PUC - Opportunity to enter long (Learning Notes #6)Hello Traders around the World and Malaysia,
I am currently learning Technical Analysis, and the ideas I post are what I call ("Learning Notes").
Comments on my analysis are very much welcome and will be greatly appreciated.
Let us learn together, and grow together to be a better trader!
Sincerely,
Kenneth Lee
This is not a buy/sell recommendation. Trade at your own risk.
Media
Bullish w. NASDAQ? Dec down - Telecoms & Media; Rail frm mid NovFeeling market bullishness in Dec 2020 from the NASDAQ (IXIC index)?
December has been a bad month for the telecommunications stocks: T-Mobile TMUS, Verizon VZ and AT&T T - bad too for Media companies, Comcast CMCSA, Charter Communications CHTR, ViacomCBS VIAC, Fox FOXA.
And the big Railroad companies have been trending down since mid November: Norfolk Southern NSC, Union Pacific UNP, CSX Transportation CSX.
SSTK over 69.03 with 12/2 catalystTight price consolidation on this one with an upcoming ex-dividend catalyst on 12/16, although purchase on or before 12/2 is required to receive it. This means we should see some buying on and before that date. From Yahoo Finance: "If you purchase the stock on or after the 2nd of December, you won't be eligible to receive this dividend, when it is paid on the 16th of December.
Shutterstock's upcoming dividend is US$0.17 a share, following on from the last 12 months, when the company distributed a total of US$0.68 per share to shareholders."
Note it is a stock that trades on lower volume and has some illiquidity in the options chain.
ZM breaking through Symmetrical Triangle before earningsZM broke it's Symmetrical Triangle today and is pushing upwards before earnings Monday after market close. With being now 20% down from it's all time high of $588.84 there is room to run. Although with a PE Ratio above 500 it is overpriced and leading on momentum and our situation from Covid-19 and Politics. Look for major resistance at $500.
$UONE Net Income of $6,591,000 in 2018 Float 1 Mil O/S 1.5 Mil$UONE Is not only highly undervalued it is operating in a pivotal time in human history. The company recently moved from $2 to $54 within a week timeframe, and I believe a similar move could be quickly coming potentially breaking 52 Week Highs as the election draws near.
With several cultural catalysts on the horizon Ad revenue for the company should spike heavily this year and in addition to the fins showing that increase, there is also Trump's $500,000,000,000 Platinum Plan, the details of which we will be finding more about this and next week and into the next two debates.
Trump will expand upon it due to the disaster of the first debate and ensure the Black vote is completely won. The plan itself has already been written up and sent to the White House for review from the latest sources on it.
However this alone isn't the only catalysts, during the riots, and unrest the stock saw a dramatic increase as well as the media reported on it. Any kind of media related event will spike the stock IMO.
In conclusion the stock in general has seen a slow and steady rise since consolidating from the last run, and the technicals show it is ripe for a second major run into the end of year.
3 BUYOUT OFFERS @ $20 A SHARE - TRADING AT HUGE DISCOUNTTGNA received 3 buyout offers in cash.
Last night, another offer was announced at $20 a share.
In this crazy market, to have a company getting so many buyout offers is in our opinion, very rare.
TGNA has quality assets that are in big demand.
TGNA is the largest owner of NBC, CBS, ABC and FOX stations in the top-25 U.S. markets.
Overall TGNA / its stations reach approx. 39% of the United States.
In our opinion, the stock is trading at a huge discount.
In a market like this, TGNA is a stock you want to buy and hold.
There could be a bidding war soon.
LONG
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Juicy setup in ViacomCBSViacom CBS has fallen far this year, to its current P/E of under 4.5. With a PEG ratio of 0.47, it's looking extremely undervalued. ViacomCBS has an analyst summary score of 9.4/10, meaning analysts are highly bullish on the stock. In terms of technicals, the stock is exiting oversold on the daily. Analysts have lately been increasing their earnings expectations for the company, as you can see on the Zacks "Price & Consensus" chart. ViacomCBS has earnings coming up February 20 and has beaten expectations on 7 of its last 8 reports. There's currently some good hype around Star Trek: Picard, with early IMDB ratings for the show looking really good.
