CAPCOM CO.CAPCOM Stock Soars to All Time High After RE4 Remake Is the Latest in a Seemingly Unending String of Success
CAPCOM shares opened at 4,780 today and have now slightly decreased to 4,840, which is still a 2.22% increase. As you can see from the chart, the Japanese publisher and developer has been mostly on a roll over the past few years, owing to a long string of successful game releases. Around seven years ago, things were much different. In 2016, CAPCOM released the Resident Evil Origins Collection, a rather low-effort compilation of Resident Evil and Resident Evil Zero remasters; Street Fighter V, which was supposed to take the world of fighting games by storm but largely failed due to scarce single player content and poor performance during online multiplayer matches; Umbrella Corps, a generic third-person shooter that even the Resident Evil IP couldn't save from being thoroughly panned by critics and fans alike; and Dead Rising 4, which while decent couldn't save CAPCOM Vancouver from being closed less than two years after its release due to poor sales and the cancellation of the studio's next projects.
The rise of the famed developer began in early 2017 with the release of Resident Evil VII: Biohazard, which is largely credited as the spark that reignited CAPCOM's creativity. The developers took a gamble, moving their prized survival horror IP to a completely different playstyle and setting. For the first time in the series, players didn't take charge of a trained cop or member of the special forces but of an ordinary guy who, while desperately looking for his missing wife, finds himself living a nightmare in a godforsaken, sun-drenched spot in Louisiana. Amping up the horror factor was the choice to abandon the third-person camera in favor of first-person view.
The risk paid off. The game sold well and was hailed as a return to form for the developer, delivering a momentum that even the stumble of Marvel vs. Capcom Infinite couldn't break.Then, in early 2018, CAPCOM found itself an even bigger golden goose with Monster Hunter: World, which over time became the best-selling game ever made by the Japanese studio. Previously only popular in Japan, World made the franchise far more accessible and palatable to Western audiences.
The rest, as they say, is history. Resident Evil 2, Devil May Cry 5, Resident Evil 3, Monster Hunter Rise, Resident Evil Village, and last but certainly not least, the Resident Evil 4 remake that just sold over three million copies in two mere days since its launch.
Looking ahead, Street Fighter 6 is poised to redeem even the legendary fighting franchise, at least according to the preview impressions. On the other hand, the next CAPCOM game may turn out to be less than successful. The Japanese publisher was savvy enough to partially insulate itself from the risk by taking Microsoft's money and putting it on Game Pass from day one, though.
Then again, not every game can be a hit, and investors are clearly bullish on the company's future prospects, which also include a brand new sci-fi IP (Pragmata, originally scheduled for 2022 but later moved to 2023 and possibly due for another delay given the absence of communication) and the long-awaited Dragon's Dogma 2 by Hideaki Itsuno, which could be another megahit in the making for CAPCOM if it adds online co-op play as most fans are hoping for.
Masterclass
CryptoGPT | GPTCryptoGPT raises funds at a FWB:250 million token valuation
GPT price today is $0.074 USD with a 24hour trading volume of 14 million dollar. CryptoGPT is up 12% in the last 24 hours
CryptoGPT announced raising HKEX:10 million from DWF Labs at a FWB:250 million token valuation but only HKEX:420 ,000 of the total amount has thus far been invested by DWF Labs, CryptoGPT co-founder and CTO Dejan Erja. CryptoGPT, a zero-knowledge layer 2 blockchain network attempting to leverage the success of artificial intelligence. The GPT token was launched last month and its current fully diluted valuation stands at around FWB:210 million, lower than what DWF invested
after making almost 3X since listing and a correction it tries to hit 0.079, 0.085, 0.089 and 0.093$ targets
short entry with limit order on an areas of OB and OFhello guys I wish you the best.
i had an opportunity to enter with limit order in the direction of the institutional foot print therfore I just set and forget with the SL and TP about a day before market give me the opportunity to be a part of it. now I just chill and look at it .
cheers 🥂.
Trading Psychology – FOMOJS-Masterclass – FOMO (Fear of Missing Out)
Definition
FOMO – Fear of Missing Out - is a relatively recent addition to the English language, but one that is intrinsic to our day-to-day lives. A true phenomenon that affects many traders and can be a major hurdle to become a successful trader.
