$TPX: Sleep Tight BearsXHB broke through an important 77.5 low volume node today and TPX has just been on fire. You might be asking how a mattress company and homebuilders are correlated well I'm playing it as a proxy and potentially one that could outperform the homebuilder index in general. You gotta have mattress for those homes :)
Mattress
CSPR Long IdeaCasper Mattress Company has just recently IPO'd and has had a less than ideal kickoff to their share price performance.
However, Casper is filling a niche spot in the market being that they can ship their product directly to your door in a package that is easy to transport around the house until you wish to unravel it in a bedroom.
I think we can all share some memories of our childhoods helping our parents or siblings to try to stuff a twin or double sized mattress up a winding staircase or through a hallway and into a bedroom.
Casper has eased the difficulty and simplified the installation process while also providing a comfortable and very well reviewed product using memory foam technology.
The company has been doing big spending in 2019 towards advertising and expects to see roughly a %20+ growth to their sales moving forward through 2020.
Pre-IPO the company received a $1B valuation in what is roughly a $14B market.
Once some more buyers step in and recent gaps are filled, we may see a run towards higher fib levels and possibly even onto newer highs.
If price starts to slide again and stay below the $10 level, then we may be able to expect some continued selling until a new bottom is discovered.
Thoughts?
Trade your own plan, this is just an idea.
20ma rejected - high risk investment - wait for close overA stock that gets used as a pump vehicle on a downtrend with high risk
for proper confirmation as a good investment moving forward wait for 20ma official close above it.