I think this stock may make a strong upward move ahead of earnings. Realistically, $47 is a reasonable price target for early March in the event of an earnings beat. Yesterday I picked up a February 21 $37.50 call that's still very reasonably priced today at $0.30.
EROS a mid-to-long-term gap fill candidate with earnings Oct 8EROS is a Bollywood production company making big moves to try to dominate India's booming streaming market. Eros recently went on a 200% run after signing several major streaming contracts, including a deal with Microsoft to stream Eros content on the Azure platform. The stock price then cut in half as it first pulled back from overbought territory, then broke down even further on news that the company took on a $27.5 million debt due in 2020.
(This is something that often happens after announcement of a new product offering: the stock price initially shoots up, then breaks down on news of a new shares or senior notes offering to raise capital for manufacturing or marketing the new product. Shorting cash-poor companies after a big product announcement runs up the stock price wouldn't be a bad strategy.)
Anyway, for the moment Eros has found a floor around 1.80. It has support from there all the way down to about 1.14, with the strongest support nodes around 1.65 and 1.32. This is a decent time to take a small position for a mid-term swing. The stock is likely to get further news boosts as it implements its streaming deals and launches its content on the various platforms.
One short-term risk is the earnings report on October 8. Eros is reporting earnings later than usual, which often bodes ill for earnings results. (Late earnings tend to be worse than expected, whereas early earnings tend to be better than expected.) If Eros's earnings miss, the stock is likely to break down to one of its lower support levels-- perhaps even the very bottom of the support range. I would look at that as an entry opportunity. So if you do take a small position now, save enough cash to at least triple the size of the position after earnings if the price breaks down.
In the event that Eros beats earnings and/or begins to run up again on implementation news, it's got plenty of room to run. 3.00, 4.00, and 5.00 are all conceivable in the mid-term. In the longer term, this stock has the potential to break out above 5.49 and then very quickly fill the gap up to 7.23.
(For weekly news and educational videos, check out my new YouTube show, Wall Street Petting Zoo!)
Entravision in search of channel topAfter a bullish trendline break on Thursday, Entravision is headed upward to find its channel top. I'm a little uncertain where the channel will top out. I suspect we'll stay in the green zone and top out around 3.20, but we could get into the yellow (~3.30) or red (~3.35) zones as well. Buy close to the blue upward trendline and keep your stop orders just below the line.
Entravision just won 10 Emmys for its news team, has great analyst ratings, and beat estimates on its most recent earnings report.
AGHI: This past +156% winner looks ready to RUN WILD once again!=====================
AGHI Agora Holdings Inc.
Alert Price: $0.1195
Float: 29.48M
Chart Analysis
========================
Members,
It's already been a profitable week for us.
Friday's pick QBIO continued its bullish reversal, hitting a high $2.43 today, making it a two-day +37% winner for our members.
Our pick from January 8th, ANFI, also had a big day, hitting a high of $1.07, a gain of over +143% from our $0.44 alert price.
Congrats to all those who took action on our buy calls, and secured the up to +180% in total profits that our alerts provided.
Now we would like to focus our attention to a past triple-digit winner that appears to be back in the buy-zone, and ready for a bullish reversal of its own.
Please turn your immediate attention to AGHI (Agora Holdings Inc.).
The last time we brought this highly diversified entertainment and media enterprise company to your attention shares were trading at nearly the exact same price as they are right now.
Within 3-weeks time, shares of AGHI had more than doubled from our alert price to the tune of over +156% in multi-day gains.
We have been keeping a close eye on this ticker ever since then, and now could be the perfect time to once again start building a position AGHI.
Today, AGHI closed under 12-cents for the first time this year!