For instance, the feeling of missing out could lead to the entering of trades without enough thought, or to closing trades at inopportune moments because it’s what others seem to be doing. It can even cause traders to risk too much capital due to a lack of research, or the need to follow the herd. For some, the sense of FOMO created by seeing others succeed is only heightened by fast-paced markets and volatility; it feels like there is a lot to miss out on.
To help traders better understand the concept of FOMO in trading and why it happens, this tutorial will identify potential triggers and how they can affect a day trader’s success
WHAT IS FOMO IN TRADING?
FOMO in trading is the Fear of Missing Out on a big opportunity in the markets and is a common issue many traders will experience during their careers. FOMO can affect everyone, from new traders with retail accounts through to professional and institutional traders.
In the modern age of social media, which gives us unprecedented access to the lives of others, FOMO is a common phenomenon. It stems from the feeling that other traders are more successful, and it can cause overly high expectations, a lack of long-term perspective, overconfidence/too little confidence and an unwillingness to wait.
Emotions are often a key driving force behind FOMO which can lead traders to neglect trading plans and disrespect their trading strategy.
Common emotions in trading that can feed into FOMO include Greed, Fear, Excitement, Jealousy, Impatience and Anxiety
CHARACTERISTICS OF A FOMO TRADER
Traders who act on FOMO will likely share similar traits and be driven by a particular set of assumptions. Below is a list of the top things that guide a FOMO traders’ behavior:
1. Listen too much to the news. ‘They are all doing it so it must be a good idea’.
2. Be too much focused on potential profits versus thinking risk first.
3. Not sure but just let’s give it a go.
4. Getting frustrated in hindsight: ‘OMG, I should have seen this coming’.
5. This will be a great opportunity and if I do too much analysis, I will miss this great opportunity.
What factors contribute to FOMO trading?
FOMO is an internal feeling, but one that can be caused by a range of situations. Some of the external factors that could lead to a trader experiencing FOMO are:
• Volatile markets. FOMO isn’t limited to bullish markets where people want to hop on a trend – it can creep into our psyche when there is market movement in any direction. No trader wants to miss out on a good opportunity
• Big winning streaks. Buoyed up by recent wins, it is easy to spot new opportunities and get caught up in them. And it’s fine, because everyone else is doing it, right? Unfortunately, winning streaks don’t last forever
• Repetitive losses. Traders can end up in a vicious cycle: entering a position, getting scared, closing out, then re-entering another trade as anxiety and disappointment arise about not holding out. This can eventually lead to bigger losses
• News and rumours. Hearing a rumour circulating can heighten the feeling of being left out –traders might feel like they’re out of the loop
• Social media. The mix of social media and trading can be toxic when it looks like everyone is winning trades. It’s important not to take social media content at face value, and to take the time to research influencers and evaluate posts.
JS-Masterclass: Sell Alerts / RulesJS-Masterclass #10: Sell Alerts / Sell Rules
In recent tutorials, we have covered different techniques and ways to identify low-risk entry points. We have talked about the perfect buy points and several entry patterns.
In this tutorial, we will discuss general rules for selling once we have entered a trade. Also, we will present a comprehensive list of warning signals which suggest to close a trade long before hitting the Stop-Loss.
1. Selling into strength
By far the best option for a swing-trader is to sell into strength. You will feel like a hero once you have mastered this technique!
Here are some guidelines for that:
a) Sell if you have achieved a gain which is a multiple of your risk. The minimum gain before selling into strength should be 2x the risk. Consider selling half and moving stop on remaining position to breakeven.
b) If your profit is more than your average gain and a multiple of your risk (generally 2-3x) consider trailing a stop or selling half and moving your stop up. You could also “backstop” your average gain or an amount you want to lock in.
c) The stock is extended and opens up on a gap; consider selling at least half or trail a tight stop.
2. Selling into weakness
a) The price hits pre-determined stop-loss – OUT… NO QUESTIONS! You will have to stick to this discipline before you will become a successful trader.
b) The stock closes below 20-day moving average, below your purchase price soon after a breakout from volatility contraction pattern; reduce shares when you have 3-4 days of lower lows without supportive action on day 3-4. This increases the odds of a failure.
c) Heavy selling with full retracement soon after low volume breakout. This is a bad signal – get out of the trade.
d) Key reversal on heavy volume when stock is extended – sell at least half.
