Just a Thought: What If the Big Bull Run Starts Next February?Chart: SOLUSDT Perpetual (1W)
Let’s play devil’s advocate for a second…
📉 What if:
The most recent pullback from Solana’s all-time high wasn’t just a dip to find support, but a high timeframe market structure break (MSS)?
We wicked right into the Point of Control (POC) at $126, a critical level going back to Solana’s inception. Many saw that as a liquidity sweep, which it is, but what if that break was confirmation of a shift in the macro structure?
Since then, we’ve seen a corrective rally, and as of now, price is approaching the golden pocket (0.618–0.65) around the $200 region coupled with time Fib confluence around June 25.
⚪ The ABC Hypothesis:
There’s a clean potential for an (A)-(B)-(C) correction. If the market can’t push through the $200 resistance in June, we could see a dragged out move down into the 1:1 extension, which interestingly aligns with key monthly naked POCs (MNPOCs) at $73 and $41, and specifically the 1:1 at $49 (highlighted on the chart for September 25).
That would create a textbook ABC correction, where:
• A = drop from ATH to MSS
• B = golden pocket retracement
• C = 1:1 extension, sweeping long-term liquidity
📅 What if the real bull run doesn’t start until Feb 2026?
Everyone’s calling for the big breakout this year… but what if we need one last washout to fully reset? That timing aligns eerily well with early Q1 2026, after a final leg down.
Chart Legend:
• ✅ Green line = current price
• 🔴 POC = Point of Control (macro volume node)
• ⚪ White lines = ABC structure
• 🔵 Blue verticals = time-based Fibonacci
• 🟡 Golden Pocket = 0.618–0.65 retracement
• 🟣 MNPOC Levels = untested monthly points of control
Just a theory. Not advice. DYOR.
What do you think? Could the real reset be coming?
Marketstructure
BTCUSD Double Tap Into OB Before Massive Sell-Off! 2,000+ PipsHere’s why this could be one of the cleanest bearish setups of the week based on institutional flow and price action:
🚨 Step 1: Liquidity Engineering in Full Effect
We’ve got multiple areas where price was engineered to grab liquidity — clearly visible with those highlighted zones. Bitcoin pumped into a Strong High, tagging liquidity above a key trendline while respecting an internal parallel channel.
This move was not random. It was a textbook liquidity sweep.
🔁 Step 2: Order Block + 70.5% Fib Confluence
After the sweep, price retraced precisely into a bearish Order Block that overlaps perfectly with the 70.5% Fibonacci level — a hidden gem Smart Money loves to use for optimal entries. It’s the sniper zone.
This is where the first rejection came in, marking the start of bearish intent.
⚠️ Step 3: Break of Structure + Weak Low Exposed
As price dropped, it broke back under a weak low, confirming shift in market structure. This is your Change of Character (ChoCh) — the moment sellers regain control.
We’re now seeing retracement candles struggling to push above the OB/Fib zone. Rejection here confirms the setup.
🎯 Target Zones Breakdown:
✅ TP1 - Weak low around 110,200
✅ TP2 - -27% Extension (~109,500)
✅ TP3 - -62% Fib extension (109,268)
🚀 Extended Target - Possible sweep of Sell Side Liquidity all the way to 108,000–107,500
This is a potential 2000+ pip move if the full extension plays out.
🧠 Market Psychology in Play:
Institutions love to trap traders long after major breakouts. That last pump into the high? It wasn’t retail demand — it was liquidity generation. Now that they’ve swept the highs, they're driving price down to rebalance and mitigate.
Every highlighted zone on this chart? It’s a Smart Money footprint.
📌 Entry Game Plan:
Watch how price behaves around the current OB zone (111,250–111,618).
If price rejects and flips back under the midpoint (111,116), that’s your trigger.
Enter with tight SL above 111,750 and aim for TP1, TP2, and trail the rest to TP3 or lower.
📈 Risk Management Reminder:
Set your SL above structure.
Don’t overleverage — this is a clean setup, but patience is 🔑.
Let price come to you, not the other way around.
