CHINA’S TECH SURGE—AI HYPE, HOT MONEY, AND LINGERING DOUBTSCHINA’S TECH SURGE—AI HYPE, HOT MONEY, AND LINGERING DOUBTS
(1/9)
Big News: China’s tech sector is on fire 🔥📈 in 2025, driven by AI breakthroughs and a softer regulatory vibe from Beijing. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index is up 13% YTD, outpacing the S&P 500 (+4%). Is this a tech golden age or a speculative bubble? Let’s break it down! 🚀
(2/9) – STOCKS IN FOCUS
• Alibaba: +50% (Hong Kong) 💥
• Xiaomi: +35% 📱
• Baidu: +30% 🔍
• BYD: +25% 🚗
The Hang Seng Tech Index has soared 30% since mid-January, hitting a 3-year high 🎉. Trading volumes are through the roof!
(3/9) – WHY THE SURGE?
• DeepSeek’s cost-effective AI model sparks global buzz 🤖
• Alibaba’s AI partnership with Apple + Jack Ma’s reappearance with Xi Jinping 🇨🇳
• Beijing hints at easing its tech crackdown, boosting investor confidence 💸
(4/9) – ‘HOT MONEY’ DRIVING THE RALLY
• Speculative capital—“hot money”—from hedge funds and retail traders fuels the boom 💨
• Trading volumes spike, but big institutional investors (pension funds, etc.) stay cautious 🧐
• Analysts warn: Momentum, not fundamentals, is driving this rally 📉
(5/9) – AI BREAKTHROUGHS: REAL OR HYPE?
• DeepSeek’s AI model hailed as a game-changer, but details are thin 🤔
• Social media buzz calls it a “bull market” for Chinese tech 🐂
• Critics say it’s more sentiment than substance—China’s history of overpromising looms large ⚠️
(6/9) – REGULATORY REPRIEVE OR TEMPORARY TRUCE?
• Xi Jinping meets tech leaders, signaling a thaw after years of crackdowns 🏛️
• Investors scour photos for clues—Alibaba and Tencent back in favor? 📸
• Skeptics question if it’s a genuine shift or a short-term tactic to prop up the economy 😬
(7/9) – RISKS VS. REWARDS
• Risks: Geopolitical tensions, trade tariffs, and competition from Western tech (e.g., Nvidia’s $589B drop) 🌍
• Rewards: If AI delivers and Beijing stays supportive, Chinese tech could dominate globally 🌟
• The rally’s fate hinges on sustainability—will the gains stick? 🤝
(8/9) – Will China’s tech surge last?
1️⃣ Yes—AI and policy shifts will fuel a new golden age.
2️⃣ Maybe—Short-term gains, but long-term doubts remain.
3️⃣ No—Speculative bubble will burst soon.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
China’s tech rally is a wild ride 🌍—AI hype, “hot money,” and a regulatory truce are driving stocks sky-high. But with big investors on the sidelines and risks aplenty, it’s a fragile boom. Will Beijing and AI deliver, or is this another fleeting frenzy? Stay tuned! 💪
Marketupdate
SOLANA ($SOL) – ROARING REVENUE & FIREDANCER POTENTIALSOLANA ( CRYPTOCAP:SOL ) – ROARING REVENUE & FIREDANCER POTENTIAL
(1/7)
Ecosystem Revenue: Solana’s Q4 2024 app revenue surged +213% to $840M (vs. $268M in Q3), largely driven by meme coin mania. Network revenue reached new highs—$517M in app revenue & $552M in real economic value in January alone! Let’s dig in. 🚀
(2/7) – ONCHAIN ACTIVITY
• DEX Volume in Jan: $339B
• Stablecoin supply: $11.4B
• TVL: $8.6B—all-time highs
• 18 Firedancer validators deployed in Q4, boosting transaction capacity
(3/7) – SECTOR SNAPSHOT
• Market cap: ~$88.6B (late Dec 2024)
• SOL token trades around $200–$300 per recent posts
• Some speculate SOL could hit $500–$1,000—strong fundamentals + revenue growth might point to undervaluation vs. Ethereum ⚖️
(4/7) – COMPETITIVE EDGE
• Outperforms many L1 peers in transaction volume, speed, and revenue
• Handles more transactions than all other chains combined (per X posts)
• DEX volume +150% to $3.3B daily in Q4—low fees & high throughput = user magnet 🕹️
(5/7) – RISK FACTORS
• Market Volatility: Crypto’s rollercoaster can swing SOL prices wildly
• Regulatory: US policy changes, token classification → potential headwinds
• Competition: Ethereum scaling (rollups) & new L1s (Aptos, Sui) loom
• Technical Risks: Firedancer delays or issues = potential network reliability concerns
(6/7) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
High TPS + low fees → leading L1 contender
Robust ecosystem growth (TVL, DEX, stablecoins)
Strong revenue: $840M Q4 app rev, $517M in Jan alone
Weaknesses:
Heavy reliance on meme coin activity for recent revenue
Centralization worries due to validator concentration
Opportunities:
Solana ETF approval → institutional inflows 🌐
Firedancer aiming for 1M TPS, tech superiority
Expansion into DePIN, PayFi → new revenue streams
Threats:
US regulatory clampdowns
Ethereum’s scaling solutions & emerging L1 competition
Meme coin hype dying down, revenue from speculation dips
(7/7) – Is Solana undervalued or overhyped?
