Get started

Mechanicaltradingsystem

AUDUSD: Bearish Breakout Ahead! 55.06% Chance to Hit My Target!The Australian Dollar faces several headwinds that support a bearish bias against the US Dollar: 1. China's economic slowdown is hurting demand for Australian exports. 2. The RBA has paused rate hikes while the Fed maintains a hawkish stance, potentially widening the interest rate gap. 3. Global economic uncertainties favor the safe-haven USD over the risk-sensitive AUD. I'm using probability analysis on my charts to find good short entry points for AUD/USD. 6M: 2W: 1H: Feel free to comment below with your thoughts or questions!
Short
by Jasminex1x2
SPX500USD: Capitalizing on Probabilities for a Bullish SurgeSPX500USD: Bullish Momentum Supported by Key Fundamentals The S&P 500 (SPX500USD) shows strong bullish potential, backed by several key fundamentals 1. Resilient economic growth: Recent GDP data indicates continued expansion despite earlier recession fears. 2. Easing inflation pressures: Core inflation metrics are trending downward, potentially allowing for a more accommodative Fed policy. 3. Strong corporate earnings: Many companies are beating earnings expectations, demonstrating business resilience. 4. Technological advancements: Ongoing AI integration across sectors is driving productivity gains and investor optimism. Probability-Based Approach for Long Positions I'm utilizing probabilities to enter long positions. My charts will showcase key probability zones and potential entry points. Let's dive into the top-down analysis. 12M: 2W: 12H: I’d love to hear your thoughts on the SPX500USD outlook!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Jasminex1x2
Why Now is the Time to Go Long on USDJPY: A Trader’s PerspectiveCurrent Fundamentals: -Diverging monetary policies: The Federal Reserve maintains a hawkish stance, while the Bank of Japan continues its ultra-loose policy. -Economic growth disparity: The US economy shows resilience, outpacing Japan's growth rate. -Interest rate differentials: Higher US yields attract capital flows, strengthening the dollar against the yen. I'm employing probability-based analysis to enter long positions in USD/JPY. Let's discuss what's going on with USDJPY! 12M: 2W: 1H:
Long
by Jasminex1x2
2
USOIL: Bullish Outlook with Probability-Based EntriesMy overall bias on USOIL remains bullish, supported by several key fundamentals: 1. OPEC+ production cuts continuing to tighten supply 2. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East raising concerns about potential supply disruptions 3. Improving economic outlook in China, potentially boosting oil demand 4. Seasonal increase in oil consumption as we approach summer driving season I'm utilizing probabilities to position myself into longs on USOIL. By combining this probability-based method with my bullish bias, I aim to enter USOIL longs at optimal points with favorable risk-reward profiles. Feel free to let me know if you need any further adjustments! 12M: 2W: 2H: Wishing you a great trading week!
TVC:USOILLong
by Jasminex1x2
Exploring the Bullish Outlook for Litecoin (LTCUSD)Litecoin (LTC/USD) is showing a bullish trend, supported by several key fundamentals. The cryptocurrency market is experiencing renewed interest, with Litecoin benefiting from its reputation as "digital silver" alongside Bitcoin's "digital gold" status. Litecoin's upcoming halving event, expected in August 2023, is generating excitement as it typically leads to increased scarcity and potential price appreciation. Additionally, Litecoin's growing adoption in real-world transactions and its recent integration into various payment platforms are contributing to its positive outlook. The overall crypto market sentiment is improving, with institutional investors showing increased interest in alternative cryptocurrencies like Litecoin. I'm utilizing probabilities on my charts to get positioned into longs for Litecoin. Now, let's take a closer look at my analysis. 12M: 2W: 1H: Feel free to share your thoughts and ideas in the comments below!
