Solana - Wyckoff Mark Up ExampleSolana vs. Wyckoff Logic
SOLUSD example of mark up in the Wyckoff logic schematic. If unfamilar, there are market phases according to Wyckoff Logic:
Accumulation: The phase where the market stops falling and begins to form a base, suggesting that demand is starting to overcome supply. It is characterized by a selling climax, where the price falls sharply, and the volume is high, indicating panic selling. After the climax, there is typically a phase of sideways movement, with occasional tests of the lows. This phase is labeled as the cause, setting up for a new upward trend (effect).
Markup: After accumulation, the price starts to rise, signifying that the market is entering the markup phase. This phase is indicated by a rise in price away from the accumulation zone, often with increasing volume, which is interpreted as the start of a new uptrend.
Distribution: This is the phase where the market tops out and is characterized by a buying climax. Supply begins to overcome demand as the "smart money" starts to distribute their holdings to the market. The distribution phase is also labeled as the cause for the subsequent downtrend.
Markdown: Following distribution, the market enters the markdown phase where prices start to fall consistently. This phase is shown by a break of support levels with increasing volume, indicating a strong presence of selling pressure.
The image also depicts the concept of "Volume" with a histogram at the bottom. The volume bars are colored in red and blue, generally indicating selling and buying volume, respectively. The histogram helps traders identify moments of high or low volume, which can be a sign of the strength or weakness of a particular price movement.
Wyckoff's analysis technique is grounded in the study of price action, volume, and time, as they relate to supply and demand. It is a tool for understanding the market's structure and potentially predicting future price movements by identifying the actions of large institutional traders and investors.
Markup
Bulls Ready To Take ItSPY has been undergoing accumulation, markup activated 10/21 above 373.93 (will want to see continuation next week for the path to play out in timeline detailed below):
Initial Target 388-393 by end of October 2022 (SoS)
Slight pullback to 377-382 into early November (BU/LPS)
Estimated trajectory following above scenario:
408-419 by December 2022
371-384 going into Jan 2023, likely will re-accumulate here
Attempt breakout of larger downtrend at 395-400 level around Feb. 2023
Goal Target 515-550 (new ATH) by Summer 2023 to end the 13 year bull cycle ; will begin major distribution there
Bigger picture is SPY shows indication that it has completed wave IV via a tripple combo and has been accumulating to start of wave V.
SNOW is rising this Winter ❄️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
❄️ NYSE:SNOW has been stuck inside a big range in the shape of a symmetrical triangle.
🏹 For the bulls to take over from a long-term perspective , and the Markup phase to start, we need a weekly candle close above the 210 resistance.
Meanwhile, as SNOW approaches the lower bound of the triangle, we will be looking for short-term buy setups on lower timeframes.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Bullish Structure GBPUSDin 4H Structure is Bullish and EX Order Block worked .
in 15min Structure is Bullish because Price Move from 4H EX order block and we have 15min BOS
in 15min we have 1 EX Unmitigated Order Block .
==> if Structure create new 15min BOS we must Fund new LPP and new Order Block .
==> if Structure cant it , we have just 1 ZONE for BUY
BTC Wickoff 2022-2023 Shake out-Mark up?Hi dear community and my lovely followers.
I would like to add another analysis which add more confluence to my previous analyses that BTC is preparing for another huge jump.
As you see I Have drown BTC wickoff accumulation model 2022-2023 which shows that BTC hasn't only bottomed out but also has finished its main accumulation phase/A,B,C,D/ and now it is in a phase E /both profit-taking and acquisition of additional shares (“re-accumulation”) by Smart money/. In phase E can be small shakouts which we show at the moment, stay level headed, keep patience as BTC is preparing for Mark up to 35-37K.
As I published in my previous analyses, I expect BTC to pump from 26K zone and think BTC has bottomed testing 200 weekly MA and 100 daily MA, but the worst case scenario could be test of previous support zone at 24.2-25K where Smart money will add their bags before new highs.
I don't expect lower prices specially after taking out huge amount liquidity below 27K and 26.5k. BTW taking into account some bearish chart patterns/like H&S, rising wedge breakdown/ 99% expect 25K and even lower prices, as a contrarian trader I always go against the herd and expect bounce from this zone/although I have plan for both scenarios/.
Don't forget to check my previous analyses/below this one/ where I shows you what are other factors which force me to expect higher prices. Don't be shake out, BTC will surprice everyone. I will also add more charts below this one, where you can find very interesting views.
Don't forget to follow, like, comment, retweet. I will appreciate any kind of support.
Have a good day , I wish you good trades.
EURUSD 12TH MARAfter the NFP on Friday, Euro USD has been left in a bit of a middle ground. Looking at what we have directly in front of us with this price action, we have a clear unmitigated one hour supply above along with a demand at the base of our impulsive shift and with the demand, we also have clear trend line equality which looks too clean to be left.
So following what we said about gold, I'm looking for either a downward shift to lead us into a corrective push up, Or a push high to lead us into the corrective, move to the downside.
Make sure that you always use your confirmations to get into a trade and always be flexible with your analysis. Remember, sticking to your trading plan and consistently entering the same setups will bring you profitability.
