Marriott International Share Price Prediction {25/june/2024}Educational Analysis says Marriott International may move in this range for some time according to my technical.
Broker -
This is not an entry signal. I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
Why this range?
Because the 15-minute time frame has made Change of Character show signs of weakness of the bear run, maybe long for the premium level in the 4-hour time frame, plus 1 min time frame has turned bullish also has Change of Character look on
Let's see what this pair brings to the table in the future for us.
Please check the Comment section on how it turned out for this trade.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
Marriott
Marriott International (Nasdaq: MAR) Looks StrongMarriott International (Nasdaq: MAR) Looks Strong
In today's market landscape, identifying lucrative trading opportunities requires a keen eye for detail and a systematic approach. That's why I'm excited to share with you a prime opportunity offered by Marriott International (Nasdaq: MAR).
Marriott International stands tall as the second largest hotel company globally, boasting an extensive portfolio of properties across the globe.
Despite the challenges posed by the pandemic, Marriott has maintained a robust upward trajectory, continually enhancing key performance metrics like average daily rate, revenue per available room, and occupancy rate.
At the heart of our trading strategy lies Speciale Analysis, a meticulously crafted framework designed to pinpoint winning trades with precision and confidence.
Let's break down why Marriott International ticks all the boxes in our approach:
1. MAR isn't just any stock; it's a Nasdaq 100 constituent, currently holding the 48th spot in the index with a market cap of $73.87 billion. Its significant presence in the market sets the stage for potential lucrative returns.
2. Marriott's financials speak volumes. With revenues skyrocketing from $10.57 billion in 2020 to a staggering $23.71 billion in 2023, the company has doubled its earnings over just three years, surpassing our Sigma 180 benchmark of 15% growth within the same timeframe.
3. Our fundamental and technical approach acts as a crucial combination of indicators, signaling opportune moments for trading consideration. When a stock like MAR dips like it has - ultimately placing a higher low, it suggests that selling pressure is likely nearing exhaustion, paving the way for a promising buying opportunity.
With all assessments pointing skyward, it's now your turn to decide Marriott International could be your next profitable trade setup.
In the ever-evolving world of trading, having the right tools and insights at your disposal can make all the difference . . .
Happy Trading,
Speciale Analysis
Marriott - Opportunity for 50% Short Trade?Given the poor performance of Marriott business in 2020 and 2021 associated with lockdowns and geopolitical risks that may worsen revenue flows is it time to short this stock?
Let's look at it in more detail.
Fundamental indicators:
Revenue and Profits - not consistent long-term earnings growth over the past 10 years, 2020 and 2021 have seen dramatic drop in revenue
Profit margin - average 7-9%, but there was profit loss in 2021
P/E - extremely high with 36x ratio
Liabilities - historically high debt to equity ratio which may hurt with increasing interest rates
Technical Analysis (Elliott Waves):
Following the sharp correction of March 2020 shares of Marriott have enjoyed considerable growth. However, this bull run is difficult to associate with an impulse like structure
Hence it is more likely to be wave X of a Running Correction
Since the peak in April 2022 we can observe an initial impulse developing to the downside which is likely to be wave A of a zigzag, or first wave of an impulse
Looking at the lower timeframe we can still expect waves 4 and 5 to complete this impulse before an upward correction
Given the next earning report is scheduled for August 2022 and the risks associated with business in Russia it may be possible that this report will be the trigger for sell off
What do you think about Marriott and its short term prospects?
Also let me know if you would like to see other stocks, indices, Forex or Crypto analysed using Elliott Waves.
Thanks
Crucial Area for MAR: bullish MACD diverg: Bear Trap, BreakoutCrucial area for MAR.
Slight bullish MACD divergence forming with bullish cross likely in next few days. Potential bear trap occurred on June 28th as price broke below support but has since regained that support level. Clear descending triangle pattern is coming to a head in the next few days as price moves up towards trendline resistance.
Descending Triangle is usually considered a bearish pattern, but given the MACD divergence, the potential bear trap that resolved higher, the longer term bullish stock trend, and the narrative of pent up travel demand, I'm inclined to play for a breakout. Will change my mind if price makes a lower low below the "bear trap" and or dips below the 200 day, roughly $130.
Have been long the stock since 2.22.2021 at $144.96. Long call options as of 7/01/2021.
Marriott bullish inclined defensive options - 18 Sep ExpiryRolling on my previous MAR trade that expired on the 28 Aug. I decided to continue with MAR as price on the 25 Aug seemed to be having trouble rising. RSI was also at a high band of 65. Overall, price seemed to be pretty predictable and not volatile at this point.