1️⃣ Bullish—Firedancer + revenue surge = unstoppable 🚀
2️⃣ Neutral—Impressive growth, but watch the meme factor 🤔
3️⃣ Bearish—Competition, centralization concerns… pass 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇
INTEL ($INTC) – BOUNCING BACK OR STUCK IN TRANSITION?INTEL ( NASDAQ:INTC ) – BOUNCING BACK OR STUCK IN TRANSITION?
(1/9)
Q4 2024 revenue beat forecasts at $14.3B (vs. $13.8B est.), up 7% from Q3 but still -7% YoY—highlighting Intel’s ups and downs. Looking ahead? Q1 2025 guidance points to $11.7-$12.7B in revenue and break-even EPS, hinting continued headwinds. Let’s dive in! 🔎
(2/9) – EARNINGS SNAPSHOT
• Q4 non-GAAP EPS: $0.13 (beat by $0.01), down sharply from $0.54 a year ago
• GAAP earnings hurt by $15.9B in impairment + $2.8B restructuring charges
• Gross margin set to drop from 42.1% to 36% next quarter—Ouch!
(3/9) – SIGNIFICANT FINANCIAL EVENTS
• Exploring AI chip partnership w/ TSMC: Could bolster Intel’s AI presence
• Targeting SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:10B in cost cuts by 2025, citing big strides in Q3 2024
• Foundry services sees $4.5B revenue in Q4, improved operating loss due to EUV wafer mix—positive sign ⚙️
(4/9) – CONTEXT & CHALLENGES
• 2024 free cash flow: - $15.1B (vs. +$21.4B in 2020)—hurts liquidity 💸
• Declining YoY revenue + margin pressure reflect stiff competition & big CapEx
• Intel pivoting to AI & foundry services, but near-term growth remains sluggish
(5/9) – SECTOR COMPARISON
• Forward P/E ~16, trailing P/E ~72.50 = low profitability vs. AMD/NVIDIA’s sky-high multiples
• P/B ~1.06, P/S ~1.5-2 → Intel looks “cheap” compared to peers (e.g., NVIDIA P/S ~20+!)
• Stock’s -51.67% over the last year, underperforming the semiconductor sector (+96.5%) 😬
(6/9) – UNDERVALUATION OR VALUE TRAP?
• Analysts’ intrinsic value: ~$19.37-$31.27 vs. current ~$20.97 → near fair value or slightly undervalued 🤔
• But big risks: negative cash flow, competitive drubbing from AMD/NVIDIA, repeated delays…
• The market’s discount might be warranted given Intel’s execution hurdles
(7/9) – KEY RISKS
• Competitive Pressures: AMD & NVIDIA dominating AI/data center 💻
• Execution Delays: Roadmap slips for Panther Lake (2H 2025) & Clearwater Forest (2026)
• Financial Strain: High CapEx, negative FCF, suspended dividend in 2024 🚧
• Macro & Geopolitics: Trade tensions (esp. in China) + economic headwinds
(8/9) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
Established brand, PC/server CPU leader
Foundry expansion, AI PC push
Cost cuts boosting operational efficiency
Weaknesses:
Market share losses, negative FCF
Delays in product launches, high CapEx
Complex design + manufacturing model
Opportunities:
AI & foundry growth via TSMC tie-ups
Government support (CHIPS Act)
Undervaluation if turnaround succeeds
Threats:
Fierce competition ( NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:NVDA )
Regulatory & trade risks (China)
Rapid AI market evolution leaving Intel behind
(9/9) Is Intel the next big turnaround story or a sinking ship?
1️⃣ Massive comeback—AI + foundry = unstoppable!
