Mastercard
Mastercard Always Drops When This HappensMastercard has been in a bull trend since 2013. On five occasions through this bull, three of the technical indicators discussed below are at the same or higher levels than they are now. I have laid out the reasons and levels to which the stock may dip while it most likely continues its overall bull trend.
When we look at technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 76.2216. RSI tends to determine trends, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. Currently the RSI is oversold.
The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.3193 and the negative is at 0.5613. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The positive and negative values are currently at extreme levels which the stock always retreats.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 95.5822 and D value is 96.0369. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The stochastic is currently overbought. The D value just crossed above the K value meaning the stock is most likely beginning its descent.
Since the current long-term bull began in 2013, there have been five times when the RSI and the positive VI were at or above their current close while the stochastic was also overbought. These occasions led to a drop in the stock. The median drop occurs over 10 trading days and results in a 5.97% loss. The minimum drop on these occasions was 3.19%.
Considering the RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction favors a move to the downside. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the fund could drop at least 3% over the next 25 trading days if not sooner.
VISAmoney.cnn.com
en.wikipedia.org
visa is a short candidate. It is making a triangle pattern. If you see the red dotted line and the light green dotted line then this triangle formation may continue till next quarter of 2017 latest. But technical indicators are weak anyway. Charles Scharf need to sell his VISA stock and options as soon as possible to avoid any loss.
Mastercard reached it's wave 5 target, correction has startedMastercard seems to have completed a 5 waves rise since 2006. Therefore we are expecting a 3 waves process correction over the next few months or years starting with a wave A with a target around $79.
*Disclosure: I am short MA at the moment of this publication. This is only an idea and shouldn't be taken as an investment advice.
#MA #MASTERCARD possible medium probability short idea#MA #MASTERCARD possible short idea (Cypher Pattern)
must wait for confirmation like double top
be mindful of wedge pattern
possible 3drives pattern too
Do you own analysis but I hope this give you some useful ideas, don't forget to hit the like button :) Thanks
Master Card - Fundamental + ChartMaster Card has had a great run, and now we've got a tremendous amount of new volume post split which has added to the volatility of the stock. Combine that with "this quarter's dooms day sayers" for stocks and we have a nice story to begin building a position in this stock. This is not a bottom call, but for all of those longer term investors, its a call to start dollar cost averaging into this name.
I've highlighted a Fib series that has been stable since September 2010, so we've had a great run, with lots of points to pull back too, and so, I've also highlighted several $/share points which correspond with the stocks "fair value:" based on discounted cash flow analysis, FCF growth rates.
Also, want to highlight this great call on the down turn and counter point to the valuation here:
The counter point to the stock split has been made here:
seekingalpha.com
