The Coming EU Recession into 2028, Mercedes BENZ $MBG Triple TopThe principal pillar of the European economy is Germany, recognized as its wealthiest nation.
A parallel can be drawn to the adage regarding America: when it experiences a minor setback, the global economy often faces significant repercussions.
It is often asserted that the essence of "Deutschland" is deeply rooted in its automotive industry, leading to its moniker as "Autoland." German automobiles have consistently been esteemed as the finest globally.
In fact, the most thriving economic engine in Europe has been heavily dependent on the automotive sector, and the initiatives aimed at addressing climate change have been likened to the act of vanquishing a vampire—driving a stake through its heart.
Volkswagen, the biggest car maker in Europe, is warning that it might have to cut thousands of jobs and close some factories in Germany. This is happening because they are having tough talks with unions about rising costs.
The push for climate-friendly cars has really affected how many people want to buy new vehicles, and they are also facing strong competition in the electric car market. The news about job cuts and possible factory shutdowns is causing a big stir around the world.
Other car companies like Mercedes Benz, BMW, and Ford are also making cuts and letting employees go. Volkswagen is planning to lay off tens of thousands of workers and is even thinking about closing some factories, which is a big deal. Bosch, the largest auto parts supplier in the world and a major employer in Germany, is also cutting hours and pay for around 10,000 workers. Even Meyer Werft, a shipbuilding company that has been around since the 1800s, recently needed a huge bailout of $423 million to stay out of bankruptcy.
The economic strategies implemented by Brussels have significantly weakened the overall economy of the European Union. Germany has remained committed to the traditional Mercantile economic model, maintaining elevated tax rates to curb inflation while producing goods for export to generate profits.
In 2023, the automotive sector is projected to represent as much as 17% of Germany's exports. This sector has created over 750,000 jobs. However, German manufacturing has struggled to achieve a full recovery since the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, currently reaching only about 90% of its pre-pandemic output.
MBG
Technical Analysis of Mercedes-Benz Group AG (MBG)### Technical Analysis of Mercedes-Benz Group AG (MBG)
#### Overview
The chart shows the daily price movement of Mercedes-Benz Group AG, indicating significant technical levels and trends. Key aspects include the Fibonacci retracement levels, support and resistance lines, and trend lines.
#### Fibonacci Retracement Levels
The Fibonacci retracement levels are drawn from the swing low around the end of 2020 to the swing high in early 2022. The key levels are:
- **0.236 (60.77 EUR)**
- **0.382 (63.95 EUR)**
- **0.5 (66.53 EUR)**
- **0.618 (69.11 EUR)**
- **0.786 (72.77 EUR)**
These levels often act as potential support and resistance zones.
#### Current Price Action
The current price is around **64.98 EUR**, slightly above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level (63.95 EUR), suggesting that this level may act as support. The recent price action shows a decline from the highs near the 0.786 level (72.77 EUR), testing lower support levels.
#### Trend Lines
The chart indicates a long-term ascending trend line starting from the lows of early 2020, intersecting with the 0.236 Fibonacci level around **60.77 EUR**. There is also a shorter-term ascending trend line from early 2023, providing additional support levels.
#### Resistance Levels
- **66.53 EUR (0.5 Fibonacci level)**
- **69.11 EUR (0.618 Fibonacci level)**
- **72.77 EUR (0.786 Fibonacci level)**
These levels are crucial to monitor as potential resistance if the price attempts to move higher.
#### Support Levels
- **63.95 EUR (0.382 Fibonacci level)**
- **60.77 EUR (0.236 Fibonacci level)**
The ascending trend line also provides dynamic support around these levels.
#### Projection
Given the current positioning, the price might continue to test the 0.382 Fibonacci level (63.95 EUR) for support. If this level holds, a potential rebound towards 66.53 EUR or higher might occur. Conversely, a break below 63.95 EUR could see the price testing the next support around 60.77 EUR, where the ascending trend line also provides a confluence of support.
### Conclusion
Mercedes-Benz Group AG (MBG) is currently in a consolidation phase, with key support at 63.95 EUR and resistance around 66.53 EUR. Traders should watch these levels for potential breakout or breakdown scenarios, keeping an eye on the broader market trends and any significant news that might impact the stock.
### Disclaimer
This analysis is just an opinion and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading stocks involves risk, and you should do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Any profit or loss is the responsibility of the audience, and I do not take any responsibility in this regard.
Mercedes-Benz Group: Parking 🚘Mercedes is about to park wave (2) in magenta in our green target zone between €67.31 and €77.90. Once this top is placed, the share should continue the overarching downward trend, dropping below the support at €60.72 and (after a short countermovement) further southwards. There is a 30% chance, though, that Mercedes could leave the green zone on the northern side and thus climb above the resistance at €77.90. In that case, we would expect the share to develop a higher top first before heading downwards. Wave alt.B in green would then expand into the magenta-colored zone between €84.44 and €89.37.
Mercedes-Benz Group: In the Parking Lot 🚗 🚗 🚗Mercedes-Benz has found a parking spot in the big green parking lot between €67.31 and €77.90 and is about to finish wave in green. Though, as the course has just turned slightly downwards, the current movement could also already be complete. As soon as this high is finalized, the share should pay its parking ticket, leave the parking lot and drive southwards, crossing the support at €62.41 and subsequently heading for the next one at €50.19 as well.