Mean
Mean Reversion points based on OBV and RSI DivergenceJust looking back at a stock for a hindsight view on picking the best buy and sell times.
Note the OBV matches very well with the RSI, the short term trend reversal is confirmed with RSI bearish divergence and the retest of on the OBV downtrend line.
Bull Flag Fractals: Signals price reverting to the mean.I love fractals. Here we have a micro bull flag embedded within a med. term flag embedded within a greater macro flag, wow. I called the recent btc price jump to 10k on my first video. I am calling this move to 11k. Price reverts to the mean and the mean is up not down - relatively speaking. Don't believe me, just watch.
These times are only estimates:
Target 1: by Nov 4
Target 2: by Nov 11th
Target 3: by 30th
HAIR - OverreactionThis looks like a nice technical setup for mean reversion coming straight out of an overreaction.
The volume by price range shows the 3 clear points with a lot of price memory. Most holders that haven't sold will feel they are owed money and be looking to relieve the tension of the loss at those points.
CHFJPY BUY TRADE SETUPPrice reversed from channel support and broke out of ascending trendline and resistance level.
Price has made a pullback and retests the broken levels that lined up with moving averages.
Considering that price has broken out of the counter trendline, the price has the potential to move higher towards the resistance zone from near the current level.
Thanks for reading!
AFL - Bull Put Spread - Weekly & Daily Chart SetupBack from Hols - Back to Trading - Back to Profit..!!!
Weekly (W) Chart, Post Earnings showing good Pullback towards Mid BB%.
W RSI is <10.
Looking for S/R around the 52 level.
Looking for Reversal to mean back higher.
Aiming for 52.50 /50 Put Credit Spread with 55 Calls for directional Bias higher.
Exp SEPT - As this is weekly Chart, looking to leave time to run well into Profit.
Exit around W RSI level 50/60.70 depending on levels and PA.
Good Luck - Watch your $$$ RISK.
AIONBTCAt the end of a major long term resistance / falling wedge / bull flag
Possible return to the mean of the downtrend channel
Could easily POP, set you sell order to catch it! =)
Bitcoin: Correlation between NVT and the All-Time Mean Today I want to look at the bigger picture to put in context the recent Bitcoin move.
In the weekly chart, we see that the bias is bearish. The lows at 3100 fail to qualify as a THE BOTTOM by any sort of crypto standard:
a) Lack of volume
b) Lack of strong bounce
c) Lack of institutional blueprint
d) NVT still optimistic
Now, I want to look it from the perspective of the All-Time historical Mean for Bitcoin.
The bottom would be more credible if it coincides with a test of this line, as happened in 2015.
I'm plotting Bitstamp and BNC series, and we can see there a huge void between the current price location and the place where the All-Time Mean sits.
At Bitstamp, Bitcoin consolidated above the All-Time mean during 8 months before confirming the bull trend.
At the BraveNewCoin series (which is the longest one available in Tradingview), we see that the $150 spike bounced from the All-Time Mean.
Therefore, this is a legit line to be taken into consideration to prove the bottoming. Most of the assets have a natural tendency to revisit this line along high time frame cycles (unless they are heavily manipulated).
Additionally, the NVT is sitting at a similar range level (80-100) than did at 2015 before crashing below 50 and signal the low.
Will bitcoin test the All-Time Mean during this cycle? Well, we don't know that for sure but certainly the chances are there.
Bitcoin has been unable to fulfill any solid bottoming criteria and this one looks like could be the missing one that could trigger heavy volume and flash crash action.
BTC Long Term Pitchfork TrendCurrently I am expecting a mean reversion, sub $5k feels almost certain upon viewing this chart. I have used a line chart instead of bars in order to keep this clean. But all 3 pivots to this pitchfork are anchored to significant wicks (you just can't see them).
If it is looking like price will hold above the mean I will look for a long term entry to hold for at least at least a decade.
BTC's Next Move C:Hopefully simple enough to understand, let me know if you have any questions
In the short term future I see 2 paths, normally it would only be one, but I've never seen the Bart Simpson pattern pump/dumps before which is why I made the second path because who knows?
Anyway, Stoch is low, MACD is looking to crossover soon, hopefully at this support.
$neo continued growthShould continue to see normal growth from $neo against the $usd
Twitter: @AzorAhai06
$xzc progresion back to meanPitchfork drawn highlight the mean.
The green area is not necessarily a target, but rather a method to illustrate the distance from the mean of the trend.
Twitter: AzorAhai06
BTCUSD longBTCUSD has hit the necessary checkpoints that I needed to take a trade. It has finally completed another mean reversion and returned to its 52 day SMA mean. It also completed a long overdue 61.8% Fib retracement. Even though its in my buying zone I would prefer to see a deeper dive into oversold territory to feel all warm and fuzzy about this trade. With that being said I an watching for the classic break-check-go setup as my trade trigger. Twice in 2017 BTC did the same thing (returned to the mean, hit 61.8% Fib and got into oversold territory) so this is the trade that I have been waiting on. Remember trade only what you can afford to loose and plan your trade and trade your plan. Thanks to all!
Bitcoin will probably keep going up from hereBased on the existing trend I think bitcoin has bottomed out and is heading higher soon, but maybe not at the same pace as previously during the run from 3k to 20k. The thick line is resistance now and was previously very hard to breach. The slope is positive though so there is no need to pass this resistance to keep going up. The FUD has been immense but bitcoin is not DEAD. After a dump like this I think price will go sideways to shake out impatient people.
TLDR: The local bitcoin bubble has been popped (as many times before), and I think the price is already recovering.
EURUSD LONG - THREE TRADE SETUPSThe Horizontal Rays shows you the trade setup with ENTRY/BLUE-STOP/RED-TARGET/GREEN.
If we can manage to get a CLEAN break above the BLUE BOX - Look for a rounded retest for a run up to the first high initiated in red.
If we are going lower then the mean reversion trade - spread your long entries in the lightblue box with a master stop where you think you dont want to be bullish on the euro anymore.