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MCX

EURINR Elliottwave: Looking for break of monthly trendlineTalking Points: Technical Strategy: Bearish Elliottwave Count: Either wave (C) continuation or B wave of (B). HTG Note: Larger outlook on weekly chart is showing weakness on long and short term. EURO vs Indian Rupee price is testing weekly trend line. Last time this line was tested on September, 2015 and post that we seen nice pullback towards 77.80 levels. We in HTG consider that was correction and marking as a wave (B). From 77.80, we were seen bear continuation and currently price is testing same weekly trenline. Break of this weekly trendline will be very bearish outlook for Euro. On alternate, if price is start trading higher, we are expecting to see price can go and above 82 levels before it's turn bearish again. Lower time frame, we are seen reaction near trend line support, however current price is trading in just correction and testing horizontal resistance on 70.15. We are expecting this zigzag correction should be over. To confirm, bear trend is back in force, we need to have channel breakout here @ 70 area. Post this breakout, we are able to mark correction over and can trade for lower target below 68 Action We initiated short position @ 1.77 with limited stoploss
Short
by Hittesh
XAUUSD - Silver View!Silver is correcting for now as a Flat correction. Down side is possible till 18.50 from where expecting it go higher above 21.50.If it continues to go lower below 18 then it probably might be doing something else and invalidate my analysis. Looking for reversal and buying opportunity around 18.5 levels. Details are on the chart. Happy Trading!! Siraj Hudda, CFTe Web: www.prowaveanalysis.com Skype: sirajhudda Email: contactus@prowaveanalysis.com Facebook: www.facebook.com Twitter: twitter.com LinkedIn: in.linkedin.com
FX:XAGUSDShort
by SirajHudda
Crude under pressureCrude (22.05.2015) traded lower as per our expectation as mention in our previous article, however it fail to reach to $55.70 mark & bounced back with current week inventory support. Now crude is trading around $60 mark & as we can see on charts, crude trying to retest the broken trade line of ascending channel. The bounce was supported by volume as well as pattern is not very ideal for recovery. On elliott wave count , crude probably trading under 1st downside wave with probably V wave down now. However the count is not very ideal still there is no other probability available this time. On fundamental side, although we witness a good withdrawal last week, total inventories still roaming around all time high while strong dollar likely to continue. Based on above technical picture , crude probably move downward once again. Level $55.70 & then $51.50 will be on radar. MCX -> S2(3610) S1(3724) cmp(3832) R1(3910) R2(3980) Note - Above technical analysis is not a buy/ sell recommendation. Read more articles here www.mantracommodity.blogspot.in
FX:USOILShort
by mantracommodity
Crude can hit back again.Crude(25.03.2015) broken downside & traded lower towards $43 mark as mention in our last analysis. However the recovery was quite sharp to resistance zone once again. Now crude is trading around $47.50 & as we can see on charts, its approaching to the broken tradeline of last symmetrical triangle pattern. This recovery seems to be a corrective one due to less volume & weak candlestick structure. However small timeframe charts showing some positivity but day & weekly charts are still bearish. To convert this rally into a reversal crude must provide a close above $55 mark otherwise a deeper fall may occur this time. On fundamental side nothing have changed. Crude inventory & production still on higher levels while next OPEC meeting due on 5th june 2015 at Vienna, Austria is far away. Based on above studies, we will prefer to stay on sell side & may witness a fall back towards $44 mark & may be followed by $41 in coming weeks. MCX -> S2(2810) S1(3020) cmp(3130) R1(3300) R2(3560) Note - Above technical analysis is not a buy/sell recommendation. For recommendations Contact Us Call Us : 088890 34986 www.mantracommodity.blogspot.in
FX:USOILShort
by mantracommodity
Silver with a bull start of 2015Silver(07.01.2015) remain very quite for more than 2 months & traded in range. However this range bound trading came with some surprising moves which plotting the future movement story most probably. Fundamental remains very weak for silver from last few months, gold with bad performance in 2014 kept pressure on silver as well as slowdown in leading manufacturing economy china slashes silver demand as industrial metal. With a positive start of 2015 from gold & a major expectation of QE from china , japan & europe together could provide a supportive ambiance for this metal. Coming to the technical picture, Silver trading at $16.35 while i am writing this & as we can see on chart in December 2014 silver made a low around $14 mark & bounce same day with some extra volume. This move almost tested the 261.8% fibonacci retracement level of last upside move. This move also provided a strong positive divergence on charts as well as a falling volume under consolidation period suggest absence of sellers on current level. Thus a combination of bounce from lower trendline of long term descending channel & a most possible inside bullish channel hinting for a recovery ahead. Area around $17.70 & then $18.70 could be targeted in coming trading session. SILVER MCX has same story like comex silver still on mcx charts, silver looks more comfortable , probably due to INR movement. A strong black cloud cover candle with great volume & follow up by a consolidation period with thin volume. RSI generating a positive divergence . Silver also broken above a descending trendline & currently following a minor upside channel. This technical setup suggest for a bounce ahead to retest the previous high around 39000 & then may be 41000 in coming trading session. At the end time will tell us the true story. Best of luck. Note - Above technical analysis is not a buy/sell recommendation. For recommendations Contact Us Call Us : 088890 34986 www.mantracommodity.blogspot.in
FX:XAGUSDLong
by mantracommodity