CRYPTO:LTCUSDLong
by Jasminex1x2
XAGUSD: A Bullish Perspective and Top-Down AnalysisSilver (XAG/USD) is showing a bullish trend, supported by several key fundamentals. The ongoing global economic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions are driving investors towards safe-haven assets like silver. Additionally, the increasing industrial demand for silver, particularly in the renewable energy sector and electronics industry, is contributing to its positive outlook. The weakening US dollar is also playing a role in boosting silver prices, as the precious metal becomes more attractive to international buyers. I'm utilizing probabilities on my charts to get positioned into longs for Silver. Let’s get into the details of my analysis. 6M: 1W: 1H:
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by Jasminex1x2
Probabilities in Play: Positioning for EURUSD ShortsEconomic Landscape Eurozone Challenges The Eurozone is experiencing sluggish growth, with some nations nearing recession. Persistent inflation pressures the European Central Bank (ECB) to maintain tight monetary policy. U.S. Economic Strength The U.S. economy shows resilience, bolstered by strong job markets and consumer spending. The Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance on interest rates supports a stronger dollar. Geopolitical Factors Ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly in Eastern Europe, create uncertainty for the Euro. Trade Idea Given these fundamentals, my bearish outlook on EURUSD is supported by current global trends. I plan to utilize probability-based strategies to enter short positions. By analyzing key support and resistance levels, along with technical indicators, I aim to identify high-probability entry points for shorts. Happy trading, and may the probabilities be in your favor! 1W: 6H:
Short
by Jasminex1x2
1
The Power of Probability: Navigating BTCUSD Longs with PrecisionSeveral key fundamentals support a bullish outlook for BTCUSD. Increasing institutional adoption of Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation continues to drive demand. There's growing interest in Bitcoin ETFs, potentially broadening investor access. Recent political developments, such as President Biden's unexpected withdrawal from the 2024 election, have introduced volatility in traditional markets, potentially making Bitcoin more attractive as an alternative investment. Additionally, on-chain metrics show a shift towards Bitcoin accumulation, especially among large wallets and long-term holders, suggesting renewed market confidence. I'm utilizing probabilities to position myself for long trades in BTCUSD. By focusing on high-probability setups, I can identify favorable entry points where the risk-reward ratio is advantageous for long positions 1D: 2H: Let's discuss our strategies and learn from each other!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Jasminex1x2
Unlocking Profits: Utilizing Probabilities for CADJPY LongsThe Canadian Dollar to Japanese Yen (CADJPY) pair is showing promising bullish potential, supported by several key fundamental factors: Global Economic Recovery: As the world continues to rebound from recent economic challenges, risk appetite is increasing. This trend typically favors the Canadian Dollar over the safe-haven Japanese Yen. Commodity Prices: With Canada being a major exporter of commodities, the recent surge in oil prices is likely to bolster the Canadian economy and, by extension, its currency. Bank of Canada's Stance: The Bank of Canada's relatively hawkish monetary policy compared to the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose policy is creating a favorable interest rate differential for the Canadian Dollar. Utilizing Probabilities for Long Positions In this trade idea, I'm employing a probabilistic approach to enter long positions on CADJPY. By combining fundamental analysis with a probabilistic approach to chart reading, I aim to capitalize on the potential upside in CADJPY while maintaining a disciplined and systematic trading strategy. 12M: 2W: 1H:
Long
by Jasminex1x2
Riding the Bull: My Probability-Based Approach to Trading GER30The German DAX (GER30) is showing promising signs for potential upside movement, supported by several key fundamental factors: 1. European Central Bank's accommodative stance 2. Improving economic indicators in the Eurozone 3. Strong performance of German export-oriented companies 4. Increasing investor confidence in the European market recovery To capitalize on this bullish outlook, I'm employing a probability-based approach to enter long positions on GER30. Take a look at these analyses to see the details behind this trade idea. 12M: 3D: 1H:
OANDA:DE30EURLong
by Jasminex1x2
Unlocking Potential: 59.90% Probability for DOGEUSD ATH Bullish Fundamentals for Dogecoin 1. Increased mainstream adoption: More businesses and platforms are accepting Dogecoin as a form of payment, expanding its real-world use cases. 2. Growing community support: The Dogecoin community remains active and passionate, driving continued interest and development. 3. Potential technological improvements: Ongoing discussions about upgrades to Dogecoin's blockchain could enhance its functionality and appeal. 4. Positive market sentiment: As the broader crypto market shows signs of recovery, meme coins like Dogecoin often benefit from renewed investor interest. Using Probabilities for Long Positions I'm utilizing probabilities on my charts to get positioned into longs for DOGEUSD. This strategy aligns well with my bullish bias on DOGEUSD, allowing me to capitalize on potential upward movements in a more calculated manner. 12M: 3D: 1H:
CRYPTO:DOGEUSDLong
by Jasminex1x2
1
AUDJPY Short Setup: Leveraging Probabilities for Better TradesKey Fundamentals China's Economic Slowdown: Australia relies heavily on trade with China. If China’s economy weakens, it can hurt Australia’s economy and the Australian Dollar. Safe-Haven Demand: In uncertain times, investors often turn to safe-haven currencies like the Japanese Yen, which could lead to a drop in AUD/JPY. Different Central Bank Policies: The Bank of Japan is keeping interest rates low, while the Reserve Bank of Australia may consider rate hikes. This difference can strengthen the Yen against the Australian Dollar. Using Probabilities for Short Trades By combining these fundamentals with a probability-based strategy, I aim to effectively trade AUD/JPY. 12M: 2W: 2H: On this timeframe I can get positioned into shorts based on probabilities.
