A rercurring Topping Pattern - Take (partial) Profit?What's this?
..just a Pattern.
..a recurring pattern.
..a very similar, recurring pattern.
So what is this post good for?
Maybe just a heads-up?
Or just that you can roast me to point out that BTC is stretched, and has a high chance of pulling back or even going South.
However, be happy, not angry §8-)
Medianlines
Why I Buy MacDonalds With Both HandsMCD tanked impressively lately.
I had no clue why.
Then I checked the News, which I very rarely do.
There was one article that made absolutely no sense to me:
"Concerns about weight-loss drugs:
There are some concerns that the growing popularity of weight-loss drugs, such as Ozempic and Wegovy, could take away demand from food companies like McDonald's."
To me, this writer has inverse Logic.
Why?
Because if I would love the (crappy) MCD Food, and I could just take a Pill and loose weight, I would probably eat more at MCD.
However, I buy with both hands since MCD is a the Center-Line of this Pull-Back Fork, as soon I have some indication.
(Heads Up: Earnings ahead!)
And remember: You can buy, even when you sell (...hint: Puts). It's the Buffet way. If price close in the money at end of DTE, you got the Put's premium, AND the Stock for a way cheaper price. If price is closing out of the money after DTE, you keep the premium....double Whopper §8-)
Away for a healthy Burger at $MyOneKitchen.
CROX - Change in Trend and repeating history?Every time CROX closed above the range with high volume, a uptrend followed.
Will it be the same this time?
Fundamentally, they say, CROX is a steal.
Indeed, if I check the numbers and ratings, it shows me that CROX seem to be a really solid Company.
Although my prior analysis pointed to the Abyss, I now are more interested in a LT buy in CROX.
Let's wait for a high volume close above the range and then take a ride.
META has the potential for an EPIC failThe squeeze to the upside was phenomenal!
But in my view, they over-pumped it - who ever it was...
The white Center-Line provided good support when price failed at the GAP/Resistance Zone. this zone is built just with the range of the GAP-Bar.
After the CL support, meta reached the another temporary high at the orange CL, bounce back to the white CL again and once more got pumped up to the orange CL/GAP/Resistance zone, where it hangs out now.
Of course; If I had the money to move markets, I would want my Stock to be as high as possible to a) unload and b)short it for a Double-Whammy.
The huge divergence with price and RSI speaks for it self.
I know that I know NOTHING.
But I know what I can "Project" into the future.
It's good to be prepared, also for a move in the opposite direction, which is Up Up and away.
That means, if I short, my risk is small. No need to be a Hero and win a T-Shirt for putting myself at risk to loose my House, Cats & Dogs.
I am fully aware, that price is currently ABOVE the white CL and no lower low is broken yet. That's what makes a short so difficult.
Peace4TheWorld!
RTX has 2 Short-Levels I would jump inThe orange Fork projects the pull-back potential, which is the Center-Line.
There are 3 short levels I see:
1. The primary is way up in the primary Sellers Zone.
Although this would be the most profitable one, it has a
caveat: Price would by then have broken the Trend Barrier (Dotted slanting Trendline).
2. The secondary Short lies the Secondary Short level, right where the GAP happend. Within this level is also a tiny bunching, where price was not able to overcome.
As for the Oscillators, the MACD and Mansfield are pointing to a Down-Trend. Only the RSI seems to be oversold and is indicating a potential pullback, which is in essence the reason to look for a short. It's supported by the Buyers Zone, where price was picked up by the Bulls.
Definitely a Chart that has it's place in my watch list.
Happy day Tr8dingN3rds §8-)
S&P500 on the way to the projected levelHere we are, seeing the projection I posted on my site and here becoming reality.
P4 was slightly above the Center-Line.
How price is falling through it.
Next Target is P5.
Either the Warning-Line, or the Lower-Medianline-Parallel.
In between I expect a bounce up to the Centerline.
Also, keep in mind that we could get a HAGOPIAN!
That means, if price is not reaching the L-MLH, and pulling back above the CL, then possibilities are up for a huge move to the North.
I took partial profits as shown in my last video on YT today. The rest is riding down to one of the targets.
Steak & Lobster Baby! §8-)
Wish you all a happy day.
TESLA ran into the sellers zone againYes, I'm already short TESLA.
And I want to load my boat even more.
Here's why:
1. The grey up-sloping Pendulum Fork produces a big HAGOPIAN.
2. Price get's knocked on the head, every time it trades into the Sellers Zone. (Sellers are still there).
3. Red down-sloping Fork: Price got rejected at the U-MLH.
That's it?
Yes, that's it.