If you like this idea, drop us a boost and a comment down below.
We hope you all have a profitable and successful trading week.
P2P | DXY - Let the manipulation beginSo we can see the trade was activated on the push up into the zone. Typically most of my setups are based on 1-2 trades, whereas I will place a 2nd trade if my 1st trade was to get stopped out.
I will allow a 2 - trade setup as long as it makes sense to me and I'm comfortable with my amount of risk.
EURUSD Trade Breakdown Hello traders
-Today we had a trade on EUR/USD which is currently in profit due to the NEWS event.
- In the next steps, we will break down this trade and explain why it is risky to trade if you have strong news.
- Chart breakdown
1) On the left side you can see that the major low has not been broken, therefore the price has the potential to continue bullish.
2) Negative confirmations are bearish reactions and big wicks that you can see at the end of momentum.
3) The price is in an overall corrective PA, the structure is more bullish than bearish because we have not broken the major low.
4) But be careful with such trades because we had a lot of negative confirmations, you have to breakdown the whole chart and then make a decision for the trade.
WARNING!
-Strong news was present here. The news was on our side in this case. But be careful when trading the NEWS event, because the main reason why some prop trade firms do not allow you to trade the NEWS event is "slippage". If "slippage" happens there is a chance that the price will "forget" you SL and you will lose more than you should have.
-That was all about this part, if you want more education like this, don't forget to leave a like and write us a comment if something is not clear to you.
EURUSD Price Action BreakdownHello guys 👋
- This is the first video on our profile. We want to break down the chart as best as possible and show you our view of the chart with the help of a video. Leave a comment and like if you want more clips like this.
Forecasting in forex helps us prepare as well as possible for a potential entry and reduce the chance that emotions will affect us. Forecasting should be done at least twice every day, in the morning and night. On the weekends, you can do the forecast only once. Higher and lower timeframes should be analyzed during the weekends in preparation for the coming week.
1D timeframe chart breakdown
1)Daily Timeframe shows us that the price moved in a long downtrend.
2)At the end of the downtrend, we see that the price has made a Change of Character, and we notice the presence of Bullish Orderflow, which indicates that we can expect the beginning of an uptrend.
3)After a long downtrend, the price finally breaks the descending structure with strong bullish momentum, which indicates that we can expect the beginning of an uptrend.
4)After the bullish momentum, we see that the price has slowed down with the momentum (weakness), but again we see the presence of bullish order flow + EURUSD has the characteristic of going up impulsively from this kind of price action + it has a lot of liquidity to pick up.
5)In the end, the price is bullish, but it can easily change to bearish
1D timeframe forecast:
1)We see a nice change of character after a long downtrend, nice bullish momentum, bullish order flow, and we can expect the price to continue bullish.
2)The price has left wicks that tell us that the price has no more momentum to continue upward, and we expect a reversal to happen.
3)If we see a corrective pullback, wicks will be respected, and we can expect a continuation of the uptrend.
4H Timeframe chart breakdown
1)We see that we are moving in a longer ascending channel, and we see that: we are placing new HHs; we make impulses, corrections, impulses, which indicates that we will continue to move in the ascending channel.
2)But this is EURUSD, and we know we can expect to see a smaller ASC PA after this PA and see a trend change or continuation to the upside from this PA.
3)In the end, we have no bias, and we look at what will most likely happen and react to it.
4H timeframe forecast:
1)We see that the price is placing new HHs, and we notice an impulse correction impulse movement, so we can expect the price to continue to place new HHs and continue bullish.
2)After a longer ASC channel, EURUSD likes to make a smaller ASC PA and then change the trend, so we can expect that.
1H timeframe chart breakdown:
1) Currently, we see a very corrective PA; the price is between high and low.
2) we also see that the price moves from des PA to asc PA, which indicates a correction.
1H timeframe forecast:
1) Here, we expect a correction because everything points to it
2) There is a chance that the price will go bullish because they make an inverted head and shoulders pattern, but we do not want to trade in such a PA
Don't forget to leave a like and comment for more posts like this.
EU 1D TF Chart Markup Hello traders.
This is EUR/USD 1D timeframe.
In this analysis, you will see a detailed breakdown of this pair and my forecast.
IMPORTANT
-It is very important that you read every part of the PA, so that you can better understand the PA and the language of the market. We will start with a detailed breakdown from left to right.
Chart recap
1. Here we can see that the price is in a long downtrend, after the reaction from the first supply zone , we see a nice bearish momentum.
2. After the impulsive BOS price leaves wicks, when we see wicks, it tells us that the price has no more momentum, but in this situation, the wicks are respected because the price went correctively towards the supply zone .
3. After a long downtrend, the price finally breaks the supply zone , here we see a change of character and bullish momentum.
4. When the price makes an impulsive change of character where we see momentum is present, we can expect a change in trend.
5. In the end, the price left wicks, which tells us that the price has no more momentum.
Forecast
1. We see a nice change of character after a long downtrend, and here we expect a change in trend.
2.The price has left wicks that tell us that the price has no more momentum.
3.If we see a corrective pullback, wicks will be respected, and we can expect a continuation of the uptrend.