This could be the perfect entry point for traders looking to cash in on what could be a highly profitable bullish reversal in the making.
The Company has made several big announcements since we've last covered it, all of which could be considered bullish catalysts heading into Q1 2019.
Announced the December 2018 appointment of Mr. Oleksandr Bondarenko, 11.24% shareholder of the Company and 24.5% shareholder of the Company’s controlled Hong Kong based subsidiary, eSilkroad Network Limited, as the Company’s Chief Operating Officer.
Its 51% owned subsidiary, eSilkroad Network Limited (“ESRL”), has completed the first round of landing page prototype testing with Kitsoft of Ukraine, and is moving to conclude second stage testing of a series of revised prototype pages which commenced mid-December, 2018.
eSilkroad Network Limited, entered into a Letter of Intent with Beijing Nuozhou Technology Company Ltd., the creator of www.ono.chat, a blockchain social media platform with over 3.8 million users across the globe. In order to pursue a strategic partnership.
At just $0.1195 per share, AGHI is trading at the lower-end of its 52-week price channel, and well off its 52-week high of $0.40.
We've already witnessed AGHI's breakout potential.
With an upside of over +234%, AGHI should be the top ticker on your watchlist.
This was one of our biggest winners of 2018!
Let's hope history repeats itself in 2019!
That being said, we ask that all members read our full profile, start their research now, and consider grabbing up a position in AGHI tomorrow morning at 9:30AM EST!
About Agora Holdings Inc.
Agora Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiary Geegle Media and affiliates, is presently an entertainment and media enterprise. Agora Holdings Inc. brings together media and technology, driving innovation to enhance online entertainment in five business segments: media networks, TV, studio entertainment, consumer products and interactive media. Agora is seeking to expand its portfolio to include dynamic and interactive web-based networking platforms for global implementation.
Divisions:
Esilkroad Network Limited
Esilkroad Network Limited and its subsidiary, eSilkroad of Ukraine, is a conceptual B2B platform that intends to make the interaction between businesses and non-profit organizations throughout the world faster, more effective, and less costly. eSilknet, the web-based platform under development by eSilkroad Network Limited will allow users to search for and communicate with business partners, search for and post proposals for investment and opportunity in developing projects globally, place advertisements for products and services, communicate securely on trade and project development and attract professional services for specific project-based needs. The concept of eSilknet is in line with the original concept of the “silkroad”, facilitating trade and commerce between countries, only a global scale. eSilkroad Network is currently negotiating the acquisition of complementary platform, “eSilktrade” which has been under development privately in Shanghai for several years. eSilkroad Network believes the combined expertise of its Ukraine based eSilkroad development team and the existing team at eSilktrade can integrate the live trade platform into its B2B site further enhancing value for its users. www.esilknet.com
Software Development
GEEGLE MEDIA
Geegle Media’s project management is a value-driven approach that allows the company to deliver high-priority, high-quality work and look like rock stars to their stakeholders. Its nothing like the plodding, costly and error-prone approach to project management, which has delivered inconsistent results for years.
Software projects change constantly. When customers are expected to finalize requirements before they can test-drive the prototypes, overhead and long delays often cripple the project. Geegle Media Management is about embracing change, even late in the development stage. It’s about delivering the features with the greatest business value first, and having the real-time information to tightly manage cost, time and scope.
Geegle Media Project Management reduces complexity by breaking down the many-months-long cycle of building requirements for the whole project, building the entire product and then testing to find hundreds of product flaws. Instead small, usable segments of the software product are specified, developed and tested in manageable, two- to four-week cycles.
Social Media/Marketing
FLEET
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Recent Developments
Agora Holdings Inc. Subsidiary, eSilkroad Network Limited, Completes First Series of Prototype Testing and Commences Second Stage Testing Protocols, Implementing Feedback From Initial Test Group Results
In late December, AGHI announced that further to our press announcement of December 3, 2018, its 51% owned subsidiary, eSilkroad Network Limited (“ESRL”), has completed the first round of landing page prototype testing with Kitsoft of Ukraine, and is moving to conclude second stage testing of a series of revised prototype pages which commenced mid-December, 2018.
