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MOBILEYE - A Merger & Acquisitions target! Downside limitedNASDAQ:MBLY - M&A Target 🎯🚘 Here's my thoughts of what I believe to be limited downside on Mobileye with my thesis that they could be a prime M&A target for a slew of Mega-Cap companies with the new administration pegged to be more lax in this area of business. More details in this post. 👇 I personally love Mobileye - NASDAQ:MBLY as a fundamentally undervalued company with great tech. I believe its a great investment with great technicals as well. My thesis is that the downside is limited at this point due to this M&A realm we are about to step into here shortly. Jensen just clarified what I had already perceived to be true which is the AV and Robotaxi market is a multi-trillion TAM over the next decade. These words alone increase any M&A price targets of any company in this space to include a robust Top 3 player such as $MBLY. They currently sit at a 13.75B Mkt Cap after the massive 25% flush the last two days due to no new news. Not actually based off of fundamentals or the technology. I would put a MINIMUM M&A target on this name of 15B and Maximum of 30B IMO. A lot of big tech getting into this space and are way behind the Top 3 players in this realm of Mobileye/ NASDAQ:TSLA / NASDAQ:GOOGL (Waymo). It's obvious who would get gobbled up by a deal that is too good to resist which I believe personally is north of 20B as they are already on a solid path forward with headwinds turning into tailwinds (interest rates/ inflation/ china recovery/ auto-market recovery) My personal theory of the companies most likely to take their shot are as follows in order: NASDAQ:QCOM - Big chip player who is partnered with majority of legacy car brands. (Did a write-up in the past when they were thinking of acquiring/ merging with Intel in which own 80% share in Mobileye) NASDAQ:NVDA - Announced there ambitions in this sector and have already been working within it. They've recently lost Hyundai though which tells me they aren't so close to having solid breakthroughs. But I believe they have the money and will to throw at M&A and take short-cut. NASDAQ:GOOGL - Their robotaxis use very expensive lidars and I could see them make this purchase to get Mobileyes much cheaper technology that can be fitted to cars a lot simpler and with a cheaper price tag. Others that I'm less confident on but have the money and could become a player: NASDAQ:META $APPL NASDAQ:AMZN Great post Za! I hope I was able to add something for any Mobileye investors/ traders. Have a great market day off friend. Not financial advice.
NASDAQ:MBLYLong
by RonnieV29
6
MOBILEYE DD - A COMPLETE UPDATE!It's been a tough two days with getting ZERO news at CES2025. Mobileye has reported news here every year for the past couple of events. Thus, no news was devastating while pouring colder water on the situation with Riskier names falling like a knife, the market overall condition being unclear, FUD setting in the markets, and people being scared of an NASDAQ:NVDA competitor. It was an avalanche of multiple criteria, all of which weren't the potential Honda deal I spoke about. Which I was wrong on and I'll admit that, but all I was doing was taking all data in front of me and created a thesis were I truly saw it happening, it didn't, oh well. My initial technical or fundamental investment thesis didn't include Honda anywhere in it when I started researching and investing in this company many months ago! I share IDEAS HERE, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! Only the fact that there was no deal announced at all. The CEO in a recent Bloomberg interview identified the reason the stock was falling but said: "We are not ready with announcements, I think we'll have major announcements throughout the year but we're not ready yet" Amnon Shashua - Mobileye CEO I don't see the NVDA news as a bad thing and people don't understand that they already had this sector of their business up and running. In which Hyunda just left them and are looking for a different supplier of AV technology. Also, Nvidia called this a multi-trillion-dollar market and validated everything I already knew. Which is this sector is going to be a massive investment opportunity. Mobileye is still Top 3 in Autonomous vehicle technology alongside Waymo and Tesla. NVDA is nowhere to be found in that conversation, and the same is to be said about AMZN, who also is in this space. It's the same thing when AMZN got into the pharma delivery market and everyone sold off HIMS to turn around and be right back in stock price in a few weeks. These large companies do certain things really well, but they try to have their hands in too many cookie jars at once and don't invest the attention and necessary manpower to make them the best they could be or even competitive to smaller companies whose only business is in said sector! This is 60% and investment for me and 40% trade. I'm in this for the most part, the long haul. I will only sell my 40% trade allocated position when we hit our profit targets or my strategy tells me to exit. Which leads us to the charts. Weekly: (Chart Shown) -H5 Indicator is still Green -We are at a Volume shelf -At the smoothing line (yellow) to the 9ema -We have further support from the 25MA -We have this DIP BUY BOX that I've called out in the past multiple time in which we've built up this area of support from all the back and forth and volume within this box. -We had a one week red candle the like we've only seen a couple other times when things were a lot worse and unknown before earnings or when they lowered rev. guidance (THINGS ARE A LOT BETTER NOW THAN THEY WERE THEN! WE JUST DIDN'T GET NEWS YET! THATS IT!) Typically the week or weeks after we get these massive amount of sell volume we get a bounce back week or weeks. -Finally, this name still to my knowledge pending new data has a 23% SHORT FLOAT and as such this trade of a short squeeze and parabolic move is very much still on the table! Daily Chart: -At the same big S?R zone -Same large volume shelf -In my eyes taking a breather