XAUUSD: Reversing to 5 day HVN?GREEN============================================================
- If the price can break and hold above yesterday POC. It's potentially can move back up to 5 Day HVN.
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- If the price break up and come back down and hold below yesterday POC. It might potentially moving in the price range moving expected.
Marketstructure
Micron Technology - The perfect chart!NASDAQ:MU is one of these stocks, which just respects every level, cycle and structure.
If I would give each chart an individual rating, the chart of Micron Technology would be 10 out of 10. Micron Technology is actually respecting every structure level and providing textbook trading opportunities. If we get a retest of the previous all time high, which is now turned support and perfectly lining up with the support of the rising channel, I will certainly look for longs.
Levels to watch: $90
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
XAGUSD BULLISHI strongly believe silver is set for a major rally in the coming months.
To begin, I'm entering this swing trade with 12 key arguments I've identified, where 90% are bullish and only one is bearish.
Bullish Arguments:
Monthly PCH being disrespected
Monthly PCL being disrespected
Weekly swing low not respected
Weekly Bullish FVG being respected
Daily Bullish FVG being strongly respected
Daily swing low not respected
4H Bullish FVG being respected
4H swing low disrespected
4H swing high disrespected
Bearish Argument:
Daily swing high being respected
Trade Management:
Stop Loss at yesterday’s low ($29.70) since a rejection would signal a continuation into the daily FVG, giving us a better entry.
Take Profit at the swing high or near buy-side liquidity to lock in profits without being greedy.
Risk/Reward Ratio: 4.69
Risk: 2%
These Market Structures Are Crucial for EveryoneIn this article, we will simplify complex market structures by breaking them down into easy-to-understand patterns. Recognizing market structure can enhance your trading strategy, increase your pattern recognition skills in various market conditions. Let’s dive into some essential chart patterns that every trader should know.
Double Bottom / Double Top
A double bottom is a bullish reversal pattern that occurs when the price tests a support level twice without breaking lower, indicating strong buying interest. This pattern often suggests that the downtrend is losing momentum and a potential uptrend may follow. Conversely, a double top signals a bearish reversal, formed when the price tests a resistance level twice without breaking through. This pattern indicates selling pressure and suggests that the uptrend may be coming to an end.
Bull Flag / Bear Flag
A bull flag is a continuation pattern that appears after a strong upward movement. It typically involves a slight consolidation period before the trend resumes, providing a potential entry point for traders looking to capitalize on the ongoing bullish momentum. On the other hand, a bear flag forms during a downtrend, signaling a brief consolidation before the price continues its downward movement. Recognizing these flags can help traders identify potential breakout opportunities.
Bull Pennant / Bear Pennant
A bull pennant is a continuation pattern that forms after a sharp price increase, followed by a period of consolidation where the price moves within converging trendlines. This pattern often indicates that the upward trend is likely to continue after the breakout. Conversely, a bear pennant forms after a sharp decline, with the price consolidating within converging lines. This pattern suggests that the downtrend may resume after the breakout.
Ascending Wedge / Descending Wedge
An ascending wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that often forms during a weakening uptrend. It indicates that buying pressure is slowing down, and a reversal may be imminent. Traders should be cautious as this pattern suggests a potential downtrend ahead. In contrast, a descending wedge appears during a downtrend and indicates that selling pressure is weakening. This pattern may signal a bullish reversal, suggesting a possible upward breakout in the near future.
Triple Top / Triple Bottom
A triple top is a bearish reversal pattern that forms after the price tests a resistance level three times without breaking through, indicating strong selling pressure. This pattern can help traders anticipate a potential downtrend. Conversely, a triple bottom is a bullish reversal pattern where the price tests support three times before breaking higher. This pattern highlights strong buying interest and can signal a significant upward move.
Cup and Handle / Inverted Cup and Handle
The cup and handle pattern is a bullish continuation pattern resembling a rounded bottom, followed by a small consolidation phase (the handle) before a breakout. This pattern often indicates strong bullish sentiment and can provide a solid entry point. The inverted cup and handle is the bearish counterpart, signaling potential downward movement after a rounded top formation, suggesting that a reversal may occur.