Short
by Jasminex1x2
JP225USD: Using Probabilities to Position for a Bearish TrendThe current global economic landscape presents several factors that align with a bearish bias for the Japanese stock market, particularly the Nikkei 225 index (JP225USD): Global Economic Slowdown: Concerns about a potential recession in major economies are weighing on investor sentiment. Bank of Japan Policy Shift: The recent rate hike by the Bank of Japan may impact the stock market as it moves away from ultra-loose monetary policy. Yen Strength: A stronger yen could potentially hurt Japanese exporters, affecting their profitability and stock prices. Utilizing Probabilities for Short Positioning I'm employing probability-based analysis on my charts to identify optimal entry points for short positions. By combining fundamental bearish factors with probability-based technical analysis, I aim to create a robust trading strategy for shorting JP225USD. 2W: 2H:
OANDA:JP225USD
by Jasminex1x2
Why TSLA Could Be Set to Rise: Key News and a Great Entry SetupTesla (TSLA) is in the spotlight right now, and several factors suggest a potential bullish trend in the stock next week: Strong Delivery Numbers: Tesla recently reported its Q2 2024 delivery figures, which exceeded many analysts' expectations. While the numbers were lower than last year's, they still indicate solid performance in a competitive EV market, with other automakers also experiencing growth. Upcoming Earnings Report: Tesla is scheduled to announce its Q2 2024 earnings on Tuesday. Analysts are forecasting revenue slightly above last year’s figures, with net income expected around $1.72 billion. Investors will be particularly interested in updates about Tesla's robotaxi plans, which have been postponed to October. This anticipation could drive excitement and boost the stock price. Market Recovery: Recently, TSLA experienced a drop of about 12.4% due to a global market sell-off. However, the stock has started to recover, and this volatility may present a buying opportunity, especially if the market stabilizes. High Probability Setup: According to technical analysis, there is a high probability setup that has already formed, indicating a favorable entry point for bullish trades. This technical signal, combined with the positive news and upcoming events, enhances the likelihood of a price increase. With these factors in play, including strong delivery numbers, an important earnings report, and a favorable technical setup, TSLA could see a bullish trend in the coming week. As always, be sure to conduct your own analysis and manage your risks before entering any trades. 6M: 3M: 1M: 2W: 1W: 3D: 2H: Entry
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Fractalyst
Trading with Confidence: Utilizing Probabilities in USD/DKKU.S. Economic Strength: The U.S. economy continues to demonstrate resilience, with robust job growth and steady GDP expansion. This economic strength supports a bullish outlook for the U.S. dollar against other currencies, including the Danish krone. Interest Rate Differentials: The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance on maintaining higher interest rates to combat inflation contrasts with the more dovish approach of the Danish central bank. This interest rate disparity favors the USD over the DKK. Global Uncertainty: Ongoing geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties in various parts of the world are driving investors towards safe-haven currencies like the U.S. dollar, potentially boosting its value against the Danish krone. Trading Strategy To capitalize on this bullish bias for USD/DKK, I plan to utilize probability-based positioning for long entries. By combining these fundamental factors with a probability-based entry strategy, I aim to position myself effectively for potential movements in the USD/DKK pair. 12M: 1W: 3H:
Long
by Jasminex1x2
58.55% Probability of USOIL Bullish Continuation This Week!Based on a mechanical top-down structural analysis from higher to lower timeframes, there's a strong probability (58.55%) of a bullish continuation in USOIL this week. This analysis, combined with hourly timeframe probabilities , suggests a favorable outlook for price movement. Follow me with the detailed top-down analyses linked below to see the key factors contributing to this bullish projection on FX:USOIL 12M: 6M: 3M: 1M: 
 2W: 1H: 2H - Entry: Take a look at these analyses to see the details behind this trade idea. If you have any questions or want to discuss further, feel free to ask. Let's make this a great trading week!
