International Bonds decoupling from DXY since 2014At one point, there will be a mean reversion trade here. Until then, not sure how much more this will go in opposite directions. I still believe if the dollar is strong, buying international bonds cheaper then they've been in a while might see some action. Investors will be able to limit risk and improve returns by focusing only on the countries with the most attractive economic and interest rate cycles.
Meanreversion
Trading strategies you may not have seen, I will share with you Many classic indicators such as MACD, RSI, EMA are basically a combination of "iron triangle" equipped by hand. The more advanced ones may be candle pattern analysis and Elliott wave theory. Today we are going to talk about trading strategies based on volatility and linear regression, as well as correlation coefficients. These indicators are easy to create in Pine, and I will be creating a volatility correlation-based indicator to publish to my public script library in the near future.
Trading strategies you may not have seen! Dry goods to share!
Enough talk, please see the picture
1. In the linear regression in the chart, I draw the Pearson correlation coefficient with a yellow circle, which proves that 93.95% of the price falls within the standard deviation of the standard deviation band of the upper and lower 2 (you can refer to the standard deviation concept of Bollinger Band, //For a normal distribution, within one standard deviation of plus or minus is 68.2%, plus or minus two standard deviations is 95.4%, plus or minus three standard deviations is a 99.6% confidence interval//See statistics)
2. The indicator in the side graph is based on Close to Close's historical volatility percentage (great idea by @Balipour) and its SMA line, please note that the part larger than the SMA line we call "mean reversion", smaller than the SMA line part of it is called "trends",
It can be seen that the price always fluctuates during "reversion to the mean", just like the volatility reading, the volatility is large but will eventually return to its *mean*, the part below the SMA is the "trend", which proves that the current market There is a "trend", which may be left or right trading, (the direction is clearly expressed in the linear regression)
3. The above two points can see whether the current market is "trend" or "mean reversion", then continue to look at the correlation coefficient in the sub-picture indicator. I will not repeat the principle. The source of the correlation coefficient is Close (close). price), the correlation is the historical volatility, 0 is the dividing line of the correlation coefficient, above 0 is a positive correlation, below 0 is a negative correlation, under a significant positive correlation, we describe the current market as a percentage of historical volatility is "mean reversion" It is still the fluctuation of the "trend" to operate. As can be seen in the figure, in the positive correlation fluctuation, we have captured a lot of trading signals.
Finally, thanks to TV for such excellent and powerful chart analysis software
BTC & DOGE | Asia followed through! Up only?Yo guys, welcome to the channel Hawkeye Charting.
Todays altcoin: DOGE
Enjoy watching the video :)
No BS like bullflags. No Asking: when moon?
Always referring to the current state of psychology and what the market maker aims to do next.
Pointing out the major trend on Elliott Waves .
Peace
Disclaimer:
No financial advice!
All content is for information and entertainment purposes only and only reflects our personal opinions or market steps. Viewers are expressly requested to form their own opinion on the content and the statements as well as, if necessary, to seek professional advice.
BTC & ADA | Is this the 3 Hits to the High?Yo guys, welcome to the channel Hawkeye Charting.
Todays altcoin: ADA
Enjoy watching the video :)
No BS like bullflags. No Asking: when moon?
Always referring to the current state of psychology and what the market maker aims to do next.
Pointing out the major trend on Elliott Waves .
Peace
Disclaimer:
No financial advice!
All content is for information and entertainment purposes only and only reflects our personal opinions or market steps. Viewers are expressly requested to form their own opinion on the content and the statements as well as, if necessary, to seek professional advice.
BTC & SOL | Daily Chart at a turning point?Yo guys, welcome to the channel Hawkeye Charting.
Todays altcoin: SOL
Enjoy watching the video :)
No BS like bullflags. No Asking: when moon?
Always referring to the current state of psychology and what the market maker aims to do next.
Pointing out the major trend on Elliott Waves.
Peace
Disclaimer:
No financial advice!
All content is for information and entertainment purposes only and only reflects our personal opinions or market steps. Viewers are expressly requested to form their own opinion on the content and the statements as well as, if necessary, to seek professional advice.
BTC & ADA - no direction, no target...Yo guys, welcome to the channel Hawkeye Charting.
Todays altcoin: ADA
Enjoy watching the video :)
No BS like bullflags. No Asking: when moon?
Always referring to the current state of psychology and what the market maker aims to do next.
Pointing out the major trend on Elliott Waves.
