Markets
Oil: Thoughts and Analysis. Resistance Continues!Today's focus: Oil
Pattern – Resistance re-hold
Support – $77.21, $76.30
Resistance – $78.85
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at Oil on the daily chart.
Today, we have broken down how we see price and key levels. Once again, we have seen resistance re-hold and a new move lower after tests failed. Will we see a new move lower traders as we have seen in the past after buyers failed to break resistance? Or will we see the current trend hold and a new test and break of resistance eventuate?
Good trading.
HDFC short Bearish Target 700-800HDFC is showing bearish sign after in month of consolation seem in 6 month this share easy Touch down Trendline if 700-800
For quits trader it's time to exit if market below than this level 5% stop less from 700-800 rs easy target
For option trader -- take a PE call 1250 and every reversal book profit and enter in PE till 700-800 zone
For more chart analysis comment me in this post.
TRUUSDT(TrueFi) Bullish Bias UpdateSo based on the chart, the wave count show us that we are still in a wave 1 cycle, currently just completed wave 4 correction cycle, now expecting wave 5 cycle from the current price up to complete wave 5 of wave 1 then a correction from those Highs to create new lows wave 2 will be expected.
this might be a 10X gem..
AMC reversal time?While everyone has been running away from AMC I've been running towards. I think yesterday we may have seen the last squeeze on AMC price.
Today AMC showing a strong revesal patern on the 4hr hr chart. Could AMC be making its turn. Earnings coming up in FEb so i guess we will know more than but for now let's just see if the investors feel the same as i do about AMC To the moon! LET'S MAKE AMC GREAT AGAIN lol
SPX Double Top - January 2024 Recession: Target 1599Hello everybody, I have been keeping a close eye on our economy and indices and it looks like we are already in a recession. This will be one of the biggest recessions in history and will make 1929 and 2008 look like a correction. As job layoffs continue, we expect this to increase dramatically for the next couple of years. On a technical level we are witnessing a major double top
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SELL USDJPY DAY TRADE SIGNAL
Consider selling USDJPY based on historical seasonality trends and anticipated positive monetary policy by the 2024 Federal Reserve head. Monitor seasonal patterns, economic indicators, and central bank communications. Exercise caution, implement risk management, and seek professional advice as trading carries inherent risks.
Market Update - January 5 2024
Bitcoin gains 156% in 2023: Bitcoin (BTC) managed to close out 2023 with an impressive 156% gain, rising from ~$16k to over FWB:42K as the leading crypto asset regained credibility following numerous high profile collapses in the previous year. Throughout the second half of 2023, BTC prices generated strong momentum as confidence grew around the possible approval of a US-based spot Bitcoin ETF.
Despite volatile start to 2024 and negative ETF report, bitcoin remains in the $43k-$44k range: Anticipation of the coming spot bitcoin ETF decision (expected by January 10) was palpable on Wednesday, as BTC abruptly fell more than 10% following dissemination of a Matrixport report suggesting that the SEC could reject all pending ETF applications. As the story developed, there was no source to suggest that a decision to reject the ETFs had been made, and with most evidence so far suggesting there will be an approval announcement before the deadline next week, BTC bounced back to the $44k level.
Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin shares a robust 2024 roadmap: Ethereum will continue its focus on its six main priorities: the Merge, the Surge, the Scourge, the Verge, the Purge and the Splurge. With the approval of a US-based spot bitcoin ETF potentially days away, some market participants are already eyeing up a potential ether ETF this summer as the next catalyst for the second most popular crypto.
Interest rates expected to fall in 2024, but strong jobs report may delay rate cuts: Minutes from the Fed’s December meeting showed that rates are most likely at their peak with nearly all officials predicting lower rates in 2024. There appears to be disagreement, however, on how long rates will stay at the current elevated levels. On Friday, the final jobs report of 2023 showed that employers added 216,000 jobs in December, well above expectations, and potentially complicating the outlook for a rate cut early in 2024.
Sei and Arbitrum outperform to start 2024: SEI, the Sei Network’s governance token, is trading up +25% over the past seven days and reached a new all time high above $0.80 as the network continues to see growing adoption. Arbitrum (ARB) was another outperformer this week, gaining +28% over the past seven days, with the token briefly crossing the $2 mark.
⚖️Topic of the Week: Blockchains and Scaling Solutions
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GBPUSD Long to Trendline ResistanceHi Traders!
The GBPUSD 2H chart looks bullish and is targeting the monthly trendline resistance.
Here are the details:
After recovering from monthly lows, the market is now on a steady incline, showing swings of higher highs and higher lows. The market has also recently broken and closed above the 20 EMA. Our plan here is to buy market dips and target an exit just above the trendline resistance.
Preferred Direction: Buy
Entry Level: 1.26648
Stop Level: 1.26234
Target Level: 1.27487
Technical Indicators: 20 EMA
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CHARLES HOSKINSON REITERATES STANCE AGAINST XRP HARASSMENTCHARLES HOSKINSON REITERATES STANCE AGAINST XRP HARASSMENT
Charles Hoskinson, the founder of Cardano, has reiterated his critical stance toward the XRP community, labeling it as toxic and petty.
Hoskinson has consistently faced harassment from the XRP community for over two years, reinforcing his firm stance against them.
There is a clear lack of technical alignment and different market focuses between Cardano and Ripple, the company behind XRP.