✍️ Final Thoughts:
This BTCUSD setup screams Smart Money — we’ve got:
Liquidity grabs ✅
Clean OB + Fib confluence ✅
ChoCh + structural rejection ✅
Strong R:R with multiple targets ✅
This might be the move to catch before the weekend liquidity sweep.
💬 Comment "BTC MOVE" if you’re watching this with me!
🔁 Tag your trading fam who needs to see this breakdown!
FILUSDT — the formation is repeating, the structure is familiar.Filecoin(FIL) - is a decentralized storage system with the goal of "storing humanity's most important information." During its initial coin offering (ICO) in 2017, the project raised $205 million. The launch was initially planned for mid-2019, but the mainnet launch date was postponed until block 148,888, which occurred on October 15, 2020.
📍 CoinMarketCap : #50
📍 Twitter(X) : 667.3K
🔍 What I observe:
I’ve added the full trading history to the chart for better understanding (the chart on exchanges is cut off). The coin is liquid. I also added the prices for the public and private offerings.
There’s a large horizontal channel, or more specifically, a channel within a channel, which has been active for about 1111 days.
After another drop, a descending wedge formed, and now we are witnessing a breakout of its resistance (a retest is possible).
These patterns are ones I regularly track and trade, based on personal experience accumulated over the years and my strategy.
📊 I’ve plotted the nearest resistances and target prices with movement percentage calculations.
💭 It’s quite possible that this formation in the lower part of the wedge, coinciding with the area of lows on the support of the outer channel, was used to gather liquidity and shake out weak hands.
I also want to point out the large wicks in this zone - a characteristic pattern for accumulation points and subsequent reversals.
______
📌 Not financial advice. Observing structure and recurring phases.
Operate within your strategy and with an awareness of risks.
Gold - This is still clearly not over!Gold - TVC:GOLD - just needs a moment to breathe:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It is just incredible how Gold has been rallying lately. Just over the past 1.5 years, Gold is up another +80% and is creating new all time highs every month. Since these strong rallies continue a lot longer than most people think, Gold still has significant upside potential.
Levels to watch: $3.500, $4.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Nvidia - The bullish consolidation flag!Nvidia - NASDAQ:NVDA - is still quite bullish:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
After Nvidia retested a major horizontal support just last month, we witnessed an extremely strong bullish reversal candle which resulted in a strong +50% rally. Considering the bullish flag consolidation, a breakout is much more likely, but not in the immediate future.
Levels to watch: $150
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Market Structure Shift Meaning and Use in ICT TradingMarket Structure Shift Meaning and Use in ICT Trading
In ICT (Inner Circle Trader) trading, understanding Market Structure Shifts (MSS) is crucial for accurately interpreting market trends and making informed trading decisions. This article delves into the significance of MSS, its distinct indicators, and how it integrates with other trading elements like Breaks of Structure and Changes of Character.
Understanding Breaks of Structure and Change of Character
Comprehending the dynamics of Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) can be crucial for analysing market trends. A Break of Structure occurs when price levels move beyond established support or resistance areas, indicating a potential continuation or acceleration of the current trend. For example, in an uptrend, a BOS is identified when prices break above a previous resistance level, suggesting further upward movement.
Conversely, a Change of Character signifies a possible shift in the market's direction. This occurs when the price action breaks against the prevailing trend, challenging the recent high or low points that served as market barriers. A CHoCH often raises a red flag about the sustainability of the current trend. For instance, in a sustained uptrend, a CHoCH would be marked by a significant downward breach that violates a previous low point, hinting at a weakening of bullish momentum.
Both BOS and CHoCH are pivotal in the ICT (Inner Circle Trader) methodology, where they are used to gauge market sentiment and potential shifts in trend dynamics. Traders monitor these patterns to adjust their strategies, whether to capitalise on the continuation signalled by a BOS or prepare for a trend reversal suggested by a CHoCH.
What Is a Market Structure Shift?
MSS, meaning a Market Structure Shift, is an indicator of a significant change in the prevailing trend, marked by a series of patterns that suggest a reversal is imminent. An ICT MSS is more than a simple Change of Character (CHoCH); it includes additional signals that strengthen the case for a directional change.
