MCD
7/4/22 MCDMcDonalds Corporation ( NYSE:MCD )
Sector: Consumer Services (Restaurants)
Market Capitalization: $187.076B
Current Price: $252.96
Breakout price: $252.96
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $248.35-$238.25
Price Target: $258.00-$260.50 (1st), $270.00-$275.60 (2nd), $302.60-$308.20 (3rd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 21-22d (1st), 54-61d (2nd), 150-159d (3rd)
Contract of Interest: $MCD 8/19/22 270c, $MCD 9/16/22 270c, $MCD 12/16/22 280c
Trade price as of publish date: $3.60/contract, $3.60/contract, $4.75/contract
HENGYUAN 4324 bursa saham malaysia stock analysis 14-May-2022Short term analysis:
Price comes to previous high range of 7.00 dated 08-Dec-2020
1) Price has divergence with Bull Bear Detector (BBD) : higher price but lower BBD candle
2) Price has divergence with Smart Money Flow (MI02b) indicator : higher price but RED bar in MI02b (profit chip) getting lesser,
this may indicates traders are selling off for profit!
Mid term preparation:
Wait for price to break above 7.00 previous high resistance to continue the uptrend momentum
#bursasaham #malaysiastockmarket #hengyuan #4324 #bursamalaysia #malaysia #bursa
#trendline #trendanalysis #technicalanalysis #chartpattern #trendpattern #uptrend #divergence
#supportresistance #technicalindicator #indicator #waveanalysis
Disclaimer:
This published Idea is solely for the purpose of education and opinion sharing, and should not be construed as investment advice or recommendations to buy or sell any security.
Get your trade advise from a legit broker, you are responsible on your own trade.
McDonald's | MCD | Long OpportunityMcDonald's Corp ( NYSE:MCD ) may be entering buy territory. Head and shoulders pattern formed before this recent decline, but primary support may be near $218. Given the March 2022 Federal Reserve meeting and OpEx next week (as well as the Russia/Ukraine war), there could be more declines ahead to the primary support (indicators show this is likely, as well). If it can hold that level, a 50 EMA (yellow line) or 200 EMA (green line) touch may be in its future. There is a small gap at $266.72 - $270 to fill, but that would likely be reached if the indexes melt-up or superb business news emerges.
On Feb 28, 2022, the Director purchased $244,180 worth of shares at an average of $244.18. No insider sales after Oct 2021.
P/E near 22
McDonalds - Dividend Aristocrat to Correct by 30%?Are we about to observe similar drop for the global giant McDonalds that we saw in 2020?
These are few points that may trigger it:
Fundamental indicators:
Recession - warning macro signals suggest that world economies are slowing down and recession is possible within a year, this may be reflected in the forecast of the company, like any other in S&P500
Eastern Europe conflict - suspension of business in Russia will certainly have an impact on earnings
P/E - is quite high at 25x and possible correction may let some steam out of the overpriced stock
Liabilities - rising against assets and equity which may be at uncomfortable levels for investors
Technically:
Since the significant drop we saw in 2020 there was a hype in the market linked to Fed 'money printing', however the bull run is difficult associate with an impulse. Hence this is a complex running correction forming with double zig-zags. And one of the distinctive points of this correction is that waves W and Y are very symmetrical and of the similar amplitude
The potential correction may be very rapid after the earnings report and reach levels of $190 to $170.
Alternative scenario - if the report comes out positive then wave X may continue extending and to update current highs before repeating this significant correction
What are your thoughts about this scenario?
Please share your thoughts in the comments and like this idea if you would like to see more stocks analysed using Elliott Waves.
Thanks
McDonalds - MCD• Nice upside of the MCD in the last weeks.
• It looks like a flag formation beginning April at the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement
• The gap before the flag formation showed a nice support at USD 242.95/244.77
• 50 MA is turning positive and will cross the 200 MA soon if the upside is continuing
• Outbreak of the flag formation was with higher volume which is supportive for the continuation
• Price target at around USD 280
• Let’s see if the price can break through the resistance of the 100 MA and the 76.4% Fibonacci Retracement in the next days
MCD to close all 850 locations inside RussiaIf you haven`t sold the forming of the Head and Shoulders bearish Chart Pattern:
Then you should know that McDonald’s owns around 84% of its 847 restaurants in Russia, which accounts for 9% of its total revenues and less than 3% of its operating income globally.