2️⃣ Meh—They’ll recover somewhat, but not lead the pack
3️⃣ Doom—Delays, negative FCF, stiff competition… pass
Vote below! 🗳️👇
GOLDMAN SACHS’ NEAR-$2B CRYPTO ETF BETGOLDMAN SACHS’ NEAR- SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B CRYPTO ETF BET
(1/8)
Goldman Sachs just revealed a massive crypto ETF position—nearly SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B in Bitcoin and Ethereum funds, per an SEC filing. Let’s break down the details and see what it means for traditional finance! 🚀💸
(2/8) – HOLDINGS SNAPSHOT
• Bitcoin ETFs: $1.63B total
24,077,861 shares in BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) (~$1.33B)
3,530,486 shares of Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin (FBTC) (~$300M)
49,183 shares of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) (~$3.7M)
• Ethereum ETFs: $196.3M total
7,024,747 shares in Fidelity’s Ethereum Fund (FETH) (~$191.1M)
200,000 shares of Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust (~$5.1M)
(3/8) – ETFS: BRIDGING TRADFI & CRYPTO
• First approved in 2024, BTC & ETH ETFs let institutions gain crypto exposure without holding coins directly
• Perfect for “regulated” banks like Goldman, bridging Wall Street with digital assets 🏦
(4/8) – GOLDMAN’S STANCE ON DIRECT CRYPTO
• CEO David Solomon: “We’re a regulated bank, can’t own crypto as principal.” ⚖️
• They advise clients & dabble in ETFs, but can’t yet park BTC on their balance sheet due to regs
• Hints at how major banks remain cautious, even with big bets
(5/8) – WHY IT MATTERS*
• SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B in BTC & ETH ETFs = a serious vote of confidence in crypto’s future
• Encourages other institutional players to follow suit—if Goldman is in, who’s next? 🤔
• Demonstrates that “indirect” ownership is how TradFi is tiptoeing into crypto markets
(6/8) – REGULATORY OVERHANG*
• The bank can’t directly hold crypto due to existing rules, but invests heavily via approved ETFs
• Raises questions: will we see a day when Goldman (and others) hold actual BTC or ETH on their balance sheets? 🚪
(7/8) – Is SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B in BTC & ETH ETFs the start of a bigger Goldman crypto push?
1️⃣ Yes—They’ll expand once regs loosen 🚀
2️⃣ No—They’re staying in the safe zone 🤔
3️⃣ Unsure—Too many regulatory question marks ⚖️
Vote below! 🗳️👇
Bitcoin Dominance Analysis Channel Rejection and Its Impact Bitcoin Dominance is currently trading within a well-defined downward channel, indicating a consistent decline over time. Recently, dominance attempted to break below the channel but failed, resulting in a re-entry back into the channel. This failed breakdown suggests that the bearish momentum is weakening, at least temporarily.
A declining Bitcoin dominance typically signals a potential bullish phase for altcoins, as market capital moves away from Bitcoin into alternative cryptocurrencies. However, in this scenario, the downward movement is relatively slow, confined within the channel, which explains the lack of a strong recovery in the altcoin market.
For a more significant altcoin rally, we need to see a clear breakdown of this channel, accompanied by a sharper decline in dominance. A rapid drop would likely trigger stronger buying activity in altcoins, providing better opportunities for traders.
It's crucial to monitor Bitcoin dominance closely, as its next move will provide key insights into potential market shifts. Stay alert and adjust your trading strategy accordingly.
If you find these market insights helpful and want to stay updated with more trade setups and detailed analysis and join my community,feel free to ping me.
TESLA ($TSLA) – PRICE CUTS, NEW MODELS & SHRINKING MARGINSTESLA ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) – PRICE CUTS, NEW MODELS & SHRINKING MARGINS
(1/8)
Tesla’s Q4 2024 revenue came in at $25.17B (+1% YoY), missing estimates of $25.87B. Full-year revenue hit $97.69B, only slightly above 2023. Let’s break down the numbers! 🚗⚡️
(2/8) – EARNINGS SNAPSHOT
• Q4 non-GAAP EPS: $0.71 (vs. $0.74 est.)
