Don't dare try to forecast Prices at future. Unless you are GOD.#BTCUSDT #Binance #4HR #Tommy
- Here is BTC 4hr that showed a sharp V shaped bounce around 30K with that long candle tail at bottom and this tells us that the bulls rejected bears very hard thus pushing the price up.
- The new low at 30K is where the log-scaled trendline passes. Reason why we need to watch both the linear and log chart.
- For now, the most significant resistance is located at 41K~42K which I marked it with a red box. This resistance has numerous technical factors overlapping each other.
- Blue downward trendline, bottom of the purple parallel channel, 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level of the corrective wave, 1:1 extension level of the correction wave structure at top, and previous major consolidations are all passing this zone.
- Rather than entering short at this very area, taking action after confirming the breakout of this level sounds like a much safer trade. If BTC breaks this area above, I would be bullish for short-term.
- This breakout is also very meaningful because it means that BTC re-entered the purple parallel channel.
- Some of the short-term resistances to keep our eyes on are 44.5K~45.1K, 48.2K~49.2K, and 50.8K~51.8K.
Masterpattern
If 46K fails supporting, expect some bears!#BTCUSDT #Binance #4hr #Tommy
- Here is Bitcoin 4hr chart. A consolidation zone where price tends to move sideways, is currently being constructed in the range of 46K~51K. Here are some of major points to be updated.
- A strong bottom has been consolidated around 46K which could be speculated from the point that it made about 4 meaningful lows recently. This technical circumstance recommends taking trading actions after this bottom breaks below, rather than entering long here.
- More specifically, entering short once this bottom shows some signals of failure to support or entering long after confirming next support’s reinforcement.
- In a shorter term, green short-term downward trendline has been broken over and if BTC corrects and reaches the retest zone (46700~47400) before 5/17 08:00, entering long with a tight stoploss seems like a nice setup.
- Pay attention to the major downward parallel channels such as the green and orange ones. Observing the bottom of these channels and other technical factors, 43800~444000(valid until 5/21 1700), 41300~42200(Valid until 5/22 13:00), and 38400~39400 seems like some major supports.
- Resistances that could be considered are 51800~52300(Valid until 5/19 21:00), 53800~54400(valid until 5/21 21:00), 57400~58200(valid until 5/21 21:00), and 60400~61300(Valid until 5/22 21:00).
- RSI for 4hr shows that it is moving in a green downward trendline. Within that channel with a shorter term, a purple upward channel also exists, A decent resistance could be expected when RSI reaches the area where these tops overlap each other.
Elon Musk and Bart Simpson are definitely allies.#BTCUSDT #4HR #Binance #Tommy
- Elon Musk is abusing the finance market. Tesla’s recent announcement that they will no longer adopt Crypto technology for their payment system, has shocked the market.
- Technically, a rounded head pattern that signals the trend reversal had been formed before a big correction. Some of the similar patterns that could be interpreted as a possible trend reversal, would be Head&Shoulder, diamond, and cup&handle.
- Anyhow, according to Binance BTCUSDT 4hr chart, Lower Low has been confirmed around 46K. This is not a huge gap so it could also be considered as a double bottom. In Elliott wave perspective, the current bearish momentum being wave C would be my major bearish counting.
- Some of the major supports are 43900~44500(Valid until 5/19 05:00), 41500~42500(Valid5/21 13:00), and 38400~39400.
- Lastly considerable resistances are located at 52300~52800, 53800~54400(Valid until 5/17 13:00), 57400~58200(Valid until 5/19 21:00), and 60500~61200(Valid until 5/23 1:00).
- All of the periodic references are in Korean standard time (UTC+09:00).
GBPUSD | Pound it up dear Pound!Here are some of the major supports that I've recently found for GBPUSD.
- 1.3939~1.3949, 1.3905~1.3915, and 1.3876~1.3886
Long (Valid until 5/14 04:00)
EP: 1.3949
SL: 1.3935 (-14 ticks)
TP1: 1.3972 (+23 ticks)
TP2: 1.3998 (+49 ticks)
Long (Valid until 5/14 19:00)
EP: 1.3915
SL: 1.3901 (-14 ticks)
TP1: 1.3929 (+14 ticks)
TP2: 1.3939 (+24 ticks)
Long (Valid until 5/14 19:00)
EP: 1.3886
SL: 1.3862 (-24 ticks)
TP1: 1.3927 (+41 ticks)
TP2: 1.3944 (+58 ticks)
GBPJPY | Currently in the area to expect high risk reward ratio#GBPJPY #Forex #Weekly #SwingTrades
Considerable Support and Resistance
Support: 140.000~142.500 (Valid until 6/24)
Resistance: 154.500~156.500 (Valid until 5/31)
Short (Valid until 5/31)
EP: 155.500
SL: 158.600 (-3100 pips)
TP1: 149.500 (+6000 pips, RR: 1.94)
TP2: 144.500 (+11127 pips, RR: 3.59)
#GBPJPY #Forex #Weekly #SwingTrades
Considerable Support and Resistance
Support: 140.000~142.500 (Valid until 6/24)
Resistance: 154.500~156.500 (Valid until 5/31)
Short (Valid until 5/31)
EP: 155.500
SL: 158.600 (-3100 pips)
TP1: 149.500 (+6000 pips, RR: 1.94)
TP2: 144.500 (+11127 pips, RR: 3.59)
Consistent rejections... another dip before new highs? - Sharing some thoughts on BTC on 4hr chart.
- The primary factor to monitor would be whether or not the bottom of the yellow upward parallel channel can successfully support BTC. It’s the red box on the chart.
- If it fails supporting, BTC is most likely to get into corrective phase and at least test the bottom at $55200.
- I have marked some of considerable areas to expect decent supports and resistances.
- Rest of the descriptions are written on the chart above.
Legendary and unstoppable Crypto IndustryThis idea is a very vague scenario where I think Bitcoin might be rejected hard.
Maybe a decent area for those traders seeking for a lifetime big-short entry spot.
This technical insight has been deducted using log scaled chart.
To be honest, I personally think it's a very risky idea to search for a prominent short entry.
It's beyond human's capability to "predict" (a word that I hate to use in TA world) the future value of anything.
Especially recent financial industry definitely made human to feel how vulnerable and weak ourselves are.
Don't even try to predict future. It will only make us human being to realize how incompetent we are.
Bitcoin. More correction?#Bitcoin #XBTUSD #Daily #Tommy
- Here is XBT daily chart. After a massive bullrun up until 42k, Bitcoin has broken the blue upward trendline below and has been on its correction phase.
- Making lower highs and lows, it is currently forming a falling wedge. Moreover, it’s testing the support of the inner upward trendline which I have marked it with yellow dotted line.
- At the same time, it is testing the short-term bottom around 30400. It has been a great support for last few days but doesn’t seem that it will last long.
- So for those traders waiting for more correction, make sure the daily candle closes under both the yellow inner trendline and the 30400.
- In Elliott Wave theory perspective, I have interpreted the correction structure as WXY where another 5-3-5 zigzag ABC correction waves are to be expected.
- Here are some of the supports that I am considering.
26500~27500 (valid until 2/4)
23500~24500 (valid until 2/6)
19300~20300 (valid until 2/11)
- Traders wishing to enter long on these supports, make sure to consider the validation date.