The process begins with a shift in market structure that fails to sustain the ongoing trend. For example, during an uptrend, the market might fail to make a new higher high, instead forming a lower high. This initial deviation raises a caution flag about the trend’s strength.
The confirmation of an MSS in trading occurs when there is a decisive break of a significant swing point, accompanied by a strong impulse move that deeply penetrates through this point, known as a displacement. This displacement is critical—it’s not merely a slight breach but a robust move that clearly indicates a shift.
In essence, an MSS signals that the current market momentum has not only paused but is likely reversing. For traders, this is a pivotal moment: the lower highs in an uptrend or the higher lows in a downtrend prior to the break suggest that a new opposite trend is starting to take shape.
How to Use a Market Structure Shift in Trading
An MSS ultimately serves as a directional tool. It helps traders understand when a potential trend reversal is underway, enabling them to align their strategies with the new market direction.
To effectively use an MSS in trading, traders often follow these steps:
- Observing Current Market Structure: They start by analysing the existing trend direction and key price levels. Understand whether the market is in an uptrend, downtrend, or sideways movement by identifying patterns of higher highs and higher lows or lower highs and lower lows.
- Watching for a Break in Key Levels: The core of an MSS is the break of an important high or low, combined with a sharp price movement that breaches a significant swing point (displacement).
- Confirming with News Releases: MSS often coincides with major economic announcements or news releases that can affect market sentiment significantly. For example, if there's a report indicating unexpectedly high US inflation rates, and this correlates with a sharp downward movement in EURUSD, it provides additional confirmation of the MSS. A stronger dollar against the euro, in this case, would signal a clear shift in market direction towards favouring the dollar.
By recognising these elements, traders can more confidently anticipate and adapt to changes in market direction. A well-identified MSS not only indicates a pause in the current trend but also the establishment of a new trend.
Using Market Structure Shifts With Other ICT Components
Using Market Structure Shifts with other Inner Circle Trader methodology components like break of structure, order blocks, and fair value gaps may enhance a trader's ability to interpret and react to market dynamics.
Integrating MSS with ICT Market Structure
An MSS identifies a potential reversal in the market’s direction. When an MSS occurs, it often leads to the formation of a new high-low range in the direction of the new trend. For example, if a bearish MSS results in a new lower high and lower low, traders can watch for a BOS of this range. A retracement back inside of the new range can signal a decent area to search for an entry to ride the trend that’s just beginning.
Utilising Order Blocks and Fair Value Gaps
However, there are scenarios where the price doesn’t establish a new high-low range but instead returns to the area where the original displacement occurred. This displacement often leaves behind a fair value gap and an order block.
- Fair Value Gap: This is a price range that the market skips over quickly during a displacement, leaving it untested by typical market trading. It often acts like a vacuum, drawing the price back to fill in the gap at a later stage.
- Order Block: An order block is typically a consolidation area that precedes a strong price move and is considered a footprint left by institutional traders. It represents levels where significant buying or selling occurred, potentially acting as support or resistance in future price movements.
If the price returns to fill a fair value gap and enters the order block, this scenario can provide a potent setup for a reversal. Traders might look for confirmatory signals at these levels to enter trades that anticipate the market returning to its previous course or extending the reversal initiated by the MSS.
The Bottom Line
The insights provided on MSS and its application within the ICT trading framework can be instrumental for any trader seeking to navigate the complexities of the market effectively. To put these strategies into practice and potentially improve your trading outcomes, practice a lot and learn more about ICT trading.
FAQs
What Is a Market Structure Shift?
A Market Structure Shift (MSS) indicates a potential reversal in market trends, marked initially by a lower high in an uptrend or a higher low in a downtrend, followed by a displacement—a significant and rapid price movement that decisively breaks through a key market level.
How to Identify Market Structure Shift?
Identifying an MSS involves observing for early signs of trend weakening (lower highs or higher lows) and waiting for a subsequent displacement that confirms the shift. This displacement should significantly penetrate a key swing point, clearly indicating a new direction in market momentum.
What Is the ICT Method of Trading?