3. Sell Alerts
Stocks will flash warning signals long before a big decline. Here are some to watch for:
a) Accelerated rate of advance (parabolic “blow-off” price action)
b) After extended move stock moves up 25-50% in 1-3 weeks (12 of 15 days up over 3 weeks)
c) Largest up day since beginning of move (look for reversal or churning over the next 1-4 trading days). This could mean that the stock is in its final leg up and almost exhausted.
d) Largest daily price spread since advance started
e) Largest weekly price spread since beginning of advance
f) Exhaustion gaps (after stock is extended – usually 2nd or 3rd gap )
g) New high on low volume which sometimes indicates the beginning of a phase 3
h) Heavy volume with little price progress (stalling action)
i) Drop below the 50-day moving average line on the heaviest daily volume since beginning of move
j) Largest one-day decline since beginning of move
k) Largest weekly decline on huge volume
l) Downwards action on large volume
How to Pick the next Winners? CAN-SLIMA successful trading strategy starts with sound stock selection criteria. Our JS-TechTrading strategy combines the timeless and success proven principles of Mark Minervini's SEPA (R) analysis and William O'Neils' CAN-SLIM (R) methodology.
This tutorial describes the CAN-SLIM (R) methodology in detail:
CAN-SLIM refers to the acronym developed by the American stock research and education company Investor's Business Daily (IBD). IBD claims CAN-SLIM represents the seven characteristics that top-performing stocks often share before making their biggest price gains. It was developed in the 1950s by Investor's Business Daily founder William O'Neil. The method was named the top-performing investment strategy from 1998-2009 by the American Association of Individual Investors.
CAN-SLIM is a growth stock investing strategy formulated from a study of stock market winners dating back to 1953 in the book How to Make Money in Stocks: A Winning System In Good Times or Bad. This strategy involves implementation of both technical analysis and fundamental analysis.
The objective of the strategy is to discover leading stocks before they make major price advances. These pre-advance periods are "buy points" for stocks as they emerge from price consolidation areas (or "bases"), most often in the form of a "cup-with-handle" chart pattern, of at least 7 weeks on weekly price charts.
The strategy is one that strongly encourages cutting all losses at no more than 7% or 8% below the buy point, with no exceptions, to minimize losses and to preserve gains. It is stated in the book, that buying stocks of solid companies should generally lessen chances of having to cut losses, since a strong company (good current quarterly earnings-per-share growth, annual growth rate, and other strong fundamentals) will usually shoot up—in bull markets—rather than descend. Some investors have criticized the strategy when they didn't use the stop-loss criterion; O'Neil has replied that you have to use the whole strategy and not just the parts you like.
O'Neil has stated that the CANSLIM strategy is not momentum investing, but that the system identifies companies with strong fundamentals—big sales and earnings increases which is a result of unique new products or services—and encourages buying their stock when they emerge from price consolidation periods (or "bases") and before they advance dramatically in price.
The seven parts of the acronym are as follows:
1. C stands for Current quarterly earnings. Per share, current earnings should be up at least 25% in the most recent financial quarter, compared to the same quarter the previous year. Additionally, if earnings are accelerating in recent quarters, this is a positive prognostic sign.
2. A stands for Annual earnings growth, which should be up 25% or more over the last three years. Annual returns on equity should be 17% or more
3. N stands for New product or service, which refers to the idea that a company should have continuing development and innovation. This is what allows the stock to emerge from a proper chart pattern and achieve a new price. A notable example of this is Apple's iPhone.
4. S stands for Supply and demand. A gauge of a stock's demand can be seen in the trading volume of the stock, particularly during price increases.
5. L stands for Leader or laggard? O'Neil suggests buying "the leading stock in a leading industry." This somewhat qualitative measurement can be more objectively measured by the Relative Price Strength Rating of the stock, designed to measure the price performance of a stock over the past 12 months in comparison to the rest of the market based on the S&P 500 (or the S&P/TSX Composite Index for Canadian stock listings) over a set period of time.
6. I stands for Institutional sponsorship, which refers to the ownership of the stock by mutual funds, banks and other large institutions, particularly in recent quarters. A quantitative measure here is the Accumulation/Distribution Rating, which is a gauge of institutional activity in a particular stock.
7. M stands for Market Direction, which is categorized into three - Market in Confirmed Uptrend, Market Uptrend Under Pressure, and Market in Correction. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ are studied to determine the market direction. During the time of investment, O'Neil prefers investing during times of definite uptrends of these indexes, as three out of four stocks tend to follow the general market direction.
