Measuredmove
CGC Trendline FailCGC saw an open and close yesterday below the lower support line of a rising channel(orange lines). Using a measured move on a trendline break, price could potentially see a -25% decline which would roughly equal a -$5.50 loss taking price back down near $16. Keeping an eye on this one today as CGC tends to dictate prices for the entire cannabis sector.
PG - Ascending triangle breakoutSummary
We have tested $126 over twelve times since December 16th.
Yesterday's move closed above this resistance; and we are confirming today going to all-time-highs.
Technicals
RSI(14) @62.5 showing relative strength but not overbought
OBV is trending higher confirming the move
To set a short-term target. You can measure from the bottom of the triangle and add that on-top of the triangle breakout. In this case; the measured move is at $136 approximately.
RRR is 3:1
VERY SIMPLE ANALYSIS ON IOTA HEADING TO THE $0.30 LEVEL!Some of us like me have been trading this coin from the $0.157 levels and based on measured move in technical analysis, IOTA is likely to hit a major target and resistance of approximately $0.300 before retracing to test and potentially find support on $0.2201 comfortably.
NOTE - This is a weekly timeframe so it may take a couple of weeks or less to play out.
Please like this post if you find it helpful. Your comments, inputs and thoughts are also welcome :)
GBPUSD 1H BULLISH FLAG BREAKOUT LONG TRADEBullish Flags are a chart pattern under the Range Patterns.
Bullish Flag Ranges are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Bullish Flag Range chart patterns will have a long directional bias depending on the previous incoming trend.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
Whatever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart ).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility ) this shows a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of average volume for a full position size.
b - If 75% of average volume then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the volume settings on the chart – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
2 - Enter two trades.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
This trade setup was found by Scott Barkley on TSG "Trade of the Week"
Measured move on BTCMeasured move leading into daily 377ema (blue line) and monthly pivot point.
Either that acts as resistance or it ends up closing above the yellow trendline there will most likely be a move up to at least the 200sma(green line)
If the daily closes below 7100 this idea is invalidated.
- Not financial advice.
BTCUSD: Could This Descending Triangle Be The Final Fake Out?Another day, another descending triangle. I first tried drawing this on the 4hr chart, but without being able to include the support touch-point of December 2nd, I've gone with the Daily chart in order to have a minimum of 3 touch-points on both support & resistance trends, with sufficient time in between. There is an interesting difference between this descending triangle and others in Bitcoin's history however.
Unlike most of Bitcoin's descending triangles that lead to lower swing lows, the measured move target for this particular triangle is approximately $75 higher than the swing low of around $6,526. I'm therefore remaining neutral while anticipating a final-ish flush out, as the measured move target of 8% could quickly develop into a double bottom or higher low bullish scenario.
Support: $7,186
Target: $6,600
Resistance: $7,400
Breakout: 16th-21st December (after 75% of the triangle has completed)
Trade it at your own risk.
Related TA:
Measuring The Move of the Descending Triangle Breakdown
Descending Triangle On 4hr Chart To Look Out For?
Extrapolating 2014 Correction - Could $6,500 Be The Low?
Miner Capitulation Is Here... Back Down To $3,800?
Bitcoin Repeating History: 10 Part TA Series On Repeating Past Patterns
Full series with recent updates: bitcointalk.org
USOIL Shorting The Re-Test USOIL bears delivered a bearish gap, the first one in a while. Impatient shorts will cover at current measured move target level, which will apply pressure making bulls excited towards 5650 gap re-test. The retest area is a reasonable short with good odds as the context to the left favours bears currently.
BTC at critical level,holding above 8400 for a possible reversalHi, guys, the market is in a gloomy mood. Pump and dump have occurred from time to time for the last two weeks. Overall, BTC price has gone through a measured downtrend movement for the time period which is not friendly to traders, because not volatility means no trading opportunities.
So any hope of a turnaround this week?
Let's walk through the technical picture first.
The weekly chart looks bearish as the push-up that happened at the end of October has almost vanished, topping at 10500. And bearish pin bar generated in the last weeks clearly indicate selling force has overrun BTC.
Daily Chart is very weak, with an orderly slide to 8400 over the last two weeks, whereas no quick slump shows the market is not panic anyway.
RSI comes down to 40, sitting at the trendline.
So, in the daily picture, BTC is not oversold and may still have some downside room until the panic price movement crop up. Anyway, $8400 is a very critical price level. Once broken, the bear will definitely push the price down close to 8000. Low volatility indicates the ongoing choppy move may soon come to an end.