They will continue paying its 62,000 employees in Russia.
Considering the facts above, my buy area is around $212.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Shorting Miccy D's. MCDIndeed.
Immediate targets 238, 234. Invalidation 264.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
looking for follow through on bounce (MCD)i like trading this stock for a lot of reasons. the big mac of these trades is an oversold bounce. unless they ditch the quarter pounder and start selling pepsi i dont see why this corporation should sell their stock. cumulatively we have a lot of longs still in the game, and if shorts conti ue covering this will attract buys.
MR DIY 5296 BURSA MALAYSIA STOCK #MRDIY #5296MRDIY closed above the down-trendline again (2nd attempt) on 11/2/2022 (1st attempt not successful on 10-Jan-2022)
Look forward the price continue to go uptrend as long it doesn't fell below @3.63
Target Price (TP1) : 5.23
Disclaimer:
This published Idea is solely for the purpose of opinion sharing only, and should not be used as investment advice or recommendation to buy or sell any equity.
Get your trade advise from a legit broker, your trade is solely your own responsibility.
Thank you.
#mrdiy #5296 #bursa #bursasaham #palmoilfutures #commodities #tradingfutures #ftseklci #bursastock #bursamalaysia
#technicalanalysis #technicalindicator #technicalchart #mcdx #bbd #trendline #chartpattern #uptrend
VS-WB VS BURSA MALAYSIA STOCK 7-JAN-2022 ANALYSIS Continue to look for Long opportunity for VS / VS-WB as long its closed price stay above support level 0.40
BEE (BBD) stays above Zero Axis
#bursamalaysia #vswb #vs #mcdx
Disclaimer:
This published Idea is solely for the purpose of opinion sharing only, and should not be used as investment advice or recommendation to buy or sell any security.
Get your trade advise from a legit broker, your trade is solely your own responsibility.
Thank you.
McDonald's | Fundamental AnalysisAs many people know, McDonald's recovery is now at its peak. Last week, this fast-food titan announced its Q4 earnings results, which include record sales growth as the company recovered from the 2020 pandemic recession. The chain is becoming much more profitable, thanks to a combination of cost-cutting and price increases.
Let's take a look at some key findings from the fourth-quarter report to gauge the company's state of affairs.
Investors feared that the latest variant of the coronavirus might hinder McDonald's growth recovery, but those fears proved to be exaggerated. Comparable-store sales were up 10.8 percent on a two-year basis, smoothing out fluctuations associated with temporary store closures. This result represents an acceleration from the previous quarter when revenues rose 10.2% on this basis.
Of course, the U.S. market has slowed a bit, with two-year numbers down to 13% from 15% in the third quarter. However, McDonald's is still showing attendance growth and growth in average spending per visit in all of its key geographic regions. CEO Chris Kempczinski, in a press release, called the 2021 results, which include McDonald's fastest growth in U.S. history, "a truly exceptional result." The chain's global sales for the full year rose 21 percent to $112 billion.
Of course, McDonald's has not escaped a sharp rise in inflation, which has hit food ingredients especially hard in recent months. For example, wages rose more than 10 percent for most of 2021, and food costs rose about 6 percent.
The chain has more than offset these pressures by raising prices, aggressively cutting costs, and increasing efficiency through more takeout and delivery sales. In fact, operating profit increased 17%, outpacing overall revenue growth.
This success has allowed operating margins to soar to 42.4% of sales from 36.7% a year ago. McDonald's is now showing record profitability, even as costs across the business are rising rapidly. Operating profits for the full year topped $10 billion, a new record.
Kempczinski and his team are watching for some major potential challenges for fiscal 2022, including continued pressure to pass on higher food costs to consumers. Some key markets, such as China, face further COVID-19 restrictions. And competition in home food delivery remains as fierce as ever.
But last year's results confirm that this restaurant chain has several world-class assets that allow it to thrive in almost any market environment. It's also a testament to the flexibility of its massive fast-food platform to cater to a wide range of tastes, whether premium drinks and sandwiches or inexpensive meals.