• Net income slipped from $2.51B (Q1 ‘23) to $1.13B (Q1 ‘24) → margin pressures
• Full-year EPS: $2.04. Investors are edgy over slowing profit growth 😬
(3/8) – NEW AFFORDABLE EV
• Tesla plans to launch a lower-priced EV mid-2025—could spark future growth 🚀
• However, concerns linger about declining margins due to recent price cuts & softening EV demand 🔻
(4/8) – SECTOR SNAPSHOT
• P/E trailing: 177.26, forward P/E: 124.35 → major premium vs. Toyota (~8.5) & GM (~8.7) 🔎
• EV/EBITDA: 87.53—again, quite high
• Analyst avg. PT: $307.62 vs. current ~$355 → Some see overvaluation 📈
(5/8) – PERFORMANCE & COMPETITION
• Tesla’s revenue growth lags behind EV rivals like BYD (especially in China) 🇨🇳
• High valuation is tough to justify if margins keep slipping & demand cools
• Others note the potential for a “market correction” if Tesla doesn’t re-accelerate growth 🔻
(6/8) – RISK FACTORS
• EV Demand Slowdown: Price cuts & fierce competition in China
• Production Delays: Cybertruck & new affordable EV might take time to ramp
• Regulatory: Shifts in incentives or rules could slow sales 📉
• Economic Pressure: High interest rates = less consumer cash for big-ticket items
• Elon Musk: Diverted focus (X, SpaceX) + polarizing behavior 🌀
(7/8) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
Leading EV brand & loyal customer base 🔥
Diversified streams (storage, solar) → less auto reliance
Massive market cap at $1.16T shows confidence
Weaknesses:
Shrinking margins (~17.86% in 2024)
Production hiccups → scaling issues
Sky-high valuations vulnerable to correction
Opportunities:
2025 mass-market EV could open huge demand 🚗💨
AI & autonomy (FSD, robotaxis) for new revenue
Energy storage growth offsetting auto slowdowns 🔋
Threats:
Competition from BYD, GM, etc.
Lawsuits & regulatory scrutiny (discrimination, product defects)
Global economic uncertainty → lower vehicle sales
(8/8) – With Tesla trading around $355 & a P/E near 177, is it still worth the premium?
1️⃣ Bullish—Musk’s vision & new EV model = unstoppable 🚀
2️⃣ Neutral—Waiting to see if margins recover 🤔
3️⃣ Bearish—Overvalued, competition is heating up 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇
COINBASE ($COIN) – RECORD EARNINGS, VOLATILE REACTIONCOINBASE ( NASDAQ:COIN ) – RECORD EARNINGS, VOLATILE REACTION
(1/8)
Coinbase just posted a Q4 2024 revenue of $2.27B (+138% YoY, +89% QoQ!)—crushing estimates of $1.87B. Transaction revenue soared 194% YoY to $1.6B. Ready to dive in? Let’s go! 🚀💸
(2/8) – EARNINGS BEAT
• EPS: $4.68, smashing estimates of $2.04 🤯
• Net income: up 300% YoY, fueled by trading volume +185% 📈
• Assets on platform: +46%, sign of growing trust and adoption 👥
(3/8) – STOCK REACTION?
• Surprisingly flat or slightly down post-earnings 🤔
• Market may have priced in these mega-growth numbers already
• High beta (3.61) means volatility—strap in! ⚠️
(4/8) – SECTOR SNAPSHOT
• P/E ratio ~49.5 (forward 43.76)—high, but robust growth could justify 🏦
• Analysts’ avg. price target: $274.65 vs. current price ~$300—some see overvaluation unless growth keeps surging 💹
• Faster revenue growth than many fintech peers, yet higher volatility 🌀
(5/8) – RISKS TO WATCH
• Crypto Volatility: If the market cools, trading volume slides 😰
• Regulatory Battles: SEC classification = potential compliance woes ⚖️
• Competition: Binance, Kraken, DeFi—Coinbase must keep innovating 🏁
• Economic Sensitivity: Slowdowns can reduce trading appetite 🌐
(6/8) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
• U.S. market leader, regulatory advantage 🇺🇸
• Growing subscription/services revenue (+71% YoY)
• User base & brand loyalty remain strong 🌟
Weaknesses:
• Reliance on crypto market sentiment → volatility
• Elevated valuation vs. peers, less margin for error
Opportunities:
• Expand into regions with surging crypto adoption 🌍
• Tokenization, stablecoins, new blockchain products
• Potentially friendlier crypto regs = less legal risk 👀
Threats:
• Regulatory crackdowns → higher costs, narrower product offerings
• DeFi could disrupt centralized exchanges
• Market saturation → possible price wars 💢
(7/8) –Is Coinbase overvalued at $300 despite epic growth?
1️⃣ Bullish—Crypto momentum will keep fueling NASDAQ:COIN 🚀
2️⃣ Neutral—Growth is great, but so is the price 🤔
3️⃣ Bearish—Regulatory & competition threats loom large 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇
DOORDASH ($DASH) – FROM FOOD DELIVERY TO GLOBAL POWERHOUSEDOORDASH ( NASDAQ:DASH ) – FROM FOOD DELIVERY TO GLOBAL POWERHOUSE
(1/7)
DoorDash just reported 25% YoY revenue growth to $2.9B! That’s a hearty slice of the delivery pie. 🚀🍕 Let’s dig into the numbers, risks, and what might lie ahead for $DASH.