and collecting/ rallying the troops before another run at $23 -Most importantly, when we smashed into the red barrier of the Williams percentage range (Wr%) and the 50MA on the daily and 100MA on the weekly, we rejected hard. Do we get the same bounce move when we are running into the Wr% GREEN bounce support beam? While also being extremely oversold on timeframes under the daily timeframe. Finally, being right at the volume shelf, 50MA that already did a bullish cross of the 100MA! - We are still in an uptrend! The fundamentals haven't changed, and based on my investing spreadsheet, which is mostly a DCF model, it's still a $30+ stock! - Headwinds are still becoming tailwinds (Falling interest rates/ inflation, China recovering, Auto market recovering) NOTHING HAS CHANGED BUT THE PRICE OF A STOCK TICKER! The haters can honestly kick rocks until they realize they are in control of their own financial decisions and can THEN come back, understand this game and learn! Some said I owed them an update, which I laughed at as I DON'T OWN YOU ANYTHING! The ideas I post here are FREE, and I'm paying to be on this service, just as some of you are! Some of you really need to look in the mirror and self-reflect. I'll still help you, too, friend; I don't like to hold hate in my heart for anyone; it's unhealthy! I'll never let the haters win or get me down! I will continue to do me with this stock and post my ideas for all of the people out there that have learned and appreciate my work! Too many great people out there that truly want to learn and become better and I will help them do that EVERY STEP OF THE WAY! So, here is my DD Mobileye Technical and Fundamental update for all my amazing followers who aren't TOXIC! I LOVE YOU! AS ALWAYS, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
NASDAQ:MBLYLong
by RonnieV29
36
Unlocking the Secrets of $MBLY: Prepare for a MONSTER MOVE!NASDAQ:MBLY - A chapter out of my Book!🚘😂 MASSIVE MOVE ON FRIDAY! What I'm seeing, we are smashing into the Red Barrier of my Williams CB strategy which means we need to peel off it! Well if we really do get that Honda news on Tuesday that only leaves Monday to have a pullback before we would have the monster move from the news then short-squeeze that week. I've honestly never been in this predicament with a stock running into the barrier. I really believe that if we don't pullback Monday and get the Honda news on Tuesday we will bust right through this red barrier and it won't even matter which I've never seen a stock break through that red barrier before so I mean that's how BULLISH I am lol. As far as the charts there are no other charts on this planet as SEXY as MOBILEYE!!! Weekly chart: - H5 is GREEN - Broke out of downtrend and up trending with room up to $25 and I also believe we could bust through the top of this channel if we get the Honda news which will start the short squeeze! (Short Squeezes are rare and when you have them they defy gravity!) -Williams CB is thriving -Launched off volume shelf into volume GAP! Have room to $27 then another massive GAP! Daily chart: - CupnHandle Pattern breakout with successful retest - Volume shelf launch with GAP -Williams CB is formed and thriving -Volume is increasing -Massive measured move I'M NOT KIDDING I COULD LITERALLY WRITE A DAMN BOOK ON MOBILEYE WITH HOW BULLISH I AM! IT WILL BE CALLED THE MOBILEYE MILLIONAIRE!😂 Fundamentals are phenomenal: -Revenues and margins troughed -All head winds becoming tailwinds (Inflation, China, Interest rates) 2025 Price Target of $45 TA Targets: 🎯$23🎯$25🎯$27 🎯30 If you are still here reading this you better share this! 😂 Okay I have to get to other charts that's all for now on Mobileye friends! Not financial advice
NASDAQ:MBLYLong
by RonnieV29
20
Mobileye & Honda Partnership? Massive move ahead!MOBILEYE - NASDAQ:MBLY 🚘 A partnership between HONDA and MOBILEYE could potentially result in a massive $10-30 billion deal over ten years, or even shorter time frames with the same extrapolated value. 🚀 Base Case Added Revenue: $1B/year Current 2024 Revenue: $1.7B New Potential Revenue: $2.7B/year minimum with just one partnership! To put this into perspective, let's consider the old Honda deal with GM's Cruise, which was cut short and is now over six years old. Technological Advancements A LOT of advancements in Full-Self Driving (FSD) and Autonomous Vehicle (AV) technology have occurred since then, friends! In October 2018, Honda partnered with General Motors (GM) and Cruise, agreeing to invest $2.75 billion over 12 years into GM Cruise, starting with an initial $750 million equity investment. This partnership aimed to develop and deploy autonomous vehicle technology on a large scale, though Honda recently ended the agreement. Conclusion If my gut, research, and the data at my fingertips are correct, not only will this deal between Honda and Mobileye be monumental, but it will also squeeze shorts to a pulp. Simultaneously, Wall Street will recognize the massive opportunities in FSD/AV technology beyond NASDAQ:GOOGL (Waymo) and $TSLA. This news could potentially take us to $25 or more in my opinion! And that's before any type of squeeze! Not financial advice
NASDAQ:MBLYLong
by RonnieV29
3
MOBILEYE: BUY the DIP or FOMO later! 10X OpportunityCharturday #7: NASDAQ:MBLY 🚘 #1 trade/ investment for me right now! Weekly Analysis: -H5 Indicator is GREEN -Inverse H&S/ Triangle B/O hasn't been realized yet at $20.30. Only got $20.01 Price GAP fill. -Sitting on a volume shelf with a MASSIVE GAP -Williams CB is thriving -Channel Up trend and at the bottom Fundamentals on the company are huge with an amazing HONDA partnership being dropped on Jan. 7th based on my opinion which was formulated with all the data I have! I'm 99% sure of it! But it's still an opinion and not fact....YET! Daily Analysis: -CupnHandle breakout receded due to this weeks flash crash. MASSIVE BUYING OPP. IMO! -Currently finished handle and next breakout of $19.15 & $20.09 and we won't see $18 ever again! -Sitting on volume shelf with room to run -Up trending Wr% 🔜🎯$20.30🎯$23🎯25 🎯$28⏲️Before 13JUN2025 Not financial advice.