The ICT (Inner Circle Trader) method of trading is a comprehensive approach that utilises various trading concepts such as market structure, order blocks, and fair value gaps, focusing on how institutional traders influence the market. It emphasises understanding and leveraging these components to align trading strategies with probable market movements.
What Is the Difference Between MSS and BOS in ICT?
In ICT, a Market Structure Shift (MSS) refers to a potential trend reversal, confirmed by a lower high/higher low followed by a displacement. A Break of Structure (BOS), however, simply indicates the continuation or acceleration of the current trend without necessarily suggesting a reversal, marked by the breach of a key high or low point within the ongoing trend direction.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Bitcoin - All time highs will come next!Bitcoin - CRYPTO:BTCUSD - prepares a significant move:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Over the past couple of months, we basically only saw sideways price action on Bitcoin. However, this does not mean, that Bitcoin is now slowing down; actually the opposite is true and Bitcoin is setting up for a major move higher. New all time highs will come very soon.
Levels to watch: $100.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Apple - Please look at this chart!Apple - NASDAQ:AAPL - is just wonderful:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Last month, Apple created a quite strong bullish rejection wick of about +25%. It was actually no surprise at all, because market structure was perfectly pushing price higher. Following the bullish break and retest pattern, new all time highs will most likely follow.
Levels to watch: $200, $300
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
SMC Trap = Clean CHoCH + OB Long, Targeting Liquidity Sweep!We’re tracking a textbook Smart Money Concept (SMC) long setup on EURJPY, 30M timeframe, with clear structure shift and clean OB entry. Here's the full breakdown for traders:
🔄 Market Structure Shift:
Major bearish trend visible from previous candles.
Sharp rejection followed by a Change of Character (CHoCH) indicating possible bullish reversal.
🧱 Order Block Zone:
Price swept liquidity to the downside and tapped into a marked Bullish Order Block at 162.195–162.266.
Entry triggered within this OB zone, with tight risk placement below Strong Low.
🔁 Entry Setup:
Entry: Inside OB at 162.266
Stop Loss: Just below the OB at 162.195 (Strong Low protected)
TP1: 70.50% retracement near 162.650
TP2: Full Buy Side Liquidity sweep @ 162.768 (Weak High Targeted)
🧮 RRR (Risk-to-Reward):
Approximate RRR: 1:6+ — High probability trade if market structure follows through.
🧲 Key Levels Highlighted:
🔹 CHoCH confirms shift to bullish
🔹 OB Zone: High confluence with liquidity grab + candle imbalance
🔹 Buy Side Liquidity: Obvious target for institutions
🔹 Weak High: Ready to be taken out
📈 What To Watch For:
Bullish continuation towards 162.768
Strong impulsive move breaking above minor resistance
Potential re-entries on lower TF OBs (5M–15M)
🧠 Pro Tip for Traders:
Don’t chase—wait for CHoCH + OB confirmation combo. This type of setup works best when confluence aligns: OB + CHoCH + liquidity sweep = 🔥
Supply Zone Rejection & BOS Confirm Downtrend ContinuationAfter a clean shift in structure marked by a CHoCH and subsequent BOS, price retraced into a clear supply zone—offering a high-probability short setup. Here's how the setup unfolded:
🧠 Trade Rationale
Break of Structure (BOS): Price broke below a key higher low, confirming a bearish structure.
Change of Character (CHoCH): Signaled the end of bullish momentum earlier in the sequence.
Supply Zone: Price retraced into a well-defined supply area (aligned with imbalance and prior support turned resistance).
Entry: Short taken as price tapped into the supply and failed to make a new high—further confirmed by a lower timeframe CHoCH.
Target: Aiming for the next BOS level below, aligning with clean equal lows/liquidity draw.
🔍 Key Concepts Highlighted
Structure-based trading with CHoCH and BOS labeling.
Supply zone entries based on price action confirmation.
Risk-to-reward driven decision-making (tight SL above supply, TP near next demand).
💬 What do you think? Do you wait for confirmation within supply, or enter at touch?
Let’s discuss—drop your thoughts and feedback!
USDCHF 30M | Fair Value Gap Sell Setup Inside Bearish Channel📊 USD/CHF Smart Money Breakdown — May 16, 2025
Here’s a clean SMC-driven setup where price respects the bearish order flow, taps a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and rejects right at liquidity inducement levels.