(2/7) – EARNINGS SPOTLIGHT
• GAAP net income: $0.33/share—the second profitable quarter since going public! 💰
• Net revenue margin: 13.5%, inching up from last quarter.
• Plus, a SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B share repurchase plan signals management’s confidence in future earnings. 💎
(3/7) – SECTOR COMPARISON
• Market cap ~$80.2B, with the buyback at ~5% of that.
• Analysts (e.g., Oppenheimer) raising price targets → suggests undervaluation vs. Uber Eats & Grubhub. 🤔
• Strong performance in new verticals & international markets = diversification & growth advantage. 🌐
(4/7) – RISK FACTORS
• Market saturation: Competitors might lower prices or offer bigger discounts. 🛍️
• Regulatory: Gig worker laws could drive up costs. ⚖️
• Economic sensitivity: Consumer spending on delivery can be fickle during downturns. 💸
• Restaurant health: If restaurants stumble, so does DoorDash. 🍽️
(5/7) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
• Leading U.S. food delivery market share 🍔
• Expanding into grocery & retail → less restaurant dependence 🛒
• Solid international growth 🌍
Weaknesses:
• High operational costs to maintain delivery network 🚚
• Customer loyalty can be promo-driven vs. brand-driven 💳
Opportunities:
• Enter underpenetrated regions → more global share 🌐
• Expand non-restaurant deliveries → bigger wallet share 🏪
• AI-driven efficiency → streamlined ops 🤖
Threats:
• Heavy competition (direct & from self-delivery restaurants) ⚔️
• Consumer shift back to in-person dining if economy improves 🍴
(6/7) – BULL OR BEAR?
With 25% growth and a second profitable quarter, is DoorDash set to dominate? Or are looming regulatory and market saturation risks a speed bump? 🏁
(7/7) Where do you stand on DoorDash?
1️⃣ Bullish—They’ll keep delivering the goods! 🚀
2️⃣ Neutral—Impressed, but risks loom 🤔
3️⃣ Bearish—Competition & costs will weigh them down 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇
CONFLUENT ($CFLT) – DATA STREAMING’S RISING STARCONFLUENT ( NASDAQ:CFLT ) – DATA STREAMING’S RISING STAR
1/7
Ready for a snapshot of Confluent? Here’s what’s sparking chatter on X: 23% YoY revenue growth, $0.09 EPS (beats by $0.03), and free cash flow at $ 29M—above estimates! Let’s dive in. 🚀💹
2/7 – REVENUE & EARNINGS BLAST
• Overall revenue: +23% YoY
• Subscription revenue: +24% YoY 💳
• Q4 EPS: $0.09 (est. $0.06) ⚡️
• FCF: $ 29M vs. est. GETTEX:27M 💰
3/7 – CONFLUENT CLOUD SHINES
• Cloud revenue: +38% YoY 🌥️
• Big piece of their puzzle—shows they’re nailing the cloud-based approach
• Key to future scaling & recurring income streams 🔑
4/7 – SECTOR SNAPSHOT
• Confluent competes in data streaming & management
• Growth suggests they’re keeping pace—maybe even undervalued if adoption keeps climbing 🤔
• Keep an eye on how they stack up vs. other cloud/data players like Snowflake or Datadog 🏭
5/7 – RISK ASSESSMENT
• Market Saturation: More competitors in cloud/data → potential pricing pressure 💼
• Tech Shifts: Rapid changes could leave older solutions behind 🔄
• Economic Downturn: Slowed IT budgets might delay or shrink deals 🌐
• Customer Concentration: If a few big clients leave, it stings big time 🏹
6/7 – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
Strong Confluent Cloud growth (+38% YoY!)
Broader customer base (+17%) 🙌
Weaknesses:
Heavily niche in ‘data in motion’ 🤏
High acquisition costs in a crowded market 🏷️
Opportunities:
Expand into new verticals & geographies
AI/ML integration for next-level analytics 🤖
Threats:
Fierce giants with deep pockets 🦖
Regulatory changes in data privacy ⚖️
7/7 – Where do you see Confluent heading next?
1️⃣ Bullish—Cloud growth = unstoppable! 🌟
2️⃣ Neutral—Need more consistent profitability 🤔
3️⃣ Bearish—Competition is too intense 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇
GOLD 4H ROUTE MAP TRADING PLAN / READ CAPTION CAREFULLYGOLD 4H Chart Analysis – 12th Feb 2025
Dear Traders,
Here’s the latest update on our 4H chart. It’s been a productive week! If you reviewed our previous chart on the 11th of February, today’s analysis should help guide your trading plan for the week.