Between December 3 and December 10, 2018, a total of 87 companies from around the globe participated in our initial Unmoderated Remote Usability Testing (URUT) of over 30 key prototype pages for our developing B2B platform intended to make the interaction between businesses and non-profit organizations throughout the world faster, more effective, and less costly. Test participants provided feedback on various aspects of the prototype pages including concept, functionality and appeal. Our engaged operational partners, Kitsoft of Ukraine, and design partners, Rain Partners of Ukraine, received real-time test results and immediately implemented feedback from test participants in order to provide revised prototype pages for second round testing which commenced on the 13th of December 2018. The Company intends to carry out ongoing prototype testing and focus groups during the month of January 2019, ultimately exposing over 300 corporations to our landing page prototypes.
eSilkroad Network’s technical director, Alexander Lobko, commented, “We were extremely pleased with the first round of test results for our innovative B2B social network, ‘eSilknet’. All process testing was completed in accordance with our original concept development and assessment protocol which allows for immediate implementation of test feedback so that we can quickly and efficiently move to each subsequent testing phase. We are looking forward to releasing more details of our test results as we complete each trial phase. Of the initial 87 corporate participants, over 65% were corporate entities from the People’s Republic of China. We expect the Chinese market to be a key userbase for our B2B network, opening trade and communication channels for Chinese corporations world-wide.”
Market Outlook
The social media market has been hot for the past few years. Companies have realized social media could be one of the main drivers of growth. However, with the Facebook scandal, it’s opened the market up for new competitors to join in on the action.
According to Research and Markets, B2B e-commerce sales are forecast to be over two times higher than global online retail sales. That said, there is immense growth potential in the market.
A report from Forrester Research in 2017 estimated business-to-business (B2B) ecommerce transactions would reach $1.2 trillion by 2021.
Frost & Sullivan has even loftier expectations with B2B ecommerce hitting $6.6 trillion by 2020.
Over 400,000 organizations are already shopping on Amazon Business with B2B.
Technical Analysis
As we enthusiastically stated above, AGHI has a well recorded history of breaking out for big gains.
The last time we brought this ticker to your attention, shares ran-up over +156% in about 3-weeks time!
More recently, on January 14th, shares of AGHI ran-up over +34% in a just a single-session.
We've done our very own chart analysis, and see the potential for a move of +99%!
If you've been following our newsletter, you know that we've been right on the money with all of our alerts this year so far.
We are feeling confident that AGHI will be the next big mover for our members.
As such, we are urging all members to start their research now, and consider grabbing up a position in AGHI tomorrow morning at 9:30AM EST!
(*Remember to use a basic Stop-Loss Order or more advanced Stop-limit Order to protect your gains, as well as limit possible losses.)
Best Regards,
The TopMarketGainers Team
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MJ Capital’s business model is to receive financial compensation to promote public companies. We have been compensated twelve thousand five hundred dollars by Awareness Consulting Network to conduct investor relations advertising and marketing for AGHI. We have been previously compensated ten thousand dollars by ACN LLC. to conduct investor relations advertising and marketing for AGHI -which has expired. We have been previously been compensated five thousand dollars by World Wide Holdings dba Invictus Resources to conduct investor relations advertising and marketing for ANFI -which has expired. We have been previously compensated ten thousand dollars by ACN LLC. to conduct investor relations advertising and marketing for QBIO-which has expired. Any compensation is a major conflict of interest in our ability to be unbiased. Therefore, this communication should be viewed as a commercial advertisement only. We have not investigated the background of the hiring third party or parties. The third party, profiled company, or their affiliates likely wish to liquidate shares of the profiled company at or near the time you receive this communication, which has the potential to hurt share prices. Any non-compensated alerts are purely for the purpose of expanding our database for the benefit of our future financially compensated investor relations efforts. Frequently companies profiled in our alerts may experience a large increase in volume and share price during the course of investor relations marketing, which may end as soon as the investor relations marketing ceases. The investor relations marketing may be as brief as one day, after which a large decrease in volume and share price is likely to occur. Our emails may contain forward looking statements, which are not guaranteed to materialize due to a variety of factors.