FX:USOILLong
by Fractalyst
GOLD Trades Idea for Wednesday 15 July 2024DISCLAIMER This is not financial advice; you are trading at your own risk. Never risk more than you are willing to lose. Gold/USD (XAUUSD) Signal For 15 July 2024 SELL LIMIT Order: $2408.08 Stop Loss: $2418.56 Take Profit 1: $2397.84 Take Profit 2: $2384.23 Risk per trade: 0.5%. MT4/5 trade expiration: Today 100% mechanical strategy, zero analysis, zero guesswork. Rise and repeat day in and day out. Reason The first-hour candlestick closes below 21 EMA, hence our bias is to SELL. We will place 1x SELL LIMIT orders at 38.20%, stop loss at 0%, take profit 1 at 100% and take profit 2 at 127.20%. Trade Review For 12 July 2024 Manage to reach take profit 1! Shifted stop loss to breakeven to reduce risk. Let's continue to trade! P&L for the month: +6.3R 01 July: +0.5R 02 July: +0.5R 05 July: +1.6R 08 July: +1.6R 11 July: +1.6R 12 July: +0.5R & Running The year 2024 Trade Results January: +2.6R February: -1.3R March: +0.7R April: +4.10R May: +0.2R June: -0.2R
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Barry_Games_Trading
GOLD Trades Idea for Wednesday 26 June 2024DISCLAIMER This is not financial advice; you are trading at your own risk. Never risk more than you are willing to lose. Gold/USD (XAUUSD) Signal For 26 June 2024 SELL LIMIT Order: $2328.92 Stop Loss: $2337.41 Take Profit 1: $2320.68 Take Profit 2: $2309.72 Risk per trade: 0.5%. MT4/5 trade expiration: Today 100% mechanical strategy, zero analysis, zero guesswork. Rise and repeat day in and day out. Reason The first-hour candlestick closes below 21 EMA, hence our bias is to SELL. We will place 1x SELL LIMIT orders at 38.20%, stop loss at 0%, take profit 1 at 100% and take profit 2 at 127.20%. Trade Review For 25 June 2023 This trade almost ends in full profit! But nonetheless, I am happy with the partial profit as well. P&L for the month: +0.8R 03 June: +0.5R 04 June: +1.6R 05 June: -1R 07 June: -1R 14 June: -1R 17 June: +1.6R 18 June: -1R 20 June: +1.6R 24 June: -1R 25 June: +0.5R The year 2024 Trade Results January: +2.6R February: -1.3R March: +0.7R April: +4.10R May: +0.2R
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Barry_Games_Trading
GOLD Trades Idea for Friday 21 June 2024DISCLAIMER This is not financial advice; you are trading at your own risk. Never risk more than you are willing to lose. Gold/USD (XAUUSD) Signal For 21 June 2024 BUY LIMIT Order: $2342.21 Stop Loss: $2327.52 Take Profit 1: $2356.66 Take Profit 2: $2375.88 Risk per trade: 0.5%. MT4/5 trade expiration: Today 100% mechanical strategy, zero analysis, zero guesswork. Rise and repeat day in and day out. Reason The first-hour candlestick closes above 21 EMA, hence our bias is to BUY. We will place 1x BUY LIMIT orders at 38.20%, stop loss at 0%, take profit 1 at 100% and take profit 2 at 127.20%. Trade Review For 17 June 2024 This trade managed to reach the final take profit! Trade Review For 20 June 2024 Finally! This trade reaches both take profit levels within short few hours! To be honest, I was lucky that I managed to get into this trade before the pump. P&L for the month: +1.3R 03 June: +0.5R 04 June: +1.6R 05 June: -1R 07 June: -1R 14 June: -1R 17 June: +1.6R 18 June: -1R 20 June: +1.6R The year 2024 Trade Results January: +2.6R February: -1.3R March: +0.7R April: +4.10R May: +0.2R
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Barry_Games_Trading
