GBPUSD: Potential Rally on Its Way (Reversed H&S)Looking at the daily chart of GBPUSD is pretty obvious that we are in a downtrend with price moving in a channel that the lower parallel and the lower quartile of the median line create. You may have already heard that it's fighting the trend isn't the smartest thing a trader can do especially if there is no a good reason.
In this GBPUSD daily chart we do have a reason..! A reversed head and shoulder pattern has developed with price being massively rejected at the right shoulder level. I am not saying that we should jum in right away. Instead we may wait to see if price breaks above the quartile, and in such case we better wait for a pullback (retest) to the broken level.
Any buy setup comppletion at that level will be a great opportunity for us to get in a trade with great potential to the upside
Medianline
Head & Shoulders at Resistance to Push US Dollar to the DownAfter a long term rally price has developed a head and shoulder pattern at a key resistance level. To be more specific the upper quartile of the median line in addition to revious structure create a key resistance where the pattern completes. We already may see a rejection candle at the right shoulder.
AUDUSD: Buy Opportunity at SupportPrice broke above the sliding parallel of the median line, it pulled back to test it and instantly was rejected. It seems that previous resistance now may act as support. At the same level we do have the 0.50 fib retracement of previous uptrend, making the support level a very strong one.
GBPJPY: Key Level to Watch for ShortsPrice is about to reach a key resistane level where we have the upper quartile of the downsloping median line, previous structure and the 0.886 fib retracement of previous downmove. In addition RSI looks overbought.
Watch for a sell setup completion in case price tests the upper quartile
PITCHFORK - CFD XAUUSD Analysis Q3 2018Analysis for XAUUSD Q3 2018
Current price is around the lower line pitchfork
Best opportunity to go long
If the price make a reversal here and keep the momentum upwards
Price expectations are able to reach the median line
However bearish momentum is strong, confirmation price break lower line pitchfork
PITCHFORK - Forex USDJPY Analysis Q3 2018Analysis for USDJPY Q3 2018
Expecting price reversal around median line pitchfork
If yes we could see price moving lower towards lower line
However on US Index from our analysis is currently retest on median line
Stronger dollar would push USDJPY towards upper line pitchfork
ES - E-Mini is naging at the U-MLHWhat do we see here on this chart?
We see the white down-sloping Pitchfork, giving us the most probable path of price, of course on the pendulum swing level.
The blue A/R set.
It show's us nothing less then the center and the lower and higher extremes on a normal swing level.
See where price get hammered back at the confluence of the red zone and the blue, dashed A/R line? Watch the last closes...
If we break above the white U-MLH (Upper-Medianline Parallel), then chances are over 80% that we hit the yellow Centerline (CL) of the yellow Pitchfork.
If we fall below the L-MLH (Lower-Medianline Parallel), then chances are over 80% that we will see prices at the white Centerline!
We better prepare for both scenarios and put our portfolio in balance and potential trades in place...
If you want to learn how to find high probability trades, then I have a free course for you on my website.
See the footer of this post.
P!
EURUSD: Long Term ForecastingThis week I did take two trade in the EURUSD, both of them being succesful (links below). I got several pm's from traders asking me to post my view in EURUSD forecasting the bigger picture in order to have a solid base to take our decisions.
Looking at the weekly chart of EURUSD and using median line analysis and simple structure levels we may easily see is that price is now being traded at a key support level which consist from the lower parallel of the upsloping pitchfork and a previous resistance structure level now acting as support. In addition to that - always in the weekly chart - we do have a pending head and shoulder pattern with the left shoulder and the head sitting at 1.20450 and 1.25400. A potential rally towards 1.20450 will give us the completion of the pattern and a very good reason to watch for shorts.
Switching to the daily chart we do have more confluence. At current support level we do have a double bottom pattern completion in additon to a bullish RSI divergence - a good sign that price is about to reverse.
All the above give us a clear bullish context in EURUSUD..! This does not mean that is certain that price will head north. Structure changes in no time and our job is to adapt and reconsider our view..!
Like and follow this post as I will continuasly update it when setups make their presence..!
Lastly but no least, feel free to ask to questions and post your ideas so we make this EURUSD idea a big one with a ton of value for the community..!
Afterall if BItcoin is the king of Cryptos, EURUSD is the king of all currencies..!
All the best,
John
Daily Chart:
USDCAD: Key Support Zone to Watch for LongsYesterday markets closed and left us with an open position at USDCAD having already booked more than 150pips as the double top pattern has worked wonders (link below). Definately there is more room to the downside for more profit to be made.
In this post what we easily see is that as price drops it is heading towards a key support level which consists of the sliding parallel of the upsloping median line set and previous structure. RSI is oversold - another sign that sooner or later sellers will give up pushing USDCAD to the down and a reversal might occur.
So in case we see price reaching the 1.30600 level we should close our sell trades from previous post and start looking for a buy setup completion.
As always I will update this post when a setup comletes..!
SPX500: Resistance Holds, We Watch for ShortsLooking at the 240min chart of SPX500 we have right in front of us a very strong resistance level which already seems to be working with a price drop. Price has broken below the median line of the upsloping median line set and pulled back for a retest. At the same level it meets previous structure and the 50%fib retracement of a previous downtrend.
Overall we are in a bearish context and looking for a sell signal is all we should do in the upcoming trading week
GBPUSD: Washing & Rinse Bullish SetupLooking at the horizontal support levels (orange line) someone could easily say that price is breaking below current support and selling is our option. In my analysis this is a classic wash and rinse bar which is taking out stops hidden below previous lows before start climbing to the upside. Looking at the slope of price what we can say is that previous support (green sliding parallel) has stepped up - a sign that we do have a bullish context although it seems we are in a clear downtrend.
In addition to that we do have an oversold RSI which signals a potential end of current downmove.
This setup is one of my favourites and definately I am going long from current level with sl and tp as shown in the chart. In case it looks scary to you just wait for your favourite setup to complete at current level and buy GBPUSD.
Gold: Buy Setup at Key SupportIn my last Gold post I highlighted a head and shoulders pattern which wasn't activated with price dropping even further . It's now testing and being rejected at a key support level - the sliding parallel of a median line set plus the 1.27 fib projection of previous downtrend. Going long from current level is a good idea.
** US Dollar shows signs of weakness which add value to our thought buying Gold.
EURUSD: Great Confluence to Go LongAfter our last successful EURUSD trade (link below) we do have another opportunity ahead. The lower parallel of the median line set, the 78.6% fib retracement of previous impulse, previous support structure and an oversold RSI all give us a very good reason buying EURUSUD.
Sl and tp as shown in the chart..!
Bitcoin to $7300 - Detailed Multi Timeframe AnalysisDaily Chart
- Price seemed like it broke below the $6300 support level but it reversed, now trading above that level.
- The sliding parallel of the downsloping median line offers support at the same level as the horizontals.
- RSI is oversold
240min Chart
- A clearer view of support offered from the sliding parallel
- RSI bullish divergence
Hourly Chart - A buy setup
Price is developing a bullish flag. Buy the breakout placing your stop-loss below the correction of the flag and aiming for a least the $7300 level.
All the best,
John