MATIC → Polygon Bull Run Near Complete! Reversal Time?Polygon had a beautiful double bottom at the Daily 200EMA and as predicted, ripping to the upside and near completing the trade of our last analysis. Where do we go from here?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We likely have more upside to go before we consider a reversal. Wait until the price makes contact with the Resistance Zone at $0.95. Look for a bear signal candle and confirmation before entering a position, then target a 1:2 Risk/Reward back down to the 30EMA. Protective stop just above where the price reversed, likely at the $0.95 area.
A bear signal candle usually has a long wick on top and closes on near its bottom. The confirmation candle usually consists of a strong bear candle closing on or near its low, "confirming" the reversal. Confirmation is a bit misleading, it just means we have a high enough probability based on historical data to justify a short position.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: $0.9240
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.9735
✅ Take Profit: $0.8250
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Double Bottom at 200EMA, Bias to Long!
2. Wait for bull run to finish. Target Resistance Zone for Reversal.
3. Look for Bear Signal and Confirmation Candles.
4. RSI around 68.00 and above Moving Average, Short-term Bias to Long.
5. If Reversal bars and RSI over 70.00, Consider a Short Position.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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Maticbearish
MATIC Another Leg Down? Or Will We Bounce To The Upside?MATIC is currently pulling back from its fanning bull channel into a bear channel that currently has two pushes down. This could be a 2-legged trap and the completion of the pullback before heading toward the upside.
How do we trade this?
In the short term, we should be looking for shorts since we've identified this bear channel. If the current 4HR candle closes on or near its low, that's a reasonable short setup to take with a tight stop above the bear channel resistance (4HR 30EMA). A 1:2 Risk/Reward ratio should be the target take profit in this setup while keeping a close eye on that 200EMA showing support. If a bull bar closing on or near its high shows itself, time to get out. The RSI is around 45.00 and above the Moving Average, not a strong indicator for either direction, but there is room to fall.
Key Points
1. Bear Channel, Bias to Short.
2. Two Pushes Down, Looking for a Third!
3. The 200EMA may act as support.
4. RSI around 45, Indecisive.
5. Third leg down, small position Short.
You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk!
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