JS-Masterclass #6: The Perfect Buy PointThe Perfect Buy Point
A Perfect Buy Point represents the completion of a stock’s consolidation and the potential start of its next advance. After a base pattern has been established, the Perfect Buy Point is where the stock establishes a price level that will act as the trigger to enter a trade.
When a stock’s price level moves through the Perfect Buy Point, there is a high probability that this represents the start of the next advancing phase.
You can also call the Perfect Buy Point a “call to action” price level – it is the optimal buy point.
In the context of a stock’s Volatility Contraction Pattern, a temporary pause (also called a base building process) allows you to set a buy stop to enter a trade. You want to buy as close to thePerfect Buy Point as possible without chasing the stock up more than 1.0%. In this context, the use of buy stop limit orders is recommended.
As a solid consolidation process and the formation of a Volatility Contraction Pattern are needed before a Perfect Buy Point can occur, The Perfect Buy Point can also be considered as the line of least resistance. A stock can move very fast once it crosses this threshold. When a stock breaks through the line of least resistance, the probability is high that the price level will move much higher in a short period of time.
This is the case because this represents an area where supply is low. Therefore, even a small amount of demand can move the stock higher.
The importance of the Volume at the perfect Buy Point
A Volatility Contraction Pattern is needed before a Perfect Buy Point can develop. As explained earlier, supply will stop coming to market at the ed of a valid Volatility Contraction Pattern. This is why we want to see the Volume significantly come down in the day or the couple of days before the Perfect Buy Point develops.
Now, with only very little supply of stock in the market from sellers, even a small amount of buying can move the price up very rapidly as the price level moves through the Perfect Buy Point.
In the ideal case, this move through the perfect Buy Point occurs under heavily increasing volume. This might be an indication that big institutions are putting their big money into the stock.
When all of this comes together, you want to place the order as close to the Perfect Buy Point as possible.
Always wait for the price level to move through the Perfect buy Point!
Some traders will try to get in before the breach of the pivot point to save a few pennies on the trade. Assuming that a stock will break out is dangerous and the breakout may fail. Be patient!
Remember
Even if you respect all these technical requirements of a Perfect Buy Point, you will still get stopped out and incur losses.
BUT: Trading is all about probabilities…respecting these rules will increase your probability to enter profitable trades and significantly outperform other traders and increase your chances to be consistently profitable in the market.
Volatility Contraction PatternJS-Masterclass #4: The Volatility Contraction Pattern
The Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) is a vital concept for successful traders and a key element in our JS-TechTrading strategy. In this tutorial, we will cover the following:
1. Why is it important?
2. The ‘Overhead Supply’ Concept
3. How to identify a VCP?
4. The Perfect Entry Point
1. Why is it important?
The Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) allows us to find stocks which are getting ready to form a very specific low risk entry point at which the potential reward of our trades outweigh the risk.
The main role that VCP plays is establishing a precise entry point at the line of least resistance.
If a stock is under accumulation (large institutions putting their money into the stock), a price consolidation represents a period when strong investors ultimately absorb weak traders. Once the “weak hands” have been eliminated, the lack of ‘overhead supply’ (explanation see below) allows the stock to quickly move higher because even a small amount of demand will overwhelm the negligible inventory. This is referred to as the line of least resistance. Tightness in price from absolute highs to lows and tight closes with little change in price from one day to the next and also from one week to the next can generally found in constructive Volatility Contraction Patterns. These tight areas should be accompanied by a significant decrease in trading volume.
2. The ‘Overhead Supply’ Concept
Any price action in the stock market is the simple result of supply and demand, just like in any other business. If demand is bigger than the supply, the price goes up. If supply outweighs demand, prices are falling, it is as simple as that!
What happens to supply and demand in a Volatility Contraction Pattern?
Point 1: Traders buying at point 1 in the graphic are called ‘Trapped Buyers (TBs)’.
Point 2: the price has fallen and many people think the stock is ‘cheap’ at this price and buy the stock – the so called ‘Bottom Fishers (BFs)’ provide the relevant demand needed to trigger a price increase.
Point 3: the price has come back up to the level at point 1. Now two things happen
a) The Trapped Buyers who bought a price level 1 are very happy to get out of the trade at breakeven after having had paper losses at point 2. The cut their losses (LC) and provide the relevant supply to the market needed to trigger a declining price.
b) The Bottom Fishers take nice quick profits and sell their stocks, providing additional supply to the market which adds to the decline in price.