Let’s break it down 👇
🔍 1. Context
Price is respecting a descending channel structure
Clean internal liquidity run up into:
✅ FVG zone from prior imbalance
✅ Top of bearish channel trendline
This is a classic liquidity sweep before expansion lower
🎯 2. Entry Plan
Entry zone: 0.8375–0.8391 (FVG zone shaded in red)
Stop loss: Just above 0.8391 (invalidates FVG zone)
Target zone:
🟢 TP1 → 0.8340 (minor inefficiency fill)
🟢 TP2 → 0.8327 (liquidity resting at the low)
➡️ RR ratio is about 1:3 on full target — clean sniper range!
📉 3. Smart Money Logic
Retail likely triggered buy orders into that FVG zone
Institutions tap FVG for premium entry
Price already printing rejection wicks — early signs of displacement
Watch for confirmation via:
Bearish engulfing candle close
Break of minor bullish structure on 5m
⚠️ Risk Notes:
Watch out for USD fundamental news that might cause a fakeout spike
Let price confirm breakdown before stacking entries
💬 Do you trust the FVG? Or think price will smash through?
🧠 Drop your confluence in the comments below and follow @ChartNinjas88 for precision setups like this every day.
Bitcoin - Approaching the all time high!Bitcoin - CRYPTO:BTCUSD - will break out again:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It has been quite some time since we saw such a strong move on Bitcoin. But finally - not totally unexpected to be honest - Bitcoin is following its destiny and about to create another new all time high. Patience is key and strategy, risk and mindset will help you master the volatility.
Levels to watch: $100.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Xrp - New all time highs will come next!Xrp - CRYPTO:XRPUSD - is preparing for new all time highs:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Xrp has clearly been trading sideways for the past 8 years. Meanwhile, market structure is respected perfectly and it seems to be just a matter of time until Xrp will create new all time highs. With the recent bullish break and retest, this scenario becomes even more likely.
Levels to watch: $3.0
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
S&P500 - The bottom we have been waiting for!The S&P500 - TVC:SPX - officially created the bottom:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
This month we officially saw one of the craziest stock market fakeouts of the past decade. With a drop and reversal rally of about +15%, the S&P500 is about to even close with a green monthly candle, which then indicates that the stock market bottom was created.
Levels to watch: $120, $250
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
XAU/USD 15 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisHi everyone, thanks for stopping by.
I’m Amin, a London-based technical analyst-in-training, currently preparing for the CMT Level I exam (June 2025) and building towards a career as a Market Strategist/Analyst.
I post daily/weekly analysis using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) soon to be blended with CMT-aligned tools like RSI, Moving Averages, trend structure, and market phase models.
My Goal: To secure a strategist or analyst role in London.
Recent highlight: One of my TradingView ideas was featured by an editor.
If you're in the industry, a fellow learner, or hiring, feel free to reach out — I’m open to opportunities and connections.
Let’s keep growing and learning!
Amin.
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
While a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) has printed, I am exercising discretion and not marking it as such, given the shallow nature of the pullback.
Additionally, another bullish CHoCH has printed, with price now trading within a defined internal range. I will continue monitoring this closely, particularly in relation to the depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand level before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
What Makes a Chart Tradable – Part TwoIn the previous post , we explored the foundations of technical trading. We examined how market behavior can appear structured even when it results from randomness, how bias affects interpretation and how volatility persistence helps explain why certain moves tend to cluster rather than appear in isolation. This post builds on that foundation by focusing on how to recognize meaningful movement and determine whether a chart structure is tradable.
Technical charts often present a wide range of setups, patterns, and interpretations. But a core distinction must be made between coincidental formations and actual price behavior driven by imbalance. Not all movements are equal, and recognizing the difference between random fluctuation and purposeful structure is essential.
A common assumption in technical analysis is that certain patterns or shapes inherently provide a specific outcome. This assumption is problematic without a defined context. The ability to recognize a flag or wedge does not imply statistical validity. For a price movement to be tradable, there should be characteristics that suggest underlying buying or selling pressure.