As a result, investors have every reason to expect positive returns from owning McDonald's stock. Of course, it's unlikely that the company will ever repeat its 2021 performance when its revenues rose 14% after a downturn in 2020.
But the restaurant chain has regularly gained share in a huge global market and boasts some of the highest margins and cash flow in the industry. These factors, as well as a growing dividend, should help shareholders continue to outperform the market by owning these shares.
MCD Earnings Musk eating a Happy Meal if McDonald's accepts DOGEElon Musk said he would eat a Happy Meal on TV if McDonald's started accepting Dogecoin as a form of payment.
Even BurgerKing, who had joint marketing campaigns with Dogecoin before, commented on the tweet.
MCD McDonald's global sales increased 12.3% in Q4, +7.5% in U.S. sales
but:
Revenue: $6.01 billion vs $6.02 billion expected
EPS: $2.23 vs $2.33 expected
My scenario is a bounce from this support, forming a Head and Shoulders Bearish chart parttern with a price target around $229.
Elon Musk would eat a Happy Meal if McDonald's accepts DOGEElon Musk said he would eat a Happy Meal on TV if McDonald's started accepting Dogecoin as a form of payment.
Even BurgerKing, who had joint marketing campaigns with Dogecoin before, commented on the tweet.
So i believe DOGE has some upside momentum to the next resistance, $0.165, or at least a strong support at this current level.
Looking forward to read your opinion about this.
Consumer discretionary stocks are doing fine. McDonald's exampleHi everyone,
As millions of retail crypto and options speculators lose their savings, McDonalds Corporation is rubbing its hands with a hideos grin. "Ah, yes, millions of fresh employees, just what I need" .
In all seriousness, consumer discretionary sector as a whole was obviously contracting with the broad market. However, not quite at the same pace.
NYSE:MCD stock has seen a maximmum drawdown of 8.7%, whereas S&P dropped 12% from the top.
Though if you look for a safehaven amidst the increased volatility, it is much safer to buy consumer defensive names, such as Campbell Soup ( NYSE:CPB ), Kroger NYSE:KR , Procter&Gamble ( PG ), etc.
All these names performed really well this month compared to the general market.
McDonald's is a cyclical consumer stock, which means it will outperform the market during the economic expansion period.
And when is this going to happen?
My opinion is the following:
1. Market is in turmoil, so the Fed is not going to raise rates.
2. Inflation will slow down. Inflation is connected to the supply chain issues, not to the Fed printing money (because in reality they did not print anything, but that's another topic for discussion).
3. All Covid measures are going to be cancelled this year, as the global context on taming this virus started to shift.
The above reasons lead to a major economic expansion and another consumer discretionary stocks boom later this year.
McDonalds happens to be one of them.
Oh, yeah, also check my levels on the chart.
As always, trade wisely and good luck!
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise.
Another Money Shifts is about to happen in the market..!I would like to start this forecast with this Peter Lynch quote:
“In this business, if you’re good, you’re right six times out of ten. You’re never going to be right nine times out of ten.”
It means, the best traders are never right all the time, they make losses too. Focus on getting more trades right than wrong and you’ll be considered successful.
Having said that, If you want to increase your chance of success you need to evaluate the market situation, individual sectors and industires; and then find the best stocks with the highest chance of appreciation to go long and highest chance of depreciation to go short!
I monitored Waren Buffet's porfolio and Berkshire performance for a year and compared it with Nasdaq 100 and find out a possible top in BRK.A could be an early sign of the end of Nasdaq 100 correction..!
BRK.A vs NDX:
(Some times there is value in a comparing Apple and Oranges)
In my Dec 16, 2021 analysis (Editor's Pick) I mentioned:
Based on the pattern in the charts and the past 2 days of high volatility in the market, the most probable scenario could be a complex correction and a shift from tech stocks to Banks, Energy, and Telecommunications.
Please review the performance of these sectors in the past 3-4 weeks!
Now let's review the current situation:
Based on my current observation Value stocks started forming top patterns:
Example:
NASDAQ:COST
NYSE:UNH
NYSE:HD
NYSE:KO
NYSE:MCD
Berkshire owns all the aboe mentioned stocks except UNH!
Conclusion:
I think there is a good chance we see shift from value stocks to Tech stocks once again in the next one or two weeks which could push them up around 5%!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.