Points 4, 5, 6: The same concept applies here but as time goes by, the volatility contracts from left to right as fewer and fewer traders provide their demand and supply to the market, the price action dries out like a towel:
3. How to identify a VCP?
A common characteristic of virtually all constructive price structures (those under accumulation) is a contraction of volatility, from greater volatility on the left side of the price base to lesser volatility on the right side in the chart. This pattern needs to be accompanied by specific areas in the base structure where volume contracts significantly:
Let’s look at an example:
In this example, we are seeing a total of 5 contractions from left to right, starting from 1 (ca. 25% decline) to 5 (< 5% decline) under significantly reduced trading volume. This is exactly what we want to see. At the final base 5, supply has stopped coming to market which is the reason for the low trading volume in this time-period.
Due to the lack of supply, only very few demand is needed to push the price significantly higher. We therefore have a high probability of an explosive price increase. Also, we can set our SL just below the final base at 5 which means that our max. risk for this trade is < 5% - our potential reward significantly outweighs our risk.
4. The Perfect Entry Point
When the price breaks out of the right side of the final base under higher volume, we have a perfect entry point. As the supply has stopped coming to market, only little demand is needed to cause an explosive price move upwards. Furthermore, the volatility contraction results in a tight base at the right end of the pattern resulting in a low risk entry point – the Stop-Loss can be set under the low of the latest base structure on the right side of the pattern which is normally in the range of about 5% risk. This is a vital concept for successfully timing the continuation of an existing trend.
Volume Indicators Masterclass Part 1VOLUME INDICATORS
Volume is one piece of information that is often neglected by many market players, especially beginners.
However, learning to interpret volume brings many advantages and could be of tremendous help when it comes to analyzing the markets. The usage of volume indicators has long been restricted to just the Forex Markets. Thereby in the Volume Indicator Masterclass, we will be looking in-depth for a few volume indicators.
Traders often use volume which measures the number of shares traded during a particular time period as a way to assess the significance of changes in a security’s price.
Traders rely on it as a key metric because it lets them know the liquidity level of an asset, and how easily they can get into or out of a position close to the current price, which can be a moving target.
Volume analysis is a technique used to determine the trades you will make by discovering the relationships between volume and prices. In order words, it shows how many times the security has been bought or sold over a given timeframe. The time frame can be one minute, four hours, one day, or anything.
The volume transacted in the given timeframe is represented as a bar, which can be color-coded. The color of the bar shows whether the security’s price closes up or down.
A green bar is generally used to show that the security closed higher during the trading session
A red bar is used to indicate that the security closed lower
The height of the bar shows whether there’s an increase or a decrease in the volume of the security transacted a taller bar shows a higher volume while a shorter bar shows a lower volume.
Trend Confirmation :
If the volume increase with an increase in price or with a decrease in price, it indicates a strong buying or selling pressure.
Trend Non-Confirmation :
If the volume decrease with an increase in price or with a decrease in price, it indicates a weak buying or selling pressure.
There are various Volume Indicators, out of which we will be discussing the Money Flow Index in this Masterclass.
Money Flow Index
The Money Flow Index (MFI) is an oscillator that uses both price and volume to measure buying and selling pressure.
The indicator is synonymous with “volume-weighted RSI” as it integrates volume and mirrors the relative strength index (RSI) with respect to its mathematical formulation and categorical classification as a momentum oscillator MFI.
Calculation of the Money Flow Index:
Typical Price: (High + Low + Close) / 3
Money Flow: Typical Price x Volume
Positive Money Flow: The Money Flow on days where the Typical Price is greater than the previous day’s Typical Price.
Negative Money Flow: The Money Flow on days where the Typical Price is less than the previous day’s Typical Price.
Money Flow Ratio: 14-Period Positive Money Flow / 14-Period Negative Money Flow
Money Flow Index: 100 Money Flow Ratio / (1 + Money Flow Ratio)
Signal Generation
BUY When Money Flow Index crosses up 20 i.e. from the oversold region
SELL When Money Flow Index crosses down 80 i.e. from the overbought region
There a lot of more interesting Volume Indicators that can be used, about which we'll be talking in the next Masterclass of Volume Indicator.
STAY TUNED!
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