Mikkey D's like a rock. MCDFlat formation. Some visible divergences. Anyway, looking more appealing than fast food.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.
Mcdonalds
McDonald's MCD - I'm Lovin' Selling, and You Should be tooYou don't see just how highly priced McDonald's still is unless you look at it on the Monthly:
I mean, this is the place that sells faux-food while CPI and PPI are through the roof, and it's still trading almost at its all time high. This is even more ridiculous than the positioning of Apple AAPL:
Apple AAPL - Looks Fine on the Outside, but Tastes Weird
And Tesla TSLA:
Tesla TSLA - The Canary in the Coal Mine
On top of that, this is one of the thirty companies that compose the Dow, which is the most bearish of all indexes, having already retested the pre-COVID highs, which SPX and Nasdaq have yet to do.
The bottom line for everyone's least favourite, but most convenient, fast food dumpster fire is that the June --> August price action, was, like Apple, just a gap fill.
And now, it's time to seek new lows. And those lows happen to be, conservatively, in the $245 range.
This is a fat put if you buy puts, but a "my calls expired worthless so at least I can sob about my drawdown on Reddit" scenario for Robinhood's retail fodder.
I can only encourage everyone who is still long on equities to get out this week. I truly believe that we are going to see a bounce that traps bears short but snares bulls long:
SPX / ES - Bull Whips and Bear Saws
With a looming VIX 72 (hasn't done much since COVID! It's two years! It's due! Be careful!) hanging overhead.
VIX - 9x8 = 72
What lies ahead, after the trap has been executed, will come fast, and viciously, and it will seem as if the world is ending. If you buy when it's high because you are still thinking to yourself that this is the old paradigm, you're going to lose at least one finger, and probably three.
This world is not one where you can use magic to regrow what's lost, you know?
And so what I want to say is that you should protect what you have. If you can't get short, if you can't trade puts, then get cash heavy and reduce your risk.
Ultimately, what's important in life is not money, which when you die you leave behind. It is maintaining your kindness. It is harbouring your virtue.
This isn't moral dogma, unless you make it moral dogma. The path through the storm is to do better in your life. Been neglecting family? Fix it.
Been a bad father? Fix it.
Been a bad boss? Buy the secretary flowers and tell her that she's doing a great job. Make sure you mean it. You aren't such a bad guy. Make sure you mean it. Try your best.
One day, in this lifetime, when the Chinese Communist Party falls, you'll instantly understand what I am referring to.
Don't leave yourself with regrets on that day. That day is too late. You have to figure it out and do well before that day.
It's just like poker, where you have to place your bets before the cards are face up. It doesn't count anymore after the cards are face up.
Mc Donalds. Popular, resilient but overvaluedI’m developing an app using Tradingview data for my stock picking and fundamental analysis.
I get financial data from Tradingview into excel file, producing aggregated statistics and fair value calculation based on estimate of future earnings and discounted free cash flows.
Continuing my search in the best sectors, undervalued stocks that could perform well in the next time. In uncertain times, americans stick with fast food. This stock is popular, resilient, but still overvalued based on my algorithms.
My estimate of fair value is $201 based on forecast earnings and $166 based on forecast discounted free cash flows.
Just I set an alert on the next volume cluster for my reminder
7/4/22 MCDMcDonalds Corporation ( NYSE:MCD )
Sector: Consumer Services (Restaurants)
Market Capitalization: $187.076B
Current Price: $252.96
Breakout price: $252.96
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $248.35-$238.25
Price Target: $258.00-$260.50 (1st), $270.00-$275.60 (2nd), $302.60-$308.20 (3rd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 21-22d (1st), 54-61d (2nd), 150-159d (3rd)
Contract of Interest: $MCD 8/19/22 270c, $MCD 9/16/22 270c, $MCD 12/16/22 280c
Trade price as of publish date: $3.60/contract, $3.60/contract, $4.75/contract
McDonald's | MCD | Long OpportunityMcDonald's Corp ( NYSE:MCD ) may be entering buy territory. Head and shoulders pattern formed before this recent decline, but primary support may be near $218. Given the March 2022 Federal Reserve meeting and OpEx next week (as well as the Russia/Ukraine war), there could be more declines ahead to the primary support (indicators show this is likely, as well). If it can hold that level, a 50 EMA (yellow line) or 200 EMA (green line) touch may be in its future. There is a small gap at $266.72 - $270 to fill, but that would likely be reached if the indexes melt-up or superb business news emerges.
