Possible profit targets - a cautious estimateAs BTC has passed any former resistance zones, what can be expected?
Currently, due to the global political situation, with focus on an escalation of the war in Europe and the Near East, the BTC run is likely to continue, just as gold will.
As markets often move in 3 steps, the chart shows possible targets for 3 measured moves up.
The recent consolidation zone between 12th and 17th November was dominated by a strong bullish engulfing candle on the 15th. The following candles showed weak bears and the uptrend quickly resumed.
I'm expectin the next profit target at around 100K and the subsequent around 135K.
Then we will probably see a stronger pullback.
Measuredmove
Bitcoins been climbing up the measuredmove line like a staircaseAs often happens, we can see the past 7 daily candles have used the dotted red measured move line like a staircase as it slowly ascends it towards the full breakout target around 100k. It always amuses me when I see price using a breakout target line in this fashion. Just another reminder that TA works. *not financial advice*
$TXN Texas Instruments Weakness????? Target 193.12TXN has lost last week’s lows and made a new monthly low on increased volume. If possible TXN looks to be getting ready to retest the 193.12 area which is the 150 day demand zone where the stock should bounce. I am bearish if we lose yesterday’s lows of 198.11 with 193.12 as a target. Capturing a downward move of 4.99
DOES $MARA HAVE SOME ROOM TO GO UP?WITH CRYPTOCAP:BTC BREAKING OUT OF ITS CONSOLIDATION IS ONLY RIGHT EVERYTHING CRYPTO WAKES UP. WHICH BRINGS US TO NASDAQ:MARA
TECHNICALS: NASDAQ:META has to regain the level of 18.52 for a pop to 19.38 if we can get a clean close above 19.38 we can see a clean run the 26.76
“REMEMBER, TREND AND VOLUME ARE THE GAS AND STEERING WHEEL THAT POWERS AND DIRECTS A MOVE IN YOUR TRADING VEHICLE (STRATEGY) , DON’T CAUSE AN AVOIDABLE ACCIDENT, TRADE SAFE”- TWINEY
@T.W.I.N.E.Y
$Amzn coming off of bottom channel, Target of 195.57 Upcoming?Amazon looks to be about to start its leg up off of the bottom channel. If price can close above yesterday’s highs around 190’s we can se a push to our upper target area of 195.57 for a 5 dollar move. Price action is key with volume!
Trade Safe
@T.W.I.N.E.Y
$SQ Breakout Possible SQ looks to be about to start a new leg up if it can breakout of its wedge. Sq had a clean close above resistance with increased volume on 10/10/24. It experienced an inside day on 10/11/24 with still elevated relative volume from the prior days break out. Sq rejected at the top of the wedge but did not really show any slowdown of buying just an absorption of some selling as the prior days lows were not breached. The inside day on the11th appears to be a rest day looking for continuation and a breakout out the wedge targeting 72 and 74 dollars. The next area where the stock can potentially meet supply if it does continue on its newly started uptrend would be 79.82 (rounded to 80) then 87.52, the current yearly highs, and the 89.97 which is the prior years highs.
Trade Safe Every1!
