Shiller's CAPE IndexThe SPY is overbought, and is about to decline. Seems like a longer term reversal will be in place. This is a natural adjustment to the interest rate environment. Following the link related to this idea, you'll see a further explanation using the Shiller CAPE Index Plot that is frequently updated on his Irrational Exuberance website. My target price is 180 over the next year, and potentially 160 in the next two. The market should then grind slightly lower and in a trading range around 160 for until 2018/19. After, the market should begin to improve as rates come back to normal. One caveat. The market in the early 1930's may not have received the economic stimulus the federal reserve put forth in the 2009-2015 time frame. This may help support stock prices, and the market may not fall much at all over the next few years. However, money in the market does not equate to top and bottom line growth. Last, these are my thoughts and they are not investment advice. Talk with your financial adviser before making any investment decisions.
AMEX:SPYShort
by trdollar
AUDUSD / 1HR / GARTLEY + POTENTIAL BATHello and good morning traders, we're on the AUD/USD 1 hour chart and after seeing the news make a huge impact to the market, we no doubt also see the market respecting structure and fibonacci as usual. I'm currently trading the bearish gartley, looking for TP1 and maybe TP2, if we come up and test the 127% again and close above that, we can wait for a bearish bat pattern. But of course, it's only potential and we may never complete the D leg. But having said that, here are the options we're presented with. Star Prosper Philip Stewart
Short
by UnknownUnicorn168204
2
WHY AUDUSD MIGHT BE A GOOD LONG-TERM SHORTALL CURRENCY PAIRS IN WHICH THE USD IS THE DENOMINATOR HAVE BEEN FOLLOWING A SIMILAR ARC SHAPE SINCE THE 2009 RECESSION. AS WE CAN SEE HERE, JPYUSD, CADUSD HAVE REACHED THEIR PREVIOUS SUPPORT AREAS. ONE CURRENCY PAIR THAT HASNT REACHED ITS PREVIOUS LOW IS THE AUDUSD. ALL MARKETS WORK TOGETHER, THEREFORE I BELIEVE THIS PAIR IS LAGGING COMPARED TO IS RELATIVES. AUDUSD COULD BE A GOOD POTENTIAL SHORT IN THE LONG RUN AFTER ITS CURRENT CONSOLIDATION.
by YungFinance