On Feb 28, 2022, the Director purchased $244,180 worth of shares at an average of $244.18. No insider sales after Oct 2021.
P/E near 22
McDonalds - Dividend Aristocrat to Correct by 30%?Are we about to observe similar drop for the global giant McDonalds that we saw in 2020?
These are few points that may trigger it:
Fundamental indicators:
Recession - warning macro signals suggest that world economies are slowing down and recession is possible within a year, this may be reflected in the forecast of the company, like any other in S&P500
Eastern Europe conflict - suspension of business in Russia will certainly have an impact on earnings
P/E - is quite high at 25x and possible correction may let some steam out of the overpriced stock
Liabilities - rising against assets and equity which may be at uncomfortable levels for investors
Technically:
Since the significant drop we saw in 2020 there was a hype in the market linked to Fed 'money printing', however the bull run is difficult associate with an impulse. Hence this is a complex running correction forming with double zig-zags. And one of the distinctive points of this correction is that waves W and Y are very symmetrical and of the similar amplitude
The potential correction may be very rapid after the earnings report and reach levels of $190 to $170.
Alternative scenario - if the report comes out positive then wave X may continue extending and to update current highs before repeating this significant correction
What are your thoughts about this scenario?
Please share your thoughts in the comments and like this idea if you would like to see more stocks analysed using Elliott Waves.
Thanks
McDonalds - MCD• Nice upside of the MCD in the last weeks.
• It looks like a flag formation beginning April at the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement
• The gap before the flag formation showed a nice support at USD 242.95/244.77
• 50 MA is turning positive and will cross the 200 MA soon if the upside is continuing
• Outbreak of the flag formation was with higher volume which is supportive for the continuation
• Price target at around USD 280
• Let’s see if the price can break through the resistance of the 100 MA and the 76.4% Fibonacci Retracement in the next days
# MC/USDT LONG TERM GEM COIN Welcome to this quick MC/USDT analysis.
I have tried my best to bring the best possible outcome in this chart.
Hello members, welcome to our MC/USDT daily update.
As we can see in the above mention chart that MC/USDT was trading inside the triangle pattern and broke the upper trend line and bounced right from the yellow MA.
In the current scenario, MC/USDT showing some correction and one again moving down to retest the yellow ma which is working as strong support.
If it comes down then it will be the best area to accumulate or buy this gem on spot to hold for the long term like 2 - 3 months.
If it moves in the right direction then we will be able to see 200% to 250% potential rally on spot.
entry:-$2.15,$2.30
target:-200% to 250%
stop-loss:-$1.90
Sorry for my English it is not my native language.
Remember:-This is not a piece of financial advice. All investment made by me is under my own risk and I am held responsible for my own profit and losses. So, do your own research before investing in this trade.
Do hit the like button if you like it and share your charts in the comments section.
Thank you.
MCD to close all 850 locations inside RussiaIf you haven`t sold the forming of the Head and Shoulders bearish Chart Pattern:
Then you should know that McDonald’s owns around 84% of its 847 restaurants in Russia, which accounts for 9% of its total revenues and less than 3% of its operating income globally.
They will continue paying its 62,000 employees in Russia.
Considering the facts above, my buy area is around $212.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Why BTC might be around 80k soon (maybe higher)1. The Russia/Ukraine war that brough down prices to a strong trend (SEE LINKED chart: buy zone 2, BTC)
2. The freezing of accounts/financial war. It provides the news needed to get some bag-holders around 70k and 80k.
3. Fib numbers allow for it (everyone sees 70, but I think we have the momentum to head higher)
4. The weekly charts are heading towards a top
5. The Superbowl (Go Rams). SO many people (RICH people) were just blasted with crypto ads, and now seeing why crypto isn't so crazy due to the Russia situation. Psychology wise, It gives new investors a little thrill of watching their investment sky rocket until you pull the rug and they buy all the way back down to 45k over the next year. You have them hooked, and they'll have to defend their decision to buy the top by probably buying more on the dip.
6. Follow the trends
7. It gives the alt coins another chance to spike (especially DOGE) which Elon is NOW suddenly talking about again.
- Also GME and their NFT marketplace and Apple partnership possibility
8. Follow the MONEY!! So many companies were hiring crypto managers & specialists over the last year, that it makes sense they could be buying and/or accepting soon.