Chart Color Codes:
* Red boxes (right): Support levels labeled as GOLDTURN LEVELS. A small red circle marks activation after short reversals.
* White GOLDTURN LEVELS (top): Not yet activated.
* Green boxes on the top(left): New Take Profit Targets.
* Green boxes with red outlines: Achieved targets.
* Grey button: Entry point from the 11th of February.
Review of Previous Chart:
Entry Level: 2814
Take Profit 1: 2850.15 ✅ (Hit)
Take Profit 2: 2876.95 ✅ (Hit)
Take Profit 3: 2903.76 ✅ (Hit)
Take Profit 4: 2925.85 ✅ (Hit)
We observed three reversals of 20–40 pips, highlighted with red circles.
New Take Profit Levels Added: TP5, TP6, TP7, and TP8
Key Focus Areas:
Identify Key Levels, Resistance, Support, and watch EMA5 closely. EMA5 behavior will determine the next price direction.
Key Levels:
Key Level: 2900
Resistance Levels: 2925, 2952, 2984, 3017, 3052
Support Levels: 2876, 2852, 2828, 2803, 2776, 2747
EMA5 Status:
Current EMA5: 2898.14
Bullish Targets
EMA5 cross and hold above 2900, will open the following bullish target 2925 again
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2925, will open the following bullish target 2952
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2952, will open the following bullish target 2984
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2984, will open the following bullish target 3017
EMA5 cross and lock Above 3017, will open the following bullish target 3052
Bearish Targets
EMA5 hold and cross Below 2900: will open the following bearish target 2876
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2876: will open the following bearish target 2852
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2852: will open the following bearish target 2828
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2828: will open the following bearish target 2803(Retracement Range)
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2803: will open the following bearish target 2747 (Swing Range)
Trading Plan:
* Stay bullish and buy pullbacks from key levels.
* Avoid chasing tops—focus on buying dips.
* Use smaller timeframes for entries at Goldturn levels.
* Aim for 30–40 pips per trade for optimal risk management.
* Each level can yield 20–40+ pips reversals.
Trade with confidence and discipline. Stay tuned for our daily updates! Please support us with likes, comments, and follows to keep these insights coming.
📉💰 The Quantum Trading Mastery
$5020.T ENEOS HOLDINGS: REVENUE GROWTH, MAJOR IPO ENEOS HOLDINGS: REVENUE GROWTH, MAJOR IPO & DECARBONIZATION STRATEGY
1/8
Big News: Eneos Holdings ($5020.T) reported ¥14.97T revenue for FY 2024 (+9.8% YoY) thanks to higher oil prices & solid refining demand. They’ve also announced a massive JX Advanced Metals ($JXAM) IPO worth up to ¥460B—Japan’s largest in 7 years! 🏭💥
2/8 – EARNINGS SNAPSHOT
• FY Net Income: ¥320.5B (↓12% YoY) due to rising costs & green investments 🌱⚡️
• Q3 Net Income: ¥85.4B (+3% QoQ) on cost optimization + refining margin boost
• Dividend: ¥22/share—they’re not skimping on shareholder returns 💹💰
3/8 – SIGNIFICANT FINANCIAL EVENTS
• JXAM IPO coming Mar 19, 2025—selling 50.1–58% stake
• Could raise $2.6– SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:3B —funding Eneos’ decarbonization pivot & fueling shareholder value 🚀
• Market reacted positively (+1% in Eneos stock), while broader Japanese market stayed flat ⚖️
4/8 – SECTOR COMPARISON
• Valuation: P/E ~8.5 vs. global oil refiners (~10.2) & metals (~12.1) 🔎
• Revenue Growth: +9.8% outpacing Shell (6.2%) & ExxonMobil NYSE:XOM (7.8%), but below BHP (12.4%)
• Undervalued? P/B ~0.9 vs. sector avg. 1.3, EV/EBITDA 6.8 vs. peers at 7.5. Looks attractive! 🔥
5/8 – RISK FACTORS
• Oil Price Volatility: Refining margins can flip on a dime ⛽️💥
• Geopolitical Tensions: Japan relies heavily on energy imports 🌏
• Energy Transition Costs: ¥150B budget for renewables—major capex needed ♻️🔋
• JXAM IPO Execution: A poor market reception = potential stock hit ⚠️
6/8 – REGULATORY & DECARBONIZATION
• Japan targets net-zero by 2050—Eneos faces higher compliance costs 🌐
• Carbon capture & hydrogen investments: Could future-proof Eneos, but short-term margins may tighten 🤖⚡️
7/8 – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
• Strengths: Diversified (refining + metals + renewables), top-tier Japanese refiner 🏆
• Weaknesses: Profit margin (2.1%) lags peers, heavy capex for transition 😬
• Opportunities: JXAM IPO frees capital; renewables & hydrogen for growth 🌱💡
• Threats: Shift away from fossil fuels, market skepticism 🚫⚡️
8/8 Where do you see Eneos in 2025?
