GBPJPY BUYBased on my analysis, I think GBPJPY currency pair may likely experience a bullish rally, moving from its current price of 161.1316 to the bearish 4-hour market zone located above. The underlying reasoning behind this prediction is that price action has demonstrated a clear rejection of the internal demand zone, leading to the likelihood of further upward momentum in the form of a break through two subsequent supply zones. The continued weakness of the Japanese yen basket further supports this projection.
As such, my price objective for this forecast is set at 162.00, indicating a bullish bias for the GBPJPY currency pair over the near-term future.
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EURUSD SELLThe recent release of the CPI (Consumer Price Index) yesterday, showed an increase of 0.5% on all items, which was in line with market expectations. The CPI is a critical indicator of inflation, which can impact the value of a currency. Inflation tends to reduce the purchasing power of a currency and can lead to a decline in its value, all things being equal. Therefore, this increase in inflation may be perceived as negative for the USD and could lead to a upward pressure on the EURUSD currency pair. (supporting bullish scenario for EURUSD)
However, the DXY (US Dollar Index) seem to be gaining strength recently, and this could weigh on the EURUSD pair. A stronger US Dollar can make it more expensive for investors to hold non-US assets, including the Euro, and can lead to a decline in the EURUSD exchange rate. (Supporting a decline in EURUSD)
What then is the balance?
Looking at the technical analysis of the EURUSD currency pair, we can see that the price is currently hovering around 1.07293, which is near the top of the recent trading range. The 4hr Market zone around 1.06692 is a key support level, which has held several times in the past. If the price breaks below this level, it could trigger a downward momentum and lead to further declines. So, I expect EURUSD to drop to the 4hr Market zone around 1.06690 in the short term
Bullish scenario on $AUDCAD on its wayEarlier this week I sent to the letter a bullish scenario on $AUDCAD:
Bullish Bat pattern (in Yellow), which can also be used as an aggressive C entry on a bearish BAT (green)
The Elite Zone's bullish Bat has already reached both of its targets, giving the members about 100 pips.. and now I'm looking for the continuation of the move towards the completion of the green Bat.
The price must close above the 200 SMA.
Of course there are resistance levels on the way up that may prevent the pair from rallying all the way up to the PRZ. These levels can be used as target levels to collect partial profits and adjust the stop loss to protect the position
The Requests Zone setup is on its way - What's next?Two weeks ago, on the Weekly Markets Analysis newsletter, I've analyzed $GBPJPY as part of the requests zone.
It took this pair some time to move, but eventually the move created nice profit and it is only half way down to reach the next trading scenarios - BULLISH and BEARISH - as shown in the chart.
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One look at the $SPY says it allWe've been waiting and waiting and now all the talks are over...
Yellen, Draghi.. those are all behind us
Now its time for action - Up or down? Breakout? or pattern reversal move?
I'm with the bears till proven otherwise..
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Weekly Markets Analysis
Analysis of yesterday's trade - Harmonic setup on $GBPNZDOne of my successful trades yesterday was this hourly harmonic pattern (bat pattern) on $GBPNZD.
It was a setup sent to the members on my weekly members letter and we had couple of entry points to choose from.
I've just posted a blog post discussing about this trade and the dilemma we had regarding our possible entry points.
You can read the blog post here:
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After successful AB=CD pattern trade, is it setting for cont? My last trade idea in $TSLA was successful as the stock reversed from the AB=CD pattern I posted.
Now $TSLA is running into important resistance towards Ilan's special announcement.
Is this the reversal zone for the continuation move towards AB=CD target 2? 230? next?
I guess we will have to see market's reaction to the message.
3 reasons to look for reversal in this pairAfter successful short trade we took at the Elite Zone based on the Gartley pattern, I'm now looking for reversal in $NZDCHF.
The Gartley reached both of its target levels and now the price is at interesting, possible support, zone.
1. Bullish AB=CD pattern completion
2. Structure level
3. 61.8 Fib level
These 3 technical reasons may be good enough to look for reversal in this beaten pair.
We have to remember that unlike in the $NZDUSD, the Swiss bank will not allow the CHF to get stronger than other currencies.. They made it very clear.
Weekly pattern in Gold Looking for buying opportunity in Gold? Want to invest in Gold?
$XAUUSD completed a bullish weekly pattern and on the daily chart we saw some buyers stepping in after the pattern completion. This setup presents a great R/R based on previous price behavior and if you are bullish Gold, you may want to check out this setup and do your own analysis to confirm.