@T.w.i.n.e.y
Galas next targets If the overall market is done w/ correction This bull flag target and then slightly above that is the double bottom breakout target. Price action seems to already climbing up the measured move line of the double bottom breakout so that’s a good sign that a breakout could get validated soon. Could definitely still correct back below the double bottom neckline once or twice first though if the bitcoin correction isn't over yet. *not financial advice*
Total Cryptocap’s log chart just hit the falling wedge targetIf we take the teal bull pennant and only measure the pennant part which is also a falling wedge, the target we get from the breakout has just been hit by our current price action. I felt that was worthy of posting a chart bout. Though bitcoin has already achieved a new all time high days ago, the entire market cap for all of crypto is still just below it’s previous all time high currently. I would expect that to change in the very near future, however there’s always a chance at a retracement once rice hits the full breakout target. Since we just hit the full breakout target of the teal falling wedge, then it could retrace, if it does it may take longer to reach a new all time high. ALso possible for it to pump just enough to reach a new all time high then start its retrcement, correction, or sideways consolidation. Either way we can see as I have stated in previous charts, that this falling wedge is also a very valid bullish pennant and the breakout target once you include the height of the pennants flagpole for your measured move line, Is a staggering 17.5 trillion or so…No guarantee we hit the full target this bull run, however the ay the bitcoin spot etf buying has kind of changed the paradigm of what’s possible there’s definitely a chance we could hit this full target for this current bull run. As I have stated in the past the dotted yellow measured move line to the left is a measured move target from a pennant we broke up from 2 bull cycles ago and it didnt hit its full target in that bull run. However since it is in a very close proximity to the price target of this teal pennant’s measured move breakout target as well, it creates a good bulllish confluence and we could see both targets hit this bull run. I would say worst case scenario we head to those targets by next bull run but very plausibly can reach them during this one. *not financial advice*
Tron breakout has been climbing my dotted measured move lineEver since it broke up from the cup and handle pattern that I posted a chart about a week or 2 ago price action has been climbing the measured move line like a staircase this whole time so far. Always a remarkable thing to witness imo. You cant really get a good view of how it has been climbing this line on the previous chart idea I posted on it because its all the way zoomed out to show just how high the end target of this dotted line goes, and I think it. May have also been on the weekly timeframe where as this chart here is showing the daily and is more zoomed in to properly illustrate how price will often climb the measured move line after validating a breakout. So far this is a text book example of such behavior. Hopefully it continues to do so. I will post a link to the previous Tron idea with the more zoomed out look at the chart below as well. *not financial advice*
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IWM: Something is Rotten in the State of MarketsPrimary Chart: IWM on a weekly timeframe with downtrend line and major support and resistance zones
Note1: IWM is an iShares ETF that represents the Russell 2000 small-cap index in the United States. Though not as widely tracked as SPX, NDX, or DJIA, the Russell 2000 ( TVC:RUT ) is one of the major US indices. It is likely the fourth most watched US index.
Note2: The phrase "something is rotten in the state of Denmark" is a well-known line from Shakespeare's play Hamlet used to describe a situation where something is wrong or even corrupt within a government, institution, or system. No corruption is intended to be implied discussed. The title's allusion to this phrase is meant to suggest only that something is off / wrong in the markets, i.e., that everything is not well despite the strength of the Nasdaq 100 lately and the support seen in SPX.
The Russell 2000 (IWM) is often a leading indicator in US markets. It led to the downside in early November 2021 after a false breakout out of its 2021 topping-pattern's resistance around $234. SPX topped nearly two months later on January 4, 2022. While small-caps are not necessarily always the first to make a move, it is something frequently cited by commentators and analysts.
The primary chart shows how IWM has struggled below the upper blue rectangular zone, a resistance / supply zone going back to highs in March and April 2022. This zone also rejected price at the end of the impressive August 2022 rally that had everyone debating whether the bull-market had returned in earnest. Lastly, on February 2, 2023, IWM was unable to even tag the lower edge of this zone, eking out a high at $199.26. The lower edge of this blue resistance zone as drawn here is at HKEX:200 - HKEX:201 approximately.
The Primary Chart above also shows an important Fibonacci support level at $170. This the 50% retracement of the entire bull market from the 2020 Covid lows to the highs in November 2021. This has also marked important support since late October 2022 (a week or two after the October 2022 lows). Notice the weekly candle wicks protruding below this line but recovering back above it.
The final point about the Primary Chart is the down TL from the all-time high in magenta. This was broken to the upside, which was one of the reasons many market participants and commentators got excited about the bear being complete. That trendline was retested in late March 2023. But despite this positive development, IWM has not acted well. In fact, it has broken decisively below a multi-month upward trendline from October 2022 lows as shown on the Primary Chart as well. This trendline was also important and signifies weakness on the decisive break below it.
On the larger scale, price is trapped between the blue rectangular zones of support and resistance. Until these break, not much progress is likely in either direction. Sideways action is likely for the coming weeks. The one thing that would negate the sideways action view is a clean break back below the down trendline from the all-time high. So keep an eye out for that development.
Next, Supplementary Chart A.1 and A.2 below shows a hypothetical illustration of how price could move sideways for the coming weeks / months before a flush below major support (if one is bearish about equities generally) or a rally above the key resistance zone (if one is bullish about equities generally). SquishTrade gives an edge to the bears in the intermediate to longer-term time frames—as long as price stays below both (1) the uptrend line from October 2022 lows, and (2) the key Fibonacci levels of the most recent decline (shown on the Primary Chart at $183.36 and $187.11).