Head and Shoulders / Inverted Head and Shoulders
The head and shoulders pattern is a classic bearish reversal signal characterized by a peak (head) flanked by two smaller peaks (shoulders). This formation indicates a potential downtrend ahead, helping traders to identify possible selling opportunities. The inverted head and shoulders pattern serves as a bullish reversal indicator, suggesting that an uptrend may follow after the price forms a trough (head) between two smaller troughs (shoulders).
Expanding Wedge
An expanding wedge is formed when price volatility increases, characterized by higher highs and lower lows. This pattern often indicates market uncertainty and can precede a breakout in either direction . Traders should monitor this pattern closely, as it can signal potential trading opportunities once a breakout occurs.
Falling Channel / Rising Channel / Flat Channel
A falling channel is defined by a consistent downtrend, with price movement contained within two parallel lines. This pattern often suggests continued bearish sentiment. Conversely, a rising channel indicates an uptrend, with price moving between two upward-sloping parallel lines, signaling bullish momentum. A flat channel represents sideways movement, indicating consolidation with no clear trend direction, often leading to a breakout once the price escapes the channel.
P.S. It's essential to remember that market makers, whales, smart investors, and Wall Street are well aware of these structures. Sometimes, these patterns may not work as expected because these entities can manipulate the market to pull money from unsuspecting traders. Therefore, always exercise caution, and continuously practice and hone your trading skills.
What are your thoughts on these patterns? Have you encountered any of them in your trading? I’d love to hear your experiences and insights in the comments below!
If you found this breakdown helpful, please give it a like and follow for more technical insights. Stay tuned for more content, and feel free to suggest any specific patterns you’d like me to analyze next!
BTC - Short Setup | 15.09I’m shorting a very interesting setup here on the BTCUSDT 4H chart. We have an untapped 2H and 4H Order Block (OB) sitting above the current price, coupled with an untapped VWAP, both of which are significant points of interest for me. These untapped areas often act as strong magnets for price, drawing it towards them before a potential reversal.
Given the current market structure, this setup presents a high-probability short opportunity. The price has been showing signs of exhaustion as it approached these levels, and the confluence of the Order Blocks and VWAP makes it a very appealing zone to initiate a short position.
What adds to the strength of this setup is the clear Break of Structure (BOS) visible in the previous price action. The market has been creating lower highs and lower lows, indicating a downtrend, and the current move up might just be a retracement to mitigate the OB before continuing the trend downward.
I’m entering this trade with a tight stop loss, as the OBs and VWAP should ideally cap the upward movement. The stop loss is placed just above the OB, ensuring that the risk is minimal in case the price unexpectedly breaches these levels.
As for the final target, I haven’t set a specific level yet. I’ll be closely monitoring how the price reacts after entering the OB and the VWAP. If the price rejects sharply, I’ll consider holding the position longer, potentially trailing the stop to lock in profits as the trade progresses. However, if the reaction is weak or if I see signs of reversal, I might close the trade early.
The goal here is to capitalize on the anticipated price reaction from these high-probability zones while keeping the risk contained with a tight stop. This is a classic example of a mean reversion trade, where the price could revert back to the mean after tapping into these untapped areas.
Bitcoin probabilities: 60% Bullish vs. 40% Bitcoin’s Bullish Momentum is Losing Ground—60% Bullish vs. 40% Bearish Probability
The bullish case for Bitcoin has weakened slightly due to several conflicting signals across different timeframes. Here's the breakdown:
Bullish Factors:
🚫 Monthly PCL disrespected
✅ Monthly Bullish FVG respected
🚫 Weekly swing low disrespected
✅ Weekly Bullish FVG respected
✅ Daily Bullish FVG respected
🚫 4H swing low disrespected
🚫 4H swing low swept
Bearish Factors:
✅ Daily swing low respected
✅ Daily swing high respected
✅ Daily Bearish FVG respected
🚫 Daily Bullish FVG disrespected (so far)
Given the mixed arguments, it’s crucial to wait for further confirmation before making any moves. Strong economic factors expected this week could shift the market. Don’t get liquidated—patience is key! 🧘♂️ Master it to stay profitable. 🏆
INJ: Scalping Long Setup | 13.09Hello Friends 😀
One of my favorite coins to scalp and definitely one I am eyeing to bid. Currently, we're seeing a bearish divergence on the RSI, which indicates a potential reversal. What makes this setup particularly interesting is the presence of an untapped daily POC (Point of Control) right at the level of the Fair Value Gap (FVG). This zone offers an attractive level to enter a position as it could serve as a solid support area.