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SiriusXM, SIRI , Up TrendI am not licensed or certified by any individual or institution to give financial advice. I am not a professional Stock trader.
I believe SIRI is in an uptrend. I'm not going into a lot of detail with this one. I've drawn what I believe to be the Support and Resistance lines. SIRI may not bounce off Support, and that's ok as long as it keeps going up in price. Some trends (up or down) just hug one line or another and may not bounce between the two. Though a bounce would be nice, the overall trend is the important technical aspect to watch. If it bounces, great; if it just crawls along Support for the next week or two that's fine as well. With my lines drawn as they are you may notice the body of the candlestick from Friday, September 07, 2018 doesn't touch the line; but a low wick comes close. That low wick could be all the Stock needs for the price to start rising; but it also wouldn't surprise me if Monday's price action dropped to touch Support. Decide on your own strategy, and set an alert or automated Stop Loss for your safety net.
There are a couple different strategies to use with trends. You can buy at Support and sell at Resistance, and repeat until the pattern changes; or you can buy and hold. Either one will make money as long as the trend continues in the correct direction.
Let me know if you have any questions or comments.
Bitstamp 8400 spike?What was that on Bitstamp? $8400 spike? Looks like someone had a pretty penny staked on $7350! As we head towards a potential new Higher Low, it's easy to post a chart and say, "Hey, good news, BTC is on sale! we could go up or we could go down!" Instead of stating to obvious and predicting a 50/50 sway, let's take a quick look and one of the biggest factors that affect crypto...the media. For markets all around the world, the buzz is that Apple is the first publicly traded company to hit $1 trillion dollars. Second closest is Amazon AMZN, in the 900 billion range plus and growing. Here's the difference, Apple is held in 400 billion shares and Amazon is in 471 million shares. $209 vs $1871 a share. For most if not all of us on tradingview, this makes sense, we all know what this means. But for those that are new to trading, and maybe have dabbled in crypto recently with BTC run up last year, the markets now have their attention.
People are listening. They are interested. Google Search shows Apple $1T. Investing will be the new Clash of Clans. Everyone will have a tradingview account. Similar to what we saw on youtube, as new and seasoned traders flocked to create their new channels, it's likely that we will see more approachable and coachable trading personalities bring the market into peoples homes. People will want to know how to buy Apple stock. People will want to know, "What's the next best buy?". Netflix has seen record gains despite missing the mark for their projected subscriptions. But with Apple and Netflix and so many more household names making news for their shareholders, one can expect day traders to be born daily. TA and charting will be better understood. We will see a flux. Apple stock seems cheap compared to Bitcoin. Apple stock belongs to a company that is "real"! "Hmm...I can get 35 shares of Apple for one BTC! Apple will hit 2 trillion! I'll be rich!"
We'll touch 6's but smart money will bring us back to the 8's. Sure 5's, 4's and 3's even 0 is possible. But not anytime soon. I predict, number one gifted present this Chrtismas...shares. Whether it be Crypto, Apple or other, this is the year of the rookie investor.
Cup of Tea, Anyone? PT: $57Market top value line has historically been around $45 for Roku since its first IPO quarterly report. The hype was real and the price collapsed, only to rebound once again before the next call, at which point everyone realized things took off too high, too fast.
I'm sure we can all remember the long, straight road down, back towards a normalized, long term, average trend line. Lockup period also expired and things just kept going. As it percolated in the low $30s, some good bits of news for the company bumped it here and there, but the volatility of the last 6 months also had its toll on the price.
