Are we going higher than 32K in 2023 on BTC?This chart represents a correlation of BTC price and USDC + USDT market cap divided by total crypto market cap.
As we can see, as soon as we are touching any channel borders on a stablecoin chart, we are starting to reverse to another side on Bitcoin chart.
Right now, we are exactly in that situation and my bet is that in 2023 we experienced a smaller distribution phase in a larger, global accumulation phase.
If we would think about that from an institutional perspective, this is a perfect way to make our general entry price lower by selling part of our crypto assets now in hope of buying more at the lower prices.
P.S...
Overall market conditions is the story for another post, but in my opinion we don't have enough power to grow risk assets and lead them into new bull market. Instead, it would be much more logical to get a better position by seeding hope of ETF's and big institutional buys, when in reality these buys already partially happened and now they are about to fix some profits on them already.
Trade safely, peace out!
MCAP
BTC TOTAL MCAP CAPITULATION VERY SOON ?!!(URGENT)As you can see on this chart, the FIB circles lines perfectly confluence, and it shows that the subsequent capitulation is very near.
I think the total market cap price will resist at the 200ma and fib 0.618 on the 4H chart.
FIB CIRCLE 1.618 has been respected perfectly for the past 2 weeks and crossing it could mean a crash in next
We are very close to crossing the respected Fib circle so ill be looking closely at how the next 4H candle will close.
Stoch Rsi seems OVERBOUGHT.
This is just an idea.
NFA DYOR
TOTAL CRYPTO CAP#TOTAL MARKET CAP ANALYSIS
Heavily rejected after taking stops above the horizontal resistance. Currently, it is holding above the order block that has been formed after BOS(break of structure).
A bounce can be expected from here and in case of breakdown of order block, it'll fill the marked imbalance area also there is a possibility of creating a three-tap setup there.
Crypto Market Bottom based on total market capMarkets tend to hunt liquidity and so there are often gaps that need to be filled before the market moves on.
In summer 2021 the market went back to fill the gap shown as "A". We printed many daily candles in there, exhausting selling pressure. We found a bottom and moved on.
On the way down area A is considered "exhausted" therefore the market has no interest to debate again over the same area. Bulls won, they took us to 3T, they failed to go higher and so their reign was over.
This is why our stay in area A on the way down was short-lived.
It's summer 2022 and the market has finally reached contested area "B".
Bulls and Bears will once again fight for this area.
The winner will show us the way! (If sellers are exhausted in this area, we have our the market cycle bottom)
A look historical Crypto MarketCap DropsSince 2013 Crypto went through 3 major bear cycles. Let's compare the current drop in Market cap to past bear cycles.
2015: In 2015 Crypto market-cap crashed from the All time high of 8.9B to 2.1B
High: 8.9B
Low: 2.1B
Percentage Drop: 76.4 %
2018: In 2018 after a crazy bull run and mainstream attention, market cap dropped from 761B to 91B
High: 761B
Low: 91B
Percentage Drop: 88 %
Percentage increase in Mcap from previous Low: 31,138 % increase
2022: The current ongoing bear run has put lot of new investors in losses which they have not seen in traditional market, MCap crashed from a 3.009T to 859B
High: 3.009T
Low: 859B
Percentage Drop: 71.4 %
Percentage increase in Mcap from previous Low: 3206 %
Cheers
GreenCrypto
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BTC UpdateBTC, crypto and global markets give a good bounce in the last 24 hours after Biden's conference last night, as well as no more negative news from the Russia/Ukraine crisis. Must watch the crisis very closes as any news will affect BTC price. FED interest rate is another factor that can create speculation in the market. On chart we can see BTC broke the downtrend resistance and is now at a new resistance line at $39k and has a bullish MACD. ETH.D is up, BTC.D is down and MCAP is up, this is good sign as it shows more money is flowing into alts.
Trade the range, trade safely.
Total Crypto MCAPWe are trying to push the 2 Trillion Cap again, the EMAs are moving up if they can diverge I can see a very promising 2022 and the year of the tiger is in full force. Simple indicators are better to use on the total MCAP like EMAs and just charting the support and the resistance levels. If you were to look at the weekly candles you would notice we still are in are nearly diverging the 2,7,and 30 emas on the weekly candles which would indicator "consensio". need that 2 EMA to diverge over the 7 EMA first then we can worry about the 30. If we can achieve the 2 EMA over the 7 EMA over the 30 EMA LET THE SHANAGIANS CONTINUE! All in all it doesn't look as bad as I had originally thought. If you turn on the bollinger bands you will notice some resistance in the middle phase, to be expected. The good news is on the "pinch" of the bollinger bands we hit the bottom of the bands which is a bullish movement, just need to break all this resistance........ HALP SAYLOR
"I am done for today need to find my wife"
KewlKat
General lesson + BTC and ETH showing strength Analysis:
BTC bounced off RSI support and is now at a resistance level, ETH and global markets like DOW also jump and showing strength. If BTC hold this level and give breakout many alts will jump 20-25% in the next 2 weeks. Reason for todays bounce back could be Amazons announcement of their Q4 earnings, making their stock rise 17% a day after META dropped, the biggest single day gain in US stock market history.
Lesson part:
BTC dominance has been steadily decreasing but is up a little bit in the last hour or so, and the total market cap is moving up. What does this mean?
If we look at the following rule below we can make predictions on alts on the market direction.
BTC D up + Mcap up = Good for all coins
BTC D up + Mcap down = Good for BTC but bad for alts
BTC D down + Mcap up = Very good for alts
BTC D down + Mcap down = Very bad for btc and alts
Use this rule accordingly.
Trade safely:)
- Seb
Another way to visualize what's coming TOTAL2I can split the bullrun into two phases, one of extreme bullishness and one of mild bullishness
Market phase 1 has already been undertaken and we are heading into market phase 2, which can be observed in the past to be the most bullish part of the run
This is a chart developed on a previous one below
Altcoin Market Assumptions and Phases This chart suggests we are consolidating before phasing into phase 2 which is intensely more bullish than the recent bull market we have seen
This is under the assumption that price action repeats as it did in cycle 1, which evidence for this can be seen in the green circle and the current place we are in the yellow box
Using my other charts I estimate the current bull cycle to end in June 2022 or early 2022, comparable to the last run
COPIUM It will go up COPIUM