TL;DR - I think the drop from the Russia situation along with a big push to crypto is going to trigger a BIG move up over the next month.
My plan is to look for an exit around March 23rd to Mid April
Be aware that there is a possibility we see 36k and 38k again.
41-42k holding would be pretty bullish
First Bullish signs on Daily Bitcoin charthellllo everybody, hope your doing very well x
After a really good rally late last week and more buying this week we finally have some closing candles above $40k
Our lovely indicators are now showing bullish sentiment and bitcoin looks ready to make some solid gains over the month, expect a bit of divergence to pull down the price but if $40k holds I'm pretty confident were back in the bulltard ring
fibs are there as a guide and I prefer them upside down on a BTC retracement, no big calls/longs going on which is also good to see, and health for the price to move up further
once/if we get to the ATH then ill make another chart with revised levels for some good exit strategies/prices, I'm seeing a downturn before April possible so we might have a few months to run up against inflating fiat nightmare were being led into - i'd like to see $46k broken and held to make things even more certain, this market can go up as fast as it goes down, let's hope its an exciting ride after some shitty few years regarding tyrant bent politicians - lots of fundamentals going towards the effort here too but can always turn and mess up our profit party x
remember, nothing happens by chance x don't stay lucky, take the right opportunities instead
McDonald's | Fundamental AnalysisAs many people know, McDonald's recovery is now at its peak. Last week, this fast-food titan announced its Q4 earnings results, which include record sales growth as the company recovered from the 2020 pandemic recession. The chain is becoming much more profitable, thanks to a combination of cost-cutting and price increases.
Let's take a look at some key findings from the fourth-quarter report to gauge the company's state of affairs.
Investors feared that the latest variant of the coronavirus might hinder McDonald's growth recovery, but those fears proved to be exaggerated. Comparable-store sales were up 10.8 percent on a two-year basis, smoothing out fluctuations associated with temporary store closures. This result represents an acceleration from the previous quarter when revenues rose 10.2% on this basis.
Of course, the U.S. market has slowed a bit, with two-year numbers down to 13% from 15% in the third quarter. However, McDonald's is still showing attendance growth and growth in average spending per visit in all of its key geographic regions. CEO Chris Kempczinski, in a press release, called the 2021 results, which include McDonald's fastest growth in U.S. history, "a truly exceptional result." The chain's global sales for the full year rose 21 percent to $112 billion.
Of course, McDonald's has not escaped a sharp rise in inflation, which has hit food ingredients especially hard in recent months. For example, wages rose more than 10 percent for most of 2021, and food costs rose about 6 percent.
The chain has more than offset these pressures by raising prices, aggressively cutting costs, and increasing efficiency through more takeout and delivery sales. In fact, operating profit increased 17%, outpacing overall revenue growth.
This success has allowed operating margins to soar to 42.4% of sales from 36.7% a year ago. McDonald's is now showing record profitability, even as costs across the business are rising rapidly. Operating profits for the full year topped $10 billion, a new record.
Kempczinski and his team are watching for some major potential challenges for fiscal 2022, including continued pressure to pass on higher food costs to consumers. Some key markets, such as China, face further COVID-19 restrictions. And competition in home food delivery remains as fierce as ever.
But last year's results confirm that this restaurant chain has several world-class assets that allow it to thrive in almost any market environment. It's also a testament to the flexibility of its massive fast-food platform to cater to a wide range of tastes, whether premium drinks and sandwiches or inexpensive meals.
As a result, investors have every reason to expect positive returns from owning McDonald's stock. Of course, it's unlikely that the company will ever repeat its 2021 performance when its revenues rose 14% after a downturn in 2020.
But the restaurant chain has regularly gained share in a huge global market and boasts some of the highest margins and cash flow in the industry. These factors, as well as a growing dividend, should help shareholders continue to outperform the market by owning these shares.
MCD Earnings Musk eating a Happy Meal if McDonald's accepts DOGEElon Musk said he would eat a Happy Meal on TV if McDonald's started accepting Dogecoin as a form of payment.
Even BurgerKing, who had joint marketing campaigns with Dogecoin before, commented on the tweet.
MCD McDonald's global sales increased 12.3% in Q4, +7.5% in U.S. sales
but:
Revenue: $6.01 billion vs $6.02 billion expected
EPS: $2.23 vs $2.33 expected
My scenario is a bounce from this support, forming a Head and Shoulders Bearish chart parttern with a price target around $229.