If you want the very details of this analysis, I did a deep dive of TSLA this morning and posted the Video.
Let me know what you think about this trade §8-)
S&P500 - Here is why I see the S&P500 will tank.Oh my, I feel like a super Bear.
Every Chart I see is creating a short setup.
The S&P500 opened and close outside of the green L-MLH a second time.
Chances that it will run up to test/retest it again are given by nature. But nobody can tell.
So, I opened a small short position and I will track it closely.
GC - Gold retests the L-MLH for a shortSince gold broke out of the L-MLH, I was waiting for this opportunity. This is a nice test of the L-MLH.
Be aware that it could drop and come up again for a re-Test of the L-MLH. So stops have to be places accordingly.
As for the red Centerline, we also have to be aware that the CL was already reached back on Aug. 17th.
So any accelerator could pump up GC back into the white Fork.
TSLA - TESLAs rebound and potential turnTSLA fell out of the L-MLH and fell down very hard, but did not reached the WL. That's a HAGOPIAN and hence we see price climbing up to retest the L-MLH.
If we reach the L-MLH we could see the GAP filled.
From up there I'l stalk a short since it's likely that it will continue to the downside.
Trade with caution, markets are nuts §8-)
S&P500 -ES has reached the Top for now.This is my 100% believe, that the S&P500 has reached at least a temporary high.
From here we will go down, at least to the dashed WL (Warning Line).
We had the Open & Close below the Lower Medianline Parallel. But price couldn't reach the WL. So, that means we had a HAGOPIAN cooking.
A HAGOPIAN means, that price will go further in the opposite direction than from where price came.
And this rule was right. SP500 was going up like there is no tomorrow. Just stupid buying all the way.
Today it found it's wall, banging it's had on the Lower Medianline Parallel. This was the first Test. As we know, price can create multiple tests before dropping down.
I was observing price action the last couple weeks and it was Insanity at it's best. Be it from Algos or HFT's, I don't care. I just follow my rules and currently they say:
<<< IT's OVA >>>
So, I follow my Medianline/Fork Rules and I'm Short.
The target is as of my rules, the next Line, which is the Warning Line. Interestingly it's also where price intersects with the bigger (Green) Pendulum Swing Fork.
Let's have a Christmas experience §8-)
NQ - A gift from the trading gods?To me this is indeed a gift from the trading gods.
Price retests the U-MLH a third time.
So, if you missed the entry (see my website & YT channel), then this is another chance to bake some Bread, instead of Donuts.
My stop would be a couple points above the pivot high.
Watch my videos and posts about this trade to understand it!
SP500 - The CPI And The MedianlineaPerfect Re-Test.
Interesting enough CPI news pushed price up to the L-MLH and immediately rejected it.
Thant's crazy, but it's no wonder.
Allen Andrews Action/Reaction just works. Why? It's the law of nature.
Newton exposed it, Allen Andrews brought it to the markets.
Follow the eye - detailsIn the chart there are 2 Median Lines, 1 Fan (Dr . Alan H. Andrews style) a trendline - and... a smiling dog 'cause it's Fun!
Now the Median Line per 1.2.3. been shared for the first time here
The Upper Parallel Median line test is where the Blu arrow is and it shows a dynamic resistance level that worked pretty well.
Here is another update of the same pattern:
Right now prices are close to the 50% lower inside Parallel Median Line, first small green arrow in the chart. The 2 green arrows show 2 potentially relevant support zones.
The second Median Line is the one per 1'.2.3. The prices tested the Center Line of this pattern (orange arrow). The second test been where the blu arrow is, and it's the 50% upside parallel of this Median Line (resistance).
This Median line been shared for the first time here:
and then here:
but the most important been this one
Considered the efficacy of these 2 Median Lines in the past we may have high probability to see these patterns working as good dynamic levels to check even in the future.
The dynamic trendline offered extremely relevant Res. zone that been tested multiple times and may worth a check in the future. The first time we pointed out the potential efficacy of that trendline been here:
The Fan using the Dr Alan H. Andrews settings could be used as dynamic support and resistance to check and the crosses of the fan with the trendlines generated form the Median Lines are called "energy points" and could be checked as price magnet levels as well as resistance or support and trend chaange detectors.
Maybe U can use the levels in this chart to track the future price fluctuations.
Hope you enjoy!
(Too much hurry from me yesterday, have to say sorry to Nico the moderator.)
Long OIL - CLWait for the expansion back into the swing before getting long
price will pull back into the major impulse leg
make its pivot and expand out for new high but to be sure
target is at the Median Line for 3:1 trade
Stop is a cash Stop and is 30% of the reaction leg of the swing
Trading Continued Behaviour