1️⃣ Bullish—Decarbonization + IPO = huge upside! 🐂
2️⃣ Cautiously Optimistic—Valuation looks good, but risks are real 🤔
3️⃣ Bearish—Oil refining can’t outrun global transitions 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇
Now its time to short!The Market is bought out.
But since a few weeks we are in a consolidation phase at the big US indices.
The markets are getting drowned with buy orders, but its stil ranging. Something which tells as that retailers are taking overhand. Institutions are using those phases to sell off their big postions too the "dumb money".
We just need to wait until the retail money is empty and there are no further buy orders.
At this moment big moves are gonna happen.
Gold Trap to bullish TrendThe chart shows a bullish setup for Gold (XAU/USD) with the current price at (2,851.395) Key support levels are marked at (2,820) and (2,780) suggesting potential buying opportunities if the price drops. The first target is at (2,842)and the second at (2,884) indicating expected upward movement. A (buy) position is recommended near (2,820) with a stop loss below (2,780)for risk management.
SPX Nears All-Time Highs – Is a Breakout Imminent?The S&P 500 Index (SPX) has been following a strong upward trajectory, consistently forming higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), indicating a bullish trend.
However, the price is now approaching a rising trendline that has acted as a key resistance multiple times in the past.
XAU/USD: Potential Reaction at Supply Zone*On the 4H timeframe, XAU/USD has shown a clear CHoCH (Change of Character), with the previous Higher Low (HL) being broken, taking out Buy-Side Liquidity near the highs. Price is now trading within a supply zone, aligning with bearish order flow.
On the 30M timeframe (see chart):
• A CHoCH has been identified within the supply area, signaling a potential shift in direction.
• Price looking to clear the inducement (IDM) before tapping into the zone, strengthening the likelihood of a sell-off.
• I’m anticipating a reaction and continuation to the downside, targeting lower liquidity levels around $2,730.500.
Key Points:
• Bearish Bias from the 4H Supply Zone.
• Liquidity grab + CHoCH on the 30M confirms bearish intent.
• Targeting the lows near $2,730.500 for a high-probability trade setup.
Trade Idea:
Wait for confirmation within the 30M supply zone (e.g., a lower timeframe entry such as a CHoCH or breaker structure). Maintain discipline and proper risk management.
What do you think about this setup? Drop your thoughts below!
Bless Trading!
This is a no Brainer for you noobs - check itWhat up? how is everyone doing the almost end of January w a new Admin?
one things i do wish is that Robinhood will collab with @TradingView does anyone have info on this? Why are the holding back?
follow along...
i swing only SPY 500 options- 7 years in training, a year before the covid 19.
i buy calls or buy puts overnight, easy-
up or down?
1. The week, before this weeks volume was pretty decent I must say.- this held us up.
2. I do like continuation patterns.
3. $ 605.00 is in the cards for next week of 1/27 - 1/31
4. With the month closing on Friday the 31, we may even see a low touching that $ 600.00
5. Therefore we are looking for bounces on either side.
6. I kind of like $ 600.00 to confirm there are buyers on that area of support. For our continuation of an upmarket trend.
7. Although volume and candlestick are key to watch around 605. ⛳️
do we get a birdie or a par this week? --
-
leave a comment or evaluation below.
Gold Analysis Update: Resistance Levels and Market OutlookHello Everyone!
How are you all? I hope everything is going great! I'm excited to announce my return with a new TradingView account. I hope you’ll show the same love and support as you did with my previous account.
Gold Analysis
I'm observing that gold is facing resistance at 2762 on the H1 chart. It has been retesting this level repeatedly and pulling back to 2756.
If gold fails to break 2763 on the H4 candle, we can anticipate a bearish market movement in the next few hours.
All targets are clearly explained in the chart above for your easy understanding.