A surge in high-value account transfers
Since October 23, when Robinhood began offering a 1% match on transferred brokerage accounts, the platform has seen about $1.1 billion in account transfers. This surge in transfers, especially from larger brokerages like Charles Schwab, Fidelity Investments, and Morgan Stanley’s E*Trade, indicates Robinhood’s growing appeal to a more affluent clientele.
Over 150 account transfers have exceeded $1 million, showcasing the platform’s successful enticement of wealthier investors. This trend is notable, given Robinhood’s previous focus on younger, novice investors and its comparatively smaller size in the brokerage industry.
Despite Robinhood’s assets under custody totaling $94 billion at the end of November, it pales in comparison to giants like Schwab, with $8.2 trillion, and Fidelity and Morgan Stanley, with trillions in assets under administration and total client assets, respectively. However, the influx of high-value accounts highlights the platform’s potential to disrupt the traditional brokerage landscape and appeal to a broader market segment.
One more chance to buy the dip 32k level is a strong support and resistance level. In history we can see that price had moved substantially from this level. Looking at the daily chart, we see the break of the 32k level, but not retested as support. All the hype about the ETF and the halving I think has giving us some great insight as to what is to come in the future. With that being said looking at the timing of everything, I would not be surprised to see one more sell off. Price will need to find support and a little more accumulation before the next run. We may never see BTC prices this low again and im sure the big players are going to want to beat price down a little beforehand.
Im expecting a nice pump up to the 52- 55k level before a final pull back to the 32k level.
Thoughts or comments welcome CRYPTO:BTCUSD
Major Market Correlations Between Yields, Stocks And USDollarIn 2022, the stock market took a hit and the US Dollar gained strength due to higher yields in the US. Toward the end of that year, as yields eased off, the US Dollar lost some of its power, and this coincided with a rebound in stock market performance.
Now, as yields are climbing once again, the US Dollar is regaining strength, but it seems like stocks are beginning to lose their previous momentum. However, the situation might shift if these rising yields are in the process of completing their fifth wave and are on the verge of slowing down. In that case, the US Dollar could actually become weaker again, and the stock market might continue its upward trend. Of course a lot will depend on the FED policy decisions, where dollar can turn down if FED will stop the hiking cycle. Well, a lot will depend on the US data, so market participants will surely watch the NFP very closely tomorrow.
BINANCE, COINBASE, AND KRAKEN ADAPT NEW VENTURE CAPITAL TACTICS BINANCE, COINBASE, AND KRAKEN ADAPT NEW VENTURE CAPITAL TACTICS AMID CRYPTO MARKET CHANGES
Binance Labs now focuses on supporting startups with actual products and revenue, moving away from projects based solely on hype.
Coinbase Ventures is shifting its investment focus towards startups outside the United States, particularly in India, Singapore, Australia, and the UK.
Kraken Ventures observes that early-stage companies have valuations of about $10 million to $30 million, indicating sustained interest in new ventures despite broader market changes.
Key players like Binance Labs, Coinbase Ventures, and Kraken Ventures are recalibrating their investment strategies in response to evolving market conditions, according to a Bloomberg report. This shift is characterized by a focus on sustainable investments and geographical diversification.
Market Update - November 3rd 2023
Bitcoin holds onto gains as a golden cross appears: Bitcoin (BTC) consolidated around $35k USD this week after its price action exhibited a “golden cross” on the daily BTC chart. Market observers have suggested that such price action could portend a continued upward trajectory for the leading crypto.
Sam Bankman-Fried found guilty on all counts: Sam Bankman-Fried, the founder and former CEO of FTX, was found guilty on all seven counts. He faces up to over 100 years in prison. The sentencing hearing is tentatively set for March 28, 2024. In closing arguments this week, prosecutors argued that SBF built his FTX empire on a “foundation of lies and false promises” describing him squarely as a liar who fabricated a “pyramid of deceit.” The defense sought to convince the jury that SBF had simply made mistakes that culminated in the collapse of his once $32 billion empire.
Solana leads altcoin charge as ether lags: Altcoins performed well this week, with Solana (SOL) a notable outperformer, rallying 24%. Research analysts have pointed to SOL’s high throughput and growing developer activity as fundamental catalysts for the rally. Other notable high-performers include Decentraland (MANA) +16%, Uniswap (UNI) +13%, Cardano (ADA) +11%, Polkadot (DOT) +11% and Ripple (XRP) +11%. Ether (ETH) prices did not follow suit gaining around 1.7% this week.
Federal Reserve holds rates steady and yields continue to dip: The Federal Reserve held its target interest range between 5.25%-5.5% this week. The Fed did not rule out the possibility of future interest hikes depending on economic data, whereas most analysts have ruled out any additional hikes this year. Treasury yields continued their decline, with the 10-year treasury yield dropping 12 basis points after the Fed meeting.
📊Topic of the Week: Technical Analysis
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The Bond Market is Pricing in a Collapse of The Yen Carry TradeThe spread between the US10Y and JP10Y has historically been a great leading indicator of contraction within the Yen Carry Trade and likely will be into the future.
If we were to apply TA to it, we can see that the spread appears to be Double Topping and has formed a Bearish Shark at this top as the RSI breaks down and the MACD Diverges. If we are to take this as a warning, then we should expect this spread to go down significantly, and that would be accompanied by the contraction of the Carry Trade, leading to lower liquidity and signfiicantly tighter credit conditions and ultimately a depreciation in market pricing.
I think we could see JPY and USD strength during this time but would avoid other currencies.