As my defensive trade is focused on picking off premium. I do not expect price to rise and as such, I structured a bullish inclined trade with a Max gain at strike 109.96 ($1677) and breakeven at 111.27. Hoping that my contracts can just expiry worthless.
If price ranges or goes bearish I will collect est. $1079
Sold 14 Calls @ 0.93, Strike 110
Bought 1 Call @ 2.13 Strike 104
BP block: 13k
Marriott bullish inclined defensive options - 28 Aug ExpiryThe hotel industry is one of the weaker sectors due to COVID-19. 8 Months deep into the pandemic price volatility has stabilised. With earnings recently over Implied volatility seems to have returned to the previous range. I don't think people will be rushing into this sector anytime soon.
This is perfect for my options strategy which does not do so well against price gaps or rapid movements.
after a few months of trading ETFs with this defensive strategy, I have decided to widen my opportunities. Trading stocks at key price points seems like a good extension. The goal is to incline my trade towards the direction of the key price point break. If it doesn't break, I still get to collect the spread.
This is a defensive trade. If price goes bullish, I have a chance to hit my max gain of est. $1668. But I must close the contract before it rises beyond my breakeven point where I will start losing.
If prices don't go my way (Bearish) or ranges I will collect est. $520
Sold 14 Calls @ 0.64, Strike 110
Bought 1 Call @ 3.70 Strike 98.5
BP block: 13k
MAR: Easily a $100 Short Target + Some Long PotentialFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on an opinion based basis. That being said, I am realistically expecting Marriott Hotels to have some higher support levels the next few days, and hit that $100 price mark real soon. Personally, if I were to get this stock, I would sell at $100, and reinvest at higher growth stocks (though it is still going to go up). This means it has long potential as well, but may not be in the interest of a Quant like me.
Marriott - MAR Technical AnalysisNASDAQ:MAR
The idea might be to:
Go short for a short term investment until the green trend line;
Long Term - Go long, but wait for the right signal to buy.
Fundamental Information
Regional destinations that guests can get to by car will be the first to rebound, Marriott CFO Leeny Oberg
said Monday after the hotel operator reported dismal earnings .
“As some beaches in the U.S. reopened, we saw transient bookings increase quickly,” Oberg told CNBC.
“So far, group cancellations have been concentrated in the first half of 2020,” she added.
Accor in the + despite global hotels chains fallingMy most recent post was also about Accor(AC), and since the most recent news about Marriott I'm assured we have a long way to go. with Mariott now down with 65% which I estimate will bounce between 5-10%. this realistically still leaves room for another 10-20% drop for Accor hotels. take my news as you want, but Accor made big investment into buying another hotel group last Friday, of which I estimate the price was based on the early-corona stages.
asides from this the Accor group has a total revenue of about 5,5bil, where the services are responsible for about 1,5 bil. which leaves a large quantity of their business very vulnerable.
bottom is around €18 current puts based on a price around €22,8
Marriott International american stock buy setups at demand levelMarriott International american stock buy opportunities at new demand levels. Very strong monthly demand level took control at $104, the strength of that impulsive move is the strongest one for months on this american stock. Monthly is in an uptrend and there is a very strong monthly demand in control, no shorts are allowed.
There is also a weekly demand level located around $100 right within that monthly demand that is also in control and playing out. In an uptrend we buy demand levels and that is what is going on right now on Marriott International american stock. We are looking to go long again if we get new demand zones created.
This supply and demand technical trading analysis and bias could help you make a more educated trading decision in your own trading strategy since you now know there is a very strong bullish bias with such a strong monthly demand imbalance in control and new demand zones being created in lower timeframes.
We do not take into consideration any fundamental analysis, no earnings announcements or volume, we do not need any of that to make a trading decision based on supply and demand imbalances. We just need to know where those imbalances are located and what is the bigger picture trend on the stock.
You can also use various options strategies to take longs at demand imbalances, long calls, spreads or any other strategy that you might have on your trading plan.
Does it really matter that Kaskela Law LLC announced a shareholder class action lawsuit against Marriott international, Inc. and encourages investors to contact the firm. Well, what can we say about it? We do not really care about that as long as the long term bias is bullish and there are strong demand zones in control like the one now on the monthly timeframe.
$MAR Long Idea$MAR has been bull flagging for the past three months and has just broken out of its channel. It is riding above all key moving averages (8,21 EMA + 50,200 MA) and now pushing up against $139.50-$140 resistance level , after a strong hammer with volume off 134.40 support. A break above 140 will most likely send it to test $145 then all time highs. Implied volatility is at its lowest in months making the option chain even more attractive.