GOLD Trades Idea for Tuesday 19 June 2024DISCLAIMER This is not financial advice; you are trading at your own risk. Never risk more than you are willing to lose. Gold/USD (XAUUSD) Ideas For 19 June 2024 BUY LIMIT Order: $2316.78 Stop Loss: $2306.40 Take Profit 1: $2326.91 Take Profit 2: $2340.38 Risk per trade: 0.5%. MT4/5 trade expiration: Today 100% mechanical strategy, zero analysis, zero guesswork. Rise and repeat day in and day out. Reason The first-hour candlestick closes above 21 EMA, hence our bias is to BUY. We will place 1x BUY LIMIT orders at 38.20%, stop loss at 0%, take profit 1 at 100% and take profit 2 at 127.20%. Trade Review For 17 June 2024 Our trade managed to hit take profit 1! I shifted stop loss to break even. This trade is risk-free now! Trade Review For 18 June 2024 Unfortunately, our trade ended in a loss before the price went back up to our take profit levels! Let's try again tomorrow! P&L for the month: -1.4R 03 June: +0.5R 04 June: +1.6R 05 June: -1R 07 June: -1R 14 June: -1R 17 June: +0.5R, running 18 June: -1R The year 2024 Trade Results January: +2.6R February: -1.3R March: +0.7R April: +4.10R May: +0.2R
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Barry_Games_Trading
GOLD Trades Idea for Tuesday 18 June 2024DISCLAIMER This is not financial advice; you are trading at your own risk. Never risk more than you are willing to lose. Gold/USD (XAUUSD) Ideas For 18 June 2024 BUY LIMIT Order: $2318.66 Stop Loss: $2309.77 Take Profit 1: $2327.31 Take Profit 2: $2338.80 Risk per trade: 0.5%. MT4/5 trade expiration: Today 100% mechanical strategy, zero analysis, zero guesswork. Rise and repeat day in and day out. Reason The first-hour candlestick closes above 21 EMA, hence our bias is to BUY. We will place 1x BUY LIMIT orders at 38.20%, stop loss at 0%, take profit 1 at 100% and take profit 2 at 127.20%. Trade Review For 17 June 2024 Our trade got triggered late at night, let's continue to hold until the price reaches either stop loss or take profit 1! P&L for the month: -0.9R 03 June: +0.5R 04 June: +1.6R 05 June: -1R 07 June: -1R 14 June: -1R The year 2024 Trade Results January: +2.6R February: -1.3R March: +0.7R April: +4.10R May: +0.2R
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Barry_Games_Trading
GOLD Trades Idea for Monday 17 June 2024Apologies for the short break, I was away on holiday. My trade ideas were still active in the blog. DISCLAIMER This is not financial advice; you are trading at your own risk. Never risk more than you are willing to lose. Gold/USD (XAUUSD) Ideas For 17 June 2024 BUY LIMIT Order: $2315.02 Stop Loss: $2301.36 Take Profit 1: $2328.44 Take Profit 2: $2346.28 Risk per trade: 0.5%. MT4/5 trade expiration: Today 100% mechanical strategy, zero analysis, zero guesswork. Rise and repeat day in and day out. Reason The first-hour candlestick closes above 21 EMA, hence our bias is to BUY. We will place 1x BUY LIMIT orders at 38.20%, both stop loss at 0%, take profit 1 at 100% and take profit 2 at 127.20%. Trade Review For 14 June 2024 Unfortunately, this trade ended in a loss. Let's try again tomorrow! P&L for the month: -0.9R 03 June: +0.5R 04 June: +1.6R 05 June: -1R 07 June: -1R 14 June: -1R The year 2024 Trade Results January: +2.6R February: -1.3R March: +0.7R April: +4.10R May: +0.2R
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Barry_Games_Trading