Peace
Disclaimer:
No financial advice!
All content is for information and entertainment purposes only and only reflects our personal opinions or market steps. Viewers are expressly requested to form their own opinion on the content and the statements as well as, if necessary, to seek professional advice.
BTC & SHIB - downmove intention of MarketMakers for this week?Yo guys, welcome to the channel Hawkeye Charting.
Todays altcoin: SHIB
Enjoy watching the video :)
No BS like bullflags. No Asking: when moon?
Always referring to the current state of psychology and what the market maker aims to do next.
Pointing out the major trend on Elliott Waves.
Peace
Disclaimer:
No financial advice!
All content is for information and entertainment purposes only and only reflects our personal opinions or market steps. Viewers are expressly requested to form their own opinion on the content and the statements as well as, if necessary, to seek professional advice.
BTC & VET - up or down, that is the question...Yo guys, welcome to the channel Hawkeye Charting.
Market Makers are doing a great job, by principle there are confluences for both directions.
We have to be patient and must wait for the hand of the market makers to appear.
Watch the video to understand, which zones I'm paying attention to.
Todays altcoin: VET
Enjoy watching the video :)
No BS like bullflags. No Asking: when moon?
Always referring to the current state of psychology and what the market maker aims to do next.
Pointing out the major trend on Elliott Waves.
Peace
Disclaimer:
No financial advice!
All content is for information and entertainment purposes only and only reflects our personal opinions or market steps. Viewers are expressly requested to form their own opinion on the content and the statements as well as, if necessary, to seek professional advice.
BTC & SOL - Mooners paid the priceYo guys, welcome to the channel Hawkeye Charting.
Market Makers reversed the price again as they committed retailers for moon. What next?
Todays altcoin: SOL
Enjoy watching the video :)
No BS like bullflags. No Asking: when moon?
Always referring to the current state of psychology and what the market maker aims to do next.
Pointing out the major trend on Elliott Waves.
Peace
Disclaimer:
No financial advice!
All content is for information and entertainment purposes only and only reflects our personal opinions or market steps. Viewers are expressly requested to form their own opinion on the content and the statements as well as, if necessary, to seek professional advice.
BTC - Moon-Sentiment ahead? Yo guys, welcome to the channel Hawkeye Charting.
We haven't seen the anticipated drop level 3. We just shifted the zone are now looking for sideways consolidation, if MM wants to push the price to higher zone.
Enjoy watching the video :)
No BS like bullflags. No Asking: when moon?
Always referring to the current state of psychology and what the market maker aims to do next.
Pointing out the major trend on Elliott Waves.
Peace
Disclaimer:
No financial advice!
All content is for information and entertainment purposes only and only reflects our personal opinions or market steps. Viewers are expressly requested to form their own opinion on the content and the statements as well as, if necessary, to seek professional advice.
$BTC & $XRP - Chaos in the #crypto jungleYo guys, welcome to the channel Hawkeye Charting.
Asia recovered a notable area of the NY Sessions work. We have to wait for the beginning of London to understand, what MM could plan next...
Enjoy watching the video :)
No BS like bullflags. No Asking: when moon?
Always referring to the current state of psychology and what the market maker aims to do next.
Pointing out the major trend on Elliott Waves.
Peace
Disclaimer:
No financial advice!
All content is for information and entertainment purposes only and only reflects our personal opinions or market steps. Viewers are expressly requested to form their own opinion on the content and the statements as well as, if necessary, to seek professional advice.
BTC & $DOGE - Asia started the week with a downmove for #BitcoinYo guys, welcome to the channel Hawkeye Charting.
Asia started this week with a follow through for a downmove and moves currently in the preparation for London.
Watch the video to understand, what I'm paying attention for.
Enjoy watching the video :)
No BS like bullflags. No Asking: when moon?
Always referring to the current state of psychology and what the market maker aims to do next.
Pointing out the major trend on Elliott Waves.
Peace
Disclaimer:
No financial advice!
All content is for information and entertainment purposes only and only reflects our personal opinions or market steps. Viewers are expressly requested to form their own opinion on the content and the statements as well as, if necessary, to seek professional advice.
Oil at 2011 Highs - What to look forThis isn't strictly a technical analysis. I'd like to gage the market sentiment and geo political tensions before I commit to a trade. If I see price break support but I'm seeing bullish headlines, I won't take a oil short. I'm waiting for a bearish catalyst and a break of the support I pointed out.