NASDAQ:MBLYLong
by RonnieV29
11
Mobileye - LET ME BLOW YOUR MIND!MOBILEYE - NASDAQ:MBLY 🚘 BUCKLE UP! If you have been following me long enough you know that the majority of my charts and analysis are longer term and on a weekly chart but don't get it twisted, I'm not a one trick pony friend! I have High Five Trading strategies for Day, Swing, and Long Trading. 😘 Daily Chart Analysis (H5_S): I'm sure you already see it on the screen below! I just realized it today and my mind is blown so yours should be to! The most successful chart pattern has just popped up on my highest conviction trade/ investment! A beautiful Cup&Handle Pattern setting up for a major breakout and Short Seller Face RIPPER! -CupnHandle Pattern - Breakout point $19.30 -H5 Indicator is about to flip to GREEN on the Swing Indicator -You can see it's about to flip GREEN through the individual indicators that tie into the strategy. Bullish price action, Bullish Engulfing Candlestick, RSI Upward cross, Trend (Stoch) Bullish Uptrend into the sweet spot, Lagging MACD Indicator is still above zero line and about to cross to the upside and the final BULLISH piece of the puzzle. -Williams R% Strong Divergence and Higher Lows -Anchored Volume Profile Shelf with massive GAP -Weekly chart analysis and measure moves haven't been realized yet either and the weekly chart is still very BULLISH. All this to say when you have a bullish weekly chart (longer term) and a flip into a bullish Daily Chart the Upward moves are FAST and catch everyone off guard...but not us friends! So I'll make it easy for you: ✅Fundamentally Undervalued (Fair Value $30+) ✅Top 3 in a multi-trillion dollar TAM in AV Sector ✅Headwinds turning into Tailwinds ✅H5 Weekly Chart Bullish ✅H5 Daily Chart Bullish ✅22%+ Short Float (80% of shares locked up) ✅Measured moves not realized ✅Every respectable Chartist is BULLISH PREDICTIONS: 🔜🎯$20+ BEFORE EOY 🎯$28+ BEFORE MAY BOOK 👏 MARK 👏 IT 👏
NASDAQ:MBLYLong
by RonnieV29
21
$MBLY : DOUBLE BEAT! IF YOU DIDN'T LISTEN, YOU WILL NOW FOMO! NASDAQ:MBLY :DOUBLE BEAT! IF YOU DIDN'T LISTEN, YOU WILL NOW FOMO! 🟢Revenue Beat: $486M vs expected $475.267 🟢EPS Beat: .10 vs expected .095 In this video we will speak on the following: 1.) Top and Bottom BEAT for NASDAQ:MBLY ! Go over earnings and highlights from earnings call. 2.) Bottom box: A massive push down yesterday out of shorts being desperate and trying to break the symmetrical triangle pattern to the downside. It held as they do not have enough ammo (shares) to do so while simultaneously more people got bullish on the technicals or fundamentals by the day. Massive volume shelf was held as well. Their last ditch effort did not work. 3.) We have a massive 22% short float while as I've been telling you everyday on X and TV. We have a "High Five Setup"! We are pointing to the upside on all my setups indicators, have a volume gap, anndddd most importantly have broken out of and just retested the said breakout of the Symmetrical Triangle Pattern and Inverse H&S pattern! The respective move for both and my price target is: 🎃🎯$20.13 NFA #Earnings #shortsqueeze
NASDAQ:MBLYLong
by RonnieV29
3