After the latest call, Roku impressed with its numbers, its move towards revenue as an ad platform (via Roku Channel) and its plans for growth the rest of the year. It's a domestic company, social, entertainment and free of tariffs for now, so the road ahead looks clear. The same trend line upwards has repeated for a third time during this long term Cup And Handle pattern. The handle itself has formed very well and maintained above the desired levels. I would personally shoot for starting a position around $43. It could dip as low $40 before the march upwards begins, so prepare accordingly. Volume has been steadily increasing since May.
The traditional breakout upwards seems to lineup for sometime next week, or the week after. Once it starts, the channel upwards towards $55+ is clear and coincides perfectly with the estimated future earnings call on August 8th. On heavy volume, it could reach $60 close to the call date. Tariff drama should be behind us by the end of the month, which would help market sentiment and momentum and further rally ROKU towards some nice gains. If you're holding this since the $30s, stay LONG. This is a gem of a streaming service that has massive adoption because of its low price point and ease of use.
Corus_Entertainment_(TSX:CJR.B)_May_17_2018Corus is a Canadian Media company with interests in the radio, publishing, and television sectors. It was a part of Shaw Communication till 1999 when it was spinned off as a separate company.
Since 2014, CJR.B has been in a state of decline owing to the rise of Netflix and other internet based media networks which has impacted advertising revenue. However, even though Television viewership is shrinking, it will not completely die out. There will always be customers for speciality television shows such as those that Corus Entertainment owns and operates. Radio was long presumed to be dead but has found a niche market; I believe television will find its own market.
Currently, my analysis indicates that a symmetric triangle is developing. Volume is contracting as the price moves towards the peak of the triangle. Depending upon which way CJR.B breaks outs, we may want to buy or short the stock. However, at these prices CJR.B is yielding over 15% dividend. I think there is sufficient support for the stock around $6.00 as evident by the strong volume at that price level. Earnings are also above analyst estimates (the last earnings was).
Based on the probabilities, I would take a gamble at the stock around $6 and hold it till the sector goes strong again. Even though the price may never reach the peak levels of 2014, a 15% dividend is not bad these days. Ofcourse the dividend can be reduced; which any sensible management would do. But in this case, the management seems extremely shareholder friendly with almost firm reassurance that the dividend will not be impacted.
[ADBE] Leading Tech Stocks out of the Correction!Correction? Not for Adobe! Ahead of the curve on the same breakout setup as other names like MSFT and CSCO.
ADBE has the story, the ideas, products, etc. for the digital future.
+ Tech?
+ Software?
+ Cloud Integration?
++ Digital Media?
++ Barrier to Entry?
- Overdone Media Attention?
Adobe's been crafting their monopoly on digital media production tools by packaging, improving, and adding products to their most well known suite, Adobe Creative Cloud.
Instead of going on and on... just think, the word Photoshop is equivalent to saying Photo Editing as Kleenex is to saying Tissue and most people don't even know what Photoshop is!
They have a pseudo-monopoly on digital media production and online marketing tools for professionals and teenagers trying to be funny on Twitter.
A media Analysis on Bitcoin: should we be scared or greedy?Hello everyone!
I've been looking at that market for a while, and figured it would be a nice time to share my point of view on the current Bitcoin market sentiment.
I'll start by saying I have a conservative approach on drawing the Bitcoin downtrend line on log scale, so I am biased thinking we are not already in a healthy bull market but most likely a media induced temporary bull run. I think right now there is much more opportunities on altcoins that have great news coming this summer (check on coinmarketcal.com). Very respectable crypto enthusiasts, like Big Cheds (check on twitter) share the same conservative approach.
As you can see on the chart, we are reaching the top of the conservative Bitcoin trend line. There is an influx of positive news since a couple weeks. Check on Google or Youtube, you'll see a plethora of "BTC to the Moon" videos as we approach the trend line. The last time(s) it happened, a significant sell off occurred. I am very careful with herd behaviour. It's quite funny to watch actually, there are Youtube channels -like the Hodget Twins- that started making crypto videos even though their core activity is bodybuilding.