Unusual Movement
To determine whether a price move is meaningful, it must be assessed in relation to what is typical for that market. All assets have their own average range, pace and rhythm. When price breaks from that baseline through unusually strong or sustained movement, it can signal momentum or imbalance.
What makes these moves relevant is not their size alone, but the fact that they differ from normal behavior. This kind of shift may reflect changes in supply and demand or a reaction to new information. Such movements could mark a change in behavior and can serve as reference points. Their value lies in being statistically uncommon, which may suggest that market conditions have changed.
Pullbacks as Rebalance
Following strong directional movement, price tends to enter a state of reversion or pause. This is known as a pullback, a controlled retracement .It is not merely a pause. It reflects a psychological reset and the temporary rebalancing of order flow in response to imbalance.
Not all pullbacks are viable. For a setup to be considered tradable, the retracement must occur in the context of a meaningful prior move. When the underlying trend is intact and the pullback is controlled, the structure can offer a more reliable opportunity.
The Role of Standardization
Trading should be based on discretion. It involves interpretation, context and deliberate decision-making. But without structure, it risks becoming inconsistent and reactive.
Therefore movement and momentum should be measurable. What appears meaningful must be evaluated relative to the asset’s own historical behavior, not assumed based on surface-level appearance. Without a reference, the evaluation may lack foundation.
Measurement supports model building. Standardization supports disciplined execution. A trader might believe a move is strong based on visual cues or pattern familiarity, but if it lacks historical context or fails to meet defined criteria, that evaluation could be flawed.
Framework and Models
There are categories of tools that can be incorporated to support standardization. The choice is not fixed and should be based on personal preference, methods and research. Example:
Volatility Measure: Could be used to confirm when price moves outside a volatility-based envelope, indicating movement beyond the average range.
Momentum Measure: Could be used to confirm whether current price action is faster or stronger compared to recent historical behavior.
Such models are used to define context, not to predict outcomes. They help standardize analysis and filter out questionable movements and patterns.
Conclusion
The textbook patterns often referenced on their own do not create edge. Tradable charts are those where meaningful movement, defined by momentum, imbalance and structure, can be observed and evaluated using standardized methods. The purpose is not precision but repeatability. Discretionary trading is built on contextual evaluation supported by consistency and objective tools.
EURCHF Sell - May 12, 2025Risk : Full 1%
🧠 Reasoning:
Price reacted from Daily EMA, with a strong wick rejection and bearish engulfing.
Entry at 15m imbalance left behind inside a 15m POI.
🎯 TP:
First TP at Asia lows, 1:3 RR → take off 75%
Final TP at second Asia low or gap, close to 6RR
📉 Bias: Bearish | Risk Management: Partial close at 3RR
Micron Technology - The Chart Is Still Perfect!Micron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ) will reverse right here:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
If you actually want to explain technical analysis to somebody, just show them the chart of Micron Technology. Almost every structure makes perfect sense, with this stock respecting all major trendlines and horizontal levels and with the current support area, the bottom is now in.
Levels to watch: $70, $210
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Litecoin (LTC) - Long Setup📋 Context:
🔵 Open Interest stable or slightly increasing → healthy position building.
🔵 Top Traders Ratio strongly rebounding → top traders are re-accumulating long positions.
🔵 CVD Spot rising → real spot buying support is coming back.
🔵 CVD Futures rebounding → shorts being squeezed and absorbed.
🔵 Funding Rate neutral → no immediate risk of short squeeze against longs.
🔥 Liquidations:
🔵 95% of potential liquidations are shorts → strong imbalance to exploit.
🔵 Optical Map shows a wall of short liquidations just above the current price → objective is to grab them.
📈 Technical Structure:
🔵 Clean bullish structure on the 15-minute timeframe.
🔵 Stop Loss placed just below the recent swing low.
🎯 Trade Plan
Entry: Current price zone 85.7
Immediate Target (TP1): 87 $ → grabbing short liquidations.
Extension Target (TP2): 88 $ → if momentum remains strong.
Stop Loss (SL): Below 84 $ → invalidation if clean break of structure.