Please like, comment, follow, and support! Thank you for your love and encouragement! 🙏
Bitcoin's Midweek Liquidity Play Detailed Analysis Bitcoin's Price Analysis Based on Current Market Conditions
1. Bullish Price Action from CPI Triggers
Recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data has provided a significant bullish trigger, aligning with the market's expectation of reduced inflationary pressures. This macroeconomic indicator is a key driver, as it reassures investors about the Federal Reserve's potential to maintain or reduce interest rate hikes. Bitcoin's price has reacted positively, with a clear bullish breakout, showing strength in its upward trajectory. The CPI induced move is critical as it reflects institutional confidence and a shift in liquidity toward risk-on assets like Bitcoin.
2. Midweek Reversal Dynamics
Retailer FOMO at Play
Historically, Wednesday and Thursday are pivotal days for Bitcoin's price action, often characterized by reversals. This behavior is driven by a mix of institutional repositioning and retail traders' emotional responses. Currently, retail traders appear to be in a state of FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), entering positions aggressively as Bitcoin pumps. This scenario creates a ripe environment for market makers to exploit, as over leveraged long positions begin to dominate. A liquidity sweep targeting stop loss clusters below current support levels is highly probable.
3. Stop-Loss Sweep and Liquidity Dynamics
The chart indicates that a significant number of stop-loss orders are concentrated around the $98,600 level, just below recent support. This aligns with a 4-hour imbalance zone, which remains untested. Market makers are likely to drive the price down to this level to fill pending orders and collect liquidity. Such a move would shake out weak hands before the price regains upward momentum.
Following the liquidity sweep, a strong pump is expected toward the $102,400 zone, a key area of interest where previous imbalances and institutional orders are likely stacked. This zone serves as a springboard for the next leg of the rally.
4. Projection to Key Levels: $108,362 and Beyond
Once liquidity at $98,600 is absorbed and the $102,400 zone is reclaimed, Bitcoin is poised to target the next major resistance at $108,362. This level aligns with a confluence of technical factors, including previous highs and Fibonacci extensions. Breaking this resistance would open the path to the $110,000 psychological level, further validating the bullish macro trend.
Bitcoin's price action is entering a critical phase influenced by macroeconomic triggers, market structure, and liquidity dynamics. Traders should remain cautious of midweek reversals and liquidity sweeps, while positioning for potential upside targeting $108,362 and beyond. Proper risk management is essential, given the market's high volatility and the potential for unexpected deviations.
Head and Shoulder Pattern Breakout in BANKNIFTYHead & Shoulder (H&S) pattern in the Bank Nifty Index on a daily timeframe. The H&S pattern is a reversal chart pattern indicating a potential bearish trend after an uptrend. Here's the detailed explanation:
1. Key Components of the Pattern:
Left Shoulder: The first peak, formed after an uptrend, followed by a decline to the neckline (support).
Head: The highest peak, formed after the left shoulder, followed by a decline back to the neckline.
Right Shoulder: A peak lower than the head, formed after the neckline is tested again, signaling weakening upward momentum.
2. Neckline:
The neckline acts as a support level that connects the lows between the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder.
In this chart, the neckline is marked as a critical support level.
3. Entry and Targets:
Entry Point: A short position is triggered once the price breaks below the neckline with strong bearish confirmation.
Projected Targets:
Target 1: 48,050
Target 2: 46,550
Final Target: 45,000
These targets are derived by projecting the height of the head from the neckline downward.
4. Stop Loss:
The Stop Loss is placed above the recent high near 51,050, to minimize risk if the price reverses upward.
Conclusion:
The Bank Nifty chart demonstrates a classic Head & Shoulder pattern, indicating potential downside targets with well-defined entry, stop loss, and profit-taking levels. This pattern suggests caution for bullish traders and an opportunity for bearish traders if confirmed.
ADA/USDT A Bullish Bounce on the Horizon ?The chart shows Cardano (ADA) pulling back to retest the breakout zone, presenting a potential long opportunity if support holds.
Key Observations
1. Retest of Pattern: ADA has broken out of a pattern and is now retesting the breakout zone, which aligns with a critical support area.
2. Support Zone ($0.90–$0.88): This is an important level where price is likely to bounce if buyers step in.
3. Bullish Confirmation Needed: Waiting for a bullish candlestick pattern at this level would confirm a potential reversal.
4. Target Levels: If the bounce occurs, the immediate target would be $1.00+, with further potential upside depending on market momentum.
Strategic Implications
Monitor the $0.90–$0.88 zone for bullish signals.
Enter long positions upon confirmation of a bullish candlestick pattern.
Stop-loss placement below $0.88 to manage risk effectively.
ADA is at a crucial retest point. A strong bounce from support could provide a profitable long setup with targets above $1.00. Keep this pair on watch for confirmation.