I noticed that quite often when we rally to the top of the trendline on Bitcoin, media tend to be extremely bullish. Then it gets boring, FUD happens and the market sentiment goes back to bearish very shortly.
The last few days, some minor FUD popped up and people started to take profits from altcoins (oh my god, look at EOS). I wouldn't be surprised if Bitcoin turns around.
Are you feeling greedy so close to a trend line and with so much media coverage promising you unlimited wealth?
These are my two cents, thanks for reading!
Pandora (P) Rolling Stock ConsolidationI am not licensed or certified by any individual or institution to give financial advice. I am not a professional Stock trader.
Pandora (P) is on a roll--literally. The horizontal Support and Resistance lines can be drawn in a couple different places depending on your risk tolerance or trading plan.
The larger channel is a roll between $4.50 and $5.40. (green horizontal lines, or top most and bottom most if you can't see the color green very well)
Upside: More money due to larger spread/channel.
Downside: Not as consistent. It doesn't always hit the upper Resistance Line.
Smaller Channel $4.65-$5.20 (orange two lines, or middle pair of lines)
Upside: It is more consistent--predictable, reliable, and repeatable as I was taught to look for.
Downside: You won't make as much money since it's a smaller spread/channel. However, to quote the man who first taught me how to trade Stocks, "You don't go broke making money." Yes, it's a smaller spread; but it's still a win and profit.
I painted a dotted arrow showing what I think it could do over the next few days or weeks. If it stays true to its pattern for the past few weeks and months, it should reach support in less than a week. Of course, that is what it has done in the past and we'll have to wait and see what it will do in the future.
If you have a Stock or Index you would like me to look at let me know. I can always use more practice. :) If there is a way I can make these clearer to you (candlestick vs. line chart, background color, line color, more thorough explanation, etc.) let me know and I will see if I am able to accommodate you. I am planning on entering this play if it reaches Support and bounces. Let me know if you do and how it turns out for you.
Fallen, Not Beaten - Media Player for the Masses (PT $38)Roku had an insane path up to its all-time high. I knew of the product and its popularity and had set a PT of $35 for when it made its first post-IPO earnings call. Once it started rocketing up, I hit it and closed out my position. I'm sure others were as stunned as I was to watch it continue to climb and I'm sure Anthony Wood didn't know what to think once he was a billionaire for a short while. The price moved in waves and eventually started finding its real footing around $45. It climbed once more as a bull trap before earnings, only to crash down back to reality as many had speculated.
Given this year's market climate and an expiring lockup period, we can now see a nice bounce happening off a new, and more appropriate, fib chart for the stock. That $45ish hard line for market value will persist for some time, but for now the stock has been beaten to where I'd felt it was appropriate last year. Have no fear though, the Roku story is indeed spreading. It's getting stronger and is unquestionably the media player that the masses prefer for its simplicity and intuitiveness. Chromecast is too technical and AppleTV is too expensive. Roku is the real winner for the streaming, cord cutting, value seeking culture we entrench ourselves into more and more each day.
The price may linger here in the low $30s for some time without a catalyst, but the next call should be solid with some great forward guidance. Early part of the year is seasonally weak, so the last guidance to now wasn't crazy. Summer is coming and people will be indoors cooling off and students will be digesting media over their breaks and staying up to date with show trends. Without being aggressive and letting Roku slide back up in a more appropriate manner, I can see a $36-38 PT being hit short term. With more partnerships sure to come, along with expansion and updated marketing initiatives, Roku will be a steady player as it makes its way back to $40. I don't see it getting anywhere near the $45 line again until the end of the year and assuming market conditions are less volatile than they are now.
Trade this with a $40 ceiling in mind and as a good, long term hold as a streaming, media and entertainment play.