Supplementary Chart A.1 (measured corrective move upward where the legs of the corrective move might be equal or share a 1.272 Fibonacci relationship)
Supplementary Chart A.2 (choppy sideways action that retests the upward TL from the October 2022 lows that had broken down in March 2023 before heading lower again)
Supplementary Chart B is a zoomed-out version of the major resistance and support level shown on the Primary Chart. This is intended to show the ranging action for months that has taken place despite periods of seemingly impressive strength and sharp weakness.
Supplementary Chart B
The next chart, Supplementary Chart C, illustrates what a trendline might look like if someone were considering this chart afresh, i.e., for the first time without having tracked the prior trendlines during the 2021-2022 bear market. The TL has been re-drawn to account for the recent major highs at the end of the January to February 2023 rally.
Supplementary Chart C
IWM's anchored VWAPs are not encouraging. Here, the only VWAPs considered are the one anchored to the all-time high in November 2021 (blue-purple line) and the 2022 low (orange line). Price made a false breakout above the VWAP from the all-time high and failed back below. That in itself is a negative especially given that this occurred on a larger time frame going back to 2021. Price has also failed below the October 2022 VWAP as well.
Supplementary Chart D
Finally, and most importantly, consider the ratio spread of IWM/SPY in Supplementary Chart E below . This tracks the performance of the Russell 200 relative to the S&P 500. This is why something might be rotten in the state of Denmark (markets). A healthy market should not have an index looking this bad. Let me know what you think in the comments.
Supplementary Chart E
The ratio spread shows that IWM's underperformance just broke below a key support level for that ratio. But bigger support lies below. However, the overall picture looks bleak for IWM with a downtrend line that has lasted for a while, and lower highs for the ratio's value on higher time frames.
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Author's Comment: Thank you for reviewing this post and considering its charts and analysis. The author welcomes comments, discussion and debate (respectfully presented) in the comment section. Shared charts are especially helpful to support any opposing or alternative view. This article is intended to present an unbiased, technical view of the security or tradable risk asset discussed.
Please note further that this technical-analysis viewpoint is short-term in nature. This is not a trade recommendation but a technical-analysis overview and commentary with levels to watch for the near term. This technical-analysis viewpoint could change at a moment's notice should price move beyond a level of invalidation. Further, proper risk-management techniques are vital to trading success. And countertrend or mean-reversion trading, e.g., trading a rally in a bear market, is lower probability and is tricky and challenging even for the most experienced traders.
DISCLAIMER: This post contains commentary published solely for educational and informational purposes. This post's content (and any content available through links in this post) and its views do not constitute financial advice or an investment or trading recommendation, and they do not account for readers' personal financial circumstances, or their investing or trading objectives, time frame, and risk tolerance. Readers should perform their own due diligence, and consult a qualified financial adviser or other investment / financial professional before entering any trade, investment or other transaction.
Agix to the downside measured move 0.30346Head and shoulders pattern in play measured move to the downside, of 0.30346 stay tuned and happy trading!
Incoming gains for AGIX 15 min time frameGet ready for easy gains coming for Singularity(AGIX) next two projected measure moves as follows, 0.3574 followed by 0.3799 ...happy trading!
$GDX: Next Target $38.41This is not financial advice.
I believe $GDX will make a run up to at least $38.41, and potentially higher.
The measured move is confirmed by long hand as well as Fib. extension:
1. High of $33.34 minus it's low of $21.52 (Point A) = $11.82. Point B's (retracement) low of $26.59 + $11.82 = $38.41.
2. Drawing the Fib. extension as show on the chart confirms the same price target.
BTC.D is putting in a major bottomAnything that follows is not to be taken as financial advice.
As you can see from this weekly chart, Bitcoin dominance has been trying to paint a low since may 2021.
I've had that 48.20% horizontal ray placed for almost two years, and we can observe how it's been already tested four times so far in the course of said time.
While that level has been working as a resistance so far, price action doesn't look very intimidated by it.
The way I look at it, a range break to the upside would be the most plausible scenario.
Considering for how long this chart has been consolidating, looking for a move up to about 53% is highly probable, and one to about 58% is still very realistic.
Furthermore, by drawing a measured move from resistance to bottom, and then applying it over the resistance, it becomes more obvious that anywhere around the 58% level would be an important area to consider this idea as played out.
In order to confirm this as a major bottom, I'd need to see a convincing weekly close above the 48.20% level, until that happens, all that's been said remains in the realm of potentiality.
Were there to be such a close, the entirety of the following upside move would very likely take various months.