BTCUSD: Descending Triangle On 4hr Chart To Look Out For?VPVR (Visible Range) shows median traded price at $9180 level with the support level of the descending triangle at $9020. Note this is also the 200 Day MA level, therefore this is not a short call. The measured move of -8.5% calculates the price target of $8250, which is another VPVR level of median price from the recent volume history from the breakdown of the Weekly descending triangle .
Nonetheless, a 4hr close below $9020 would be bearish with a Daily close below the 200 Day MA required to confirm bearish bias.
The descending triangle pattern will enter the breakout zone after 75% completion on November 5th 20:00 GMT.
Bitcoin Diamond Pattern with Bullish Convergence?Good morning ladies and gents! I have spotted a Scuffed Diamond Pattern. The measured move of this to the up and downside is about a 3.82%. It's only a matter of time until we breakout. We are approaching the apex of this pattern. It looks like a long ways away, but keep in mind, this is the 1 hour time frame. I would use the 4 hour, but you have already seen the bullish divergence that has been forming. The bullish Convergence on bitcoin is new. This usually means impending price action reversal. This has been a downtrend on the smaller time frames which means a reversal would be to the upside. A measured move of this to the upside is about $8300-$8400 area which also coincides with our wedge profit taking levels between the 50% and 61.8% retrace. A measured move of this to the downside brings you to around $7600 which would be about the bottom of the wedge formation again.
I hope you all have a wonderful rest of your day and night! Hopefully this was of help as the price action seems to be a bit slow right now.
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Measured move on XBTUSD coincides with support at 4992After almost 3 months, 90 days to be precise, this week XBTUSD finally broke through the bottom of the descending triangle it has been in since June. And it did so rather violently.
It is now discussed if the bottom has been reached, or if there is more room to the downside.
I have bad news for you. According to traditional TA, the price target of a break down of a descending triangle is the height of the triangle measured from the point the triangle broke.
Of course nothing is traditional with Bitcoin, but what really worries me that if you project this move (4430 points) on the chart of XBTUSD, you end up exactly on a resistance level
formed on the way up this spring at 4992 USD. This kind of "coincidences" adds to the reliability of the chart pattern and I really like making my trading decisions on them.
And although it might not be nice seeing Bitcoin losing more than 50% of its value again, it might become a nice "buy the dip" opportunity again.
Disclaimer:
This is just an idea of what might or might not happen and is by no means trading advice. Always trade on your own risk and do your own analysis.
BTCUSD: Is Bitcoin Forming A Bear Flag To $6,750? After breaking out of the symmetrical triangle to downwards support , Bitcoin now appears to be forming a bear flag that would target the 50 Week MA around $6,750 if broken to the downside. For all those who thought $6k prices weren't possible again, remember that we have already dropped from $10k to $8k. Price otherwise needs to stay below $8,450-$8,500 to avoid invalidating the bearish pattern.
Stuck In A Symmetrical Triangle Ready To Break On 1 Hr:
Price stuck Between 200 Day MA & EMA:
Measuring The Move of the Descending Triangle Breakdown
BTCUSD: Measuring The Move of the Descending Triangle BreakdownIn 2018 there was an accuracy within 0.25% ($16) of the measured breakdown of the descending triangle . The calculation equaled $3,145 (-48.2%) with the low arriving at $3,129. Based on the 2019 Daily descending triangle , the measured move of -32% takes the price to $6,410, give or take $16. If this Daily triangle is breached to the upside I will calculate the Weekly descending triangle , that has a reduced measured move.
USDJPY 1D MEASURE MOVE CHART PATTERN STRATGY Step 1 Find AB leg - price movement with lower highs
Step 2 BC retrace leg not rise above 61.8 fib
Step 3 Sell on CD leg break below Pivot Point B
Step 4 take measured move from AB leg & clone to CD leg to find estimated TP @ 105.415
Step 5 SL above pivot point C
Measured Move Chart Pattern Strategy link
tradingstrategyguides.com
amazing to me how breakout target lines become valid trendlineslook at the ascending dotted blue measured move line coming from the point of the falling wedge breakout.....notice how every candle after the breakout has been respecting it as some sort of magnetic resistance perfectly. TA amazes me sometimes and for even the breakout target/measured move line can become a valid trendline if you know how to take your measured moves properly not just by their height but also their correct angle.