Additionally, the VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) could provide further support, potentially stabilizing the price around this level.
The combination of the bearish divergence, the untapped POC, and the support from the VWAP makes this setup particularly compelling for a short-term trade.
Do not trade if you do not have high probability XAUUSDIt’s not just about the thrill of nailing a setup and making profits. It’s also about recognizing when an asset has you emotionally trapped, even when there’s no solid argument for your position. Here’s a lesson from my own experience:
After making a huge trade on gold ( ) , I became fixated on the idea that it would keep falling, completely ignoring the market structure. This blinded me to the obvious bullish signals the market was giving.
Here are the 7 bullish arguments for gold that I overlooked in my post-trade euphoria:
Monthly PCH disrespected
Weekly FVG respected
Weekly Swing Low respected
Daily Swing Low respected
Daily FVG respected
Bearish 4H FVG disrespected
4H Swing Low respected
Not a single bearish argument in sight—a full 100% probability that the price would rise, and indeed it did.
🚨 Lesson learned: Being a profitable trader isn’t just about technical analysis. It’s about mastering your emotions, understanding market structure, and managing your risk. Stay humble, stay disciplined.
XAUUSD DumpLooking above us is a well refined zone from which we expect Gold to sell from.
It won't stop this sells until we've got to a 4hr zone that should be updated here also.
Simply wait for a confirmation at this sell zone, then get in as a swing or with a swing perspective at heart.
Whatever Gold does between Wednesday and Thursday will determine what price delivery will be at NFP.
#GBPUSD selling opportunitywe are clearly seeing a bearish move in 1H timeframe market structure and therefore I am only interested to sell this pair for the moment.
Price is below 1H timeframe EMA, and also printing consecutive lower lows and lower highs.
Price target could be around bearish channel lower line.
Gold ready for a meltdown Sell Now!!So as we are approaching this week's NFP report which will give a clear indication of either a soft landing or a hard landing I expect Gold to have a slight retracement as it is currently facing some resistance and has broken out of the ascending triangle so our target will be at the h4 tradeline
Follow more for quickly analysis
Will BTC Push Up Soon? The Key Level is at 65000.00 !!!
I will be looking for LONG opportunities on BTC after the resistance level at 65000.00 has been broken and thereafter forms an upward confirmation Break of Structure(BOS) signal, and the two reasonable take profit levels are set as "TP1" at 70000.00 and "TP2" at 72000.00, shown on the 8H Chart.
At the moment, BTC is consolidating locally. It seems that the market needs to grab more liquidity from supporting areas down below in order to push up later and the 8H green Demand Zone can be a potential area for that.
If the "Caution level" at 58000.00 below the 8H Demand Zone has been broken first, then new analysis on BTC will be made.
QQQ: Approaching a critical levelIf QQQ fails to close and open above $495 on the weekly chart, my bold prediction is that we could see a decline to the first target price of $360 and potentially down to $320 by January 2026. However, if QQQ breaks above $495 and closes above it, we could see a rally to $563 or even $650.
EURUSD 4H Retest on the Big triangle from DailyEURUSD 4H
On this 4H chart we look closer in the current situation. There are a few things to take in consideration:
The market structure on EURUSD has changed from Bearish to Bullish with the latest up swing. This transition is indicated from the blue lines and the orange lines
The price is forming a double divergence on the MACD and the RSI. This suggests that the price can correct to the previous MH point of the bullish structure which aligns with the resistance of the triangle (now a support for the price)
Once the price potentially corrects to that level, it will be important to monitor close in order to determine if this is a retest or a false breakout and get an idea how to trade it