4.That's all about this analysis, if you have any additional questions, drop a comment down below.
The Shop Model - Trading Mindset This is a look into the way I see markets and how I see my trading using the Wyckoff Method and comparing it to standard business models. More of a mindset video but I feel is very useful when trading and seeing your trading as a business.
Let me know what you think,
Cheers for watching
Main Expected Path & Alt PathMapped out the most likely (solid green) and 2nd most likely (dashed black) trajectories:
Most likely:
174 by 10/19/2022
152 by 10/21
204 by 10/31
184 by 11/3
216 by 11/9/2022
2nd most likely/alt. (would take longer to play out than main path, see dates on chart):
195
162
247
215
267
HUBS updateI posted the idea yesterday on turkey 101, here is the precise expectations:
- drop to ~353 by mid next week, small bounce then continuation to the 332-340 range to complete wave 4 before August concludes
- wave 5 will be around 438-456 and realized in December
Cool company, among the most volatile names, went from 90 in Mar 2020 because of covid to 860s in 1.5 years - got discounted appropriately (perhaps over-discounted) and now investors have seen what it can do - earnings supported that and reaction was over exuberant, now need to retrace and will get bot up in the 330-350 range in coming weeks. meantime short it
Should get InterestingI posted bigger picture bullish predictions for ETH end of June and July when it was under 1100 predicting a rally to 1700-1800 - my expectations then was derived from the accumulation structure I observed around the bottom and those were markup targets. At the time my upper resistance was 2333.
Given the information contained in the price action since then I can now give more precise predictions near term:
- Expecting an expanded flat (EF) to form here over the next few weeks that will provide a structure allowing attempted break of my adjusted resistance of 2265 at or around the intersection of the downtrend resistance (light red line) since November
- More upside to 2012-2172 in the coming days before the A wave of the EF begins - the A wave will likely conclude in the upper 1600s
- The B wave would then test the 2265 resistance for the first time and that will be expected to fail resulting in a rapid sell off to upper 1300s-low 1500s (wave C of the EF), which will complete the bullish impulse and subsequent corrective wave off the lows (I didn't draw in the count but we are currently in wave 5 (should conclude around 2012-2172)).
This is just one scenario that is most likely based on my control charts and level mapping.
- alternatively we go ahead and test the 2265 resistance from here and then begin a corrective wave (the levels will change slightly if so but essentially the drop would be from 2265 to 1300-1600 range, and then re-attempt breakout).
- The common expectation I've seen is that this is something along the lines of bear market rally, and thats possible, however, the accumulation would not have been as strong as we've seen. Also, even if it is this latter case the overall market is over-shorted and a squeeze could unfold (or has already started) making my predictions still correct albeit for the wrong reasons.
I haven't missed on ETH recently but we'll see. The black path is my expected projection.
EURUSD - Wyckoff Cycle In Action!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst.
I found EURUSD Weekly chart a great practical example of Wyckoff's Theory.
As per Wyckoff Price Cycle, we are most probably entering in an accumulation phase.
and yes, it is still too early to judge, as for the accumulation phase to start, we will need a consolidation as highlighted in purple.
If we get our consolidation, for the markup to start, we will need a momentum candle close above the gray zone.
Meanwhile, until the bulls take over, we are still bearish and EURUSD can still trade lower to form a new lower low, then an accumulation phase.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? and Why?
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Monster Run Starts 7/11Updated details from my post on Friday 7/8. That was done in a hurry with the primary message being "seize the opportunity and Buy while its still in the 700s"... Here are my expectations after running a full analysis - I should note that the method I am using to calculate targets is my own, the Elliot Wave shown is just a supplemental check I use to confirm the move I am seeing coming using my method is plausible with respect to the larger structure:
- Pre-earnings target = 917.61, with the most explosive part of the move coming next week (7/11/2022 - 7/15/2022). There might be some resistance around 822-853, but I think it has the setup to squeeze right past it with consecutive big green days.
- After testing low 900s as a sign of strength, it might pullback/consolidate going into earnings. Post-ER target range is 955-984, and in the right environment it can even test the major resistance around 1150. I'll re-eval from there when the time comes.
Markup was activated with a break above 747.90, and then close above deep purple trendline Friday 7/8. We already got a taste of TSLAs strength above the 747 after hours 7/8 when if got to as high as 777 after Elon withdrew from the Twitter deal. He knows what he's doing.
Regards,
Grimes
we are from the dimension that exists in Your future, translated in Our past via R.E.M. within the dimension that exists in Your present... or did
Price Doubling Markup BrewingMajor major accumulation here. Can see in the DMI and stochastic, as well as the chart.
Activation of markup is above 98. My initial target is the 111-127 range by July 11-15th. If it makes it above 133 I expect it to continue to as high as 177 by August (post-earnings).
Goal Target by July 25th is 152-157. The yellow, orange, red zones are profit taking area - not financial advice but I like the July and August calls from 95-110, take some off in yellow, more off in orange, more in red zones. It will likely need to consolidate or pullback before attempting to break 133.
Look to Roku's past for evidence it has major runs in it, my belief is that the time for the next major run is about to begin.