The setup posted in the Weekly Markets Analysis newsletter along with other great trading ideas.
Check them out:
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Two bearish scenarios for the coming week The first bearish setup, the bearish Cypher (Elite Zone only), already reached both of its target levels.
Now $PRGO is presenting two possible continuation trade setups.
1. Major structure zone.
2. Possible Harmonic pattern completion
*The full explanation is this week's Weekly Markets Analysis
This setup is part of the Weekly Markets Analysis newsletter posted today and you can find more trade ideas by checking it out.
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Italy chart may hint about Euro next crisisIn June, Italy broke below the downtrend line its been following since mid 2013.
After a sharp decline where it broke also below the 16.5 support zone, $EWI used the last couple of week to made a small pullback (in a form of a bearish Flag) right back into the 16.5 zone (now resistance).
Since C point (16.5) was right at the 61.8 Fib level, we may see a possible bullish AB=CD pattern which will be complete near 14$. If that's the case, we are talking about another sharp decline coming real soon.
We already saw the first bearish signal as the ETF broke below the bear Flag pattern and it seems like that the only thing that can prevent Italy from completing the pattern is another "pump" from the Fed or the ECB.
16.5 is the critical level to watch. A close above it will violate this analysis.
$FAS below 103 means bad news for financialsThe daily AB=CD pattern started working last week with a nice reversal in the PRZ.
The stock is trading inside a small descending Triangle and we see sellers pressure pushing the price lower and lower inside the tight range.
Break of the Triangle will probably lead to the support zone (structure and trend line).
It will be a buying opportunity for the bulls among you.. I'm more interested in what goes on below 103.
Multiple bearish signs in the weekly and the daily chart. Monitor closely.
Join the Market Zone and join the Elite Zone members for more trading ideas like this one.
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Harmonic pattern scores big - Weekly Markets Analysis setupIf you read this week's Weekly Markets Analysis, you probably saw the harmonic pattern I mentioned in $GBPNZD.
The setup is now up by more than 350 pips.
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Fore more trading ideas, sign up for the Weekly Markets Analysis - For free..
4H harmonic pattern near important weekly support1.2 zone is a very important support zone. We saw some significant rallies from this zone (with the help of the Swiss bank).
We see in the chart a harmonic pattern that the price tried to violate and failed (spike low).
The price currently is below minor resistance (red). A break above this resistance could mean the execution of the bullish pattern
1.2065 is the initial intra-day target for a bullish move.
1.208 is the second.
If the resistance hold, 1.2 is the bears target level. at 1.2 I would look for a double bottom.
Elite Zone trade example - 80 pips in $AUDUSD The first setup was based on 4H harmonic pattern, completed near 0.937. Target 1 was reached within short time.
After small pullback, we used the 4H trend line and the minor structure zone to time another entry. That setup sent this pair all the way to Target 2.
$BAC - Summer rally is over? Second attempt to break the strong daily resistance zone I marked in the chart. Also testing the X point of a bearish Cypher pattern. Do you think that $BAC can break it? I think that it can be a good place to try and short here (still need to see daily close today - Bearish candle will be nice here near this zone)
In case that it will break, you have pattern completion near 17.6$.
Scenario 1 - Resistance Zone setup
Scenario 2 - Harmonic pattern completion.
Elite Zone setup - 3 harmonic patterns = 300 pipsThis setup, sent to the Elite Zone members before yesterday's GBP economic events.
Bearish Gartley, bearish Bat and bearish Cypher - Confluence of three harmonic trading patterns right near the 2.0 round number.
Setup just reached its secondary target level - 300 pips.
Perfect example of the king of trades Elite Zone members receive each week for stocks and FX.
Will $NFLX complete the AB=CD pattern?After breaking down the reversal pattern I mentioned previously, $NFLX managed to hold on a daily support zone (mostly due to market's strength). Breaking below 428$ can lead $NFLX to the completion of AB=CD pattern. That will be the first wave in a stronger downward move based on Weekly chart analysis.
Will NFLX complete this target today?
I believe it will reach it, if not today, than by the end of the week.
Bullish setup in $ANR?Double bottom with strong bullish divergence.
Daily trading channel that can act as possible Wedge reversal.
Potential targets are marked in the chart as resistance zones.
Weekly bearish harmonic trading pattern in $GBPCHFWeekly pattern completed 2 weeks ago. Still no signs of weakness, but there are some elements in the daily chart that can be used as bearish signal if occur.
Read the full setup in the Weekly Markets Analysis newsletter.
Press the link below:
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