Below are some bullish and bearish headlines I'll be looking out for.
Bearish Oil Headlines Examples:
Cease Fire in Ukraine
Russians Withdrawal
Iran Nuclear Deal reached
Refusal to sanction Russian Oil
More reserves released
Bullish Oil Headlines Examples:
Military action involving NATO countries
No fly zone implemented over Ukraine
More nuclear weapon rhetoric
Sanctions on Russian oil exports.
NATO countries supplying weapons/equipment to Ukraine.
Iran nuclear deal negotiations fall apart
BTC - projection has worked, what NEXT? - Todays altcoin: ADAYo guys, welcome to the channel Hawkeye Charting.
Yesterdays plan has worked well and we understood the Market Makers intention.
But now we have to look again, where the liquidity is...
No BS like bullflags. No Asking: when moon?
Always referring to the current state of psychology and what the market maker aims to do next.
Pointing out the major trend on Elliott Waves .
Peace
Disclaimer:
No financial advice!
All content is for information and entertainment purposes only and only reflects our personal opinions or market steps. Viewers are expressly requested to form their own opinion on the content and the statements as well as, if necessary, to seek professional advice.
BTC - Mid Week Reversal incoming? Crypto world in moon feeling..Yo guys, welcome to the channel Hawkeye Charting.
No BS like bullflags. No Asking: when moon?
Always referring to the current state of psychology and what the market maker aims to do next.
Pointing out the major trend on Elliott Waves.
Peace
Disclaimer:
No financial advice!
All content is for information and entertainment purposes only and only reflects our personal opinions or market steps. Viewers are expressly requested to form their own opinion on the content and the statements as well as, if necessary, to seek professional advice.
BTC - will there be the follow through? - Todays altcoin: ETHYo guys, welcome to the channel Hawkeye Charting.
Are we about to see the third hit to the high? Orderbook and TDI shows us some warning signals!
No BS like bullflags. No Asking: when moon?
Always referring to the current state of psychology and what the market maker aims to do next.
Pointing out the major trend on Elliott Waves .
Peace
Disclaimer:
No financial advice!
All content is for information and entertainment purposes only and only reflects our personal opinions or market steps. Viewers are expressly requested to form their own opinion on the content and the statements as well as, if necessary, to seek professional advice.
BTC Boring London Session - preparing the last hit to the high?Hey there guys,
there's a probability that we see some kind of accumulation for the last move to the upside.
I'm now waiting to see some kind of doji in the lower area of the marked box, favoured right before the NY Brinks or during the NY Brinks.
50 EMA is waiting in this area, could be the picture of mean reversion then....
Watch the linked video for detailed information on my thoughts.
Peace
More adventures in elevated volatilityThe bottom of the current volatility futures trend channel is at about 26.20, a level that would have been considered alarmingly high a couple of months ago. If volatility reverses and starts coming back up from at or below that level on Monday or Tuesday, a long position in VIX futures would be a defensible speculation.
BTBD: Buy the bean dip?The world in general, and fertilizer prices in particular, are alleged to be going to Hell in a handcart. Infernal scenarios aside, a mean-reversion buy in soybeans off the bottom of the current trend channel could make sense. Beans have been a bit volatile lately, so watch this trade if you make it.
BTC Market Makers recovering prev down move - todays altcoin ETHYo guys, welcome to the channel Hawkeye Charting.
Yesterdays NY Session completely neutralized the the aggressive move to the downside af the asia session.
Will we see a recovery of the current zone 37.5 - 36k or will we see more preparations for another downmove?
No BS like bullflags. No Asking: when moon?
Always referring to the current state of psychology and what the market maker aims to do next.
Pointing out the major trend on Elliott Waves .
Peace
Disclaimer:
No financial advice!
All content is for information and entertainment purposes only and only reflects our personal opinions or market steps. Server members are expressly requested to form their own opinion on the content and the statements as well as, if necessary, to seek professional advice.
BTC Market Makers using ukraine news - todays altcoin: ADAYo guys, welcome to the channel Hawkeye Charting.
Yesterdays projection of working the 36-35k zone in BTC has been even surpassed and we're now waiting for some kind of reversal relating to the market maker method.
Is Price affected by the ukraine news or did the market makers simply use the news to hide their hand?
No BS like bullflags. No Asking: when moon?
Always referring to the current state of psychology and what the market maker aims to do next.
Pointing out the major trend on Elliott Waves .
Peace